| Tampa Bay vs. Atlanta |
|
Tampa Bay Offense
Sacked/G=1.50
Rush TDs/G=.36
Rush Avg.=3.9
|
Atlanta Defense
Sacks/G=2.50
Rush TDs Against/G=1.43
Rush Avg. Against=4.6
|
|
Tampa Bay Defense
Sacks/G=2.57
Rush TDs Against/G=.43
Rush Avg. Against=4.0
|
Atlanta Offense
Sacked/G=2.43
Rush TDs/G=1.14
Rush Avg.=4.6
|
When the Buccaneers have the ball - The Bucs produced
just enough offense to pull off the win against the hapless
Texans. The offensive line spearheaded a 398-yard output
on offense while keeping QB Brad Johnson clean. A holding
call against G Cosey Coleman negated a 50-yard Michael
Pittman catch-and-run, but the Bucs stayed away from penalties
most of the day.
Tampa Bay had trouble finishing drives despite moving
the ball well. Five forays deep into Texans' territory
resulted in only one touchdown, three field goals and a
missed field goal. The Bucs converted only four of 14 third
downs for the game.
RB Thomas Jones was even better in his second start of
the season, carrying 34 times for 134 yards. With little
margin for error in order to keep their slim playoff hopes
alive, Tampa Bay will keep the ball on the ground as much
as possible against the Falcons' generous run defense - although
throwing against Atlanta's secondary isn't the most daunting
task. The Falcons are ranked 30th in the league
against the run, and last week allowed the Colts 110 yards
on 18 carries - in the first half.
This should be a big game for Jones as the Bucs come out
swinging at home against a struggling, near-weaponless
squad that barely has a head coach. Tampa Bay will welcome
the return of T Kenyatta Walker, who missed Sunday's game
due to an infection in his elbow.
When the Falcons have the ball - Through one half
of play, the Falcons gained zero yards or fewer on four
of eight drives. Their best effort in that span was a six-play,
21-yard drive that ended with a punt. By the time Atlanta
sustained its offense for more than six plays on any given
drive, the final score (38-7) had already been established.
The Falcons' offensive line was beaten and battered throughout
the game, allowing four sacks on QB Michael Vick, including
one that resulted in a fumble, and helping Atlanta to a
1-of-11 mark on third-down conversions. Vick, who completed
only 6-of-19 passes with an interception, posed nowhere
near the threat running the ball as he did a week earlier.
T.J. Duckett was productive with 74 yards and a TD on 18
carries, but given a pass-first game plan early, it was
too little, too late for the Falcons on the ground.
LG Roberto Garza tore the ACL in his right knee and is
done for the season. Garza becomes the third starting OL
for the Falcons to go on the IR this year. Martin Bibla
will start in his place.
It's out of the frying pan, into the fire for the Falcons
as they visit another team fighting for its playoff life.
The Buccaneers seem to have cured what ailed its run defense
for most of the year, following its Week 14 stifling of
the Saints with another stingy performance against the
Texans (65 yards rushing, 42 passing). The Bucs also kept
rookie QB Dave Ragone on the run and sacked him five times
to make it 12 sacks in two games.
Atlanta's best hope may once again rest on Vick's ability
to run the ball effectively. He'll most likely face heavy
pressure throughout the game and will be forced to take
off on his own on a few of those occasions. If the Bucs' run
defense is truly back in form, it will be a long day for
the Falcons.
DT Warren Sapp (foot) is expected back in the lineup,
although the Bucs will miss DE Ellis Wyms (knee), who was
placed on injured reserve on Monday.
| Minnesota vs. Kansas
City |
|
Minnesota Offense
Sacked/G=2.86
Rush TDs/G=.79
Rush Avg.=4.7
|
Kansas City Defense
Sacks/G=2.14
Rush TDs Against/G=1.07
Rush Avg. Against=5.2
|
|
Minnesota Defense
Sacks/G=2.07
Rush TDs Against/G=1.36
Rush Avg. Against=5.0
|
Kansas City Offense
Sacked/G=1.43
Rush TDs/G=1.86
Rush Avg.=4.5
|
When the Vikings have the ball - A frustrating
day for the Vikings in which they out-rushed the Bears
178 yards to 87 and held the ball for 37 minutes, 15 seconds,
yet still lost. Minnesota reached Chicago territory three
times in the first half and could muster only three points
on those drives.
Rookie RB Onterrio Smith rushed for 148 yard on 25 carries
in place of injured Michael Bennett (ankle). With nasty
weather expected for the game, the Vikings featured a ground-first
attack, running 38 times against only 24 passes. This included
runs on eight of their first 11 plays form scrimmage.
Bennett should return against the Chiefs, but the Vikings
would probably be able to run the ball effectively without
him against a K.C. defense that just made RB Shawn Bryson
look good.. The Chiefs' did allow the lowest total yards
(334), rushing yards (137) and points (17) by an opponent
since Nov. 10. A good effort, but not enough to help Kansas
City escape its No. 28 ranking in team defense.
When the Chiefs have the ball - Another exquisite
performance from QB Trent Green and more dominance along
the offensive line helped the Chiefs to 521 yards of total
offense. Kansas City didn't turn the ball over for the
fourth time in five games.
RB Priest Holmes gained 136 total yards on 16 carries
and five safety-valve receptions. Backfield-mate Derrick
Blaylock added 113 total yards on seven touches (5 catches,
2 runs).
For once, the Vikings' defense wasn't its Achilles' heel,
although the defensive line put little pressure on rookie
QB Rex Grossman. Minnesota allowed only 232 net yards to
the Bears - it's second-best effort this season - and held
Chicago to only 87 yards rushing.
