VOTED #1 FANTASY FOOTBALL SITE
1998, 1999, 2000, 2001 & 2002
PRIORITY NEWS   MESSAGE BOARDS JOIN   
HOME ARTICLES STATISTICS WEEKLY FEATURES TEAM LINKS NFL RESOURCES  
Predictions & Projections
By David M. Dorey
 
The Huddle
WEEK 17
December 24, 2003
Season Ticket
Sat 1:30 PM Sat 8:30 PM Sun 1 PM Sun 1 PM Sun 4 PM
BUF at NE PHI at WAS CHI at KC JAX at ATL CAR at NYG
Sat 5 PM Sun 8:30 PM CLE at CIN NYJ at MIA MIN at ARZ
SEA at SF PIT at BAL DAL at NO STL at DET DEN at GB
  IND at HOU TB at TEN OAK at SD
   
Chicago vs Kansas City Sun, Dec 28; 1 PM on FOX at Arrowhead Stadium
  Chicago at KC Rush Catch Pass
QB Rex Grossman 0 0 230,1
RB Anthony Thomas 110,1 10 0
TE Desmond Clark 0 30 0
WR Marty Booker 0 80,1 0
WR Dez White Q Q Q
WR David Terrell 0 50 0
  Kansas City vs CHI Rush Catch Pass
QB Trent Green 0 0 220,1
RB Priest Holmes 90,3 10 0
TE Tony Gonzalez 0 50,1 0
WR Johnnie Morton 0 40 0
WR Dante Hall 0 30 0
WR Eddie Kennison 0 50 0

Game Prediction: CHI 20, KC 34

This game could take two different turns depending on earlier games. The Chiefs will already know if the Patriots won on Saturday and if New England goes to 14-2 on the season, the Chiefs have nothing to win. That could end up causing some players to take it easier in the game though it is a certainty that Holmes will pursue the touchdown record.

After last week, the Chiefs need a big win to propel them into the playoffs.

Chicago Notes

The Bears rise to 7-8 and have won their second game in a row. They have a shot at a .500 season which is most notable because it is not a losing record. Semantics perhaps, but important to coaches on the hot seat.

Rex Grossman showed very nice development in only his second start. He threw for 249 yards and two scores against the Washington secondary. He threw an interception and on the next offensive play tossed a 59 yard touchdown to Marty Booker over the head of Champ Bailey. "You're not so bad! You're not so bad!" (Rocky II).

Besides the nice pass to Booker, Grossman connected with Justin Gage for another touchdown and threw completions to all six of the Bear wideouts. It was a solid effort that left the coaches impressed. Both Dez White and Justin Gage suffered sprained MCL's in the game and are not expected to play this week.

Grossman's passing allowed even more rushing room for Anthony Thomas who ended with a season best 141 yards rushing with one touchdown. That was Thomas' fourth 100 yard game this season and sixth touchdown.

Match against the Defense: The Bears are still motivated to win with a .500 season in sight and HC Dick Jauron looking any additional reasons to keep him around next year so he never has to take off his baseball cap.

The Chiefs' CB Eric Warfield is doubtful to play this week after injuring his back against the Vikings and that means a replacement gets to cover Marty Booker which could spell good things. The Chiefs have allowed at least one passing score over the past seven games though almost all quarterbacks have remained around 220 yards passing.

The big key will be Anthony Thomas who will face the worst rush defense in the league. The only reason he will fall below 100 rushing yards is if the Chefs score so quickly and often to start the game that the Bears never run.

Kansas City Notes

The Chiefs fall to 12-3 and may have lost the final homefield advantage over the 13-2 Patriots. The loss to the Vikings led to fights in the showerroom after the game and beyond friendly towel-snapping. The Chiefs defense was so readily shredded that their confidence is shaken and stirred.

Trent Green only completed 18 of 38 passes last week for 224 yards and no scores - his first game without a touchdown since week seven. He returns home this week where he had thrown for two or three scores in four of the last five games and over 240 yards in his last four games.

