The
Huddle
WEEK 15
December 10 2003
Season Ticket
|
|
| |
|
| Green Bay vs San Diego |
Sun, Dec 14; 4 PM on FOX at Qualcomm
Stadium |
| |
Green
Bay |
Rush
|
Catch
|
Pass
|
| QB |
Brett Favre |
0 |
0 |
200,2 |
| RB |
Ahman Green |
110,1 |
10 |
0 |
| TE |
Bubba Franks |
0 |
20,1 |
0 |
| WR |
Javon Walker |
0 |
80,1 |
0 |
| WR |
Donald Driver |
0 |
30 |
0 |
| WR |
Robert Ferguson |
0 |
50 |
0 |
|
| |
San
Diego |
Rush
|
Catch
|
Pass |
| QB |
Drew Brees |
0 |
0 |
170,1 |
| RB |
L. Tomlinson |
100,1 |
40 |
0 |
| TE |
Josh Norman |
0 |
10 |
0 |
| WR |
David Boston
|
0 |
50,1 |
0 |
| WR |
Reche Caldwell |
0 |
20 |
0 |
| WR |
Kaseem
Osgood |
0 |
30 |
0 |
|
Game Prediction:
GB 24, SD 20
Update: HC Marty Schottenheimer
has still not named a starting quarterback for this weekend
but early signs indicate that he may be leaning towards starting
Drew Brees again. There is a chance that he might actually
use both in the game though less likely. Schottenheimer once
said he would always use the quarterback that gave them the
best chance of winning (Flutie) but now that Brees has had
a chance to "step back" and look at things, Marty
admitted that it may be in the best interest of the 3-10 team
to see if Brees should be a part of the future.
Based on that, I am changing the projections
to Brees but Flutie could end up playing.
The Chargers come off a win which makes it even more likely
that the Packers can beat them so long as they keep Tomlinson
bottled up at least most of the time. Green Bay will be able
to score whatever they need to win but the Chargers face a
team that has not bee stellar against the pass and can get
beaten by the long run. All makes for a Packer win but in
a slightly better game then expected.
Green Bay Notes
The Packers climb to 7-6 and remain one game behind the Vikings
in the NFC North.
Quarterbacks::
Brett Favre threw for 210 yards and one score last
week but had one interception returned for a touchdown, giving
him 18 for the season and putting him on a pace to exceed
the 19 he threw last season. On the plus side, Favre has thrown
at least one touchdown in every game this year and has 23
in total
Running Backs: Ahman Green
only gained 80 yards on 30 carries against the Bears, less
than half of what he did the previous time they met. Green
now has turned in consecutive games of 80 and 57 yards and
has dropped off his blistering pace of earlier this season.
Blocking is suspect, along with defenses committing safeties
to cutting down any breakaway runs.
Green is only 12 yards away from breaking the Packers record
of 1,474 yards rushing set by Jim Taylor in 1962. He may have
that on the first offensive play this week.
Receivers: Robert Ferguson
had a personal best seven receptions last week for 79 while
Javon Walker scored the only passing touchdown for
Green Bay. Walker now has scored in the last three straight
games and has become Favre's favorite target deep.
Match against the Defense:
Load 'em up and run 'em.
Ahman Green has an excellent opportunity to get back into
the 100 yard club this week even if his blocking has been
spotty. The last runner to visit San Diego was Priest Holmes
who had 162 yards and two scores.
Brett Favre should also be assured of a great game since
five of the last six quarterbacks have thrown at least two
scores and there have been six games against San Diego that
saw three touchdowns thrown by the opposing quarterback. Since
the Chargers are beaten in so many ways, the yardage has varied
from around 200 up to three games over 300 yards.
Consider Walker as a near lock for one touchdown but the
Chargers are also terrible against tight ends so either Franks
or Walls has a chance to score as well. It's San Diego. It's
all good.
San Diego Notes
The Chargers rise to 3-10 and the entire team should chip
in half their paychecks each week to Tomlinson. Whenever he
comes up for a new contract, they probably will have to do
that anyway.
Quarterbacks::
Marty Schottenheimer is once again playing the "guess
the starter" game with no apparent reason beyond the
fact that he can. Since the Packers are fairly kind to passers,
the winner of Marty's guessing game should be able to post
at least respectable numbers.
I am assuming that Schottenheimer wants to build on his career
winning record and will use Flutie. It's not likely either
will be around next season anyway.
Running Backs: LaDainian
Tomlinson is languishing behind a poor offensive line
and most of the yards he gains are on his own effort. Tomlinson
only gained 88 yards on 25 carries but turned in nine catches
for 148 yards and two scores to provide almost the entirety
of the offense. Once again.
Receivers: David
Boston had 66 yards on four catches last week and scored
once. He has scored in three of the last four games and between
he and Tomlinson, they made up 90% of the yardage and 100%
of the scoring for the Chargers last week. Boston sprained
his neck last week but will be fine to play on Sunday.