The Vikings' defense will need to play even better against
a playoff offense this Sunday if they hope to see the playoffs
themselves. Green hasn't hit so much as a speed bump the
past few weeks and there's little to indicate Minnesota
will be the team to slow him down. Stopping Holmes may
be the Vikings' only chance of winning unless they're busy
piling up points themselves.
| Chicago vs. Washington |
|
Chicago Offense
Sacked/G=2.64
Rush TDs/G=.86
Rush Avg.=3.9
|
Washington Defense
Sacks/G=1.79
Rush TDs Against/G=1.29
Rush Avg. Against=4.4
|
|
Chicago Defense
Sacks/G=1.14
Rush TDs Against/G=.71
Rush Avg. Against=4.4
|
Washington Offense
Sacked/G=2.64
Rush TDs/G=.50
Rush Avg.=4.0
|
When the Bears have the ball - An improved performance
from the Bears' patchwork offensive line was good enough
to protect rookie QB Rex Grossman (one sack), but not enough
to kick Chicago's running game into gear. RB Anthony Thomas
gained 79 yards rushing on 19 carries, but his 23-yard
run near the end of the game inflated these totals.
LT Terrence Metcalf, in his second career start, and RG
Qasim Mitchell, making his first career start, and played
well in place of injured regulars Mike Gandy (shoulder)
and Chris Villarrial (torn oblique), respectively.
Grossman, given a fair amount of time in the pocket in
his first pro start, completed 13 of 30 passes for 157
yards. More importantly, he avoided mistakes as the Bears
attempted 30 passes against only 23 runs.
Washington allowed 222 yards rushing to the Cowboys, which
is really nothing new. The 'Skins have surrendered 200
yards rushing in six of the past seven games against Dallas.
RB Troy Hambrick, who has struggled much of the year, had
a career-high 189 yards on 33 carries. Hambrick did most
of his damage against a weak Washington interior. Pressure
on QB Quincy Carter was solid (3 sacks), but the Cowboys' bread-and-butter
was its rushing attack.
Chicago will most likely take a page out of the Cowboys' book
and run the ball early and, hopefully, often. The Bears
know this is the best way to beat the 'Skins and would
prefer not to risk a Grossman implosion in only the young
QB's second career start.
When the Redskins have the ball - It was the kind
of memorable day you don't want to have for QB Tim
Hasselbeck, who connected on only 6 of 26 passes for 56
yards on his way to a nice even passer rating of 0.0. Nasty
weather was a factor, but then, it's only precipitation.
Washington's best drive of the day extended only to Dallas' 27-yard
line, and the Redskins gained only two first downs in the
second half. RB Rock Cartwright rushed 21 times for 94
yards, but his efforts couldn't help the 'Skins control
the clock for more than 23 minutes.
It was bend-but-don't-break defense for the Bears, who
allowed 393 total yards to the Vikings but came up big
deep in their own territory. Minnesota's longest drives
of the day - 73 yards in the first quarter and 79 yards
on its final possession - resulted in a field goal and
an interception, respectively. The Bears didn't put a great
deal of pressure on QB Daunte Culpepper, sacking him twice,
and allowed rookie RB Onterrio Smith to rush for 148 yards
on 27 carries.
Redskins' LT Chris Samuels (knee) should be ready to go
against Chicago after missing the past three games. It's
a good thing, because Samuels' back-up, Brandon Winey,
sprained his knee against the Cowboys and will be out this
week and the 'Skins will need all the help they can get.
Washington probably won't have much success passing against
the Bears' tight secondary and with a young QB who may
be permanently scarred following the team's debacle against
Dallas. RB Chad Morton will most likely start for the Redskins
despite Cartwright's success against the Cowboys. Morton
was in line to start against Dallas before missing practice
time due to a flu and 'Skins coaches would prefer to play
Cartwright at fullback.
| Carolina vs. Detroit |
|
Carolina Offense
Sacked/G=1.50
Rush TDs/G=.64
Rush Avg.=4.1
|
Detroit Defense
Sacks/G=1.71
Rush TDs Against/G=.93
Rush Avg. Against=4.1
|
|
Carolina Defense
Sacks/G=2.57
Rush TDs Against/G=.71
Rush Avg. Against=4.0
|
Detroit Offense
Sacked/G=.64
Rush TDs/G=.36
Rush Avg.=3.6
|
When the Lions have the ball - Not a bad day at
all by Lions' standards. The offensive line did a great
job protecting QB Joey Harrington (zero sacks - again)
and paved the way for the team's first 100-yard rusher
of the season. RB Shawn Bryson ran for 105 yards and a
TD in 18 carries.
Harrington completed 20 of 36 passes for 197 yards with
each a touchdown and an interception. He stats would have
been better, as usual, if it weren't for numerous drops
by his receivers, including one potential touchdown strike
and a drop/deflection that was intercepted.
Carolina allowed the Cardinals' 30th-ranked
rushing offense to pile up 170 yards on 40 carries. The
Panthers sacked rookie QB Josh McCown four times, but also
allowed him to scramble out of the pocket seven times for
47 yards a week after Michael Vick burned them for 141
yards rushing.
LB Dan Morgan (concussion) could return for the Panthers
after missing two starts. DE Mike Rucker (knee) missed
the Arizona game, as well, and could be held out of Sunday's
matchup in order to get him ready for the playoffs. Even
if half of the Panthers' starting defense misses the game,
Carolina should be able to shut down Detroit's short-lived
running game and give fits to either Harrington or his
possible replacement, Mike McMahon.
When the Panthers have the ball - RB Stephen Davis
tweaked his knee and re-injured his ankle, and the Panthers
could muster little on the ground, rushing only 18 times
(67 yards) to 32 pass attempts (231 yards). As a result,
Carolina held the ball for only 22 minutes, 6 seconds with
all but two drives lasting fewer than three minutes.
The offensive line did fairly well in providing good protection
for QB Jake Delhomme (one sack), although C Jeff Mitchell
injured his groin in the second half. C/G Bruce Nelson
saw his first significant action of the season in Mitchell's
place and helped the line to a respectable performance.
Mitchell is questionable for Sunday's game against the
Lions.
Detroit offered little resistance whatsoever to the Chiefs,
giving up 521 total yards and 28 first downs. The Lions' non-existent
pass rush generated zero sacks and did little to disrupt
QB Trent Green, who averaged 11.6 yards per pass attempt.
