The
Huddle
WEEK 14
December 3, 2003
Season Ticket
|
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| |
|
| St. Louis vs Cleveland |
Mon, Dec 8; 9 PM on ABC at Cleveland
Browns Stadium |
| |
St.
Louis |
Rush
|
Catch
|
Pass |
| QB |
Marc Bulger |
0 |
0 |
230,2 |
| RB |
Marshall Faulk |
80,1 |
30 |
0 |
| TE |
B. Manumaleuna |
0 |
10 |
0 |
| WR |
Isaac Bruce |
0 |
60,1 |
0 |
| WR |
Torry Holt |
0 |
100,1 |
0 |
| WR |
Dane Looker |
0 |
20 |
0 |
|
| |
Cleveland |
Rush
|
Catch
|
Pass
|
| QB |
Kelly Holcomb |
0 |
0 |
180,2 |
| RB |
James Jackson |
60 |
20 |
0 |
| RB |
Jamel White |
20 |
20 |
0 |
| TE |
Darnell Sanders |
0 |
10 |
0 |
| WR |
Andre Davis |
0 |
30,1 |
0 |
| WR |
Dennis Northcutt
|
0 |
40 |
0 |
| WR |
Quincy Morgan
|
0 |
60,1 |
0 |
|
Game Prediction:
STL 24, CLE 17
Update:
Quincy Morgan appears to be over the concussion he received
last week and will play. One crucial factor to those of you
depending on players is that the Browns are out of the playoffs
and may start using younger players before the season ends
- maybe as early as this week.
Lee Suggs may get some carries that
could dig into James Jackson's numbers and it will be interesting
to see how much work Northcutt gets since he is a free agent
next season and the Browns have made no movement towards getting
him signed. I am slightly lowering his numbers and increasing
Morgan.
There is almost no rhyme or reason as to what the Browns
produce from week to week though the deeper in the season
they get, the more towards the bad sign they lean. The Rams
are only 3-3 on the road but that is actually better than
the 2-4 for the Browns in Cleveland. This could be an upset
- the Rams go cold outside as a visitor and the Browns - at
least sometimes - put up a good defense, Or this could be
another blowout against Cleveland. The only nice factor is
that you know by halftime if not earlier. The bad factor is
that it only happens after kickoff.
St. Louis Notes
The Rams rise to 9-3 and remain one game ahead of Seattle
in the NFC West.
Quarterbacks::
Marc Bulger threw for 22 yards and one score with only
one interception last week - the first time in five games
he did not throw at least two interceptions. Considering in
lost fumbles, he had 12 turnovers in the previous four games.
His 222 yards was his second lowest of the season and was
a function of the success Marshall Faulk was having.
Running Backs: Marshall
Faulk ran for 108 yards on 17 carries and scored three
times last week. In the four games since his return, Faulk
has six touchdowns and has three consecutive 100 yard rushing
games.
Receivers: While Tory
Holt did not score, he still had eight catches for 102
yards last week while Isaac Bruce (3-49) snagged the
one scoring pass. Holt's 1387 yards receiving leads the league
by almost 150 yards over #2 Randy Moss with 1239 yards though
Moss takes the TD lead with 11 versus 10 held by Holt and
Santana Moss.
For the first time since week two, Brandon Manumaleuna
did not have a catch.
Match against the Defense: This
is harder to call since it depends on which Browns and which
Rams show up for the game.
Cleveland has allowed anywhere from only 73 yards passing
(Maddox) to 328 yards (Hasselbeck) and that is just the last
two weeks. Trent Green (368) was before Jeff Blake (121).
The one key is that the Browns are at home where they have
held most passers to under 200 yards (except for Kitna - 215
yards and three touchdowns).
Three of Bulger's last four road trips resulted in games
over 328 yards passing and even in Chicago with 240 yards
he still managed two scores. In the high yardage games, he
only had one pass for a touchdown.
Not unlike their passing inconsistency, the Browns have allowed
200 yards to Tomlinson in Cleveland in the game before Marcel
Shipp only managed 23 yards. Against Cleveland, Faulk could
have 200 yards or maybe only 30 yards. Either end is more
likely than the middle making it even more fun to project.
Cleveland Notes
The Browns fall to 4-8 which drops them from contention,
even in the AFC North.
Quarterbacks::
Kelly Holcomb was struggling last week against the
Seahawks, so Tim Couch went in and instead of a spark, he
sprained the MCL in his left knee. He will be questionable
to play on Monday night And Holcomb likely takes the start
again.
Running Backs: William
Green's never ending soap opera of tragedy continues on
with additional suspension and some wondering where he even
is these days. Tragic story and wasted opportunity.
James Jackson took the start last week but only managed
32 yards on 12 carries in a game that quickly got out of hand.
It was his lowest performance since filling in for Green.
Jackson will start again this Monday.
Receivers: Dennis Northcutt
led receivers with five catches for 61 yards last week and
Quincy Morgan had 30 yards on three receptions but
suffered a mild concussion in the first quarter. He returned
later in the second half.
