The
Huddle
WEEK 16
December 17, 2003
Season Ticket
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| |
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| Kansas City vs Minnesota |
Sat, Dec 20; 5 PM on CBS at Metrodome |
| |
Kansas
City at MIN |
Rush
|
Catch
|
Pass
|
| QB |
Trent Green |
0 |
0 |
230,1 |
| RB |
Priest Holmes |
90,2 |
20 |
0 |
| TE |
Tony Gonzalez |
0 |
60 |
0 |
| WR |
Johnnie Morton |
0 |
50 |
0 |
| WR |
Dante Hall |
0 |
60,1 |
0 |
| WR |
Eddie Kennison |
0 |
60 |
0 |
|
| |
Minnesota
vs KC |
Rush
|
Catch
|
Pass
|
| QB |
Daunte
Culpepper |
40 |
0 |
230,2 |
| RB |
Michael Bennett |
80,1 |
0 |
0 |
| RB |
Moe Williams
|
20 |
30 |
0 |
| TE |
J. Kleinsasser
|
0 |
40,1 |
0 |
| WR |
Randy Moss |
0 |
100,1 |
0 |
| WR |
Kelly Campbell |
0 |
20 |
0 |
| WR |
Nate Burleson |
0 |
20 |
0 |
|
Game Prediction:
KC 26, MIN 24
Update: Michael Bennett has
returned to practice this week though he has experienced soreness
in his knee. He is expected to play and will start though
HC Mike Tice has qualified that with "for as long as
he can". Chances are that Bennett at 80% is better than
the others at 100%. He should provide a big game here for
as long as his knee does not bother him and as always is possible
to breakoff a long run. I am downgrading his numbers slightly
but his performance will be affected by his in-game health.
Onterrio Smith will likely get a few
carries though he too is nursing a hamstring strain. His playing
time will rely on what Bennett can and cannot do.
This will be the first dome game for the Chiefs and likely
the last chance that they could lose in the regular season.
The Vikings cannot afford a loss here if they still hope to
win the division and could have slightly overlooked the Bears
last week in a game they should have won.
This game will produce good fantasy points and likely for
the more notable players. Chiefs will have to fight to win
this one and Priest Holmes needs to continue to score to chase
his touchdown record.
Kansas City Notes
The Chiefs rise to 12-2 on the season and are tied with New
England for the best record in the NFL.
Quarterbacks::
Trent Green turned in a monster game last week when
he threw for 341 yards and three touchdowns, completing 20
of 25 passes against the Detroit defense. He ended with the
highest possible QB rating of 158.3 for the game. It was his
fifth game this season with over 300 yards passing.
Running Backs: Priest
Holmes had 18 carries for 94 yards and three touchdowns
last week but did not play in the fourth quarter. HC Dick
Vermiel later said it was the first time this season that
Holmes has been truly healthy. There is a scary thought. He
already has 22 touchdowns this season and needs only four
more to tie Emmitt Smith's record.
Receivers: Green's gaudy
passing yards last week were not thanks to the wideouts who
never gained more than 50 yards individually nor scored. Instead,
Derrick Blaylock had one long score and ended with
106 receiving yards while Tony Gonzalez had 93 yards
and two touchdowns. He now has ten touchdowns on the season.
Marc Boerigter suffered an ankle injury against Detroit
and will be doubtful to play on Saturday.
Match against the Defense:
Step one - Priest Holmes.
The Vikings have allowed two 100 yard games in Minny this
season - Portis (117) and Green (137). Only three runners
have scored a touchdown on the ground as a visitor and none
had more than one. Holmes needs two or three here to have
a shot at the record that Vermiel would like to see him get.
Expect that Holmes will run well but likely not 25 or 30
times. His runs will be rationed but he will always get the
ball close to the endzone.
Green faces a secondary that has kept all opponent quarterbacks
to less than 218 yards with the lone exception of Kerry Collins
(375). Minnesota has allowed passing scores in six of eight
home games this season but only Favre and Collins have exceeded
more than one.
The scores have heavily favored the right side which would
benefit Kennison in the game but with Holmes and Gonzalez
there, wideouts often do not matter. There has been only one
tight end touchdown against the Vikings this season.
Minnesota Notes
The Vikings fall to 8-6 and are tied with the Packers in
the NFC North.
Quarterbacks::
Daunte Culpepper had problems with the Bears last week,
throwing for only 222 yards and one score but he almost always
has lesser games against Chicago. Culpepper will be at home
this week where he is always better - he has multiple touchdowns
in every game there this season except one odd game against
the Lions.
Running Backs: Last week
Michael Bennett did not play despite words from HC
Mike Tice during the week that he would. In his place, Onterrio
Smith ran for 148 yards on 27 carries even though he missed
the final four minutes of the game due to a hamstring strain.
He is still considered probable for this week as will be Bennett
with his mysterious sprained ankle. Tice said both will play
this week but loses a little credibility after last week.
On Monday, Tice revealed that Moe Williams is playing
with a slight tear to the cartilage in his knee but is not
expected to miss time because of it.
Receivers: The Bears
always play the Vikes tough and it was a standard game last
week when Randy Moss had 93 yards on nine catches and
one score. No other receiver did more than 55 yards (Moe Williams).