Kansas City didn't even face a third-down situation until
the second quarter.
That will have to change against the Panthers, most notably
because a strong performance from Detroit's defense will
most likely be the only way the Lions stay in this game.
With Davis likely out, this task should be slightly easier
with De'Shaun Foster handling the ball, but despite Detroit's
accustomed success against the run, it's usually toast
against the pass. To make matters worse, the Lions have
allowed an average of 34.7 points in their past three road
games.
| New York Jets vs.
New England |
|
New York Offense
Sacked/G=1.64
Rush TDs/G=.36
Rush Avg.=4.0
|
New England Defense
Sacks/G=2.36
Rush TDs Against/G=.57
Rush Avg. Against=3.5
|
|
New York Defense
Sacks/G=2.36
Rush TDs Against/G=1.14
Rush Avg. Against=4.2
|
New England Offense
Sacked/G=2.14
Rush TDs/G=.64
Rush Avg.=3.2
|
When the Jets have the ball - The offensive line
responded to a humbling performance a week earlier by spearheading
the most effective rushing attack the Jets have had this
year. RB Curtis Martin made it look like he was the only
player not playing in snow, exploding for a season-high
174 yards against a decent Pittsburgh rush defense. Martin
had a long run of 56 yards (his longest in five seasons)
and added a team-high 54 yards on four receptions.
QB Chad Pennington benefited from great protection (zero
sacks) to put together an efficient, mistake-free performance
in game conditions not conducive to the pass. Pennington
completed only 15 of 25 passes for 144 yards, no interceptions
and no TDs, but that includes 8-of-11 with five chain-moving
completions on third-down attempts. Still, the offense
hasn't scored a touchdown in two weeks.
Martin should come back to earth against the Patriots' No.
3 rushing defense, which held RB Fred Taylor to 57 carries
on 16 carries - his lowest yardage total since Oct. 26.
New England is third in the league in allowing 88.8 rushing
yards per game and has allowed only 13 points total in
its last two games, but both were at home and the Pats' D
gives up a bit more on the road.
When the Patriots have the ball - Put this running
game on any other team and it's almost a sure bet that
team is worse off for it. RBs Antowain Smith and Kevin
Faulk combined for 78 yards on 28 carries, but once again
the Patriots were able to hide their lack of rushing success
behind a stellar defense and the play of QB Tom Brady.
New England ran the ball 32 times and passed 34 times
despite averaging only 2.6 yards per rush. Brady completed
22-of-34 passes for 228 yards, two touchdowns and zero
interceptions. He was sacked twice (despite great protection
for most of the game) and completed passes to eight different
receivers.
The Jets' defense didn't let Pittsburgh get much going
on offense, although when that happens it's usually half
the Steelers' fault. New York held Pittsburgh to only 94
yards rushing in snowy conditions, the third-best job it's
done against the run all season.
New York's run defense has improved, which could make
things interesting against the Pats' weak running attack.
This game could very easily turn out to be a shootout between
two of the league's best young QBs in Brady and Pennington.
| Buffalo vs. Miami |
|
Buffalo Offense
Sacked/G=2.93
Rush TDs/G=.93
Rush Avg.=4.0
|
Miami Defense
Sacks/G=2.43
Rush TDs Against/G=.71
Rush Avg. Against=3.3
|
|
Buffalo Defense
Sacks/G=2.43
Rush TDs Against/G=.79
Rush Avg. Against=3.4
|
Miami Offense
Sacked/G=1.93
Rush TDs/G=.93
Rush Avg.=3.8
|
When the Bills have the ball - Buffalo's failure
to win the battle at the line of scrimmage was no more
apparent that in the Bills' 11.8 percent (2-of-17) success
rate on third down. The offensive line allowed three sacks,
including a biggie that forced QB Drew Bledsoe into a fumble
that set up Tennessee's eight-point score in the third
quarter that cut the Bills' lead to 17-14. LT Marques Sullivan,
playing in place of injured Jonas Jennings, was beat cleanly
on the play.
RB Travis Henry gained 88 yards on only 19 carries, somewhat
remarkable considering the play of the OL. Henry broke
off runs of 15, 19 and 19 yards against the league's No.
1 rush defense.
Miami's defense let Philadelphia do pretty much what it
wanted on the ground, allowing four Eagles' ballcarriers
to combine for 140 yards and three touchdowns on 28 carries.
The Dolphins sacked QB Donovan McNabb only once for no
loss and didn't provide much of a rush, in general.
No runner has crested 100 yards against the Dolphins this
season, and that should only change if Henry gets upwards
of 30 carries. This is a possibility as the Bills will
try to establish the run early in order to make Bledsoe
as comfortable as humanly possible. Miami could be slightly
drained after a disheartening Monday night defeat at home.
When the Dolphins have the ball - It was an on-again
day for the Dolphins' on-again, off-again offensive line.
RB Ricky Williams led Miami's 177-yard running attack with
107 yards and a TD on 18 carries, and QB Jay Fiedler was
given slightly better protection than his performance indicated
(2 sacks, 2 interceptions, 0 TDs, 240 yards passing).
Buffalo's defense was solid through most of three quarters
until it began to crumble midway through the third quarter
and allowed the Titans three touchdowns - their only TDs
of the game - on their final six possessions. The Bills
allowed 86 yards rushing on 32 carries (2.7-yard average)
and had four sacks of rookie QB Billy Volek.
The combination of Buffalo's dominant defense and Miami's
mediocre offense presents a huge stumbling block for the
Dolphins. In the long run, the improvisational skills of
Fiedler will most likely have to be put to good use in
order for Miami to pull this one out because the Dolphins
will probably fail to run or throw the ball with much consistency.
