The
Huddle
WEEK 15
December 10 2003
Season Ticket
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| |
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| Pittsburgh vs NY Jets |
Sun, Dec 14; 1 PM on CBS at Giants
Stadium |
| |
Pittsburgh |
Rush
|
Catch
|
Pass |
| QB |
Tommy Maddox
|
0 |
0 |
200,1 |
| RB |
Amos Zereoue |
20 |
10 |
0 |
| RB |
Jerome Bettis |
90,1 |
10 |
0 |
| TE |
Jay Riemersma |
0 |
20 |
0 |
| WR |
Hines Ward |
0 |
80,1 |
0 |
| WR |
Antwaan Randle El |
0 |
30 |
0 |
| WR |
Plaxico Burress |
0 |
50 |
0 |
|
| |
New
York Jets |
Rush
|
Catch
|
Pass |
| QB |
Chad Pennington |
0 |
0 |
240,2 |
| RB |
Curtis Martin |
60 |
10 |
0 |
| TE |
Anthony Becht |
0 |
20,1 |
0 |
| WR |
Reggie Swayne |
0 |
30 |
0 |
| WR |
Curtis Conway |
0 |
50 |
0 |
| WR |
Santana Moss |
0 |
100,1 |
0 |
|
Game Prediction:
PIT 17, NYJ 19
This game is a coin flip. The Jets are able to put together
nice games at times - they did beat the Titans two weeks ago.
Back at home, they are 3-3 this season but defeated JAX and
TEN in the last two homestands. The Steelers are only 2-4
on the road and the game should shape up to see if Bettis
can run better than Pennington can throw.
Have to favor the young quarterback more than the old running
back at home.
Pittsburgh Notes
The Steelers rise to 5-8 with hopes for a .500 season not
yet dashed.
Quarterbacks::
Tommy Maddox extended his streak of games with a touchdown
to seven but has failed to have more than one in the past
four weeks. Maddox ended with 19 of 38 for 266 yards against
Oakland with one interception but since the Steelers led handily
in the second half, he could have thrown for more.
Maddox now hits the road again where he last had only 73
yards passing in the win over Cleveland and he had 327 in
the previous road game in San Francisco. The relative success
of the rushing game has caused poor numbers from Maddox in
games he did not need to throw to win but in the two worst
pasting for Pittsburgh (TEN and SF), Maddox threw for over
300 yards.
Running Backs: Jerome Bettis
may not be back next season, but he is trying to go out with
a bang. Bettis had his first 100 yard game of the season last
week against the Raiders, ending with 106 on 27 carries with
one touchdown. He has had at least 20 carries in each of the
last three games and the Steelers are willing to ride the
Bus as long as he can still run. He still has yet to crack
four yards a carry in any game this season.
Receivers: Last week
was a special treat - Burress caught his second touchdown
of the year. Granted, he only had 38 yards on three catches
but even Hines Ward only managed 67 yards on 4 receptions.
In a game that Pittsburgh controlled, Maddox was able to spread
the ball around more than usual last week.
All these handoffs to Bettis lately has almost killed the
one consistent fantasy player from the Steelers receiving
group - Hines Ward. In the last four games, he had
a monster one in week 13 against the Bengals but in the other
three (OAK, CLE, SF) he never had more than four catches or
67 yards.
Ward only has two touchdowns on the road this season and
none in the last two away games.
Match against the Defense: The
Steelers will want to establish Bettis and get those last
few miles on his odometer before the season is over. The Jets
have consistently had one of the worst rushing defenses this
season and without DE John Abraham yet again this week there
is little reason to expect that to change.
The Jets have allowed 13 rushing touchdowns this season and
seven different runners to top 100 yards on the ground. Bettis
may need a lot of carries but the Steelers seem content to
give him just that.
Leftwich is the only visitor to New York who left without
a passing score though the Jets have allowed more than one
only once this year. Since most teams rush well against New
York, passing numbers become artificially deflated. Most opponents
hover around 180 yards though Manning (401) and Collins (303)
proved more was there for the taking.
Look for average passing numbers from Maddox unless Jets
force the Steelers into throwing. There has been no real trend
as to which receiver is most likely to catch a touchdown.
Consider Ward due since Burress just had one but none of the
receivers is really any more likely to score.
NY Jets Notes
The Jets fall to 5-8 with their loss to the Bills.
Quarterbacks::
Chad Pennington comes off the worst start of this season
when he only completed 15 of 29 passes for 155 yards and one
interception. He broke his perfect string of five scoring
games in a row and was battered in the process by effective
blitzing by Buffalo. Pennington was sacked five times last
week.
Running Backs: Curtis Martin
gained 84 yards on 25 carries against the Bills. He still
only has one touchdown this season and though he has received
over 20 carries a game in the past three weeks, he has yet
to exceed the 84 yards of last week. He has not gone over
3.4 yards per carry either.
Lamont Jordan no longer takes any carries from Martin,
but part of that is a function of the fact that the Jets are
not getting close to the goal line very often.
Receivers: The lower
passing totals of last week hit all receivers in the box score
stats and Santana Moss led receivers with five catches
for 61 yards. Moss is now two games away from his incredible
seven straight weeks with a touchdown. Curtis Conway
had three catches for 51 yards last week which has been about
his average the past month.
