The
Huddle
WEEK 16
December 17, 2003
Season Ticket
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| Cincinnati vs St. Louis |
Sun, Dec 21; 1 PM on CBS at Edward
Jones Dome |
| |
Cincinnati
at STL |
Rush
|
Catch
|
Pass
|
| QB |
Jon Kitna |
0 |
0 |
270,2 |
| RB |
Corey
Dillon |
50 |
10 |
0 |
| RB |
Rudi
Johnson |
40,1 |
10 |
0 |
| TE |
Stewart/Schobel |
0 |
30,1 |
0 |
| WR |
Peter Warrick
|
D |
D |
D |
| WR |
Kelly Washington
|
0 |
70 |
0 |
| WR |
Chad Johnson
|
0 |
100,1 |
0 |
|
| |
St.
Louis vs CIN |
Rush
|
Catch
|
Pass |
| QB |
Marc Bulger |
0 |
0 |
280,3 |
| RB |
Marshall Faulk |
100,1 |
20 |
0 |
| TE |
B. Manumaleuna |
0 |
20 |
0 |
| WR |
Isaac Bruce |
0 |
50 |
0 |
| WR |
Torry Holt |
0 |
110,2 |
0 |
| WR |
Dane Looker |
0 |
40,1 |
0 |
|
Game Prediction:
CIN 24, STL 30
This game has the potential for good points by both teams
and is a relative replay of last week when CIN faced SF and
STL went against SEA. Now they face each other and the important
fact is that the Rams are at home where they are 7-0 this
season while the Bengals are only 3-4 on the road.
Cincinnati Notes
The Bengals rise to 8-6 and are again tied with the Ravens
for the lead in the AFC North.
Quarterbacks::
Jon Kitna only threw for 189 yards last week but had
two passing scores that bumped up his season total to 25 and
keeps Palmer holding that clipboard. Kitna has scored in all
but one game this season. He has eight touchdowns in the last
three road games.
Running Backs: Corey
Dillon had 11 carries to only four for Rudi Johnson
in week 14, but when Dillon contracted the flu and was less
effective last week, Johnson stepped in yet again to rip off
174 yards and two scores against the normally decent 49er
rush defense. In all four games where Johnson has had 20 or
more carries this season, he has gained over 100 yards or
scored. The Bengals are committed to a sharing scenario for
the end of the season but Johnson has been consistently more
productive than Dillon has this season.
Receivers: Kitna did
not throw a lot last week, but when he did he found Chad
Johnson and Peter Warrick both for touchdowns.
Johnson now has ten scores on the season and 1211 receiving
yards.
Match against the Defense: The
Rams have been tough against the run this season but mainly
because they have been ahead in most games and force others
to throw to stay in the game. Alexander had 126 yards there
last week and Jamal Lewis gained 111 yards in St. Louis. The
Bengals have incentive to rush to keep the Rams off the field
but this will be their first dome game of the season. Their
ability to run will be predicated more on game situation than
on ability. Add in that Dillon and Johnson share and it makes
it less reliable that either will have a big game.
The Rams have not allowed more than one passing score to
a visitor since week seven and only Culpepper had a big game
there (330). This game holds the potential for some fireworks
and lots of passing since the Rams are undefeated at home.
Most of the successful wideouts have come from the right
- the Warrick side as it were - but Johnson is moved around
to gain better matchups and success can be had as shown by
Randy Moss (160 yards, 1 TD) as a predominantly split end.
St. Louis Notes
The Rams rise to 11-3 and have won their last six games along
with the NFC West division crown.
Quarterbacks::
Last week Marc Bulger threw for 236 yards and two scores
along with the obligatory interception. Bulger always throws
for one score at home but has only managed two passing scores
once this season in St. Louis. He is a lock for at least 220
yards passing.
Running Backs: Marshall
Faulk scored once last week and gained 85 yards on 28
carries - his heaviest load of the season. Faulk has yet to
gain over 43 yards receiving this year and last week had only
13 yards on three catches. Last week was the first time in
five games that Faulk failed to crest 100 yards on the ground.
Receivers: Last week
Torry Holt maintained his NFL receiving lead by catching
six passes for 100 yards and one touchdown. That made the
ninth time he hit 100 or more yards this season and his ninth
game with a score. Holt had gone three games without a score
until last week.
Isaac Bruce had only two catches for 43 yards last
week but scored for the fourth game in a row. He sustained
an injury described as a mild high ankle sprain and I am expecting
him to play this week though be slightly limited. I will update
if warranted. He is not expected to practice this week and
will be evaluated on Saturday during the team walk-thru. HC
Mike Martz said he will not put Bruce at risk and the Rams
have already sewn up the division and only have to battle
the Eagles for homefield.