Fortunately (maybe) for Miami, this is the kind of game
that can often be won with 10-13 or so points of offense.
| Cleveland vs. Baltimore |
|
Cleveland Offense
Sacked/G=2.50
Rush TDs/G=.43
Rush Avg.=3.8
|
Baltimore Defense
Sacks/G=2.64
Rush TDs Against/G=.43
Rush Avg. Against=3.5
|
|
Cleveland Defense
Sacks/G=2.07
Rush TDs Against/G=.64
Rush Avg. Against=4.4
|
Baltimore Offense
Sacked/G=2.64
Rush TDs/G=1.00
Rush Avg.=4.8
|
When the Browns have the ball - Take away the 10-play,
87-yard drive in the fourth quarter that tied the game,
and the Browns' average drive length the other 11 times
it had the ball was 3.8 plays - not even a three-and-out
average. Cleveland held the ball for 18:57 to the Broncos' 41:03.
RB Jamel White came back to Earth against Denver's fifth-ranked
rush defense with 55 yards on 20 carries (2.8-yard average).
QB Tim Couch hit some big completions (44, 44, 35 and 27
yards), but he had only eight completions total, which
wasn't enough to keep the chains moving. Couch was sacked
twice and faced a good deal of pressure throughout the
day, and the Browns were 2-of-11 on third down.
Baltimore's defense played pretty well, but was a victim
of poor field position. Oakland had scoring drives of one
and zero yards on its first two possessions, then managed
only two more scoring drives on its remaining 13 possessions.
The Ravens allowed 79 yards rushing on 31 carries (2.5-yard
avg.), but did little to disrupt QB Rick Mirer (zero sacks,
good protection).
This game was shaping up to be quite a stumbling block
for Baltimore until Oakland caught them off-guard last
week. It's hard to imagine the Ravens looking past anyone
now, as one more loss probably means no playoffs. This
will most likely be a defensive battle in which the team
with the best ball control wins. Big games for White and
Couch won't mean 100 yards rushing or 300 yards passing,
but steady progress and few - if any - mistakes.
When the Ravens have the ball - The way he was
throwing the ball, QB Anthony Wright needed all the protection
he could get on Sunday. It didn't happen. Wright, protected
reasonably well early in the game, was sacked three times
in the second half when he and the Ravens mustered only
one scoring drive.
RB Jamal Lewis earned 125 yards at 5.2 yards-per-carry
against the league's No. 31 rush defense. Lewis gained
109 yards through three quarters before carrying only three
times the rest of the way. Despite his efforts, Baltimore
failed on 10 of 12 third-down conversion attempts.
Last week it was Portis, and this week it's Lewis for
the Browns' defense. Cleveland saw a lot of the former
on Sunday, allowing Portis 139 yards on 38 carries during
its 41-plus minutes on the field. The Browns gave up 165
rushing yards total and kept QB Jake Plummer moving, but
let the Broncos move the ball consistently with three drives
of 10 plays or more and only two drives of five yards or
less among its 11 possessions.
So how will Cleveland stop the running back that shredded
them for an NFL-record 295 yards in Week 2? The Browns
will devote themselves almost entirely to stuffing Lewis
and beg Wright to throw the ball. Still, Lewis should do
quite a bit of damage with the 25 or so carries he will
most likely receive against a run defense that has been
both brilliant and horrible at various times this season.
Good backs almost always beat the Browns.
| Dallas vs. New York
Giants |
|
Dallas Offense
Sacked/G=2.21
Rush TDs/G=.79
Rush Avg.=3.9
|
New York Defense
Sacks/G=2.64
Rush TDs Against/G=.86
Rush Avg. Against=3.9
|
|
Dallas Defense
Sacks/G=1.79
Rush TDs Against/G=.50
Rush Avg. Against=3.6
|
New York Offense
Sacked/G=2.64
Rush TDs/G=.43
Rush Avg.=4.1
|
When the Cowboys have the ball - Dallas' running
game has shown signs of life in recent weeks, most notably
on Sunday when the Cowboys piled up a season-high 222 rushing
yards. RB Troy Hambrick ran for a career-high 189 yards
on 33 carries.
The offensive line was great in promoting the run, and
Dallas kept the Redskins honest by throwing 24 times despite
getting little statistical production from QB Quincy Carter.
Carter, sacked three times, completed only 10 of 24 passes
for 108 yards and a TD. He also ran for a touchdown and
managed the game well overall.
The Giants stopped RB Deuce McAllister early in the game
when it did matter, holding him to only 15 yards. But New
York let McAllister loose in the second half and couldn't
stop anything else New Orleans did throughout the game.
The Giants' once-feared pass rush managed a lone sack on
QB Aaron Brooks and let the Saints convert 10 of 14 third
downs.
Knowing that they won't be playing much longer sans a
solid running game even if they do make the playoffs, the
Cowboys will seek to spring Hambrick early and often against
a Giants' defensive front that remains the team's only
sturdy unit. Dallas has the luxury of knowing that New
York's secondary is in shambles, which makes for a nice
plan B should it come to that. Fortunately for the Cowboys,
they probably won't have to score many points to win this
game.
When the Giants have the ball - At least they're
consistent. The Giants scored one touchdown for the sixth
consecutive game. New York's best drive until their last
possession was an 8-play, 40-yard mini-march that ended
in a punt.
Rookie QB Jesse Palmer was the highlight of the offense
despite having a rather ordinary day. Palmer did make a
brilliant 26-yard run and his 25 rushing yards midway through
the third quarter were more than RBs Tiki Barber and Dorsey
Levens combined. Not bad for a rookie considering the limited
amount of protection he was given, including three sacks.
As if Palmer didn't already have his hands full in running
an offense without many (any?) weapons, here come the rejuvenated
Cowboys. Dallas is fresh off a stompin' of another plummeting
team with an inexperienced QB at the helm. The Cowboys' 4.1
yards allowed per rushing attempt wasn't bad, but it paled
in comparison to the Redskins' 2-yard average on passing
attempts.
