The
Huddle
WEEK 16
December 17, 2003
Season Ticket
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| Tennessee vs Houston |
Sun, Dec 21; 1 PM on CBS at Reliant
Stadium |
| |
Tennessee at HOU |
Rush |
Catch |
Pass |
| QB |
Steve McNair
|
0 |
0 |
230,2 |
| RB |
Eddie George
|
80,1 |
10 |
0 |
| TE |
Frank
Wycheck |
0 |
30 |
0 |
| WR |
Derrick Mason
|
0 |
80,1 |
0 |
| WR |
Justin McCareins |
0 |
70,1 |
0 |
| WR |
Tyrone Calico |
0 |
20 |
0 |
|
| |
Houston
vs TEN |
Rush |
Catch |
Pass |
| QB |
David Carr |
0 |
0 |
250,1 |
| RB |
Domanick
Davis |
50 |
40 |
0 |
| TE |
Billy Miller
|
0 |
30,1 |
0 |
| WR |
Corey Bradford
|
0 |
60 |
0 |
| WR |
Andre Johnson
|
0 |
50 |
0 |
| WR |
Jabar Gaffney
|
0 |
30 |
0 |
|
Game Prediction:
TEN 24, HOU 13
Update:
It is still unknown if McNair will be able to play - Fisher
already said that he could not have if the game was on Thursday.
But if he does not play the Titans will be forced to use Neil
O'Donnell who drove to the Titans training facilities so recently
that his engine is still warm. I am downgrading McNair's numbers
but as we all know, all bets are off when it is injured McNair.
David Carr is expected to play this
week and could make the game interesting.
Houston need Carr to return in order for the offense to click
and he should be back this week. The Titans lost Volek for
the season and hope to get McNair back on the field this week.
These teams had a major shoot-out back in week six but the
Titan defense should hold them back better this go around
now knowing about Davis in advance.
Tennessee Notes
The Titans rise to 10-4 with a probable lock on the top wildcard
and still only one game behind the Colts in the AFC South.
Quarterbacks::
Billy Volek will miss the rest of the season
with a lacerated spleen. The injury was revealed in tests
on Monday and was suffered last week during the Bills game.
The Titans now need to sign a quick veteran quarterback and
Neil O'Donnell is considered the front runner. Rookie Jason
Gesser is the only other QB on the roster.
Until further word, I am assuming that Steve McNair
improves enough to play. McNair threw for 421 yards and three
scores against the Texans in their last meeting in week six.
He needs to play this week if only to satisfy thousands of
fantasy owners.
Running Backs: Eddie George
only had 67 yards on 23 carries last week and only gained
60 yards on 19 carries in his previous game against the Texans.
Receivers: Volek found
Derrick Mason nine times for 137 yards last week and
scored on passes to Justin McCareins (4-37) and Erron
Kinney (4-44). Mason was again the star back in week six
when he had 177 yards and three touchdowns against the Texans
while Tyrone Calico had 92 yards on four catches in
that game.
Match against the Defense:
The Titans had their best passing effort of the season in
the last meeting against the Texans and the Texans have allowed
a passing score in every home game this season except against
the Falcons. Tom Brady had 368 yards and two scores there
in week 12.
The Texans rush defense has been dinged by several runners
this season but only when they commit to 25+ carries which
is more than George typically has. George could turn in a
nice game if the Titans elect to run the ball and give him
a large volume in order to protect McNair which is a distinct
possibility.
If McNair does not play, then it is a given that George will
get a heavy load. If he does play and has reasonable protection,
McNair can pick apart the Texans as he did the last time.
Houston Notes
The Texans fall to 5-9 with their loss in Jacksonville.
Quarterbacks::
Dave Ragone has only 135 yards passing and three turnovers
in the past two games. David Carr expects to start
Sunday against Tennessee so I am projecting for him and will
update if needed. Carr had his best game of his career the
last time against the Titans, throwing for 371 yards and two
scores.
Running Backs: Domanick Davis
returned to the field last week but only gained 56 yards on
16 carries against the Buccaneers. So far his best games have
been against lesser defenses - IND, NYJ, CIN and ATL. When
he has faced a tougher group - TB, NE and even BUF, he has
only managed less than 70 yards and not scored. Carr returning
will be a big help to the running game.
Davis had 129 total yards against the Titans in week six,
gaining most of that on passes as the third down back.
Receivers: The ridiculously
low passing of Ragone has made this group meaningless but
back when Carr faced Tennessee the first time, Corey Bradford
had 127 yards and one score on five catches and Domanick Davis
turned in his first good game when he had 70 yards on seven
receptions to pair with his 59 yard rushing. Andre Johnson
was held to only 49 yards on two catches in that game.
Match against the Defense: The
Texans should be able to provide a good showing here if Carr
returns and is healthy. The Titan cornerbacks shut down Gaffney
and Johnson in week six but Bradford and Davis supplied plenty
of yards.