Priest Holmes looked like he was going to bet blanked until the second half in Minnesota when he knocked in three rushing scores. He only had 55 yards on 18 carries in the game but has now tied Emmitt Smith's single game record of 25 rushing touchdowns and is one touchdown from tying Marshall Faulk's 26 total touchdowns. The Chiefs will give Holmes every opportunity to surpass those marks against a defense that has allowed rushing scores much of the season.

Last week Tony Gonzalez had five catches for 65 yards but did not score. He enters the final week with ten touchdowns.

Match against the Defense: The Bears have allowed at least one passing score in six of the seven road games this season though no quarterback has thrown for over 238 yards. The Chiefs will be using the pass to setup the touchdown for Holmes and the most likely candidate for that one passing score is, of course, Gonzalez. Chicago has given up six tight end scores already this season.

Chicago was allowing runners to score almost every game in the first half of the season but only Ahman Green has scored on them since week nine. That is an accomplishment since Chicago has played against most of the best runners this season - Faulk, Portis, Green, Alexander and of course Onterrio Smith.

Team Comparisons - Current team rankings (1-32) for FF points scored or allowed by position
Rank (1-32)
QB
RB
WR
TE
PK
DEF
CHI Scores
16
25
11
23
16
25
KC Allows
22
32
25
22
20
2
CHI AP
6
7
14
-1
4
-23
Rank (1-32)
QB
RB
WR
TE
PK
DEF
KC Scores
5
3
23
1
13
30
CHI Allows
15
9
20
20
14
20
KC AP
10
6
-3
19
1
10
Offensive ranks = #1 gains most points, Defensive ranks = #1 allows least points
AP = Advantage Points, the net difference between a positional rank gained or allowed by the teams.
CHI
KC
2003 Game Averages
KC
CHI
Gains
Allows
QB's
Gains
Allows
204
227
Pass yards
284
203
1.0
1.5
Pass TDs
1.5
1.3
1.0
0.7
Interceptions
0.7
1.0
13
20
Rush yards
4
7
0.3
0.2
Rush TDs
0.2
0.0
---
---
RB's
---
---
96
164
Rush yards
103
104
0.7
1.8
Rush TDs
2.0
0.2
21
38
Receive yards
68
38
0.0
0.3
Receive TD's
0.2
0.0
---
---
WR's
---
---
156
159
Receive yards
150
128
1.0
1.0
Receive TD's
0.2
1.2
---
---
TE's
---
---
27
30
Receive yards
66
38
0.0
0.3
Receive TD's
1.2
0.2
---
---
PK's
---
---
1.3
1.0
Field Goals
1.2
1.5
2.5
3.8
Extra Points
3.5
1.8
---
---
DEF/ST
---
---
0.3
0.3
Fumbles
0.3
0.7
1.0
0.7
Interceptions
0.7
1.3
0.2
0.2
Touchdowns
0.0
0.3
1.7
1.0
Sacks
1.5
2.0
0.0
0.0
Safeties
0.0
0.0
Bears (7-8)
Score Opp.
7-49 @SF
13-24 @MIN
Week 3 BYE
23-38 GB
24-21 OAK
13-20 @NO
17-24 @SEA
24-16 DET
20-7 SD
10-12 @DET
21-23 STL
19-10 @DEN
28-3 ARZ
21-34 @GB
13-10 MIN
27-24 WAS
Week 17 @KC
Chiefs (12-3)
Score Opp.
27-14 SD
41-20 PIT
42-14 @HOU
17-10 @BAL
24-23 DEN
40-34 @GB
17-10 @OAK
38-5 BUF
Week 9 BYE
41-20 CLE
19-24 @CIN
27-24 OAK
28-24 @SD
27-45 @DEN
45-17 DET
20-45 @MIN
Week 17 CHI

* Fantasy point rankings calculated using standard Huddle fantasy points