If Dallas loses this game, there's no doubt they're not
a playoff-caliber team. Almost every matchup is to the
Cowboys' advantage, most notably the Giants' apparent unwillingness
to compete and the fact that they're playing for a lame
duck head coach. New York will try to establish the run,
which won't happen, and then will most likely turn to Palmer
to bail them out. It all adds up to a recipe for disaster
for the Giants.
| Houston vs. Tennessee |
|
Houston Offense
Sacked/G=2.50
Rush TDs/G=.79
Rush Avg.=3.8
|
Tennessee Defense
Sacks/G=2.50
Rush TDs Against/G=.64
Rush Avg. Against=3.7
|
|
Houston Defense
Sacks/G=1.29
Rush TDs Against/G=1.00
Rush Avg. Against=4.3
|
Tennessee Offense
Sacked/G=1.79
Rush TDs/G=.79
Rush Avg.=3.2
|
When the Texans have the ball - It's been more
than nine quarters since the Texans have scored a touchdown,
which pretty much says it all. Throw out the eight-play,
51-yard drive that led to Houston's only score (a field
goal), and the Texans averaged only 5.8 yards each time
they had the ball.
All of this and more reflects the performance of an offensive
line that continues to deteriorate and which played without
the services of RG Zach Wiegert. Houston has totaled 231
yards, 14 first downs and 96 passing yards the past
two weeks.
The return of rookie RB Domanick Davis (16 carries, 56
yards) gave the team a lift, and rookie QB Dave Ragone,
starting in the absence of David Carr, actually improved
from a week earlier despite throwing for only 64 yards.
Amazingly, Ragone didn't make any big mistakes despite
being sacked five times and facing ample pressure from
the Bucs. He did fumble twice, but lost neither of those
drops.
Tennessee's defensive line outplayed its offensive counterpart
despite a few lapses against the run. The Titans held RB
Travis Henry to 70 yards on four of his carries and to
only 18 yards on his remaining 15 carries. Discounting
Buffalo's final touchdown drive, Tennessee allowed about
10 meaningful plays of offense to the Bills.
QB David Carr and RG Zach Wiegert should both return to
the Texans' lineup this week, which, needless to say, is
a huge boost for a unit that has barely fielded a professional
lineup the past two weeks. Tennessee has been shaky on
the road of late and has been allowing upwards of 30 points
a game over the past month. Houston would love to establish
Davis as a threat on the ground while easing Carr back
into action as efficiently as possible.
When the Titans have the ball - RB Eddie George
ran hard, albeit with slim earnings, and sprinkled in carries
of 13 and 10 yards en route to 67 yards on the day. Not
much, but enough to support the offensive line and QB Billy
Volek against one of the league's top defenses. The Titans
held the ball for 36:45 compared to only 23:15 for the
Bills.
Volek faced a good deal of pressure and was sacked four
times, but still managed to complete 26 passes for 295
yards, two TDs and no interceptions.
Houston's defense played well against Tampa Bay, with
strong performances from both its defensive line and linebacking
unit. The Texans allowed 398 total yards to the Bucs, but
for spending nearly two-thirds of the game on the field
and getting minimal support from their offense, who can
blame them? Despite all the time on the field, Houston
couldn't sack QB Brad Johnson once.
QB Steve McNair (ankle) should start for the Titans this
week, but he isn't 100 percent and will probably be limited.
If that's the case, there is potential for George to get
25 or so carries - much more than his normal load. The
worst-case scenario for Houston involves George getting
enough small, steady gains to keep the defense honest,
thereby allowing McNair to pick apart the Texans' woeful
secondary.
| Jacksonville vs.
New Orleans |
|
Jacksonville Offense
Sacked/G=1.86
Rush TDs/G=.79
Rush Avg.=4.1
|
New Orleans Defense
Sacks/G=2.00
Rush TDs Against/G=.79
Rush Avg. Against=4.6
|
|
Jacksonville Defense
Sacks/G=1.57
Rush TDs Against/G=.79
Rush Avg. Against=3.1
|
New Orleans Offense
Sacked/G=2.36
Rush TDs/G=.79
Rush Avg.=4.7
|
When the Jaguars have the ball - To have a chance
against the Patriots, RB Fred Taylor had to have a chance.
Alas, the Jags abandoned the run early and finished with
half as many rushing attempts (20) as they had passing
attempts (40) despite being within one touchdown of the
Patriots throughout three quarters of play.
Taylor finished with 57 yards on 16 carries. QB Byron
Leftwich threw for 288 yards and a touchdown, but his two
interceptions late in the game sealed the Jags' fate.
New Orleans hammered the hapless Giants, shutting down
RB Tiki Barber (37 yards) and allowing only 31 rushing
yards in the first half. The Saints sacked rookie QB Jesse
Palmer three times, and the defensive line rebounded from
a poor performance against the Bucs a week earlier by manhandling
the Giants' struggling, inexperienced offensive line.
Taylor should be able to pick up where he left off two
weeks ago against the Saints' 26th-ranked run
defense. Jacksonville continues to play inspired ball and,
its loss to the Patriots notwithstanding, is one of few
non-playoff teams actually making improvement at this stage
of the season. The Jags have won three straight games at
home.
When the Saints have the ball - The offensive line
overcame a slow start to lead the Saints to 132 yards rushing
and to keep QB Aaron Brooks comfortable in the pocket for
most of the afternoon. New Orleans was 10-of-14 on third-down
conversions and had only two poor drives among its 11 possessions.
RB Deuce McAllister gained 80 of the Saints' 132 yards
rushing against a Giants' defense stacked to stop the run.
Brooks had his way much of the day and threw for 296 yards
and five touchdowns against zero interceptions.
Jacksonville held New England's weak running game to 84
yards, about 10 below the season average for the Patriots,
but the Jaguars had no answer for QB Tom Brady despite
having the weather on their side. Jacksonville sacked Brady
only twice while offering a pass rush that was little more
than annoying.