The Vikings still have no viable complement to Moss since
back when Cris Carter played.
Match against the Defense: Credible
word on what runner will be playing is critical when facing
the Chiefs because their rush defense only gets worse. Last
week they allowed the worst rushing team in the league to
gain 135 yards and one score. For now I am assuming that Bennett
returns but will update if needed. Not only will the weakest
rush defense affect the game plan, but keeping Green and company
from the field is an added benefit. LB Mike Maslowski is questionable
to play this week with a knee injury and his replacement is
the rookie Kawika Mitchell who has been even worse against
the run.
The Chiefs on the road have allowed two passing scores to
three of the last five opponents and that is considering that
opponents are running wild anyway. Culpepper will not likely
have a huge game in yardage passing but is definitely qualified
to score a couple of times. The Chiefs have allowed four tight
ends to score this season which is favorable for Kleinsasser.
| Team Comparisons - Current team
rankings (1-32) for FF points scored or allowed
by position |
| Rank (1-32) |
QB
|
RB
|
WR
|
TE
|
PK
|
DEF
|
| KC Scores |
3
|
3
|
21
|
1
|
7
|
32
|
| MIN Allows |
4
|
17
|
11
|
10
|
7
|
32
|
| KC AP |
1
|
14
|
-10
|
9
|
0
|
0
|
|
| Rank (1-32) |
QB
|
RB
|
WR
|
TE
|
PK
|
DEF
|
| MIN Scores |
1
|
13
|
6
|
14
|
19
|
6
|
| KC Allows |
24
|
32
|
21
|
17
|
15
|
1
|
| MIN AP |
23
|
19
|
15
|
3
|
-4
|
-5
|
|
Offensive ranks = #1 gains most points, Defensive
ranks = #1 allows least points
AP = Advantage Points, the net difference between a positional
rank gained or allowed by the teams.
|
KC
|
MIN
|
2003 Game Averages
|
MIN
|
KC
|
|
Gains
|
Allows
|
QB's
|
Gains
|
Allows
|
|
296
|
192
|
Pass yards
|
284
|
220
|
|
1.8
|
0.4
|
Pass TDs
|
1.2
|
1.4
|
|
0.4
|
1.4
|
Interceptions
|
1.2
|
0.6
|
|
5
|
10
|
Rush yards
|
35
|
21
|
|
0.2
|
0.2
|
Rush TDs
|
0.2
|
0.2
|
|
---
|
---
|
RB's
|
---
|
---
|
|
110
|
95
|
Rush yards
|
112
|
155
|
|
1.8
|
1.6
|
Rush TDs
|
0.4
|
1.6
|
|
71
|
18
|
Receive yards
|
71
|
34
|
|
0.2
|
0.0
|
Receive TD's
|
0.0
|
0.4
|
|
---
|
---
|
WR's
|
---
|
---
|
|
159
|
142
|
Receive yards
|
173
|
153
|
|
0.2
|
0.4
|
Receive TD's
|
1.2
|
0.8
|
|
---
|
---
|
TE's
|
---
|
---
|
|
67
|
32
|
Receive yards
|
40
|
33
|
|
1.4
|
0.0
|
Receive TD's
|
0.0
|
0.2
|
|
---
|
---
|
PK's
|
---
|
---
|
|
1.4
|
0.8
|
Field Goals
|
1.2
|
1.0
|
|
3.6
|
2.8
|
Extra Points
|
2.4
|
3.4
|
|
---
|
---
|
DEF/ST
|
---
|
---
|
|
0.4
|
1.2
|
Fumbles
|
0.6
|
0.0
|
|
0.6
|
1.2
|
Interceptions
|
1.6
|
0.4
|
|
0.0
|
0.6
|
Touchdowns
|
0.6
|
0.2
|
|
1.2
|
3.6
|
Sacks
|
1.0
|
1.2
|
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
Safeties
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
|
| Chiefs
(12-2) |
| Score |
Opp. |
| 27-14 |
SD |
| 41-20 |
PIT |
| 42-14 |
@HOU |
| 17-10 |
@BAL |
| 24-23 |
DEN |
| 40-34 |
@GB |
| 17-10 |
@OAK |
| 38-5 |
BUF |
| Week 9 |
BYE |
| 41-20 |
CLE |
| 19-24 |
@CIN |
| 27-24 |
OAK |
| 28-24 |
@SD |
| 27-45 |
@DEN |
| 45-17 |
DET |
| Week 16 |
@MIN |
| Week 17 |
CHI |
|
|
Vikings (8-6) |
|
Score |
Opp. |
| 30-25 |
@GB |
| 24-13 |
CHI |
| 23-13 |
@DET |
| 35-7 |
SF |
| 39-26 |
@ATL |
| Week 6 |
BYE |
| 28-20 |
DEN |
| 17-29 |
NYG |
| 27-30 |
GB |
| 28-42 |
@SD |
| 18-28 |
@OAK |
| 24-14 |
DET |
| 17-48 |
@STL |
| 34-7 |
SEA |
| 10-13 |
@CHI |
| Week 16 |
KC |
| Week 17 |
@ARZ |
|
* Fantasy point rankings calculated using standard Huddle
fantasy points using only the last five games played
|