The
Huddle
WEEK 15
December 10 2003
Season Ticket
|
|
| |
|
| Baltimore vs Oakland |
Sun, Dec 14; 4 PM on CBS at Network
Associates Coliseum |
| |
Baltimore |
Rush
|
Catch
|
Pass
|
| QB |
Anthony Wright |
20 |
0 |
200,1 |
| RB |
Jamal Lewis |
110,2 |
0 |
0 |
| RB |
Chester Taylor |
50 |
10 |
0 |
| TE |
Todd Heap |
0 |
40,1 |
0 |
| WR |
Travis Taylor |
0 |
50 |
0 |
| WR |
Frank Sanders |
0 |
30 |
0 |
| WR |
Marcus Robinson |
0 |
60 |
0 |
|
| |
Oakland |
Rush
|
Catch
|
Pass |
| QB |
Rick Mirer |
10 |
0 |
130 |
| RB |
Charlie Garner
|
40 |
10 |
0 |
| RB |
Tyrone Wheatley |
50 |
0 |
0 |
| TE |
Teyo Johnson |
0 |
20 |
0 |
| WR |
Tim Brown |
0 |
30 |
0 |
| WR |
Jerry Porter |
0 |
30 |
0 |
| WR |
Jerry Rice |
0 |
20 |
0 |
|
Game Prediction:
BAL 26, OAK 6
The Raiders are back home and the Raider Nation will show
up even if the actual Raiders may not. Anthony Wright has
enjoyed three straight home games but now hits the road where
the going will less likely continue his 30+ point games. Then
again, the Raiders are now showing all signs of quitting so
anything is possible.
If Mirer can throw for only 68 yards last week against a
terrible Steeler secondary, what will he do against one that
shut down Chad Johnson?
Baltimore Notes
The Ravens rise to 8-5 and take a one game lead over the
Bengals in the AFC North.
Quarterbacks::
Anthony Wright was less impressive last week, only
completing 8 of 19 for 145 yards and two interceptions, but
he did score on one more pass to Marcus Robinson. Six of his
seven scores have gone to Robinson and Wright now has the
same amount of touchdowns (7) in the past three games that
Boller had in nine games.
Running Backs: Jamal Lewis
had his second best game of the year last week when he
gained 180 yards on 30 carries and scored a season-high three
times. Since week six of the season, Lewis has exceeded 100
yards in every other game. He is now suffering from a sprained
wrist but is expected to play this week.
Receivers: As noted,
Marcus Robinson continues to shine with his ex-college
quarterback and has scored in each of the last three games.
Last week even Travis Taylor had 77 yards on only two
catches but the one player that has been clearly hurt with
Wright in the pocket has been Todd Heap.
Heap has only had six total catches and never more
than 38 yards over the course of the last three games. Wright
has been throwing him the ball seven or eight times a game,
but the results have been far less than Heap produced before
Wright took over.
Match against the Defense:
Oakland is currently the worst team against the running backs
which should bode well for Jamal Lewis. The only mitigating
factor here is if his wrist bothers him and if the game gets
out of hand and the Ravens elect to use Chester Taylor more
to save Lewis for the playoffs.
The Raiders have allowed at least one passing score in each
of their last six games though never more than two all year.
Teams have been able to throw against them but most are willing
to let their running back mow the Raiders over.
Both tight ends and wideouts do well when they are the focus
and Robinson's left alignment is the most common for a score
though Oakland has not allowed many wideouts to score this
year. Teams are able to move the ball with the run so well
that there is little consistency as to what receiver catches
the scoring pass. Since Heap has been held to so little lately,
the Ravens will either just find Robinson yet again or make
a concerted effort to get Heap the ball. It would be in Baltimore's
favor to find a player outside of Robinson that can catch
in the endzone.
I like Heap to catch the score here but by trends it would
more likely be Robinson.
Oakland Notes
The Raiders fall to 3-10 and now share the worst record in
the NFL with three other teams. There is an excellent chance
that they can be all alone in the cellar by week 17. If they
were the dumbest team in week 13, they became slack-jawed,
drooling idiots in week 14.
Quarterbacks::
Rick Mirer comes off a 10 of 25 for 68 yard effort
against one of the worst secondaries in the league. He threw
two interceptions and lost one fumble. If he was a horse,
even the Humane Society would say "Ah - pull the trigger".
Mirer was roughed up in Pittsburgh and sprained his ankle
but is expected to continue the futility this week.
Running Backs: Tyrone Wheatley
gained 65 yards and scored once last week but only had 13
carries in a game that got out of hand. Charlie Garner
had nine carries for 57 yards and the duo looked good until
rushing the ball became a moot point.
The Raiders need an opponent who does not score much in order
to keep the game close enough for continued handoffs to Wheatley
and Garner. This does not likely describe the Ravens.
Receivers: As expected,
Jerry Rice was the best receiver and as expected, he
only managed 27 yards on two catches. Rice has now officially
entered the "whimper" phase of his career. Long
ball specialist Jerry Porter had two catches for 12 yards
and by this point, six yards per catch is pretty long. With
Mirer throwing, any pass that nets a first down is considered
a bomb.
