VOTED #1 FANTASY FOOTBALL SITE
1998, 1999, 2000, 2001 & 2002
PRIORITY NEWS   MESSAGE BOARDS JOIN   
HOME ARTICLES STATISTICS WEEKLY FEATURES TEAM LINKS NFL RESOURCES  
Predictions & Projections
By David M. Dorey
 
The Huddle
WEEK 15
December 10 2003
Season Ticket
Sun 1 PM Sun 1 PM Sun 1 PM Sun 4 PM Sun 8:30 PM
ATL at IND HOU at TB SF at CIN CLE at DEN NYG at NO
BUF at TEN JAX at NE SEA at STL CAR at ARZ Mon 9 PM
DAL at WAS MIN at CHI Sun 4 PM GB at SD PHI at MIA
DET at KC PIT at NYJ BAL at OAK *updated Times EST
   
Seattle vs St. Louis Sun, Dec 14; 1 PM on FOX at Edward Jones Dome
  Seattle Rush Catch Pass
QB Matt Hasselbeck 0 0 260,2
RB Shaun Alexander 60,1 10 0
TE Itula Mili 0 30 0
WR Darrell Jackson 0 80,1 0
WR Bobby Engram 0 40 0
WR Koren Robinson 0 80,1 0
  St. Louis Rush Catch Pass
QB Marc Bulger 0 0 270,2
RB Marshall Faulk 100,1 20 0
TE B. Manumaleuna 0 30 0
WR Isaac Bruce 0 50,1 0
WR Torry Holt 0 90,1 0
WR Dane Looker 0 40 0

Game Prediction: SEA 24, STL 33

This has the potential to be a big point game by two teams that can produce big stats. But the greatest key to this game lies in the standings. The Rams are 6-0 at home and the Seahawks are only 1-6 on the road. Seattle will be playing catch-up for most of the game and should produce some nice fantasy points in the process.

Seattle Notes

The Seahawks fall to 8-5 with their loss to the Vikings last week. They are two games behind the Rams in the NFC West.

Quarterbacks:: After scoring eight touchdowns and gaining 661 passing yards in just the two previous games, Matt Hasselbeck threw in his worst fantasy outing of the season right when the Seahawks needed it the most. Against the Vikings, Hasselbeck completed only 17 of 34 passes for 218 yards, no touchdowns and two interceptions. And this against one of the worst ranked defenses in the league.

There is a chance he was looking beyond last week to this game but unfortunately for him, the Vikings were well prepared. When Hasselbeck faced the Rams back in week three, he threw for 256 yards and two touchdowns. He had 303 yards and one score last season and has always played well against St. Louis though this will be his first start as a visitor against the Rams.

Running Backs: Shaun Alexander scored once last week to save the shutout but only tallied 56 yards on 14 carries since the Vikings grabbed the big lead early and forced Hasselbeck to throw which he magically could no longer do.

Alexander rushed for a similar 58 yards on 14 carries in his last meeting with the Rams. Last season he had only 30 yards on 14 carries in St. Louis, and 79 yards on 26 carries when the Rams came to Seattle in 2002. He scored once in that game but has not historically had big games against St. Louis.

Receivers: Bobby Engram had his biggest yardage game of the year in Minnesota, gaining 93 on four catches while Darrell Jackson caught five passes for 76 yards. Koren Robinson only managed 32 yards on four receptions after having had 122 yards the previous week. Robinson was still the most common target last week with ten throws but both interceptions came on passes to him.

Back in week three, both Robinson (7-95) and Jackson (2-50) had receiving touchdowns against the Rams. Robinson actually had one of his better games in St. Louis last year when he caught 166 yards on only three catches and scored once. That was his breakout game last season.

Match against the Defense: As noted, Alexander has never had big games against the Rams and his best performances this season have come in Seattle. Figure him in for his norm against the Rams, about 50 or 60 yards rushing with a chance for a short touchdown run.

Hasselbeck has had good outings against the Rams but has never actually played in St. Louis. His previous success should play over here but the Rams have allowed as many as 330 yards (Culpepper) to as little as 135 yards (ARZ) to visiting quarterbacks this season.

Since the rushing game is less likely to be a benefit to Seattle, Hasselbeck will need to throw the ball and could easily have two scores against the Rams as he already has this season. So have five other quarterbacks. Robinson has a good shot at a passing score since he already has done that this year as has Jackson.

This is a big game for both teams and even more for Seattle in their quest for at least a wildcard this season.

St. Louis Notes

The Rams rise to 10-3 and are tied with the Eagles for the best record in the NFC.