This is one of the week's more interesting matchups. The
best performance by an opposing running back in Jacksonville
this season was 88 yards, and McAllister will be hard-pressed
to reach that total. Granted, the Saints have Brooks and
Horn to fall back on, but taking to the air against the
Jags is much less that a sure thing.
| St. Louis vs. Cincinnati |
|
St. Louis Offense
Sacked/G=2.71
Rush TDs/G=1.21
Rush Avg.=3.6
|
Cincinnati Defense
Sacks/G=2.07
Rush TDs Against/G=1.07
Rush Avg. Against=3.6
|
|
St. Louis Defense
Sacks/G=2.71
Rush TDs Against/G=.64
Rush Avg. Against=4.9
|
Cincinnati Offense
Sacked/G=2.21
Rush TDs/G=.71
Rush Avg.=4.1
|
When the Rams have the ball - The offensive line
provided superb pass blocking for QB Marc Bulger, but couldn't
spring RB Marshall Faulk until the fourth quarter. That
may have been when it counted most, however, as the Rams
had to keep the ball away from a Seahawks offense and mounted
two drives culminating in field goals that proved to be
the margin of points needed for the 27-22 win. Faulk had
59 of his 85 yards in the fourth quarter.
Bulger hit big passes early and often, including seven
completions in 10 attempts for 129 yard and two touchdowns
on third down.
Cincinnati won in spite of its defense, which allowed
502 yards of offense and 31 first downs despite being on
the field for less than half the game. The bleeding was
stopped in part due to three fumble recoveries that the
offense turned into 17 points. The Bengals offered little
in the way of a pass rush and forced only one punt all
afternoon as the 49ers scored on six of their final seven
possessions.
Cincinnati continued another trend of allowing big yardage
on the ground, including 171 yards and a 6.3-yard average
against the 49ers. This certainly won't benefit the Bengals
against the Rams and Faulk, who is a near lock for a big
game running the ball should the Rams need such a performance.
Most likely, everyone on the Rams' offense will join this
party.
When the Bengals have the ball - Despite gaining
393 yards of total offense, including 225 yards rushing,
the Bengals were outplayed by the opposing offense in nearly
every facet of the game. Key, however, was that RBs Rudi
Johnson (174 yards) and Corey Dillon (24 yards) held onto
the ball, unlike their San Francisco counterparts.
The only time the Bengals didn't score in the second half
was when they stopped themselves - literally. QB Jon Kitna
took a knee twice to run out the final minute of the game
clock. Kitna (189 yards, 2 TDs) was given great protection
throughout the game and made one good decision after another.
Rookie OG Eric Steinbach (bruised thigh) is questionable
for Sunday's game against the Rams. Steinbach's absence
should he miss the game will be felt most in the running
game.
St. Louis allowed RB Shaun Alexander to rip them for 126
yards rushing, but gave him only 21 yards on seven carries
while staving off the Seahawks' fourth-quarter rally. The
defensive line harried QB Matt Hasselbeck into a sub-par
performance while contributing one of the Rams' two sacks.
Cincinnati should have limited success on the ground against
a St. Louis defense that plays the run well, especially
at home. Most likely, the Bengals will be forced to take
the game to the air rather early in this game in order
to keep up with the Rams' offense.
| Pittsburgh vs. San
Diego |
|
Pittsburgh Offense
Sacked/G=2.50
Rush TDs/G=.64
Rush Avg.=3.3
|
San Diego Defense
Sacks/G=1.64
Rush TDs Against/G=.79
Rush Avg. Against=4.3
|
|
Pittsburgh Defense
Sacks/G=2.21
Rush TDs Against/G=.79
Rush Avg. Against=3.9
|
San Diego Offense
Sacked/G=1.71
Rush TDs/G=.86
Rush Avg.=5.0
|
When the Steelers have the ball - Ninety-four yards
rushing were not enough for the Steelers against the worst
run defense in the league. The inability to run the ball
has plagued the Steelers all year and has never been more
apparent than in their 6-0 blanking against the Jets. Despite
playing in snowy weather and with QB Tommy Maddox off-target
much of the day, Pittsburgh passed the ball 38 times to
only 24 rushing attempts.
On first-and-six at the Jets' 6-yard line early in the
fourth quarter, the Steelers ran six plays (benefiting
from a penalty) - four passes and two runs - and gained
three yards before missing a field goal. That doesn't say
a lot about the coaching staff's confidence in the run
game. RB Jerome Bettis gained 68 yards on 16 carries before
leaving with a hip pointer in the second half.
San Diego largely accomplished what it set out to do against
the Packers - stop the run. However, a near-complete lack
of a pass rush allowed Green Bay QB Brett Favre to pick
apart the defense for three touchdown passes in the final
12 minutes. The Chargers held RB Ahman Green to 75 yards
on 19 carries and the Packers to 83 yards rushing and 3.1
yards-per-carry as a team.
Finally, a defense that matches up against the Steelers' offense.
In other words, not a very good defense. Pittsburgh will
no doubt get whatever it can from the run game early, but
will be more inclined to take to the air should the running
game produce meager results. Fortunately for the Steelers,
San Diego is equally deficient in stopping both the run
and the pass.
When the Chargers have the ball - Injuries along
the offensive line gave the Chargers little chance, and
not even LaDainian Tomlinson could bail them out. Only
one opening day starter on the OL was at his natural position,
although C Jason Ball (ankle) may return this week.
Tomlinson was held to 51 yards rushing on 20 attempts
(2.6-yard avg.), but more than made up the difference with
11 catches for 144 yards and two touchdowns.
At first glance, QB Drew Brees did a pretty good job in
his first start in five games, throwing for a career-best
363 yards with two touchdowns. However, Brees' two fumbles
and one interception were costly, leading to 17 points
for the opposition.
Pittsburgh did a lot of bending, but no breaking, against
the Jets, allowing only two field goals and forcing seven
punts in 10 possessions while forcing a fumble in the other.
RB Curtis Martin's season-high 174 yards against the Steelers
were about the most harmless 174 yards you'll see, as the
Jets could manage only four first downs on the ground (15
total) and seemed to run less effectively the deeper they
were in Pittsburgh territory.