Match against the Defense:
The Ravens have allowed two runners to crest 100 yards this
season, but Wheatley is not exactly Tomlinson or Ricky Williams.
The problem here is that the Ravens can control the ball with
their own run, get a lead and then force the Raiders to throw
which is akin to leading a cruise ship into a minefield.
Expect that Wheatley and even Garner can have some success
rushing, but that it will not be something that the Raiders
can focus on the entire game. Oakland has continuing offensive
line woes and facing the Ravens is not a great way to mask
that.
| Team Comparisons - Current team
rankings (1-32) for FF points scored or allowed
by position |
| Rank (1-32) |
QB
|
RB
|
WR
|
TE
|
PK
|
DEF
|
| BAL Scores |
30
|
6
|
29
|
4
|
3
|
2
|
| OAK Allows |
19
|
32
|
2
|
19
|
26
|
12
|
| BAL AP |
-11
|
26
|
-27
|
15
|
23
|
10
|
|
| Rank (1-32) |
QB
|
RB
|
WR
|
TE
|
PK
|
DEF
|
| OAK Scores |
28
|
13
|
27
|
16
|
22
|
19
|
| BAL Allows |
7
|
9
|
13
|
15
|
27
|
23
|
| OAK AP |
-21
|
-4
|
-14
|
-1
|
5
|
4
|
|
Offensive ranks = #1 gains most points, Defensive
ranks = #1 allows least points
AP = Advantage Points, the net difference between a positional
rank gained or allowed by the teams.
|
BAL
|
OAK
|
2003 Game Averages
|
OAK
|
BAL
|
|
Gains
|
Allows
|
QB's
|
Gains
|
Allows
|
|
166
|
207
|
Pass yards
|
198
|
201
|
|
1.2
|
1.0
|
Pass TDs
|
0.5
|
1.2
|
|
2.3
|
0.9
|
Interceptions
|
1.0
|
1.6
|
|
8
|
16
|
Rush yards
|
8
|
8
|
|
0.0
|
0.3
|
Rush TDs
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
|
---
|
---
|
RB's
|
---
|
---
|
|
134
|
135
|
Rush yards
|
108
|
93
|
|
1.0
|
1.3
|
Rush TDs
|
1.0
|
0.4
|
|
28
|
53
|
Receive yards
|
29
|
40
|
|
0.0
|
0.2
|
Receive TD's
|
0.0
|
0.1
|
|
---
|
---
|
WR's
|
---
|
---
|
|
84
|
124
|
Receive yards
|
136
|
128
|
|
0.7
|
0.5
|
Receive TD's
|
0.4
|
0.8
|
|
---
|
---
|
TE's
|
---
|
---
|
|
55
|
30
|
Receive yards
|
33
|
33
|
|
0.5
|
0.4
|
Receive TD's
|
0.2
|
0.3
|
|
---
|
---
|
PK's
|
---
|
---
|
|
2.4
|
1.6
|
Field Goals
|
1.4
|
1.9
|
|
2.6
|
2.6
|
Extra Points
|
1.8
|
1.8
|
|
---
|
---
|
DEF/ST
|
---
|
---
|
|
0.9
|
0.9
|
Fumbles
|
0.7
|
1.2
|
|
1.6
|
1.1
|
Interceptions
|
0.9
|
1.3
|
|
0.4
|
0.0
|
Touchdowns
|
0.2
|
0.1
|
|
2.9
|
2.4
|
Sacks
|
1.4
|
2.5
|
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
Safeties
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
|
|
Ravens (8-5) |
|
Score |
Opp. |
| 15-34 |
@PIT |
| 33-13 |
CLE |
| 24-10 |
@SD |
| 10-17 |
KC |
| Week 5 |
BYE |
| 26-18 |
@ARZ |
| 26-34 |
@CIN |
| 26-6 |
DEN |
| 24-17 |
JAX |
| 22-33 |
@STL |
| 6-9 |
@MIA |
| 44-41 |
SEA |
| 44-6 |
SF |
| 31-13 |
CIN |
| Week 15 |
@OAK |
| Week 16 |
@CLE |
| Week 17 |
PIT |
|
| Raiders
(3-10) |
| Score |
Opp. |
| 20-25 |
@TEN |
| 23-20 |
CIN |
| 10-31 |
@DEN |
| 34-31 |
SD |
| 21-24 |
@CHI |
| 7-13 |
@CLE |
| 10-17 |
KC |
| Week 8 |
BYE |
| 13-23 |
@DET |
| 24-27 |
NYJ |
| 28-18 |
MIN |
| 24-27 |
@KC |
| 8-22 |
DEN |
| 7-27 |
@PIT |
| Week 15 |
BAL |
| Week 16 |
GB |
| Week 17 |
@SD |
|
* Fantasy point rankings calculated using standard Huddle
fantasy points |