The
Huddle
WEEK 15
December 10 2003
Season Ticket
|
|
| |
|
| Jacksonville vs New England |
Sun, Dec 14; 1 PM on CBS at Gillette
Stadium |
| |
Jacksonville |
Rush
|
Catch
|
Pass
|
| QB |
Byron Leftwich |
0 |
0 |
190 |
| RB |
Fred Taylor |
70 |
10 |
0 |
| TE |
Kyle Brady |
0 |
20 |
0 |
| WR |
Jimmy Smith |
0 |
50 |
0 |
| WR |
Kevin Johnson |
0 |
30 |
0 |
| WR |
Cortex Hankton |
0 |
30 |
0 |
|
| |
New
England |
Rush
|
Catch
|
Pass
|
| QB |
Tom Brady |
0 |
0 |
210,1 |
| RB |
Kevin Faulk |
30 |
20 |
0 |
| RB |
Antowain Smith
|
30 |
10 |
0 |
| TE |
Daniel Graham |
0 |
30,1 |
0 |
| WR |
David Givens |
0 |
40 |
0 |
| WR |
Deion Branch |
0 |
60 |
0 |
| WR |
Bethel Johnson |
0 |
30 |
0 |
|
Game Prediction:
JAX 6, NE 16
This should be a near replay of the defensive battle last
week in New England with the Dolphins. It will be cold again
though without the fans needing to remove snow in order to
sit down. Jacksonville has a defense that is coming together
well in the final weeks of the season and the Patriots have
no big rusher to rely on. But at home, the Pats defense is
enough to handle Leftwich who only thinks he is getting over
his turnover problem.
Jacksonville Notes
The Jaguars rise to 4-9 on the season with their win over
the Texans.
Quarterbacks::
Byron Leftwich threw 18 of 29 for 194 yards and one
score against the Texans last week, a near replay of his first
game against them with the exception that he did now throw
an interception in their second game. Oh yes, and he won this
time. Leftwich continues to hover around 180 to 200 yards
a game lately, with normally one score a week.
Running Backs: Fred Taylor
comes off his best game of the season last week when
he ripped the Texans for 163 yards and one touchdown on 24
carries. It was his third consecutive 100 yard game and his
fifth for the season. The running was so good last week that
even Labrandon Toefield had his career best 54 yards
on ten carries and scored his first NFL touchdown.
Receivers: Kevin Johnson
started out with a nice 77 yard game three weeks ago but has
only posted 20 and 29 yard games since that introduction to
the team. Jimmy Smith led receivers last week with
58 yards and a touchdown. The coaching staff is particularly
pleased with the progress of Cortez Hankton who had
four catches for 49 yards against the Texans. Hankton is an
undrafted rookie that has quietly had catches in eight games
this year.
Match against the Defense: It
will be a tall order for Taylor to go to New England and continue
his 100 yard streak. No visiting runner in New England has
had over 71 yards on the ground and the only running back
to score there was Tiki Barber and that was on a pass, not
a run. Look for Taylor to do well enough to reach the 70 mark
where Barber and Ricky Williams maxed out.
If Leftwich wants to see bleak, consider that the Patriots
have not allowed a passing score at home since week three
and that was just one by Testaverde. The last three quarterbacks
there have topped out at 210 yards passing and in those three
games the quarterbacks had seven turnovers.
New England Notes
The Patriots rise to 11-2 and clinched a playoff berth with
the best record in the NFL of 11-2 shared with KC.
Quarterbacks::
Last week against the Dolphins was a bitterly cold, defensive
war won by the Patriots defense - not by the offense. Tom
Brady only had 163 yards passing last week but had no
turnovers, unlike his opponent. As a sign of how great the
defense for New England has been, consider that Brady has
not actually thrown a touchdown at home since week five. In
the four road games during that time, he had nine touchdowns
and never less than two scores. Odd, eh?
Evidently Brady knows he does not have to score when he is
at home because the defense takes care of the game. So far,
he has been 100% correct.
Running Backs: The bad
weather last week put cold weather specialist Antowain
Smith to work, carrying the ball 27 times for 60 yards
while Kevin Faulk only had five runs for 20 yards in the frigid
game. It was the most meaningful work for Smith this season
though he had scored twice this season.
Receivers: Even in the
bad weather and lower passing yardage, Deion Branch
continues to provide Brady with a primary passing target.
Branch had six catches for 93 yards while no other wide out
had more than two catches or 17 yards. Daniel Graham
also provided a nice big outlet with six catches for 24 yards.
Troy Brown has not played in four weeks but is reported to
be close to returning from a hamstring injury.
Match against the Defense:
The Jaguars have been death to running backs this season and
the Patriots do not really have one anyway. Look for a low
numbers game from the runners, with a mixture of Faulk and
Smith.