Other than the one week 11 game against the Cardinals, this
group has been largely unproductive this entire season. Northcutt
has the most yards for the season with only 502 and no game
over 62 yards.
Match against the Defense: The
Rams defense has a tendency to allow two passing scores while
on the road - they have done it in four of the last six road
games. Oddly enough, most of those games had less than 200
yards passing by the opponent which matches up well with the
Browns average but the last two games by Cleveland has only
posted a total of 13 points by the offense.
The Browns are always all over the map with their offense,
gaining as many as 392 passing yards or as little as 149 passing
yards which, of course, came on consecutive weeks. The best
you can do with this offense is bank on averages and hope
this week swings the pendulum towards the big side.
| Team Comparisons - Current team
rankings (1-32) for FF points scored or allowed
by position |
| Rank (1-32) |
QB
|
RB
|
WR
|
TE
|
PK
|
DEF
|
| STL Scores |
3
|
20
|
1
|
26
|
1
|
1
|
| CLE Allows |
5
|
12
|
5
|
29
|
28
|
16
|
| STL AP |
2
|
-8
|
4
|
3
|
27
|
15
|
|
| Rank (1-32) |
QB
|
RB
|
WR
|
TE
|
PK
|
DEF
|
| CLE Scores |
22
|
27
|
11
|
27
|
17
|
26
|
| STL Allows |
18
|
8
|
23
|
6
|
4
|
32
|
| CLE AP |
-4
|
-19
|
12
|
-21
|
-13
|
6
|
|
Offensive ranks = #1 gains most points, Defensive
ranks = #1 allows least points
AP = Advantage Points, the net difference between a positional
rank gained or allowed by the teams.
|
STL
|
CLE
|
2003 Game Averages
|
CLE
|
STL
|
|
Gains
|
Allows
|
QB's
|
Gains
|
Allows
|
|
275
|
199
|
Pass yards
|
215
|
205
|
|
1.4
|
1.1
|
Pass TDs
|
1.2
|
1.4
|
|
1.8
|
0.8
|
Interceptions
|
1
|
1.7
|
|
7
|
7
|
Rush yards
|
2
|
15
|
|
0.4
|
0
|
Rush TDs
|
0.1
|
0
|
|
---
|
---
|
RB's
|
---
|
---
|
|
89
|
94
|
Rush yards
|
82
|
91
|
|
1.1
|
0.5
|
Rush TDs
|
0.4
|
0.4
|
|
22
|
42
|
Receive yards
|
35
|
30
|
|
0
|
0
|
Receive TD's
|
0.1
|
0.2
|
|
---
|
---
|
WR's
|
---
|
---
|
|
227
|
122
|
Receive yards
|
160
|
143
|
|
1.3
|
0.6
|
Receive TD's
|
0.9
|
1.1
|
|
---
|
---
|
TE's
|
---
|
---
|
|
27
|
35
|
Receive yards
|
19
|
33
|
|
0.1
|
0.5
|
Receive TD's
|
0.2
|
0.1
|
|
---
|
---
|
PK's
|
---
|
---
|
|
2.4
|
2.1
|
Field Goals
|
1.6
|
1.1
|
|
3.3
|
1.6
|
Extra Points
|
1.8
|
2.4
|
|
---
|
---
|
DEF/ST
|
---
|
---
|
|
1.3
|
0.9
|
Fumbles
|
0.5
|
0.7
|
|
1.7
|
1
|
Interceptions
|
0.6
|
1.8
|
|
0.4
|
0.1
|
Touchdowns
|
0.2
|
0.5
|
|
2.7
|
2.5
|
Sacks
|
1.9
|
2.3
|
|
0.1
|
0
|
Safeties
|
0
|
0
|
|
|
Rams (9-3) |
|
Score |
Opp. |
| 13-23 |
@NYG |
| 27-24 |
SF |
| 23-24 |
@SEA |
| 37-13 |
ARZ |
| Week 5 |
BYE |
| 36-0 |
ATL |
| 34-24 |
GB |
| 33-21 |
@PIT |
| 10-30 |
@SF |
| 33-22 |
BAL |
| 23-21 |
@CHI |
| 30-27 |
@ARZ |
| 48-17 |
MIN |
| Week 14 |
@CLE |
| Week 15 |
SEA |
| Week 16 |
CIN |
| Week 17 |
@DET |
|
|
Browns(4-8) |
|
Score |
Opp. |
| 6-9 |
IND |
| 13-33 |
@BAL |
| 13-12 |
@SF |
| 14-21 |
CIN |
| 33-13 |
@PIT |
| 13-7 |
OAK |
| 20-26 |
SD |
| 3-9 |
@NE |
| Week 9 |
BYE |
| 20-41 |
@KC |
| 44-6 |
ARZ |
| 6-13 |
PIT |
| 7-34 |
@SEA |
| Week 14 |
STL |
| Week 15 |
@DEN |
| Week 16 |
BAL |
| Week 17 |
@CIN |
|
* Fantasy point rankings calculated using standard Huddle
fantasy points |