The
Huddle
WEEK 17
December 24, 2003
Season Ticket
|
|
| |
|
| Cleveland vs Cincinnati |
Sun, Dec 28; 1 PM on CBS at Paul
Brown Stadium |
| |
Cleveland
at CIN |
Rush
|
Catch
|
Pass
|
| QB |
Tim
Couch |
0 |
0 |
220,1 |
| RB |
Lee Suggs |
80 |
0 |
0 |
| RB |
Jamel White |
20 |
20 |
0 |
| TE |
Darnell Sanders |
0 |
10 |
0 |
| WR |
Andre Davis |
0 |
50 |
0 |
| WR |
Dennis Northcutt
|
0 |
50 |
0 |
| WR |
Quincy Morgan
|
0 |
50,1 |
0 |
|
| |
Cincinnati
vs CLE |
Rush
|
Catch
|
Pass
|
| QB |
Jon Kitna |
0 |
0 |
240,2 |
| RB |
Corey
Dillon |
70,1 |
0 |
0 |
| RB |
Rudi
Johnson |
70,1 |
0 |
0 |
| TE |
Stewart/Schobel |
0 |
40,1 |
0 |
| WR |
Peter Warrick
|
0 |
30 |
0 |
| WR |
Kelly Washington
|
0 |
40 |
0 |
| WR |
Chad Johnson
|
0 |
100,1 |
0 |
|
Game Prediction:
CLE 10, CIN 31
Update:
Peter Warrick is still considered doubtful to play but was
reported to practice much of Friday and has optimism that
he will suit up for the game and play. I am leaving his projections
low but be aware he may not play at all and will be limited
if he does.
Since the Bengals will still be fighting for a potential
division title, they will be plenty motivated in their final
home game of the season. Since the Browns are on the road
ending a season that may not even be referenced in the media
guide next season, they have little motivation beyond... well...
after last week they biggest reason is that they do not get
paid if they do not show up.
Cleveland Notes
The Browns fall to 4-11 with their shutout loss to the Ravens
last week. They are ready to get off this 2003 roller coaster.
There is no guarantee they are tall enough to even ride it
lately. They have lost their last five games in a row.
Tim Couch takes the final start and is willing to
renegotiate his contract with the Browns next season if they
will keep him and not make him search for meaningful employment.
Couch has started six games this year and has seven touchdowns
against five interceptions.
The lone bright spot last week, said in the way trapped miners
look for even a pinpoint of light, was the running of Lee
Suggs who gained 68 yards on 20 carries against a very
motivated Ravens defense. With William Green a messy question
mark, Suggs offers some hope next year if Green expands his
rap sheet.
The receivers for the Browns have been little more than a
tease this season with each wideout having exactly one 100
yard game and never scoring in consecutive games. There has
been little reason to start a Cleveland receiver on a fantasy
team this season but if they just scored or had good yardage,
the player was a safe bet to bench.
Match against the Defense:
When a team comes off a 35-0 pasting, at the end of a 4-11
season and a five game losing streak, there is little reason
to expect much. Couch had 280 yards and two scores in the
previous meeting against the Bengals but that was back in
week four when things still mattered.
Couch will throw for a score - all quarterbacks have against
the Bengals since week three but more than that is hard to
gauge given the towel throwing in Cleveland the past few weeks.
Cleveland will lose this game and they know it. How much they
want to do in a loss is hard to guess.
The most interesting start here would be Suggs who had 20
carries last week against only 4 for Jamel White. He could
have a decent final game of the season just to stoke William
Green into straightening up.
Cincinnati Notes
The Bengals fall to 8-7 on the season with their loss in
St. Louis and now have to hope for the Ravens to lose while
Cincy beats Cleveland in order to win the division and advance
to the playoffs. They can no longer win a wildcard. Since
the Ravens are the late game on Sunday, the Bengals will not
know if their efforts are in vain and besides that, they have
a shot at - get this - a winning record this year. The Bengals
will be accidentally approaching the podium in the NFL draft
next April several times before it is actually their turn.
It will be purely an instinctual habit. They have not had
to wait that long in many years.
Jon Kitna was not enough to defeat the Rams last week
and he did throw three interceptions. But he also has thrown
at least one score in every game but one this season and has
26 passing scores already for 2003.
Chad Johnson had a touchdown and 115 yards last week,
giving him ten scores and over 1300 yards on the season. Peter
Warrick was out last week but is expected to play on Sunday.
In his place, Kelly Washington scored his fourth touchdown
of the season.
The most interesting facet right now is which running back
will be carrying the load against the Browns this week. Last
week Corey Dillon only had seven carries for 37 yards last
week and Rudi Johnson gained 30 yards on 11 runs, a bit less
than his 174 of the previous week. The plan is for Dillon
to start and Rudi to play. It could make some sense to let
Dillon pump up his stats if they want to move him next season
but it also makes sense to let Rudi Johnson play more in that
scenario.
Match against the Defense: Matching
this up is difficult because Cleveland is becoming a buffet
for opposing offenses. Sure, the rushing table has plenty
for everyone but the passing tray is available as well.