Brady should manage at least one score in this game since
every quarterback that hosted Jacksonville has had at least
one. The Jaguars secondary has consistently improved this
season and no team has thrown for over 234 yards against the
visiting Jags.
This game is shaping up to be yet another defensive war not
unlike last week in New England.
| Team Comparisons - Current team
rankings (1-32) for FF points scored or allowed
by position |
| Rank (1-32) |
QB
|
RB
|
WR
|
TE
|
PK
|
DEF
|
| JAX Scores |
23
|
7
|
19
|
21
|
23
|
26
|
| NE Allows |
11
|
1
|
6
|
24
|
17
|
8
|
| JAX AP |
-12
|
-6
|
-13
|
3
|
-6
|
-18
|
|
| Rank (1-32) |
QB
|
RB
|
WR
|
TE
|
PK
|
DEF
|
| NE Scores |
11
|
16
|
14
|
7
|
5
|
5
|
| JAX Allows |
10
|
2
|
14
|
18
|
18
|
14
|
| NE AP |
-1
|
-14
|
0
|
11
|
13
|
9
|
|
Offensive ranks = #1 gains most points, Defensive
ranks = #1 allows least points
AP = Advantage Points, the net difference between a positional
rank gained or allowed by the teams.
|
JAX
|
NE
|
2003 Game Averages
|
NE
|
JAX
|
|
Gains
|
Allows
|
QB's
|
Gains
|
Allows
|
|
211
|
214
|
Pass yards
|
243
|
201
|
|
1.0
|
0.8
|
Pass TDs
|
1.1
|
1.1
|
|
1.2
|
1.5
|
Interceptions
|
0.7
|
1.1
|
|
5
|
7
|
Rush yards
|
3
|
10
|
|
0.2
|
0.2
|
Rush TDs
|
0.1
|
0.1
|
|
---
|
---
|
RB's
|
---
|
---
|
|
126
|
77
|
Rush yards
|
95
|
72
|
|
0.6
|
0.3
|
Rush TDs
|
0.6
|
0.5
|
|
39
|
44
|
Receive yards
|
48
|
39
|
|
0.3
|
0.1
|
Receive TD's
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
|
---
|
---
|
WR's
|
---
|
---
|
|
145
|
132
|
Receive yards
|
146
|
123
|
|
0.5
|
0.5
|
Receive TD's
|
0.8
|
0.9
|
|
---
|
---
|
TE's
|
---
|
---
|
|
27
|
38
|
Receive yards
|
49
|
40
|
|
0.2
|
0.3
|
Receive TD's
|
0.2
|
0.2
|
|
---
|
---
|
PK's
|
---
|
---
|
|
1.3
|
1.8
|
Field Goals
|
2.0
|
1.6
|
|
1.9
|
1.4
|
Extra Points
|
2.2
|
1.9
|
|
---
|
---
|
DEF/ST
|
---
|
---
|
|
0.9
|
0.8
|
Fumbles
|
0.5
|
1.0
|
|
1.1
|
0.7
|
Interceptions
|
1.5
|
1.3
|
|
0.0
|
0.1
|
Touchdowns
|
0.5
|
0.1
|
|
1.4
|
2.2
|
Sacks
|
2.5
|
1.5
|
|
0.0
|
0.1
|
Safeties
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
|
|
Jaguars (4-9) |
|
Score |
Opp. |
| 23-24 |
@CAR |
| 17-38 |
BUF |
| 13-23 |
@IND |
| 20-24 |
@HOU |
| 27-21 |
SD |
| 10-24 |
MIA |
| Week 7 |
BYE |
| 17-30 |
TEN |
| 17-24 |
@BAL |
| 28-23 |
IND |
| 3-10 |
@TEN |
| 10-13 |
@NYJ |
| 17-10 |
TB |
| 27-0 |
HOU |
| Week 15 |
@NE |
| Week 16 |
NO |
| Week 17 |
@ATL |
|
|
Patriots (11-2) |
| Score |
Opp. |
| 0-31 |
@BUF |
| 31-10 |
@PHI |
| 23-16 |
NYJ |
| 17-20 |
@WAS |
| 38-30 |
TEN |
| 17-6 |
NYG |
| 19-13 |
@MIA |
| 9-3 |
CLE |
| 30-26 |
@DEN |
| Week 10 |
BYE |
| 12-0 |
DAL |
| 23-20 |
@HOU |
| 38-34 |
@IND |
| 12-0 |
MIA |
| Week 15 |
JAX |
| Week 16 |
@NYJ |
| Week 17 |
BUF |
|
* Fantasy point rankings calculated using standard Huddle
fantasy points |