The
Huddle
WEEK 16
December 17, 2003
Season Ticket
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| Miami vs Buffalo |
Sun, Dec 21; 1 PM on CBS at Ralph
Wilson Stadium |
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Miami
at BUF |
Rush
|
Catch
|
Pass
|
| QB |
Jay Fiedler |
10 |
0 |
200,1 |
| RB |
Ricky Williams
|
100,1 |
20 |
0 |
| TE |
Randy McMichael
|
0 |
50,1 |
0 |
| WR |
Chris Chambers
|
0 |
60 |
0 |
| WR |
Derrius Thompson
|
0 |
40 |
0 |
| WR |
James McKnight
|
0 |
20 |
0 |
|
| |
Buffalo
vs MIA |
Rush
|
Catch
|
Pass
|
| QB |
Drew Bledsoe
|
0 |
0 |
190,1 |
| RB |
Travis Henry |
80,1 |
10 |
0 |
| TE |
M. Campbell |
0 |
20 |
0 |
| WR |
Eric Moulds |
0 |
40 |
0 |
| WR |
Josh Reed |
0 |
30 |
0 |
| WR |
Bobby Shaw |
0 |
50,1 |
0 |
|
Game Prediction:
MIA 17, BUF 14
Update: James McKnight has been
limited in practice due to a knee sprain and is questionable
to play. I am downgrading his numbers.
In their last meeting, the Fins demolished the Bills 17-7
in a game that Ricky Williams ran wild and the Bills were
absolutely punchless on offense. This time around the Dolphins
are tired from Monday night and fighting an emotional letdown
while the Bills also come off a heartbreaking loss to the
Titans in a game they could have won.
Look for plenty of rushing this week and the game is more
of a coin toss than may seem. Miami brings a better rushing
game and a slightly better defense and has been a better road
team than home version this season.
Miami Notes
The Dolphins fall to 8-6 with their Monday night loss to
the Eagles. They are still in the hunt for a wildcard.
Quarterbacks::
Jay Fielder threw for 240 yards and two interceptions
against the Eagles and scored on a rushing attempt at the
goal line. Other than his big game in Dallas on Thanksgiving,
Fielder has not thrown a touchdown since he returned from
injury in week 12. Back in week three against the Jets, Fielder
had 154 yards passing with one score in a game more dedicated
to running Ricky Williams.
Running Backs: Ricky Williams
turned in his sixth 100 yard game of the year when he
rushed for 107 yards and one touchdown last week against the
Eagles. His best game of the year was back in week three against
the Bills when he gained 153 yards and one touchdown.
Receivers: Chris Chambers
led wideouts last week with five catches for 86 yards but
Randy McMichael became the go to guy with seven catches for
95 yards. McMichael had not caught for more than 24 yards
in the previous five games.
Back in week three, Chambers had only 51 yards but scored
once against the Bills while McMichael snared five passes
for 57 yards in that game.
Match against the Defense:
These teams play off games against one another. When Miami
won at home earlier this season, it concluded a five game
stretch where the visiting team always won between these two
clubs.
The Bills have allowed only two passing scores in Buffalo
this season and that includes holding Manning, Pennington
and McNabb scoreless. The defense at home steps up very well
and has never allowed a visiting opponent to throw for over
229 yards with most below 200. That fits well into the pattern
of Fiedler.
The Bills rushing defense has been decent but has allowed
good yards this season because opponents have ran so much
against them. The problem is that the Bills offense has sputtered
so much that opponents just run the ball for much of the second
half of games. Ricky Williams should have a nice day here
- he already has his best game of the season against the same
Bills and the passing game is not likely to produce much.
Buffalo Notes
The Bills slide to 6-8 on the season with their loss to the
Titans.
Quarterbacks::
Drew Bledsoe had only his third two touchdown game
of the season last week in Tennessee though he only gained
168 yards passing and has never thrown for more than one score
while at home this year. In week three against the Dolphins,
Bledsoe was brutalized in Miami and only had 98 yards and
ten completions in that game.
Running Backs: Travis Henry
gained 88 yards last week which brought to an end a nice two
game streak he had going with 100+ yard games and a score
in each of the previous two weeks. Against the Dolphins in
week three, he only had five carries for seven yards but gained
151 yards on 35 carries against them in Buffalo last season.
Receivers: Bobby Shaw
had 57 yards and a score last week while Josh Reed
failed to catch any passes. Eric Moulds only had 48
yards and has not seen a decent game since week four of the
season. Back when the Bills went to Miami in week three, no
Bills receiver had over 34 yards receiving.
Match against the Defense:
This game will be harder to call since the Dolphins took a
major emotional blow last Monday in their loss to the Eagles
and now have a short week to prepare to hit the road to New
York.
Henry was a complete non-factor earlier this year but turned
in a big game in Buffalo last year against the Dolphins. Still,
Miami has not allowed any runner this season to top 100 yards
and have surrendered only one rushing score on the road this
season. Henry should turn in a decent afternoon if only from
his volume of carries.
