The
Huddle
WEEK 16
December 17, 2003
Season Ticket
|
|
| |
|
| Green Bay vs Oakland |
Mon, Dec 22; 9 PM on ABC at Network
Associates Coliseum |
| |
Green
Bay at OAK |
Rush
|
Catch
|
Pass
|
| QB |
Brett Favre |
0 |
0 |
230,1 |
| RB |
Ahman Green |
100,2 |
30 |
0 |
| TE |
Bubba Franks |
0 |
20,1 |
0 |
| WR |
Javon Walker |
0 |
50 |
0 |
| WR |
Donald Driver |
0 |
40 |
0 |
| WR |
Robert Ferguson |
0 |
40 |
0 |
|
| |
Oakland
vs GB |
Rush
|
Catch
|
Pass |
| QB |
Rick Mirer |
10 |
0 |
190,2 |
| RB |
Charlie Garner
|
30 |
20 |
0 |
| RB |
Tyrone Wheatley |
60 |
10 |
0 |
| TE |
O.J. Santiago |
0 |
10 |
0 |
| WR |
Tim Brown |
0 |
50,1 |
0 |
| WR |
Jerry Porter |
0 |
40 |
0 |
| WR |
Jerry Rice |
0 |
50,1 |
0 |
|
Game Prediction:
GB 24, OAK 20
This is the final Monday night game of the season and looked
much better back last April. The Raiders play far better at
home where they are 4-3 than on the road where they are 0-7.
The Packers are only 4-3 on the road and this game is a much
closer matchup than the records suggest.
The Packers give up the pass but the Raiders do not pass
much (imagine saying that a year ago). The national audience
will make the game bigger than it should be but the Packers
have everything to play for on Monday. The Raiders are coming
off a sneak attack last week and while Favre throws interceptions
with the best of them, he connects with his own players far
better than Wright did last week.
Green Bay Notes
The Packers rise to 8-6 and are tied with the Vikings for
the NFC North lead.
Quarterbacks::
Down in San Diego, the Chargers blanketed Ahman Green and
dared Brett Favre to throw. In turn, Favre had his
best game of the year throwing for 278 yards and four touchdowns.
Favre is one game away from having a perfect string of all
16 games with a passing score. He currently has 27 touchdowns
on the season. Old man? We should all grow old so well.
Running Backs: Ahman Green
was held to 75 yards on 19 carries but scored on both a run
and a pass. He has gone three weeks without a 100 yard
game
but this late in the season with potential playoffs, Sherman
already has said he is not worried and wants a healthy
Green
in January.
Receivers: Just to keep
the fantasy world on their toes, Favre's big passing game
last week did the exact opposite of what he had been doing
this season. He had Donald Driver catch eight passes
for 112 yards and one score - his first 100 yard game of the
year. He throw two scores to Robert Ferguson who had
only scored once in the previous nine weeks. And he did not
use his tight ends.
Javon Walker suffered a knee contusion in the game
last week and missed some time before returning to the game.
It tightened up on him some after the game but he is expected
to play this week.
Match against the Defense:
Favre will face a secondary that has allowed a score in each
of the last seven weeks but only once has any quarterback
thrown for two in that time (Pennington). The yardage allowed
has been as low as 105 yards and as high as 396 yards. It
has just depended on what opponents have wanted to do.
The Raiders have only allowed three wideouts to score in
the last nine weeks and it has always been on the Ferguson
side. More common has been the tight end to score though in
fairness Oakland has faced Heap, Gonzalez and Sharpe in the
last four weeks.
Ahman Green can have a nice game here and may need to do
it in order to win. The Raiders have allowed six runners to
exceed 125 yards this season and 14 different ones have scored
a touchdown. Since the Vikings have to face KC this week,
there is a good chance that winning the last two games nets
the Packers the division. With that to win, holding back Green
does not make sense.
Oakland Notes
The Raiders rise to 4-10 with their win over the Ravens.
Quarterbacks::
Rick Mirer did an impression of an NFL quarterback
at the Raider Christmas party in the Coliseum last Sunday
and it was pretty good. Mirer faced the Ravens defense and
came away with 186 yards passing with one touchdown and no
turnovers. Just like that. Considering he only threw for 68
yards against the Steeler defense the previous week, it was
quite a turnaround.
Running Backs: Tyrone Wheatley
only gained 39 yards on 13 carries against the Ravens last
week and Charlie Garner had seven runs for 28 yards with 41
more yards on four catches. Zack Crockett scored once on a
short run. It was Wheatley's lowest game since taking over
as the primary runner.
Receivers: Jerry
Rice caught his second touchdown of the season last week
though he only had 48 yards on three catches. Rice has not
exceeded 51 yards receiving in the last six games. Tim
Brown had 41 yards on four catches and may be playing
in his final home game for Oakland if he ever retires. He
only has one score on the season.
Match against the Defense: The
Packer run defense has greatly improved in the latter stages
of this season and held Tomlinson to only 51 yards last week.
They have allowed only Thomas Jones to top 100 since week
five of this season and he did it primarily on two long breaking
runs. Wheatley is not likely to break many long gainers and
as such will likely remain in the 60-80 yard range where most
primary runners have ended up, and even less if Garner takes
a bigger load.
