The
Huddle
WEEK 15
December 10 2003
Season Ticket
|
|
| |
|
| San Francisco vs Cincinnati |
Sun, Dec 14; 1 PM on FOX at Paul
Brown Stadium |
| |
San
Francisco |
Rush
|
Catch
|
Pass |
| QB |
Jeff Garcia |
20,1 |
0 |
190,1 |
| RB |
Garrison Hearst
|
Q |
Q |
Q |
| RB |
Kevan Barlow
|
60 |
10 |
0 |
| TE |
Jed Weaver |
0 |
30 |
0 |
| WR |
Terrell Owens
|
0 |
60,1 |
0 |
| WR |
Tai Streets |
0 |
20 |
0 |
| WR |
Cedrick Wilson
|
0 |
20 |
0 |
|
| |
Cincinnati |
Rush
|
Catch
|
Pass
|
| QB |
Jon Kitna |
0 |
0 |
240,2 |
| RB |
Corey
Dillon |
70,1 |
0 |
0 |
| TE |
Stewart/Schobel |
0 |
30 |
0 |
| WR |
Peter Warrick
|
0 |
70,1 |
0 |
| WR |
Kelly Washington
|
0 |
40 |
0 |
| WR |
Chad Johnson
|
0 |
80,1 |
0 |
|
Game Prediction:
SF 14, CIN 24
The old question arises - which 49ers show up? The ones that
have been on the road this season have yet to win a game nor
score more than 13 points in their last three trips outside
San Francisco. Take last week as an indictment of the Cardinals,
not a sudden rejuvenation of the 49ers.
The Bengals have won their last four games at home which
includes KC, HOU, SEA and BAL. No reason why that should not
continue.
San Francisco Notes
The 49ers rise to 6-7 with their stomp over the Cardinals.
Quarterbacks::
Jeff Garcia turned in the best game of his career last
week by throwing four touchdowns, three of which came in the
second quarter. He had 252 yards passing and one shudders
to think what he would have had if football fields were 1000
yards long. He added two rushing touchdowns as well and eventually
gave way to Tim "who?" Rattay. This comes on the
heels of his 112 yard, four interception game against the
Ravens and provides the illustration of what the 49ers have
been this season - great at home, terrible on the road.
Running Backs: With Garrison
Hearst out for the week, Kevan Barlow could not have
hoped for a better showcase than what the visiting Cardinals
provided. Barlow gained 154 yards on 18 carries and scored
once. Until more info is available, I will assume Hearst is
out again this week but will update as warranted.
Receivers: The blowout
was statistically kind to all 49ers involved. Terrell Owens
had two scores and 92 yards while both Cedric Wilson
and Tai Streets also had touchdowns. Jed Weaver had
four catches for 76 yards - about his norm for each four games
combined.
Match against the Defense: The
Bengals have allowed at least one passing score to each of
the last 11 opponents and two or more to seven different teams
this season. Garcia has the opportunity if he can get beyond
the road curse. The Bengals have allowed four 300 yard games
this season.
While Cincinnati has been much tougher against the rush at
home. Portis has been tops with 120 yards but only Domanick
Davis and Jamal Lewis has been able to crest the 100 yard
mark. Most backs settle around 60 -80 yards on the ground
and there have only been four runners to score against the
Bengals in Cincinnati.
The question here is if the 49ers continue their inexplicable
metamorphosis into an inept set of bumblers on the road. Garcia
has not thrown a touchdown in the past four road games though
he rushed in one score on two occasions. In his last four
road games he has never thrown for more than 168 yards. Garcia
has not shown the ability - on the road - to take advantage
of a softer secondary.
Cincinnati Notes
The Bengals fall to 7-6 with their loss in Baltimore. They
are now one game behind the Ravens in the AFC North.
Quarterbacks::
After throwing nine touchdowns in the past three games, Jon
Kitna was held to only 214 yards and one score against
the Ravens and threw two interceptions when he was not busy
losing two fumbles. It allowed Kitna to extend his streak
of games with a touchdown to eight though he had never had
four turnovers in any game this season.
Running Backs: Back to
the Bengals of last season - Corey Dillon only had
45 yards on 11 carries with no catches and Rudi Johnson never
touched the ball. Other than one game against the Chargers,
Dillon has not exceeded even 50 yards rushing since week two
of this year.
Receivers: Chad Johnson
got a healthy, and some would say much needed, does of humility
last week when he only caught two passes for 15 yards. His
previous worst had only been 67 yards and he had two touchdowns
that week. Peter Warrick became the only open target
last week, catching 11 passes for 90 yards and the lone passing
score.
Match against the Defense:
Back to the oddity of the 49ers - their defense also falls
apart on the road as well.
