The
Huddle
WEEK 16
December 17, 2003
Season Ticket
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| New Orleans vs Jacksonville |
Sun, Dec 21; 1 PM on FOX at ALLTEL
Stadium |
| |
New
Orleans at JAX |
Rush
|
Catch
|
Pass
|
| QB |
Aaron Brooks |
10 |
0 |
200,1 |
| RB |
Deuce McAllister |
80,1 |
30 |
0 |
| TE |
Boo Williams |
0 |
30 |
0 |
| WR |
Joe Horn |
0 |
70,1 |
0 |
| WR |
Donte Stallworth |
0 |
20 |
0 |
| WR |
Jerome Pathon |
0 |
40 |
0 |
|
| |
Jacksonville
vs NO |
Rush
|
Catch
|
Pass
|
| QB |
Byron Leftwich |
0 |
0 |
230,1 |
| RB |
Fred Taylor |
100,1 |
20 |
0 |
| TE |
Kyle Brady |
0 |
20,1 |
0 |
| WR |
Jimmy Smith |
0 |
60 |
0 |
| WR |
Kevin Johnson |
0 |
70 |
0 |
| WR |
Troy Edwards |
0 |
20 |
0 |
|
Game Prediction:
NO 17, JAX 20
This is a coin toss game since the Saints are scoring well
on offense and the Jaguars are playing tough on defense. This
game could hinge on a turnover and that clearly favors the
hometeam.
New Orleans Notes
The Saints come off perhaps the most enjoyable game in the
history of their franchise by throttling the Giants and rising
to 7-7 on the season. They are still in the playoff hunt though
it requires a calculator and schedule to explain.
Quarterbacks::
After being threatened with a demotion if his fumbling problem
was not resolved, Aaron Brooks turned in his best game
of the season against the Giants when he threw for 296 yards
and five scores. Todd Bouman was inserted into the game but
mainly to allow Brooks the rare gloating smile on the sidelines.
For the record, he did lose yet another fumble and he leads
the league with an even dozen lost balls.
Running Backs: After
his string of nine games with 100+ rushing yards, Deuce
McAllister now has two straight games under the mark.
He ran for 80 yards on 15 carries last week and added 65 on
eight receptions.
Receivers: Joe Horn
planted the infamous cell phone in the goal post last week
for when he caught his second touchdown but even he did not
figure he would need it again when he scored two more. Horn
ended with 133 yards on nine catches, a highlight reel and
a bill for $30,000 from the NFL. Horn did not score in the
previous five games.
Adding to the near folly atmosphere last week was the return
of Donte Stallworth who had two catches for 23 yards.
It was his first two catch day since week three of the season.
Jerome Pathon even scored for the first time in ten weeks.
Match against the Defense: The
Jaguars defense has come on very well over the last few weeks
and in their last nine games have recovered three fumbles
and snagged nine interceptions. Chances are high that they
have read about Brooks propensity to drop the ball.
The last two quarterbacks in Jacksonville did not score and
only Manning has recently burned this secondary. Tom Brady
had two scores against them in New England last week but six
of the previous eight quarterbacks failed to throw for over
186 yards or more than one touchdown against them.
In the favor of Joe Horn, that single touchdown pass has
almost always gone to the #1 receiver for the opponent.
No runner has gained more than 88 yards in Jacksonville and
only Stephen Davis (111 yards) has done it when the Jaguars
were on the road. Chances are best that McAllister will yet
again fail to meet the 100 mark. In combination with receiving
yardage he could just hit it as have George, James and Martin.
Jacksonville Notes
The Jaguars fall to 4-10 with their loss in New England.
Quarterbacks::
Byron Leftwich threw for an impressive 288 yards against
the Patriots in terrible weather but only scored once and
had two interceptions last week. It was his biggest performance
in the past eight weeks and third straight scoring game.
Mark Brunell will be the #3 quarterback this week
but has been made a team captain for the game so he can wave
good-bye to the fans after the coin toss.
Running Backs: Fred Taylor
was bottled up last week and only gained 57 yards on 16 carries,
ending his string of three games over 100 yards. LaBrandon
Toefield had no touches in the game for the first time
this season.
Chris Fuamatu-Ma'afala was active but never used since
he is still recovering from a knee injury.
Receivers: Jimmy Smith
only managed to catch two of his nine passes but gained 73
yards last week. The lead receiver was Kevin Johnson
who had five catches for 87 yards and one score, his first
as a Jaguar and his best yardage game so far. No other receiver
had more than 21 yards last week.
Match against the Defense: The
Saints rush defense has been poor all season and have allowed
six different runners to exceed 100 yards on the ground which
includes Trung Canidate (115) and monster games for the big
names like Alexander (108,1), Davis (159, 1 and 178, 2) and
Warrick Dunn (162). There is plenty of opportunity here for
Fred Taylor to get back to his 100 yard ways.
