The
Huddle
WEEK 14
December 3, 2003
Season Ticket
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| Indianapolis vs Tennessee |
Sun, Dec 7; 1 PM on CBS at The
Coliseum |
| |
Indianapolis |
Rush |
Catch |
Pass |
| QB |
Peyton Manning |
0 |
0 |
270,2 |
| RB |
Edgerrin James |
50 |
20 |
0 |
| TE |
Marcus Pollard |
0 |
40,1 |
0 |
| WR |
Troy Walters |
0 |
60 |
0 |
| WR |
Marvin Harrison |
0 |
100,1 |
0 |
| WR |
Reggie Wayne |
0 |
40 |
0 |
|
| |
Tennessee |
Rush |
Catch |
Pass |
| QB |
Steve McNair
|
10 |
0 |
240,2 |
| RB |
Eddie George
|
60,1 |
10 |
0 |
| TE |
Frank Wycheck |
0 |
20 |
0 |
| WR |
Derrick Mason
|
0 |
100,1 |
0 |
| WR |
Justin McCareins |
0 |
80,1 |
0 |
| WR |
Tyrone Calico |
0 |
20 |
0 |
|
Game Prediction:
IND 26, TEN 27
Update:
Drew Bennett has a good chance to play this week but would
not be the #2 since McCareins has likely already won that
job outright already. Bennett could play as the #3 on some
downs and replace Calico who has been knocked for dropping
passes lately. I am not changing the projections, but do not
be surprised to see Bennett nor expect too much from Calico.
Steve McNair did not suffer any setbacks
after last week and apparently will only sit out a game if
tied to a hospital bed.
This game is a coin flip now with McNair somewhat hobbled
by his calf injury and coming off a short week. Colts are
5-1 on the road but the Titans are 5-0 at home. Neither team
will likely run that well so the second half should end up
a passing shoot-out by two teams that can post some yards
and points through the air.
If McNair can play up to form, he can help erase the 33-7
spanking the Colts gave him in week two and the Titans claim
sole possession of the division but Manning will not go quietly
and will make this one a war to watch. Both teams could run
the table for the rest of the season so all the marbles are
played in this one.
Indianapolis Notes
Colts fall to 9-3 with their loss to the Jets. They are still
tied with these Titans for the AFC South lead.
Quarterbacks::
Peyton Manning comes off a huge 278 yard, four touchdown
effort against the Patriots in a game that oddly ended with
Manning handing off on three of the final plays down by the
goal line. Manning already has 23 touchdowns on the season
and had his lowest output for the year in week two when he
beat the Titans. He only had 173 yards and one score in that
game since the Titans were ambushed and passing was not needed.
Running Backs: Edgerrin James
comes off a 25 carry, 88 yard against the Patriots with no
touchdown though he really needed to get one at the end of
the game. James had 127 and 108 yards in the two previous
games and had scored five times in those games.
James had his second best game of the season in week two
when the Colts faced the Titans. He ran for 120 yards on 30
carries in that game with one score when the Colts throttled
the Titans and just ran out the clock in the entire second
half.
Receivers: Marvin
Harrison scored once last week and gained 88 yards on
seven receptions, but it was only his second score since week
five. Harrison had only 59 yards and one score back in the
last game against the Titans.
Troy Walters had five catches for 56 yards and one
score while Reggie Wayne ended with only 30 yards on
three catches but also scored last week. Wayne only had 22
yards against the Titans this year while Walters had only
one catch for eight yards.
Dallas Clark broke his leg last week and is out for
the rest of the regular season so Marcus Pollard takes
over again as the lone receiving tight end. He has scored
in three of the last four games and will be counted on even
more with Clark gone.
Match against the Defense:
The last meeting between these teams took a very different
look since the Colts dominated the Titans in perhaps their
best defensive showing of the season. This time around it
is less likely that they get the big lead and run out the
clock.
The Titans can give up big games against good passers and
have allowed five opponents to score more than once via the
pass though none have gone over two. Tennessee has allowed
Doug Johnson to throw for 276 yards and two scores and Pennington
to have 231 yards and two scores in the past two weeks. They
have given up three 300 yard passing games to opponents this
season as well.
This is important since the Titans have not allowed a 100
yard rusher this season other than James back in week two.
The good rushing defense is forcing the opponents to the air
where Manning is rather comfortable being anyway. Samari Rolle
should manage to contain Reggie Wayne who moves around little
compared to Harrison.
Look for a lower rushing game from James - it has been two
months since any runner has gone over 65 yards on the ground
and yet Manning will be able to connect via the pass. The
most common receiver to score has been the flanker which Harrison
provide though both split ends and even #3 receivers have
scored against the secondary this season.
Tennessee Notes
The Titans fall to 9-3 and are still tied with these Colts
for the AFC South.
Quarterbacks::
Steve McNair made the fantasy world play the guessing
game last week since lineups were typically due on Sunday
and McNair's status was not known until Monday night. McNair
was allowed to play on the premise that he would not further
injure his calf but he had only one run for a one yard loss
and threw two costly interceptions. He ended with 272 yards
and two scores.
Back in week two, McNair only had 138 yards and one touchdown
against the Colts.
Running Backs: The plan
last Monday was to run Eddie George and he provided
73 yards on 18 carries. He ran well but with the scoreboard
getting away from the Titans, his use waned later in the game.
Back in week two, George gained only 46 yards on 15 carries.