Match against the Defense: The
Bengals have allowed a passing score in every road game this
season since week two and three times opponents have thrown
for two scores. Bulger has a shot an a big game unless Bruce
is out and Faulk is successful by himself. The Bengals have
allowed five opponents to throw for over 300 yards this season.
Holt gets the same matchup as Owens had last week when he
gained 127 yards and a score. Even David Boston had 139 yards
and two scores from the same spot but the flankers have also
done well against the Bengals.
The Bengals also allow runners nice days and on the road
they have given up rushing scores to most of their opponents.
Jamal Lewis, Tomlinson, Shipp and Henry are all recent runners
to score and play well.
| Team Comparisons - Current team
rankings (1-32) for FF points scored or allowed
by position |
| Rank (1-32) |
QB
|
RB
|
WR
|
TE
|
PK
|
DEF
|
| CIN Scores |
8
|
11
|
3
|
29
|
5
|
11
|
| STL Allows |
22
|
14
|
26
|
24
|
9
|
29
|
| CIN AP |
14
|
3
|
23
|
-5
|
4
|
18
|
|
| Rank (1-32) |
QB
|
RB
|
WR
|
TE
|
PK
|
DEF
|
| STL Scores |
11
|
18
|
4
|
27
|
1
|
1
|
| CIN Allows |
30
|
27
|
29
|
21
|
27
|
8
|
| STL AP |
19
|
9
|
25
|
-6
|
26
|
7
|
|
Offensive ranks = #1 gains most points, Defensive
ranks = #1 allows least points
AP = Advantage Points, the net difference between a positional
rank gained or allowed by the teams.
|
CIN
|
STL
|
2003 Game Averages
|
STL
|
CIN
|
|
Gains
|
Allows
|
QB's
|
Gains
|
Allows
|
|
230
|
220
|
Pass yards
|
250
|
269
|
|
2.4
|
1.4
|
Pass TDs
|
1.4
|
1.6
|
|
0.4
|
1.6
|
Interceptions
|
1.8
|
0.6
|
|
7
|
22
|
Rush yards
|
8
|
14
|
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
Rush TDs
|
0.2
|
0.2
|
|
---
|
---
|
RB's
|
---
|
---
|
|
153
|
113
|
Rush yards
|
103
|
115
|
|
0.4
|
0.8
|
Rush TDs
|
1.0
|
1.4
|
|
30
|
26
|
Receive yards
|
28
|
45
|
|
0.2
|
0.0
|
Receive TD's
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
|
---
|
---
|
WR's
|
---
|
---
|
|
187
|
150
|
Receive yards
|
208
|
199
|
|
2.0
|
1.2
|
Receive TD's
|
1.2
|
1.2
|
|
---
|
---
|
TE's
|
---
|
---
|
|
13
|
44
|
Receive yards
|
14
|
26
|
|
0.2
|
0.2
|
Receive TD's
|
0.2
|
0.4
|
|
---
|
---
|
PK's
|
---
|
---
|
|
1.6
|
1.0
|
Field Goals
|
2.8
|
1.6
|
|
3.2
|
2.6
|
Extra Points
|
3.2
|
3.2
|
|
---
|
---
|
DEF/ST
|
---
|
---
|
|
1.0
|
0.4
|
Fumbles
|
0.8
|
0.8
|
|
0.6
|
1.8
|
Interceptions
|
1.6
|
0.4
|
|
0.4
|
0.4
|
Touchdowns
|
0.6
|
0.0
|
|
2.4
|
2.6
|
Sacks
|
3.2
|
2.6
|
|
0.0
|
0.2
|
Safeties
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
|
|
Bengals (8-6) |
|
Score |
Opp. |
| 10-30 |
DEN |
| 20-23 |
@OAK |
| 10-17 |
PIT |
| 21-14 |
@CLE |
| 16-22 |
@BUF |
| Week 6 |
BYE |
| 34-26 |
BAL |
| 27-24 |
SEA |
| 14-17 |
@ARZ |
| 34-27 |
HOU |
| 24-19 |
KC |
| 34-27 |
@SD |
| 24-20 |
@PIT |
| 13-31 |
@BAL |
| 41-38 |
SF |
| Week 16 |
@STL |
| Week 17 |
CLE |
|
|
Rams (11-3) |
|
Score |
Opp. |
| 13-23 |
@NYG |
| 27-24 |
SF |
| 23-24 |
@SEA |
| 37-13 |
ARZ |
| Week 5 |
BYE |
| 36-0 |
ATL |
| 34-24 |
GB |
| 33-21 |
@PIT |
| 10-30 |
@SF |
| 33-22 |
BAL |
| 23-21 |
@CHI |
| 30-27 |
@ARZ |
| 48-17 |
MIN |
| 26-20 |
@CLE |
| 27-22 |
SEA |
| Week 16 |
CIN |
| Week 17 |
@DET |
|
* Fantasy point rankings calculated using standard Huddle
fantasy points using only the last five games played
|