The
Huddle
WEEK 15
December 10 2003
Season Ticket
|
|
| |
|
| Buffalo vs Tennessee |
Sun, Dec 14; 1 PM on CBS at The
Coliseum |
| |
Buffalo |
Rush
|
Catch
|
Pass
|
| QB |
Drew Bledsoe
|
10 |
0 |
170 |
| RB |
Travis Henry |
70 |
10 |
0 |
| TE |
M. Campbell |
0 |
20 |
0 |
| WR |
Eric Moulds |
0 |
40 |
0 |
| WR |
Josh Reed |
0 |
40 |
0 |
| WR |
Bobby Shaw |
0 |
30 |
0 |
|
| |
Tennessee |
Rush |
Catch |
Pass |
| QB |
Steve McNair
|
20 |
0 |
220,2 |
| RB |
Eddie George
|
70 |
0 |
0 |
| TE |
Frank Wycheck |
0 |
40,1 |
0 |
| WR |
Derrick Mason
|
0 |
80,1 |
0 |
| WR |
Justin McCareins |
0 |
70 |
0 |
| WR |
Tyrone Calico |
0 |
20 |
0 |
|
Game Prediction:
BUF 6, TEN 20
Update: Steve McNair remains
a gametime decision but since he has always played when listed
as a questionable gametime decision, I am not changing the
projections. McNair played the second half last week with
the slight crack to his bone spur after taking a pain injection
and I would expect his to take the needle again this week.
The only potential factor that might lower his chances is
that Tennessee has likely already fallen out of a chance to
win the division and the team may be better served with him
sidelined this week to rest though that has never stopped
him before.
Titans come off a painful home loss to the Titans and have
zero room for error. Chances are they have lost the AFC South
anyway but a wildcard is a definite probability. A hobbled
McNair could impact the game but the Bills have only scored
more than 7 points once in the past five road trips and Tennessee
is not to be confused with the Giants..
Buffalo Notes
The Bills rise to 6-7 and have won their last two games.
The dream of a .500 season is not yet dead. After facing TEN,
MIA and NE, it probably will be.
Quarterbacks::
Drew Bledsoe spent the entire Jets game handing off
to Travis Henry and only had 72 yards passing in the entire
game. Though he only had 15 passing attempts, he still managed
to throw one interception. Bledsoe did score once via a pass
and now has two consecutive games with a touchdown after having
gone four games without one.
Running Backs: Travis Henry
turned in a personal best 169 yards on 32 carries and scored
once. It was his sixth 100 yard game and his tenth touchdown
for the season.
Receivers: Somehow during
the scant passing, Josh Reed managed to catch his second
touchdown of the year. Reed has been knocked for dropping
passes this season but has stepped up his play in the last
two games. Eric Moulds only had 11 yards on two catches
last week and only has one touchdown for 2003 which happened
back in week two of the season.
Match against the Defense:
Other than the Giants game which never counts anymore, Bledsoe
has not thrown a touchdown in his last four road games and
never exceeded 202 yards passing. Match that up against a
secondary that held Manning to no scores and only Sage Rosenfels
has thrown a touchdown in Nashville since week six of the
season. Do not expect much from Bledsoe against a defense
that will still be steamed about losing last week.
Henry goes into Tennessee where no runner has gone over 100
yards and Edgerrin James last week has been the only opponent
running back to score a touchdown. Henry will get plenty of
carries and could turn in upwards of 60-80 yards from sheer
volume, but then again Bledsoe will not concern the defense
like Manning did.
The Bills have been horrible on the road and this looks like
they are walking into another decisive loss.
Tennessee Notes
The Titans fall to 9-4 and now likely trail the Colts for
good this season in the AFC South.
Quarterbacks::
Steve McNair limped through the game last week but
still managed to throw for 235 yards and two scores while
adding a third touchdown on a run. His right calf wasn't bothering
him Monday but his left ankle now is. A later MRI revealed
a slight crack to an old bone spur (which sounds double bad)
and McNair will not practice this week. I am assuming that
he will play and will update only if a notarized death certificate
is made available.
Running Backs: Eddie
George ran well last week, but was limited to only 11
carries for 51 yards as the Titans needed to pass in order
to get back into the game. Chris Brown added 23 yards
on four carries.
Receivers: Derrick Mason
had one touchdown against the Colts and led receivers
with six catches for 64 yards. Justin McCareins had four catches
for 76 yards and finally failed to score a touchdown after
four straight scoring games. Drew Bennett never had
a catch on his three throws.
Match against the Defense:
The Bills defense has played reasonably well this season,
cloaked by the fact that their offense has not done enough
to keep them in games. On the road this season they have allowed
at least one passing score in every game and yet held all
but two teams to less than 200 yards passing.
Antoine Winfield matches on Derrick Mason which could be
a problem but the Titans move Mason all over anyway. The majority
of passing scores to wideouts have been to the left side this
season which puts the favor back to Mason though most teams
have resorted to mixing three and four wideouts in the passing
game in order to be effective.