Receivers: Derrick
Mason led receivers last week with eleven catches for
133 yards and a touchdown while Justin McCareins continues
his hot streak with 78 yards and one score. McCareins now
has scored in each of the past four games.
Back when these teams played in week two, McCareins still
was a backup and had only 19 yards on two catches even though
the starter Drew Bennett had no catches in that game. Mason
had ten catches for 98 yards against the Colts last time.
Match against the Defense: The
Colts rushing defense has become much worse since week two
and yet Eddie George has hardly been a stellar back in the
interim. Look for moderate numbers by George unless the Titans
can keep the score close or get a lead in which case George
gets a much bigger volume of carries. Since McNair is hobbled,
George is the more likely goal line scorer.
McNair faces a secondary that he should be able to exploit,
but it was undeniable that he did not look like himself on
Monday night. When the Colts have faced more complex passing
attacks like the Titans potentially can be, they have allowed
the Patriots (236, 2 TDs) and Jets (219, 3 TDs) to shine in
the past three weeks.
The opportunity is there, the question is if McNair is healthy
enough to take advantage.
| Team Comparisons - Current team
rankings (1-32) for FF points scored or allowed
by position |
| Rank (1-32) |
QB
|
RB
|
WR
|
TE
|
PK
|
DEF
|
| IND Scores |
2
|
13
|
2
|
3
|
3
|
24
|
| TEN Allows |
21
|
11
|
26
|
13
|
1
|
7
|
| IND AP |
19
|
-2
|
24
|
10
|
-2
|
-17
|
|
| Rank (1-32) |
QB
|
RB
|
WR
|
TE
|
PK
|
DEF
|
| TEN Scores |
4
|
29
|
3
|
9
|
6
|
2
|
| IND Allows |
14
|
23
|
16
|
12
|
10
|
3
|
| TEN AP |
10
|
-6
|
13
|
3
|
4
|
1
|
|
Offensive ranks = #1 gains most points, Defensive
ranks = #1 allows least points
AP = Advantage Points, the net difference between a positional
rank gained or allowed by the teams.
|
IND
|
TEN
|
2003 Game Averages
|
TEN
|
IND
|
|
Gains
|
Allows
|
QB's
|
Gains
|
Allows
|
|
301
|
255
|
Pass yards
|
248
|
200
|
|
2.2
|
1.3
|
Pass TDs
|
1.9
|
1.4
|
|
0.7
|
1.3
|
Interceptions
|
0.5
|
0.9
|
|
0
|
5
|
Rush yards
|
10
|
5
|
|
0
|
0
|
Rush TDs
|
0.3
|
0.2
|
|
---
|
-----
|
RB's
|
-----
|
---
|
|
93
|
68
|
Rush yards
|
90
|
117
|
|
1
|
0.6
|
Rush TDs
|
0.6
|
1
|
|
38
|
56
|
Receive yards
|
19
|
38
|
|
0.2
|
0.1
|
Receive TD's
|
0.0
|
0
|
|
---
|
-----
|
WR's
|
-----
|
---
|
|
199
|
159
|
Receive yards
|
193
|
122
|
|
1.6
|
1.0
|
Receive TD's
|
1.6
|
1.3
|
|
---
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-----
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TE's
|
-----
|
---
|
|
64
|
40
|
Receive yards
|
36
|
40
|
|
0.5
|
0.1
|
Receive TD's
|
0.3
|
0.1
|
|
---
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-----
|
PK's
|
-----
|
---
|
|
2.1
|
1.0
|
Field Goals
|
1.7
|
1
|
|
3.4
|
2.1
|
Extra Points
|
3.3
|
3
|
|
---
|
-----
|
DEF/ST
|
-----
|
---
|
|
0.8
|
0.5
|
Fumbles
|
0.9
|
0.7
|
|
0.6
|
0.5
|
Interceptions
|
1.5
|
0.6
|
|
0.1
|
0.4
|
Touchdowns
|
0.5
|
0.1
|
|
2
|
1.3
|
Sacks
|
2.4
|
1
|
|
0
|
0.1
|
Safeties
|
0.1
|
0
|
|
|
Colts (9-3) |
|
Score |
Opp. |
| 9-6 |
@CLE |
| 33-7 |
TEN |
| 23-13 |
JAX |
| 55-21 |
@NO |
| 38-35 |
@TB |
| 20-23 |
CAR |
| Week 7 |
BYE |
| 30-21 |
HOU |
| 23-17 |
@MIA |
| 23-28 |
@JAX |
| 38-31 |
NYJ |
| 17-14 |
@BUF |
| 34-38 |
NE |
| Week 14 |
@TEN |
| Week 15 |
ATL |
| Week 16 |
DEN |
| Week 17 |
@HOU |
|
|
Tennessee (9-3) |
|
Score |
Opp. |
| 25-20 |
OAK |
| 7-33 |
@IND |
| 27-12 |
NO |
| 30-13 |
@PIT |
| 30-38 |
@NE |
| 38-17 |
HOU |
| 37-17 |
@CAR |
| 31-7 |
@JAX |
| Week 9 |
BYE |
| 30-17 |
MIA |
| 10-3 |
JAX |
| 38-31 |
@ATL |
| 17-24 |
@NYJ |
| Week 14 |
IND |
| Week 15 |
BUF |
| Week 16 |
@HOU |
| Week 17 |
TB |
|
* Fantasy point rankings calculated using standard Huddle
fantasy points |