The Titans on the road have varied from between 160 yards
to 362 yards passing allowed but Carr should manage at least
200 here with the chance for more, particularly if the Titans
get a lead and allow trash time gains. Samari Rolle and Kevin
Dyson can cover Gaffney and Johnson which will force Carr
to find either Bradford, Miller or Davis more often than not.
Davis faces a defense that has been pretty tough against
the run this season when they knew the runner was coming with
the exception of Edgerrin James. Davis was successful last
time as the third down back but will be challenged to turn
in big numbers from a defense that will now be focused primarily
on stopping him. No runner has had more than 80 yards against
the Titans on the road this season in the last six games though
most backs manage around 30 yards receiving as well and Dunn
had 129 yards on nine catches in week 12 thanks to one long
score.
| Team Comparisons - Current team
rankings (1-32) for FF points scored or allowed
by position |
| Rank (1-32) |
QB
|
RB
|
WR
|
TE
|
PK
|
DEF
|
| TEN Scores |
5
|
30
|
7
|
3
|
15
|
21
|
| HOU Allows |
9
|
26
|
15
|
14
|
30
|
17
|
| TEN AP |
4
|
-4
|
8
|
11
|
15
|
-4
|
|
| Rank (1-32) |
QB
|
RB
|
WR
|
TE
|
PK
|
DEF
|
| HOU Scores |
32
|
31
|
31
|
21
|
29
|
29
|
| TEN Allows |
12
|
11
|
18
|
16
|
29
|
26
|
| HOU AP |
-20
|
-20
|
-13
|
-5
|
0
|
-3
|
|
Offensive ranks = #1 gains most points, Defensive
ranks = #1 allows least points
AP = Advantage Points, the net difference between a positional
rank gained or allowed by the teams.
|
TEN
|
HOU
|
2003 Game Averages
|
HOU
|
TEN
|
|
Gains
|
Allows
|
QB's
|
Gains
|
Allows
|
|
236
|
232
|
Pass yards
|
114
|
211
|
|
2.0
|
0.6
|
Pass TDs
|
0.6
|
1.2
|
|
0.8
|
0.6
|
Interceptions
|
0.8
|
1.2
|
|
11
|
6
|
Rush yards
|
17
|
8
|
|
0.4
|
0.0
|
Rush TDs
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
|
---
|
---
|
RB's
|
---
|
---
|
|
89
|
140
|
Rush yards
|
67
|
80
|
|
0.2
|
0.8
|
Rush TDs
|
0.4
|
0.8
|
|
16
|
53
|
Receive yards
|
15
|
47
|
|
0.2
|
0.0
|
Receive TD's
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
|
---
|
---
|
WR's
|
---
|
---
|
|
168
|
152
|
Receive yards
|
79
|
133
|
|
1.2
|
0.4
|
Receive TD's
|
0.4
|
0.8
|
|
---
|
---
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TE's
|
---
|
---
|
|
52
|
27
|
Receive yards
|
21
|
31
|
|
0.6
|
0.2
|
Receive TD's
|
0.2
|
0.2
|
|
---
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---
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PK's
|
---
|
---
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|
1.4
|
2.4
|
Field Goals
|
1.2
|
2.0
|
|
2.8
|
1.4
|
Extra Points
|
1.0
|
2.4
|
|
---
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---
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DEF/ST
|
---
|
---
|
|
0.4
|
0.6
|
Fumbles
|
0.4
|
1.6
|
|
1.0
|
0.8
|
Interceptions
|
0.6
|
0.6
|
|
0.2
|
0.0
|
Touchdowns
|
0.0
|
0.4
|
|
2.2
|
3.8
|
Sacks
|
2.0
|
2.2
|
|
0.0
|
0.4
|
Safeties
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
|
|
Tennessee (10-4) |
|
Score |
Opp. |
| 25-20 |
OAK |
| 7-33 |
@IND |
| 27-12 |
NO |
| 30-13 |
@PIT |
| 30-38 |
@NE |
| 38-17 |
HOU |
| 37-17 |
@CAR |
| 31-7 |
@JAX |
| Week 9 |
BYE |
| 30-17 |
MIA |
| 10-3 |
JAX |
| 38-31 |
@ATL |
| 17-24 |
@NYJ |
| 27-29 |
IND |
| 28-26 |
BUF |
| Week 16 |
@HOU |
| Week 17 |
TB |
|
|
Texans (5-9) |
|
Score |
Opp. |
| 21-20 |
@MIA |
| 10-31 |
@NO |
| 14-42 |
KC |
| 24-20 |
JAX |
| Week 5 |
BYE |
| 17-38 |
@TEN |
| 14-19 |
NYJ |
| 21-30 |
@IND |
| 14-10 |
CAR |
| 27-34 |
@CIN |
| 12-10 |
@BUF |
| 20-23 |
NE |
| 17-13 |
ATL |
| 0-27 |
@JAX |
| 3-16 |
@TB |
| Week 16 |
TEN |
| Week 17 |
IND |
|
* Fantasy point rankings calculated using standard Huddle
fantasy points using only the last five games played
|