Jonathan Carter did not have a catch last week and
Kevin Swayne could take over as the No. 3 receiver and kickoff
returner for the rest of the season due to Carter's knee injury.
Match against the Defense: The
Steelers are very tough against the run and Martin is already
a step slower than his prime so expect moderate rushing numbers
from him.
One of the biggest advantages in this game should be Pennington
versus the Pittsburgh secondary. Recent games have seen Rattay
(254, 2 TDs), Blake (307, 2 TDs) and Bulger (375, 1 TD) do
quite well when the rushing game was not working well. Two
weeks ago, Jon Kitna (271, 3 TDs) destroyed the Steelers in
Pittsburgh.
Pennington has a good shot at two touchdowns passing which
the Steelers have allowed six times this season. In the favor
of Santana Moss, the most common scorer has been the favored
target of the quarterback - Holt, Jackson, Owens, Chad Johnson
and so on.
| Team Comparisons - Current team
rankings (1-32) for FF points scored or allowed
by position |
| Rank (1-32) |
QB
|
RB
|
WR
|
TE
|
PK
|
DEF
|
| PIT Scores |
24
|
25
|
9
|
31
|
19
|
20
|
| NYJ Allows |
4
|
29
|
12
|
8
|
8
|
6
|
| PIT AP |
-20
|
4
|
3
|
-23
|
-11
|
-14
|
|
| Rank (1-32) |
QB
|
RB
|
WR
|
TE
|
PK
|
DEF
|
| NYJ Scores |
10
|
21
|
7
|
25
|
14
|
27
|
| PIT Allows |
22
|
3
|
28
|
25
|
20
|
17
|
| NYJ AP |
12
|
-18
|
21
|
0
|
6
|
-10
|
|
Offensive ranks = #1 gains most points, Defensive
ranks = #1 allows least points
AP = Advantage Points, the net difference between a positional
rank gained or allowed by the teams.
|
PIT
|
NYJ
|
2003 Game Averages
|
NYJ
|
PIT
|
|
Gains
|
Allows
|
QB's
|
Gains
|
Allows
|
|
224
|
207
|
Pass yards
|
223
|
220
|
|
1.0
|
0.8
|
Pass TDs
|
1.6
|
1.5
|
|
1.0
|
0.7
|
Interceptions
|
0.7
|
0.7
|
|
2
|
3
|
Rush yards
|
3
|
9
|
|
0.0
|
0.1
|
Rush TDs
|
0.0
|
0.1
|
|
---
|
---
|
RB's
|
---
|
---
|
|
81
|
138
|
Rush yards
|
97
|
85
|
|
0.7
|
1.1
|
Rush TDs
|
0.4
|
0.5
|
|
34
|
36
|
Receive yards
|
48
|
26
|
|
0.0
|
0.1
|
Receive TD's
|
0.1
|
0.1
|
|
---
|
---
|
WR's
|
---
|
---
|
|
173
|
132
|
Receive yards
|
151
|
156
|
|
0.9
|
0.7
|
Receive TD's
|
1.4
|
1.2
|
|
---
|
---
|
TE's
|
---
|
---
|
|
17
|
39
|
Receive yards
|
24
|
38
|
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
Receive TD's
|
0.2
|
0.3
|
|
---
|
---
|
PK's
|
---
|
---
|
|
1.5
|
1.2
|
Field Goals
|
1.5
|
1.5
|
|
1.9
|
2.3
|
Extra Points
|
2.3
|
2.3
|
|
---
|
---
|
DEF/ST
|
---
|
---
|
|
0.6
|
0.5
|
Fumbles
|
0.6
|
0.5
|
|
0.7
|
0.6
|
Interceptions
|
0.7
|
1.1
|
|
0.1
|
0.2
|
Touchdowns
|
0.0
|
0.2
|
|
2.5
|
2.4
|
Sacks
|
2.6
|
2.6
|
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
Safeties
|
0.0
|
0.1
|
|
|
Steelers (4-9) |
|
Score |
Opp. |
| 34-15 |
BAL |
| 20-41 |
@KC |
| 17-10 |
@CIN |
| 13-30 |
TEN |
| 13-33 |
CLE |
| 14-17 |
@DEN |
| Week 7 |
BYE |
| 21-33 |
STL |
| 16-23 |
@SEA |
| 28-15 |
ARZ |
| 14-30 |
@SF |
| 13-6 |
@CLE |
| 20-24 |
CIN |
| 27-7 |
OAK |
| Week 15 |
@NYJ |
| Week 16 |
SD |
| Week 17 |
@BAL |
|
|
Jets (5-8) |
|
Score |
Opp. |
| 13-16 |
@WAS |
| 10-21 |
MIA |
| 16-23 |
@NE |
| 6-17 |
DAL |
| Week 5 |
BYE |
| 30-3 |
BUF |
| 19-14 |
@HOU |
| 17-24 |
@PHI |
| 28-31 |
NYG |
| 27-24 |
@OAK |
| 31-38 |
@IND |
| 13-10 |
JAX |
| 24-17 |
TEN |
| 6-17 |
@BUF |
| Week 15 |
PIT |
| Week 16 |
NE |
| Week 17 |
@MIA |
|
* Fantasy point rankings calculated using standard Huddle
fantasy points |