There is no reason why Kitna should not throw at least one
touchdown and the 49ers have allowed two scores in each of
the past three games. The only time that SF has not allowed
good yardage passing on the road is when they are allowing
big rushing yardage. Both Shipp and Ahman Green ran for over
150 yards when San Francisco came to town though most stay
closer to 70 yards. In five of six games, SF has allowed a
rushing score though never two.
Chad Johnson should have a decent rebound game from last
week and Peter Warrick gets the most favorable matchup where
the 49ers have given up a touchdown in each of the past three
games.
| Team Comparisons - Current team
rankings (1-32) for FF points scored or allowed
by position |
| Rank (1-32) |
QB
|
RB
|
WR
|
TE
|
PK
|
DEF
|
| SF Scores |
7
|
18
|
10
|
27
|
16
|
13
|
| CIN Allows |
26
|
23
|
30
|
30
|
19
|
3
|
| SF AP |
19
|
5
|
20
|
3
|
3
|
-10
|
|
| Rank (1-32) |
QB
|
RB
|
WR
|
TE
|
PK
|
DEF
|
| CIN Scores |
9
|
31
|
6
|
12
|
20
|
21
|
| SF Allows |
25
|
8
|
29
|
11
|
3
|
5
|
| CIN AP |
16
|
-23
|
23
|
-1
|
-17
|
-16
|
|
Offensive ranks = #1 gains most points, Defensive
ranks = #1 allows least points
AP = Advantage Points, the net difference between a positional
rank gained or allowed by the teams.
|
SF
|
CIN
|
2003 Game Averages
|
CIN
|
SF
|
|
Gains
|
Allows
|
QB's
|
Gains
|
Allows
|
|
207
|
245
|
Pass yards
|
208
|
224
|
|
1.4
|
1.7
|
Pass TDs
|
1.8
|
1.5
|
|
1.1
|
0.9
|
Interceptions
|
0.5
|
1.5
|
|
17
|
6
|
Rush yards
|
7
|
10
|
|
0.5
|
0.0
|
Rush TDs
|
0.0
|
0.1
|
|
---
|
---
|
RB's
|
---
|
---
|
|
119
|
110
|
Rush yards
|
86
|
91
|
|
0.4
|
0.8
|
Rush TDs
|
0.3
|
0.5
|
|
36
|
35
|
Receive yards
|
22
|
34
|
|
0.1
|
0.3
|
Receive TD's
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
|
---
|
---
|
WR's
|
---
|
---
|
|
145
|
171
|
Receive yards
|
153
|
162
|
|
1.2
|
1.0
|
Receive TD's
|
1.5
|
1.1
|
|
---
|
---
|
TE's
|
---
|
---
|
|
26
|
39
|
Receive yards
|
34
|
27
|
|
0.1
|
0.5
|
Receive TD's
|
0.3
|
0.3
|
|
---
|
---
|
PK's
|
---
|
---
|
|
1.4
|
1.5
|
Field Goals
|
1.3
|
1.1
|
|
2.4
|
2.5
|
Extra Points
|
2.3
|
2.3
|
|
---
|
---
|
DEF/ST
|
---
|
---
|
|
0.5
|
0.5
|
Fumbles
|
0.6
|
0.4
|
|
1.5
|
0.6
|
Interceptions
|
0.8
|
1.2
|
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
Touchdowns
|
0.1
|
0.1
|
|
2.2
|
2.1
|
Sacks
|
2.3
|
1.8
|
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
Safeties
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
|
|
49ers (6-7) |
|
Score |
Opp. |
| 49-7 |
CHI |
| 24-27 |
@STL |
| 12-13 |
CLE |
| 7-35 |
@MIN |
| 24-17 |
DET |
| 19-20 |
@SEA |
| 24-7 |
TB |
| 13-16 |
@ARZ |
| 30-10 |
STL |
| Week 10 |
BYE |
| 30-14 |
PIT |
| 10-20 |
@GB |
| 6-44 |
@BAL |
| 50-14 |
ARZ |
| Week 15 |
@CIN |
| Week 16 |
@PHI |
| Week 17 |
SEA |
|
|
Bengals (6-7) |
|
Score |
Opp. |
| 10-30 |
DEN |
| 20-23 |
@OAK |
| 10-17 |
PIT |
| 21-14 |
@CLE |
| 16-22 |
@BUF |
| Week 6 |
BYE |
| 34-26 |
BAL |
| 27-24 |
SEA |
| 14-17 |
@ARZ |
| 34-27 |
HOU |
| 24-19 |
KC |
| 34-27 |
@SD |
| 24-20 |
@PIT |
| 13-31 |
@BAL |
| Week 15 |
SF |
| Week 16 |
@STL |
| Week 17 |
CLE |
|
* Fantasy point rankings calculated using standard Huddle
fantasy points |