Look for the most certain thing to be the rushing game against
the Browns to succeed since they have allowed 1756 rushing
yards to running backs this year. They have allowed three
200+ yard games. They should redesign their blank helmets
to incorporate a tire tread going over the top of it.
The carries will be split between Dillon and Johnson and
there will be plenty to split and both have motivation to
do well. The question is how the Bengal coaching staff want
to distribute that which has been an in-game decision for
most weeks.
Give Kitna and Chad Johnson a touchdown but beyond that it
will just depend on what the Bengals want to do in the game.
It's all there. It's the Browns coming to town while looking
at their watches wondering when the game will end.
| Team Comparisons - Current team
rankings (1-32) for FF points scored or allowed
by position |
| Rank (1-32) |
QB
|
RB
|
WR
|
TE
|
PK
|
DEF
|
| CLE Scores |
21
|
27
|
10
|
19
|
25
|
23
|
| CIN Allows |
29
|
27
|
29
|
17
|
29
|
9
|
| CLE AP |
8
|
0
|
19
|
-2
|
4
|
-14
|
|
| Rank (1-32) |
QB
|
RB
|
WR
|
TE
|
PK
|
DEF
|
| CIN Scores |
14
|
15
|
2
|
27
|
8
|
15
|
| CLE Allows |
6
|
22
|
6
|
27
|
32
|
31
|
| CIN AP |
-8
|
7
|
4
|
0
|
24
|
16
|
|
Offensive ranks = #1 gains most points, Defensive
ranks = #1 allows least points
AP = Advantage Points, the net difference between a positional
rank gained or allowed by the teams.
|
CLE
|
CIN
|
2003 Game Averages
|
CIN
|
CLE
|
|
Gains
|
Allows
|
QB's
|
Gains
|
Allows
|
|
223
|
263
|
Pass yards
|
225
|
191
|
|
1.2
|
1.7
|
Pass TDs
|
2.2
|
1.0
|
|
1.2
|
0.7
|
Interceptions
|
0.8
|
1.2
|
|
4
|
12
|
Rush yards
|
6
|
10
|
|
0.0
|
0.2
|
Rush TDs
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
|
---
|
---
|
RB's
|
---
|
---
|
|
82
|
118
|
Rush yards
|
144
|
130
|
|
0.5
|
1.3
|
Rush TDs
|
0.3
|
1.0
|
|
38
|
43
|
Receive yards
|
33
|
36
|
|
0.0
|
0.2
|
Receive TD's
|
0.2
|
0.0
|
|
---
|
---
|
WR's
|
---
|
---
|
|
170
|
197
|
Receive yards
|
178
|
123
|
|
0.8
|
1.2
|
Receive TD's
|
1.8
|
0.5
|
|
---
|
---
|
TE's
|
---
|
---
|
|
16
|
23
|
Receive yards
|
15
|
32
|
|
0.3
|
0.3
|
Receive TD's
|
0.2
|
0.5
|
|
---
|
---
|
PK's
|
---
|
---
|
|
1.2
|
1.7
|
Field Goals
|
1.5
|
2.2
|
|
1.8
|
3.2
|
Extra Points
|
2.8
|
2.3
|
|
---
|
---
|
DEF/ST
|
---
|
---
|
|
0.2
|
0.7
|
Fumbles
|
0.8
|
1.7
|
|
0.8
|
0.8
|
Interceptions
|
0.7
|
1.0
|
|
0.2
|
0.0
|
Touchdowns
|
0.3
|
0.3
|
|
2.8
|
2.7
|
Sacks
|
2.2
|
3.2
|
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
Safeties
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
|
|
Browns(4-11) |
|
Score |
Opp. |
| 6-9 |
IND |
| 13-33 |
@BAL |
| 13-12 |
@SF |
| 14-21 |
CIN |
| 33-13 |
@PIT |
| 13-7 |
OAK |
| 20-26 |
SD |
| 3-9 |
@NE |
| Week 9 |
BYE |
| 20-41 |
@KC |
| 44-6 |
ARZ |
| 6-13 |
PIT |
| 7-34 |
@SEA |
| 20-26 |
STL |
| 20-23 |
@DEN |
| 0-35 |
BAL |
| Week 17 |
@CIN |
|
|
Bengals (8-7) |
|
Score |
Opp. |
| 10-30 |
DEN |
| 20-23 |
@OAK |
| 10-17 |
PIT |
| 21-14 |
@CLE |
| 16-22 |
@BUF |
| Week 6 |
BYE |
| 34-26 |
BAL |
| 27-24 |
SEA |
| 14-17 |
@ARZ |
| 34-27 |
HOU |
| 24-19 |
KC |
| 34-27 |
@SD |
| 24-20 |
@PIT |
| 13-31 |
@BAL |
| 41-38 |
SF |
| 10-27 |
@STL |
| Week 17 |
CLE |
|
* Fantasy point rankings calculated using standard Huddle
fantasy points |