The deciding factor in this game may very well be Tomlinson's
success running the ball versus a Pittsburgh defense that
hasn't allowed a 90-yard rusher at home all season. If
that battle ends in a draw, key will be Brees' success
against the Steelers' susceptible pass defense. Should
this occur, odds are it's good enough to keep him in check.
| Philadelphia vs.
San Francisco |
|
Philadelphia Offense
Sacked/G=2.71
Rush TDs/G=1.43
Rush Avg.=4.9
|
San Francisco Defense
Sacks/G=2.57
Rush TDs Against/G=.71
Rush Avg. Against=4.1
|
|
Philadelphia Defense
Sacks/G=2.21
Rush TDs Against/G=.79
Rush Avg. Against=4.5
|
San Francisco Offense
Sacked/G=1.64
Rush TDs/G=1.07
Rush Avg.=4.6
|
When the Eagles have the ball - The Eagles didn't
have their A- game on the ground consistency-wise, but
a handful of long rushes at key times helped their cause.
The offensive line was solid against a tough counterpart,
with the key performance being LG Artis Hicks' work against
Pro Bowl DE Jason Taylor in Hicks' first pro start at left
tackle.
QB Donovan McNabb was sharp despite a shaky stat line
(15-27, 236 yards, 0 TD, 1 INT), completing two or more
passes to seven different receivers. McNabb benefited from
good protection and was sacked only once. Philadelphia
has given up only 12 sacks over the past seven games after
allowing 26 in the previous seven contests.
San Francisco could do nothing to stop the Bengals' running
game and allowed 225 yards rushing on 37 attempts (6.1-yard
avg.) despite allowing only 39 of those yards in the first
half. The 49ers' defensive line did little buy annoy QB
Jon Kitna, who completed 72 percent of his passes for 189
yards, two touchdowns and no costly mistakes.
Another road game for San Francisco most likely means
the ineffective version of its defense will take the field - and
it's an especially bad time for that to happen against
an Eagles' offense that just tore apart the Dolphins on
the road. Look for Philly's three-headed running attack
to resurface as the Eagles continue to take matters very
seriously in hopes of gaining home-field advantage throughout
the playoffs.
When the 49ers have the ball - All five starters
on the offensive line made it through a game intact for
the first time this season, and the results were pleasing,
if not too late in the campaign to mean much. The 49ers
ran for 171 yards and threw for 331 more for 502 total
yards, and QB Jeff Garcia was sacked only once en route
to a season-best performance (130.3 QB rating).
Starting RG Ron Stone returned to the lineup after missing
two games with a hamstring strain.
Ultimately, San Francisco was done in by turnovers. RB
Kevan Barlow ran for 85 yards and two touchdowns and caught
six passes, including on for a 48-yard gain, but his two
red-zone fumbles hugely impacted the outcome of the game.
The lone sack on Garcia produced the third turnover - a
fumble recovery that was returned for a touchdown.
Philadelphia allowed an opponent to crest 125 rushing
yard for the eighth time in nine games, and once again
an opposing back burned them for 100 yards. This time it
was Ricky Williams' 107 yards on 18 attempts and the Dolphins' 177
rushing yards as a team. Philadelphia's DL generated little
consistent pressure on QB Jay Fiedler, although an effective
blitz drove Fiedler to a low completion percentage and
a pair of interceptions.
San Francisco's confidence - and its performance - on
offense are peaking, but the 49ers have done so very little
on the road this year, last week's game against the Bengals
notwithstanding. The 49ers will seek to establish Kevan
Barlow against the Eagles' susceptible rush defense. More
than a handful of teams have had success running the ball
against Philadelphia, but rarely does it translate into
many points.
| Seattle vs. Arizona |
|
Seattle Offense
Sacked/G=2.86
Rush TDs/G=1.00
Rush Avg.=4.5
|
Arizona Defense
Sacks/G=1.29
Rush TDs Against/G=1.00
Rush Avg. Against=3.9
|
|
Seattle Defense
Sacks/G=2.14
Rush TDs Against/G=.64
Rush Avg. Against=4.0
|
Arizona Offense
Sacked/G=1.93
Rush TDs/G=.36
Rush Avg.=3.9
|
When the Seahawks have the ball - The offensive
line and FB Mack Strong gave RB Shaun Alexander enough
room to generate 126 yards on 25 carries (5.1-yard avg.).
Pass protection improved as the game progressed and RT
Chris Terry held Rams' DE Leonard Little in check.
OL Floyd Womack sustained a concussion against the Rams
and may be out this Sunday.
Arizona's rush defense had been bad for weeks until it
held RB Stephen Davis to only 48 yards on 13 carries and
the Panthers to 67 yards rushing as a team. This helped
the Cardinals to a 15-plus minute advantage in time of
possession, but in the end, they needed more and, once
again, the secondary couldn't give it to them. The pass
rush wasn't too hot, either, posting only one sack and
putting little pressure on QB Jake Delhomme.
The Seahawks will probably be feeling pretty good about
themselves on Monday morning. Arizona - a bad team in general - has
allowed no fewer than 24 points on the road and four teams
have scored 37 points or more against the road-sorry Cards.
When the Cardinals have the ball - All things considered,
the Cardinals put together a pretty good game on offense,
but turnovers on the team's first two possessions - including
an interception returned for a touchdown, negated many
of the positives.
RB Marcel Shipp rebounded from two poor starts to post
89 yards on 23 carries, and Emmitt Smith chipped in with
23 yards and a touchdown on nine carries. QB Josh McCown
played reasonably well under near-constant pressure (4
sacks) in his first pro start. C Frank Garcia played well
in place of injured Pete Kendall and will start the final
two games.
Seattle succeeded at times in pressuring QB Marc Bulger,
but often at the expense of the team's secondary. The Seahawks
did shut down RB Marshall Faulk until near the end of the
game when he carried the ball on eight of nine snaps and
helped St. Louis burned up much of what was left on the
clock. Overall, Seattle held the Rams to 86 yards rushing
and 2.9 yards per carry.