Quarterbacks:: Marc Bulger turned in a moderate 223 yard, one touchdown game against the Browns last week with one interception in order to extend his turnover string to six straight games. Back in week three against the Seahawks, Bulger only had 226 yards and one touchdown though he did run in the rare score as well. At home against the Seahawks last season, he had 265 yards and one score.

Running Backs: Marshall Faulk topped 100 yards for the fourth straight game even though he has stayed between 100 and 108 yards in all four games. Must be related to an incentive clause. He only managed 31 yards on 15 carries in the last meeting with the Seahawks, but he racked up 183 yards and four touchdowns against them in St. Louis last season. That was his best game of the 2002 season.

Receivers: Much to the horror of fantasy owners, Tory Holt turned in his worst game of the year last week when he only gained 31 yards on four catches with no touchdowns. Isaac Bruce had the identical 31 yards but caught the only scoring pass in the game. Back in week three against the Seahawks, Bruce had five catches for 69 yards and also the only scoring pass while Tory Holt turned in 68 yards on five catches. Last season in St. Louis, Holt and Bruce only had about 70 yards apiece and never scored since Faulk ran wild that day against Seattle.

Match against the Defense: Bulger has his biggest yardage games on the road - Four of his five 300 yards games happened away from home and only against the Falcons did he eclipse that mark. In the reverse of that trend, Bulger had four of his five multiple touchdown games while at home.

The Seahawks have allowed five of the past seven quarterbacks to throw at least two scores and Bulger should fit in well with the last two Seattle road games - Culpepper (274 yard, 3 TDs) and Anthony Wright (319 yards, 4 TDs). Bulger should have a good game here if he gets beyond his trend of lower yards at home. He should throw at least two scores.

Virtually all passing scores against the Seahawks go to the #1 or #2 receivers.

Faulk has always ran well at home against Seattle but this time around he is not producing the monster games of the past - still good to be sure - but not the obscene yardage he once gained. Since his best game this season was 108 yards, look for that to be the upper end of what he can get and only then if the Rams take a significant early lead they want to protect with running the ball.

Team Comparisons - Current team rankings (1-32) for FF points scored or allowed by position
Rank (1-32)
QB
RB
WR
TE
PK
DEF
SEA Scores
6
14
5
13
9
18
STL Allows
15
10
21
9
2
32
SEA AP
9
-4
16
-4
-7
-14
Rank (1-32)
QB
RB
WR
TE
PK
DEF
STL Scores
4
20
1
28
1
1
SEA Allows
27
14
31
2
30
30
STL AP
23
-6
30
-26
29
29
Offensive ranks = #1 gains most points, Defensive ranks = #1 allows least points
AP = Advantage Points, the net difference between a positional rank gained or allowed by the teams.
SEA
STL
2003 Game Averages
STL
SEA
Gains
Allows
QB's
Gains
Allows
254
203
Pass yards
270
228
1.6
1.5
Pass TDs
1.4
1.6
1.1
1.7
Interceptions
1.7
0.8
11
14
Rush yards
7
7
0.1
0.0
Rush TDs
0.4
0.2
---
---
RB's
---
---
109
95
Rush yards
90
104
0.8
0.5
Rush TDs
1.0
0.5
33
30
Receive yards
24
29
0.1
0.2
Receive TD's
0.0
0.2
---
---
WR's
---
---
194
141
Receive yards
220
175
1.2
1.1
Receive TD's
1.3
1.5
---
---
TE's
---
---
27
32
Receive yards
26
23
0.4
0.2
Receive TD's
0.1
0.0
---
---
PK's
---
---
1.5
1.0
Field Goals
2.5
1.7
3.0
2.5
Extra Points
3.2
2.6
---
---
DEF/ST
---
---
0.5
0.6
Fumbles
1.4
0.9
0.8
1.7
Interceptions
1.7
1.0
0.2
0.5
Touchdowns
0.5
0.3
2.3
2.4
Sacks
2.9
3.1
0.0
0.0
Safeties
0.1
0.0
Seahawks (8-5)
Score Opp.
27-10 NO
38-0 @ARZ
24-23 STL
Week 4 BYE
13-35 @GB
20-19 SF
24-17 CHI
24-27 @CIN
23-16 PIT
20-27 @WAS
35-14 DET
41-44 @BAL
34-7 CLE
7-34 @MIN
Week 15 @STL
Week 16 ARZ
Week 17 @SF
Rams (10-3)
Score Opp.
13-23 @NYG
27-24 SF
23-24 @SEA
37-13 ARZ
Week 5 BYE
36-0 ATL
34-24 GB
33-21 @PIT
10-30 @SF
33-22 BAL
23-21 @CHI
30-27 @ARZ
48-17 MIN
26-20 @CLE
Week 15 SEA
Week 16 CIN
Week 17 @DET

* Fantasy point rankings calculated using standard Huddle fantasy points