Where the Packers defense falls short is in pass defense
where they have allowed 12 scores in the seven road games
to quarterbacks. Only Harrington failed to score on a pass.
Even Blake, Stewart and Brees scored a touchdown. Mirer will
likely hover around the 200 yard mark but should manage at
least one score.
There will be at least one touchdown thrown to Tim Brown
on Monday night. There has to be. This may be Brown's final
home game as a Raider if he retires and regardless, he is
on the national stage in the final homestand and he has been
sitting at exactly 99 career touchdowns since week four. If
the Raiders do nothing else offensively, they must give Brown
#100 on Monday night football. If they have to set it up the
entire game, so be it. They will do everything that they can
to get him that one score.
CB Mike McKenzie has a turf toe injury and may miss practice
all this week if not the game. He matches on Rice so the possibility
is there for a score as well. But Brown must score.
| Team Comparisons - Current team
rankings (1-32) for FF points scored or allowed
by position |
| Rank (1-32) |
QB
|
RB
|
WR
|
TE
|
PK
|
DEF
|
| GB Scores |
14
|
9
|
9
|
13
|
12
|
3
|
| OAK Allows |
23
|
30
|
6
|
30
|
17
|
10
|
| GB AP |
9
|
21
|
-3
|
17
|
5
|
7
|
|
| Rank (1-32) |
QB
|
RB
|
WR
|
TE
|
PK
|
DEF
|
| OAK Scores |
30
|
10
|
28
|
23
|
28
|
8
|
| GB Allows |
15
|
7
|
7
|
22
|
10
|
12
|
| OAK AP |
-15
|
-3
|
-21
|
-1
|
-18
|
4
|
|
Offensive ranks = #1 gains most points, Defensive
ranks = #1 allows least points
AP = Advantage Points, the net difference between a positional
rank gained or allowed by the teams.
|
GB
|
OAK
|
2003 Game Averages
|
OAK
|
GB
|
|
Gains
|
Allows
|
QB's
|
Gains
|
Allows
|
|
203
|
241
|
Pass yards
|
164
|
219
|
|
2.0
|
1.0
|
Pass TDs
|
0.4
|
1.0
|
|
1.8
|
1.2
|
Interceptions
|
0.4
|
1.6
|
|
1
|
12
|
Rush yards
|
13
|
11
|
|
0.0
|
0.2
|
Rush TDs
|
0.2
|
0.0
|
|
---
|
---
|
RB's
|
---
|
---
|
|
135
|
128
|
Rush yards
|
122
|
80
|
|
0.6
|
1.2
|
Rush TDs
|
1.2
|
0.2
|
|
25
|
60
|
Receive yards
|
26
|
45
|
|
0.4
|
0.0
|
Receive TD's
|
0.0
|
0.4
|
|
---
|
---
|
WR's
|
---
|
---
|
|
149
|
129
|
Receive yards
|
107
|
123
|
|
1.4
|
0.4
|
Receive TD's
|
0.4
|
0.6
|
|
---
|
---
|
TE's
|
---
|
---
|
|
28
|
52
|
Receive yards
|
31
|
50
|
|
0.2
|
0.6
|
Receive TD's
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
|
---
|
---
|
PK's
|
---
|
---
|
|
1.4
|
1.4
|
Field Goals
|
1.0
|
1.2
|
|
3.0
|
2.4
|
Extra Points
|
2.0
|
2.4
|
|
---
|
---
|
DEF/ST
|
---
|
---
|
|
1.2
|
1.2
|
Fumbles
|
1.2
|
0.4
|
|
1.6
|
0.6
|
Interceptions
|
1.2
|
1.6
|
|
0.4
|
0.0
|
Touchdowns
|
0.2
|
0.2
|
|
3.0
|
1.8
|
Sacks
|
2.0
|
1.0
|
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
Safeties
|
0.2
|
0.0
|
|
|
Packers
(8-6) |
|
Score |
Opp. |
| 25-30 |
MIN |
| 31-6 |
DET |
| 13-20 |
@ARZ |
| 38-23 |
@CHI |
| 35-13 |
SEA |
| 34-40 |
KC |
| 24-34 |
@STL |
| Week 8 |
BYE |
| 30-27 |
@MIN |
| 14-17 |
PHI |
| 20-13 |
@TB |
| 20-10 |
SF |
| 14-22 |
@DET |
| 34-21 |
CHI |
| 38-21 |
@SD |
| Week 16 |
@OAK |
| Week 17 |
DEN |
|
|
Raiders (4-10) |
| Score |
Opp. |
| 20-25 |
@TEN |
| 23-20 |
CIN |
| 10-31 |
@DEN |
| 34-31 |
SD |
| 21-24 |
@CHI |
| 7-13 |
@CLE |
| 10-17 |
KC |
| Week 8 |
BYE |
| 13-23 |
@DET |
| 24-27 |
NYJ |
| 28-18 |
MIN |
| 24-27 |
@KC |
| 8-22 |
DEN |
| 7-27 |
@PIT |
| 20-12 |
BAL |
| Week 16 |
GB |
| Week 17 |
@SD |
|
* Fantasy point rankings calculated using standard Huddle
fantasy points using only the last five games played
|