The Saints have allowed five passers to throw for more than
one touchdown and most manage around 250 yards when New Orleans
visits. That would be the higher side for what Leftwich typically
does but possible. The Saints secondary has allowed only McCardell
to score as a wideout since week seven and almost all scoring
wideouts this season against the Saints have been the flanker
like Kevin Johnson. He would be the most likely receiver to
score though Smith is more heavily favored by Leftwich. No
wideout has scored on the Saints in the past five weeks.
| Team Comparisons - Current team
rankings (1-32) for FF points scored or allowed
by position |
| Rank (1-32) |
QB
|
RB
|
WR
|
TE
|
PK
|
DEF
|
| NO Scores |
12
|
4
|
14
|
4
|
14
|
16
|
| JAX Allows |
2
|
3
|
4
|
18
|
4
|
3
|
| NO AP |
-10
|
-1
|
-10
|
14
|
-10
|
-13
|
|
| Rank (1-32) |
QB
|
RB
|
WR
|
TE
|
PK
|
DEF
|
| JAX Scores |
26
|
14
|
16
|
16
|
21
|
24
|
| NO Allows |
6
|
28
|
1
|
25
|
20
|
31
|
| JAX AP |
-20
|
14
|
-15
|
9
|
-1
|
7
|
|
Offensive ranks = #1 gains most points, Defensive
ranks = #1 allows least points
AP = Advantage Points, the net difference between a positional
rank gained or allowed by the teams.
|
NO
|
JAX
|
2003 Game Averages
|
JAX
|
NO
|
|
Gains
|
Allows
|
QB's
|
Gains
|
Allows
|
|
238
|
171
|
Pass yards
|
206
|
185
|
|
1.6
|
0.8
|
Pass TDs
|
0.8
|
0.8
|
|
2.8
|
0.8
|
Interceptions
|
1.0
|
0.8
|
|
12
|
17
|
Rush yards
|
2
|
17
|
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
Rush TDs
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
|
---
|
---
|
RB's
|
---
|
---
|
|
147
|
60
|
Rush yards
|
141
|
131
|
|
0.8
|
0.4
|
Rush TDs
|
0.6
|
0.8
|
|
50
|
35
|
Receive yards
|
22
|
54
|
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
Receive TD's
|
0.0
|
0.2
|
|
---
|
---
|
WR's
|
---
|
---
|
|
136
|
102
|
Receive yards
|
156
|
110
|
|
1.0
|
0.6
|
Receive TD's
|
0.6
|
0.0
|
|
---
|
---
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TE's
|
---
|
---
|
|
52
|
34
|
Receive yards
|
27
|
21
|
|
0.6
|
0.2
|
Receive TD's
|
0.2
|
0.6
|
|
---
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---
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PK's
|
---
|
---
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|
1.4
|
1.2
|
Field Goals
|
1.4
|
1.6
|
|
2.8
|
1.2
|
Extra Points
|
1.4
|
2.0
|
|
---
|
---
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DEF/ST
|
---
|
---
|
|
1.0
|
0.4
|
Fumbles
|
1.0
|
1.2
|
|
0.8
|
1.0
|
Interceptions
|
0.8
|
1.2
|
|
0.4
|
0.0
|
Touchdowns
|
0.0
|
0.4
|
|
1.4
|
0.8
|
Sacks
|
2.2
|
3.4
|
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
Safeties
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
|
|
Saints (7-7) |
|
Score |
Opp. |
| 10-27 |
@SEA |
| 31-10 |
HOU |
| 12-27 |
@TEN |
| 21-55 |
IND |
| 13-19 |
@CAR |
| 20-13 |
CHI |
| 45-17 |
@ATL |
| 20-23 |
CAR |
| 17-14 |
@TB |
| Week 10 |
BYE |
| 23-20 |
ATL |
| 20-33 |
@PHI |
| 24-20 |
@WAS |
| 7-14 |
TB |
| 45-7 |
NYG |
| Week 16 |
@JAX |
| Week 17 |
DAL |
|
|
Jaguars (4-10) |
|
Score |
Opp. |
| 23-24 |
@CAR |
| 17-38 |
BUF |
| 13-23 |
@IND |
| 20-24 |
@HOU |
| 27-21 |
SD |
| 10-24 |
MIA |
| Week 7 |
BYE |
| 17-30 |
TEN |
| 17-24 |
@BAL |
| 28-23 |
IND |
| 3-10 |
@TEN |
| 10-13 |
@NYJ |
| 17-10 |
TB |
| 27-0 |
HOU |
| 13-27 |
@NE |
| Week 16 |
NO |
| Week 17 |
@ATL |
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* Fantasy point rankings calculated using standard Huddle
fantasy points for the last five games played
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