Reche Caldwell has lost his starting job to rookie
Kassim Osgood but when the rest of the team scrambles
for less than 10% of the yardage, it does not amount to much.
Match against the Defense:
Tomlinson faces a defense that has been good against the run
overall, but has allowed two runners on the road to ding them.
Anthony Thomas (110, 1 TD) and Thomas Jones (134) had nice
games thanks to long breaking runs. That is exactly what Tomlinson
is good at providing. Watch for a good game from Tomlinson
that will come in chunks rather than consistent gains.
The Packer secondary has been tough in recent weeks and only
Kordell Stewart exceeded 202 yards against them (much of that
on one pass). Most teams come in below 200 yards and most
teams score once.
| Team Comparisons - Current team
rankings (1-32) for FF points scored or allowed
by position |
| Rank (1-32) |
QB
|
RB
|
WR
|
TE
|
PK
|
DEF
|
| GB Scores |
18
|
1
|
25
|
9
|
13
|
15
|
| SD Allows |
31
|
24
|
26
|
32
|
21
|
9
|
| GB AP |
13
|
23
|
1
|
23
|
8
|
-6
|
|
| Rank (1-32) |
QB
|
RB
|
WR
|
TE
|
PK
|
DEF
|
| SD Scores |
12
|
5
|
20
|
23
|
27
|
29
|
| GB Allows |
29
|
7
|
22
|
21
|
25
|
11
|
| SD AP |
17
|
2
|
2
|
-2
|
-2
|
-18
|
|
Offensive ranks = #1 gains most points, Defensive
ranks = #1 allows least points
AP = Advantage Points, the net difference between a positional
rank gained or allowed by the teams.
|
GB
|
SD
|
2003 Game Averages
|
SD
|
GB
|
|
Gains
|
Allows
|
QB's
|
Gains
|
Allows
|
|
200
|
238
|
Pass yards
|
193
|
225
|
|
1.8
|
2.3
|
Pass TDs
|
1.2
|
1.2
|
|
1.3
|
0.9
|
Interceptions
|
1.2
|
1.2
|
|
1
|
9
|
Rush yards
|
17
|
17
|
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
Rush TDs
|
0.2
|
0.4
|
|
---
|
---
|
RB's
|
---
|
---
|
|
157
|
118
|
Rush yards
|
109
|
95
|
|
1.0
|
0.6
|
Rush TDs
|
0.9
|
0.5
|
|
48
|
42
|
Receive yards
|
50
|
29
|
|
0.7
|
0.4
|
Receive TD's
|
0.2
|
0.1
|
|
---
|
---
|
WR's
|
---
|
---
|
|
116
|
158
|
Receive yards
|
123
|
155
|
|
0.7
|
1.0
|
Receive TD's
|
0.7
|
0.9
|
|
---
|
---
|
TE's
|
---
|
---
|
|
36
|
39
|
Receive yards
|
20
|
41
|
|
0.4
|
0.9
|
Receive TD's
|
0.3
|
0.2
|
|
---
|
---
|
PK's
|
---
|
---
|
|
1.4
|
1.4
|
Field Goals
|
0.9
|
1.6
|
|
3.0
|
3.1
|
Extra Points
|
2.4
|
2.6
|
|
---
|
---
|
DEF/ST
|
---
|
---
|
|
0.4
|
0.5
|
Fumbles
|
0.5
|
0.5
|
|
1.2
|
1.3
|
Interceptions
|
0.9
|
1.3
|
|
0.2
|
0.1
|
Touchdowns
|
0.1
|
0.2
|
|
2.3
|
1.7
|
Sacks
|
1.8
|
1.5
|
|
0.0
|
0.1
|
Safeties
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
|
|
Packers
(7-6) |
|
Score |
Opp. |
| 25-30 |
MIN |
| 31-6 |
DET |
| 13-20 |
@ARZ |
| 38-23 |
@CHI |
| 35-13 |
SEA |
| 34-40 |
KC |
| 24-34 |
@STL |
| Week 8 |
BYE |
| 30-27 |
@MIN |
| 14-17 |
PHI |
| 20-13 |
@TB |
| 20-10 |
SF |
| 14-22 |
@DET |
| 34-21 |
CHI |
| Week 15 |
@SD |
| Week 16 |
@OAK |
| Week 17 |
DEN |
|
|
Chargers (3-10) |
|
Score |
Opp. |
| 14-27 |
@KC |
| 13-37 |
DEN |
| 10-24 |
BAL |
| 31-34 |
@OAK |
| 21-27 |
@JAX |
| Week 6 |
BYE |
| 26-20 |
@CLE |
| 10-26 |
MIA |
| 7-20 |
@CHI |
| 42-28 |
MIN |
| 8-37 |
@DEN |
| 27-34 |
CIN |
| 24-28 |
KC |
| 14-7 |
@DET |
| Week 15 |
GB |
| Week 16 |
@PIT |
| Week 17 |
OAK |
|
* Fantasy point rankings calculated using standard Huddle
fantasy points |