The
Huddle
WEEK 15
December 10 2003
Season Ticket
|
|
| |
|
| Houston vs Tampa Bay |
Sun, Dec 14; 1 PM on CBS at Raymond
James Stadium |
| |
Houston |
Rush |
Catch |
Pass |
| QB |
David
Carr |
0 |
0 |
190 |
| RB |
Domanick Davis |
80,1 |
40 |
0 |
| TE |
Billy Miller
|
0 |
30 |
0 |
| WR |
Corey Bradford
|
0 |
40 |
0 |
| WR |
Andre Johnson
|
0 |
40 |
0 |
| WR |
Jabar Gaffney
|
0 |
20 |
0 |
|
| |
Tampa
Bay |
Rush
|
Catch
|
Pass |
| QB |
Brad Johnson
|
0 |
0 |
210,1 |
| RB |
Michael Pittman
|
40 |
20 |
0 |
| RB |
Thomas Jones |
100,1 |
10 |
0 |
| TE |
Ken Dilger |
0 |
20 |
0 |
| WR |
Charles Lee |
0 |
60 |
0 |
| WR |
Keenan McCardell
|
0 |
90,1 |
0 |
|
Game Prediction:
HOU 13, TB 20
Update: Domanick Davis has returned
to practice and is expected to play. David Carr has participated
in some drills in practice and seems to be improving. He is
considered to be a gametime decision so the risk is there
that Ragone will take the start again. Since he is improving,
I am changing the projections to reflect that Carr may play
though his shoulder will not be 100%.
The Texans without Carr and Davis lost 27-0 on the road last
week and now face the Bucs in Tampa Bay. Davis may be back
and could allow the Texans to actually affect their own side
of the scoreboard but the Bucs ability to run over Houston
alone is enough to win. Throw in Brad Johnson and McCardell
and it only gets easier.
Houston Notes
The Texans fall to 5-8 and discover Ragone and Hollings are
not the same as Carr and Davis.
Quarterbacks::
Dave Ragone only managed to throw for 71 yards last
week and lost both a fumble and an interception without ever
scoring. It was a far cry from the last meeting against the
Jaguars that ended with Carr's dramatic last second dive for
the winning score. Ragone suffered a bruised bicep at the
end of the game but it is not expected to prevent him from
working on his 71 yard average.
David Carr has been bothered by a sprained shoulder
and then caught the flu last week which briefly had him hospitalized.
His status will be evaluated as the week goes on but for now
I am assuming he will be out. This is not a good thing for
the Texans chances this week.
Running Backs: Domanick Davis
missed last week with a thigh bruise but is expected to practice
on Wednesday. I assume he will return and become the immediate
focus of the entire Bucs defense. Last week Tony Hollings
only managed 19 yards on 18 carries in Jacksonville.
Receivers: With only
71 yards of passing, there wasn't any receiver worth noting
last week. With Carr out, Andre Johnson only had one
catch in either of the last two games and yet he has still
been the best receiver.
Match against the Defense:
The Texans offense took a huge hit with Carr and Davis out
last week and will again be challenged on the road this week.
Assuming Davis can return and play up to form, he visits a
defense that has been fairly tough against the run at home.
Ahman Green did have 109 yards there but Brett Favre is more
worrisome than Dave Ragone. Deuce McAllister has burned the
Bucs before but even he was held largely in check last week
in New Orleans.
Davis should get plenty of carries in the game unless the
score dictates the pass. Davis can catch the ball but no running
back has had over 40 yards receiving and that includes Tiki
Barber. Against reasonably good defenses, Davis has remained
around 70 yards rushing (BUF, NE and CAR).
The passing game appears to be a lost cause unless Carr makes
a turnaround in his health.
Tampa Bay Notes
Tampa Bay rises to 6-7 and are not officially out of the
playoffs yet.
Quarterbacks::
After stumbling in Jacksonville, Brad Johnson got back
on track last week against the Saints, throwing for 213 yards
and two scores. Other than the Jacksonville game, he has thrown
at least once score every week.
Running Backs: The Thomas
Jones transition continues. Against the Saints, Jones
carried the ball 20 times for 89 yards versus only six carries
for Michael Pittman. Both are used in the passing scheme
though Pittman had seven throws last week against only three
for Jones. Last week was the first time that Jones received
the ball more than Pittman this season, and he did so by a
large margin.
Jones is showing a better element of speed but Pittman continues
a role on passing downs as the better versed blocker and passing
outlet.
Receivers: Keenan McCardell
led all receivers last week with six catches for 85 yards
and Charles Lee chipped in five catches for 52 yards.
Ken Dilger scored once with the first tight end touchdown
since week six.
Keenan McCardell now has 995 yards on the season with seven
touchdowns. His role has not changed since Keyshawn left and
the worst game he has had was in week three when he had only
41 yards with no scores. Otherwise McCardell has been a nice
surprise this season, logging three 100 yard efforts and scoring
in six different games.
Charles Lee has yet to have a game with less than
five receptions.