Bledsoe faces a secondary that has not been as good this
season as usual but he has not shown the ability to take advantage
of a soft defense. Miami will be playing aggressively because
they must stop Henry which will in turn give Bledsoe a problem
in the pocket from as lack of protection.
Look for a very moderate passing game from Bledsoe and if
any receiver scores, it would most likely be Shaw as the #3
drawing the safety in coverage.
| Team Comparisons - Current team
rankings (1-32) for FF points scored or allowed
by position |
| Rank (1-32) |
QB
|
RB
|
WR
|
TE
|
PK
|
DEF
|
| MIA Scores |
21
|
19
|
20
|
25
|
13
|
7
|
| BUF Allows |
13
|
4
|
22
|
11
|
3
|
7
|
| MIA AP |
-8
|
-15
|
2
|
-14
|
-10
|
0
|
|
| Rank (1-32) |
QB
|
RB
|
WR
|
TE
|
PK
|
DEF
|
| BUF Scores |
28
|
17
|
23
|
18
|
20
|
10
|
| MIA Allows |
11
|
15
|
5
|
13
|
19
|
19
|
| BUF AP |
-17
|
-2
|
-18
|
-5
|
-1
|
-9
|
|
Offensive ranks = #1 gains most points, Defensive
ranks = #1 allows least points
AP = Advantage Points, the net difference between a positional
rank gained or allowed by the teams.
|
MIA
|
BUF
|
2003 Game Averages
|
BUF
|
MIA
|
|
Gains
|
Allows
|
QB's
|
Gains
|
Allows
|
|
182
|
226
|
Pass yards
|
162
|
196
|
|
0.8
|
0.8
|
Pass TDs
|
1.0
|
0.8
|
|
1.4
|
0.6
|
Interceptions
|
0.6
|
1.4
|
|
7
|
1
|
Rush yards
|
2
|
15
|
|
0.4
|
0.2
|
Rush TDs
|
0.2
|
0.2
|
|
---
|
---
|
RB's
|
---
|
---
|
|
113
|
73
|
Rush yards
|
132
|
96
|
|
0.8
|
0.4
|
Rush TDs
|
0.6
|
0.8
|
|
29
|
32
|
Receive yards
|
24
|
38
|
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
Receive TD's
|
0.0
|
0.4
|
|
---
|
---
|
WR's
|
---
|
---
|
|
124
|
172
|
Receive yards
|
126
|
120
|
|
0.8
|
0.6
|
Receive TD's
|
0.6
|
0.4
|
|
---
|
---
|
TE's
|
---
|
---
|
|
29
|
22
|
Receive yards
|
12
|
39
|
|
0.0
|
0.2
|
Receive TD's
|
0.4
|
0.0
|
|
---
|
---
|
PK's
|
---
|
---
|
|
1.6
|
1.0
|
Field Goals
|
1.2
|
1.6
|
|
2.2
|
1.8
|
Extra Points
|
2.0
|
2.0
|
|
---
|
---
|
DEF/ST
|
---
|
---
|
|
1.0
|
0.8
|
Fumbles
|
0.6
|
0.6
|
|
1.4
|
0.2
|
Interceptions
|
0.4
|
1.4
|
|
0.2
|
0.0
|
Touchdowns
|
0.2
|
0.2
|
|
2.8
|
3.0
|
Sacks
|
4.0
|
2.0
|
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
Safeties
|
0.4
|
0.2
|
|
|
Dolphins (8-5) |
|
Score |
Opp. |
| 20-21 |
HOU |
| 21-10 |
@NYJ |
| 17-7 |
BUF |
| Week 4 |
BYE |
| 23-10 |
@NYG |
| 24-10 |
@JAX |
| 13-19 |
NE |
| 26-10 |
@SD |
| 17-23 |
IND |
| 7-31 |
@TEN |
| 9-6 |
BAL |
| 24-23 |
WAS |
| 41-20 |
@DAL |
| 0-12 |
@NE |
| Week 15 |
PHI |
| Week 16 |
@BUF |
| Week 17 |
NYJ |
|
|
Bills (6-8) |
|
Score |
Opp. |
| 31-0 |
NE |
| 38-17 |
@JAX |
| 7-17 |
@MIA |
| 13-23 |
PHI |
| 22-16 |
CIN |
| 3-30 |
@NYJ |
| 24-7 |
WAS |
| 5-38 |
@KC |
| Week 9 |
BYE |
| 6-10 |
@DAL |
| 10-12 |
HOU |
| 14-17 |
IND |
| 24-7 |
@NYG |
| 17-6 |
NYJ |
| 26-28 |
@TEN |
| Week 16 |
MIA |
| Week 17 |
@NE |
|
* Fantasy point rankings calculated using standard Huddle
fantasy points using only the last five games played
|