On the road, only Ricky Williams has gouged the Bills on
the ground and most runners are held to around 80 yards or
less including Priest Holmes, Fred Taylor and Curtis Martin.
Only Holmes and Williams have scored against the Bills when
they visited so Eddie George is less likely to score or exceed
80 yards. He could have a touchdown since McNair is now banged
up with both legs and less likely to score on a rushing attempt.
| Team Comparisons - Current team
rankings (1-32) for FF points scored or allowed
by position |
| Rank (1-32) |
QB
|
RB
|
WR
|
TE
|
PK
|
DEF
|
| BUF Scores |
32
|
23
|
26
|
30
|
31
|
30
|
| TEN Allows |
21
|
16
|
25
|
12
|
11
|
10
|
| BUF AP |
-11
|
-7
|
-1
|
-18
|
-20
|
-20
|
|
| Rank (1-32) |
QB
|
RB
|
WR
|
TE
|
PK
|
DEF
|
| TEN Scores |
2
|
29
|
4
|
10
|
4
|
4
|
| BUF Allows |
1
|
12
|
7
|
17
|
10
|
20
|
| TEN AP |
-1
|
-27
|
3
|
7
|
6
|
16
|
|
Offensive ranks = #1 gains most points, Defensive
ranks = #1 allows least points
AP = Advantage Points, the net difference between a positional
rank gained or allowed by the teams.
|
BUF
|
TEN
|
2003 Game Averages
|
TEN
|
BUF
|
|
Gains
|
Allows
|
QB's
|
Gains
|
Allows
|
|
178
|
253
|
Pass yards
|
246
|
184
|
|
0.5
|
1.2
|
Pass TDs
|
1.9
|
0.9
|
|
1.2
|
1.2
|
Interceptions
|
0.5
|
0.5
|
|
2
|
6
|
Rush yards
|
11
|
7
|
|
0.2
|
0.0
|
Rush TDs
|
0.4
|
0.0
|
|
---
|
---
|
RB's
|
---
|
---
|
|
105
|
70
|
Rush yards
|
88
|
93
|
|
0.5
|
0.7
|
Rush TDs
|
0.5
|
0.8
|
|
25
|
53
|
Receive yards
|
17
|
22
|
|
0.1
|
0.1
|
Receive TD's
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
|
---
|
---
|
WR's
|
---
|
---
|
|
137
|
160
|
Receive yards
|
189
|
134
|
|
0.4
|
0.9
|
Receive TD's
|
1.5
|
0.5
|
|
---
|
---
|
TE's
|
---
|
---
|
|
17
|
39
|
Receive yards
|
41
|
29
|
|
0.1
|
0.1
|
Receive TD's
|
0.3
|
0.4
|
|
---
|
---
|
PK's
|
---
|
---
|
|
1.1
|
1.4
|
Field Goals
|
1.7
|
1.4
|
|
1.4
|
2.1
|
Extra Points
|
3.3
|
1.9
|
|
---
|
---
|
DEF/ST
|
---
|
---
|
|
0.5
|
0.8
|
Fumbles
|
0.8
|
1.0
|
|
0.5
|
0.5
|
Interceptions
|
1.4
|
1.1
|
|
0.1
|
0.4
|
Touchdowns
|
0.5
|
0.0
|
|
2.3
|
1.3
|
Sacks
|
2.5
|
3.3
|
|
0.3
|
0.1
|
Safeties
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
|
|
Bills (6-7) |
|
Score |
Opp. |
| 31-0 |
NE |
| 38-17 |
@JAX |
| 7-17 |
@MIA |
| 13-23 |
PHI |
| 22-16 |
CIN |
| 3-30 |
@NYJ |
| 24-7 |
WAS |
| 5-38 |
@KC |
| Week 9 |
BYE |
| 6-10 |
@DAL |
| 10-12 |
HOU |
| 14-17 |
IND |
| 24-7 |
@NYG |
| 17-6 |
NYJ |
| Week 15 |
@TEN |
| Week 16 |
MIA |
| Week 17 |
@NE |
|
|
Tennessee (9-4) |
|
Score |
Opp. |
| 25-20 |
OAK |
| 7-33 |
@IND |
| 27-12 |
NO |
| 30-13 |
@PIT |
| 30-38 |
@NE |
| 38-17 |
HOU |
| 37-17 |
@CAR |
| 31-7 |
@JAX |
| Week 9 |
BYE |
| 30-17 |
MIA |
| 10-3 |
JAX |
| 38-31 |
@ATL |
| 17-24 |
@NYJ |
| 27-29 |
IND |
| Week 15 |
BUF |
| Week 16 |
@HOU |
| Week 17 |
TB |
|
* Fantasy point rankings calculated using standard Huddle
fantasy points |