Arizona has little chance of even competing in Seattle.
Over their past six home games, the Seahawks have progressively
lowered their opponents' score from 23 in Week 3 against
St. Louis to seven points allowed against the Browns in
Week 13. Arizona won't ask too much from McCown in his
second career start, which places a larger burden on Shipp
and Smith. Cardinal fans know all too well that Shipp and
Smith don't make a great plan A.
| Indianapolis vs.
Denver |
|
Indianapolis Offense
Sacked/G=1.14
Rush TDs/G=1.00
Rush Avg.=3.6
|
Denver Defense
Sacks/G=2.29
Rush TDs Against/G=.57
Rush Avg. Against=3.9
|
|
Indianapolis Defense
Sacks/G=2.21
Rush TDs Against/G=1.00
Rush Avg. Against=4.6
|
Denver Offense
Sacked/G=1.79
Rush TDs/G=1.21
Rush Avg.=5.0
|
When the Colts have the ball - For starters, QB
Peyton Manning threw a touchdown pass for every pass he
didn't complete, and RB Edgerrin James looked like the
Edge of old with 126 yards on 20 carries. It was a great
performance for an offensive line that has fought through
numerous health issues for much of the season.
Denver's defense was four long pass completions (44, 44,
35 and 27 yards) and a pair of pass interference penalties
away from pure dominance. The Broncos allowed 102 yards
rushing, but at only 3.9 yards a carry, and consistently
pressured QB Tim Couch despite sacking him only twice.
Cleveland managed only 12 first downs and a 2-of-11 success
rate on third-down conversions against Denver.
Denver should be able to slow down James, but at what
price? The way Manning is playing, stopping James is akin
to slapping a bear. The Broncos are stingy in the red zone
and will most likely need to limit as many Indy drives
as possible to field goals in order to keep pace with the
Colts' offense.
When the Broncos have the ball - Clinton Portis
ran for 139 hard-earned yards and two touchdowns on 38
carries, but that proved to be one attempt too many. Portis' final
carry, which came with the Broncos' within field goal range
in overtime, proved costly as he suffered ankle and knee
injuries that will keep him out of Sunday's game.
QB Jake Plummer wasn't particularly sharp and dealt with
steady pressure for much of the day, but still managed
to hit some big passes in-between three sacks and finished
with 269 yards passing.
Indianapolis dominated the Falcons at the line of scrimmage,
sacking QB Michael Vick four times and allowing an ineffective
125 yards rushing. All but a handful of those rushing yards
came well after the game had been decided.
A Portis-less Denver offense will have its work cut out
for it, and RB Mike Anderson will be asked to pick up the
slack. Just how well he does against the Colts may be predicated
on Plummer's success against the league's No. 3 passing
defense. Gutsy QBs in Plummer's mold (Brady, Pennington)
have had the most success against Indianapolis this season,
but in the long run 25-30 productive carries from Anderson
will most likely be needed for Denver to complete objective
No. 1: keep the ball out of Manning's hands.
| Oakland vs. Green
Bay |
|
Oakland Offense
Sacked/G=2.36
Rush TDs/G=1.00
Rush Avg.=4.2
|
Green Bay Defense
Sacks/G=2.07
Rush TDs Against/G=.64
Rush Avg. Against=4.1
|
|
Oakland Defense
Sacks/G=1.50
Rush TDs Against/G=1.29
Rush Avg. Against=4.4
|
Green Bay Offense
Sacked/G=1.14
Rush TDs/G=1.07
Rush Avg.=4.9
|
When the Raiders have the ball - For only the third
time this year, an Oakland quarterback wasn't sacked. The
Raiders' offensive line gave QB Rick Mirer plenty of time
to throw and largely capitalized on its opportunities (10
points) after getting the ball deep in Baltimore territory
on its first two possessions. Mirer wasn't sacked in the
game and threw zero interceptions.
C Adam Treu and RG Brad Badger played well in place of
injured starters Barret Robbins and Mo Collins, respectively.
The running game produced only 79 yards on 21 carries for
a 2.5-yard average against Baltimore's tough run defense,
but earned tough yards at crucial moments. Three bad penalties
were the only marks against the line's performance.
Green Bay shut down RB LaDainian Tomlinson on the ground
(51 yards on 20 carries), but he and rookie TE Antonio
Gates combined for 261 yards on 16 receptions. The Packers' pass
rush capitalized on Brees' carelessness with two fumble
recoveries (three total) and sacked him twice.
The key matchup in this game could very well be the Packers' improved
run defense against the Raiders' rushing offense. Only
one RB (Thomas Jones) has been able to light it up on the
ground against Green Bay since Week 5, and the Raiders' battered
DL is ripe for the picking despite a solid performance
against the Ravens.
When the Packers have the ball - The Packers struggled
to run the ball for the third straight week after being
so dominant for much of the season. Pass protection was
outstanding once again, though, allowing zero sacks of
QB Brett Favre and giving him plenty of time to have his
way late in the game when he threw three late touchdown
passes. Favre's lone pick came, as usual, on a throw in
which he tried to thread the ball through too many defenders.
RB Ahman Green rushed for 75 yards on 19 carries and has
averaged only 70.7 yards rushing the past three weeks after
averaging 148 yards per game in the four games prior to
that. A 34-yard carry late in the game salvaged an otherwise
dismal outing for Green.
Oakland presents the league's worst rushing defense, but
then San Diego, Chicago and Detroit - teams that have stymied
the Packers' running game of late - aren't exactly world-beaters
against the run. If Green can't get into a groove and the
game is once again left in Favre's hands, expect nothing
less than another do-or-die gunslinging affair for the
Packers on offense.
The Raiders' defensive line relentlessly pressured QB
Anthony Wright, creating three sacks and helping to limit
him to 12 completions on 27 attempts. Oakland allowed lots
of yards (125) to RB Jamal Lewis, but minimized his overall
effectiveness by stopping him on a few key downs.
|