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Predictions & Projections
By David M. Dorey
 
The Huddle
WEEK 16
December 17, 2003
Season Ticket
Saturday Sun 1 PM Sun 1 PM Sun 4 PM Sun 8:30 PM
ATL at TB 1 BAL at CLE NYG at DAL ARZ at SEA DEN at IND
KC at MIN 5 CIN at STL NO at JAX SD at PIT Mon 9 PM
NE at NYJ 8:30 DET at CAR TEN at HOU SF at PHI GB at OAK
Times EST MIA at BUF WAS at CHI *updated
   
NY Giants vs Dallas Sun, Dec 21; 1 PM on FOX at Texas Stadium
  NY Giants at DAL Rush Catch Pass
QB Jesse Palmer 0 0 130
RB Tiki Barber 40 20 0
WR Amani Toomer 0 30 0
WR V. Shiancoe Q 20 Q
WR Willie Ponder Q 20 Q
WR Ike Hilliard Q Q Q
WR David Tyree 0 30 0
  Dallas vs NYG Rush Catch Pass
QB Quincy Carter 0 0 260,3
RB Richie Anderson 20 20 0
RB Troy Hambrick 70 10 0
TE Dan Campbell 0 20 0
WR Joey Galloway 0 70,1 0
WR Terry Glenn 0 80,1 0
WR Antonio Bryant 0 60,1 0

Game Prediction: NYG 0, DAL 24

The Giants are without Collins and likely Hilliard or Shockey this week and regardless, it would not matter since they have the worst offensive line in the league. The Cowboys are in their final homegame of the season other than a potential wildcard game and the defense will be plenty to make the misery continue for the beleaguered G-man.

NY Giants Notes

The Giants fall to only 4-10 on the season and have lost their last six games. They no longer merely lose games but are now being humiliated as displayed by the 45-7 thrashing in New Orleans where Joe Horn was calling Dominos delivery to order a real defense.

Quarterbacks:: Jesse Palmer played decent enough in the rare times that the Giants had the ball last week, completing 15 of 26 passes for 140 yards and one score with no turnovers. Kerry Collins missed last week with a high ankle sprain and while he may be ready this week, HC Jim Fassel has said that he may keep Collins sidelined if he is not mobile enough to avoid the certain crushing beating due any Giants quarterback.

Running Backs: Tiki Barber only gained 37 yards on 11 carries and had five catches for 33 yards. To ensure that he would have minimal fantasy value, Dorsey Levens came in for the only touchdown in the game. Barber only gained 41 yards in his previous meeting with the Cowboys.

Receivers: This is just not pretty, Amani Toomer had two catches for 20 yards last Sunday compared to 204 yards and three scores last season in week 16. Other than his one long touchdown catch in Buffalo, Toomer has done nothing in the last six games. Ike Hilliard was out last week but only had a high of 43 yards in the previous five games anyway.

Both Toomer and Hilliard had big games in their last meeting with Dallas but that was long ago on a team that no longer exists. I am assuming Hilliard and Shockey do not play this week but will update as warranted.

Match against the Defense: This could be a shutout.

Dallas has the corners to take out Toomer and any one else even if Palmer gets time to throw. Dallas is vying for a playoff spot and the Giants have given up. Plain and simple.

Dallas Notes

Dallas rises to 9-5 with their shutout of the Redskins last week.

Quarterbacks:: Quincy Carter only completed 10 of 24 passes last week for 108 yards against the decent secondary of Washington. He threw one touchdown to Richie Anderson but the Cowboys were in a rushing game plan the entire game. In his last meeting against the Giants, Carter had his biggest game of his career, throwing for 321 yards and rushing for one score.

Running Backs: Troy Hambrick had a career game last week when he ran for 189 yards on 33 carries, giving him his third 100 yard game of the season. Hambrick only gained 60 yards on 23 carries in his previous meeting with the Giants in a game that featured the pass more than the run. Richie Anderson scored once last week on a short pass while Eric Bickerstaff had only once carry for a touchdown when Hambrick took a breather on the sideline after a long run.

Receivers: With minimal passing last week, the receivers had no significant numbers but back in week three, Terry Glenn had 113 yards and Antonio Bryant turned in 98 yards. Dallas will be able to pass this week but any of the three receivers could benefit.

Match against the Defense: Because someone on the Giants staff said that it could not get any worse, -CB Ralph Brown injured his shoulder last week and is doubtful to play and CB Kato Serwanga reinjured his hip and knee Sunday. That favors all the receivers but likely Glenn a little more. Horn had four touchdowns last week playing the same position as Galloway but Joey has been pretty quiet this season.

Hambrick will face a defensive front that is still playing pretty well. They held McAllister to only 80 yards and should do the same to Hambrick. With the Giants secondary in shambles, passing is the way to have fun against New York.

Team Comparisons - Current team rankings (1-32) for FF points scored or allowed by position
Rank (1-32)
QB
RB
WR
TE
PK
DEF
NYG Scores
29
28
25
26
32
28
DAL Allows
17
16
9
4
22
25
NYG AP
-12
-12
-16
-22
-10
-3
Rank (1-32)
QB
RB
WR
TE
PK
DEF
DAL Scores
9
8
29
10
30
26
NYG Allows
27
24
30
7
16
30
DAL AP
18
16
1
-3
-14
-4
Offensive ranks = #1 gains most points, Defensive ranks = #1 allows least points
AP = Advantage Points, the net difference between a positional rank gained or allowed by the teams.
NYG
DAL
2003 Game Averages
DAL
NYG
Gains
Allows
QB's
Gains
Allows
189
186
Pass yards
191
261
0.6
1.4
Pass TDs
1.2
2.4
0.8
1.0
Interceptions
1.8
0.2
9
6
Rush yards
49
1
0.0
0.2
Rush TDs
0.2
0.0
---
---
RB's
---
---
82
96
Rush yards
102
110
0.2
0.6
Rush TDs
0.6
0.8
33
41
Receive yards
60
48
0.2
0.6
Receive TD's
0.4
0.4
---
---
WR's
---
---
139
127
Receive yards
106
194
0.2
0.6
Receive TD's
0.4
1.8
---
---
TE's
---
---
17
18
Receive yards
25
19
0.2
0.2
Receive TD's
0.4
0.2
---
---
PK's
---
---
0.6
1.6
Field Goals
0.8
1.0
0.8
2.4
Extra Points
2.0
3.4
---
---
DEF/ST
---
---
0.8
0.6
Fumbles
1.0
1.4
0.2
1.8
Interceptions
1.0
0.8
0.2
0.2
Touchdowns
0.0
0.2
1.8
2.6
Sacks
1.4
4.2
0.0
0.2
Safeties
0.0
0.2
Giants (4-10)
Score Opp.
23-13 STL
32-35 DAL
24-21 @WAS
Week 4 BYE
10-23 MIA
6-17 @NE
10-14 PHI
29-27 @MIN
31-28 @NYJ
7-27 ATL
10-28 @PHI
13-19 @TB
7-24 BUF
7-14 WAS
7-45 @NO
Week 16 @DAL
Week 17 CAR
Cowboys (9-5)
Score Opp.
13-27 ATL
35-32 @NYG
Week 3 BYE
17-6 @NYJ
24-7 ARZ
23-21 PHI
38-7 @DET
0-16 @TB
21-14 WAS
10-6 BUF
0-12 @NE
24-20 CAR
21-40 MIA
10-36 @PHI
27-0 @WAS
Week 16 NYG
Week 17 @NO

* Fantasy point rankings calculated using standard Huddle fantasy points using only the last five games played