Match against the Defense: The
improved running game of the Bucs lately should continue with
Houston coming to town. Their last four road trips have produced
four straight 100 yard runners for the opponents and five
rushing touchdowns. This is the team that Rudi Johnson burned
for 182 yards and two scores while Fred Taylor peeled off
163 yards and a score last week before letting Toefield have
his own 54 yards and a score.
The passing game should produce at least one touchdown and
more often than not, it allows two or more on the road for
Houston. Since CB Aaron Glenn has been ruled out for Sunday's
game there is no doubt that his replacement will get to know
Keenan McCardell if only from the name on his jersey as he
runs away.
This game should shape to see good rushing by the Buccaneers
and a bit of passing because they can, not because they need
to in order to win. The Texans offense without Carr or Banks
has been very bad and is on the road again where they lost
27-0 last week.
| Team Comparisons - Current team
rankings (1-32) for FF points scored or allowed
by position |
| Rank (1-32) |
QB
|
RB
|
WR
|
TE
|
PK
|
DEF
|
| HOU Scores |
26
|
19
|
22
|
14
|
32
|
32
|
| TB Allows |
6
|
11
|
18
|
6
|
1
|
19
|
| HOU AP |
-20
|
-8
|
-4
|
-8
|
-31
|
-13
|
|
| Rank (1-32) |
QB
|
RB
|
WR
|
TE
|
PK
|
DEF
|
| TB Scores |
8
|
17
|
12
|
8
|
28
|
6
|
| HOU Allows |
12
|
21
|
27
|
5
|
22
|
21
|
| TB AP |
4
|
4
|
15
|
-3
|
-6
|
15
|
|
Offensive ranks = #1 gains most points, Defensive
ranks = #1 allows least points
AP = Advantage Points, the net difference between a positional
rank gained or allowed by the teams.
|
HOU
|
TB
|
2003 Game Averages
|
TB
|
HOU
|
|
Gains
|
Allows
|
QB's
|
Gains
|
Allows
|
|
177
|
205
|
Pass yards
|
236
|
225
|
|
1.1
|
1.1
|
Pass TDs
|
1.7
|
1.2
|
|
0.9
|
1.5
|
Interceptions
|
1.2
|
0.8
|
|
16
|
8
|
Rush yards
|
5
|
6
|
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
Rush TDs
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
|
---
|
---
|
RB's
|
---
|
---
|
|
93
|
96
|
Rush yards
|
99
|
117
|
|
0.8
|
0.5
|
Rush TDs
|
0.4
|
0.8
|
|
33
|
29
|
Receive yards
|
53
|
40
|
|
0.0
|
0.1
|
Receive TD's
|
0.2
|
0.0
|
|
---
|
---
|
WR's
|
---
|
---
|
|
114
|
148
|
Receive yards
|
157
|
159
|
|
0.8
|
0.8
|
Receive TD's
|
0.9
|
1.0
|
|
---
|
---
|
TE's
|
---
|
---
|
|
31
|
27
|
Receive yards
|
27
|
27
|
|
0.3
|
0.2
|
Receive TD's
|
0.5
|
0.2
|
|
---
|
---
|
PK's
|
---
|
---
|
|
0.8
|
1.2
|
Field Goals
|
0.8
|
1.6
|
|
2.0
|
1.8
|
Extra Points
|
2.5
|
2.4
|
|
---
|
---
|
DEF/ST
|
---
|
---
|
|
0.5
|
0.8
|
Fumbles
|
0.7
|
0.7
|
|
0.9
|
1.2
|
Interceptions
|
1.7
|
1.1
|
|
0.0
|
0.3
|
Touchdowns
|
0.3
|
0.3
|
|
1.3
|
1.7
|
Sacks
|
2.5
|
2.1
|
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
Safeties
|
0.1
|
0.2
|
|
|
Texans (5-8) |
|
Score |
Opp. |
| 21-20 |
@MIA |
| 10-31 |
@NO |
| 14-42 |
KC |
| 24-20 |
JAX |
| Week 5 |
BYE |
| 17-38 |
@TEN |
| 14-19 |
NYJ |
| 21-30 |
@IND |
| 14-10 |
CAR |
| 27-34 |
@CIN |
| 12-10 |
@BUF |
| 20-23 |
NE |
| 17-13 |
ATL |
| 0-27 |
@JAX |
| Week 15 |
@TB |
| Week 16 |
TEN |
| Week 17 |
IND |
|
|
Buccaneers (6-7) |
|
Score |
Opp. |
| 17-0 |
@PHI |
| 9-12 |
CAR |
| 31-10 |
@ATL |
| Week 4 |
BYE |
| 35-38 |
IND |
| 35-13 |
@WAS |
| 7-24 |
@SF |
| 16-0 |
DAL |
| 14-17 |
NO |
| 24-27 |
@CAR |
| 13-20 |
GB |
| 19-13 |
NYG |
| 10-17 |
@JAX |
| 14-7 |
@NO |
| Week 15 |
HOU |
| Week 16 |
ATL |
| Week 17 |
@TEN |
|
* Fantasy point rankings calculated using standard Huddle
fantasy points |