The
Huddle
WEEK 17
December 24, 2003
Season Ticket
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| Seattle vs San Francisco |
Sat, Dec 27; 5 PM on FOX at San
Francisco Stadium |
| |
Seattle
at SF |
Rush |
Catch |
Pass |
| QB |
Matt Hasselbeck
|
10 |
0 |
240,2 |
| RB |
Shaun Alexander
|
80,1 |
40 |
0 |
| TE |
Itula Mili |
0 |
40,1 |
0 |
| WR |
Darrell Jackson
|
0 |
50 |
0 |
| WR |
Bobby Engram
|
0 |
60,1 |
0 |
| WR |
Koren Robinson
|
0 |
50 |
0 |
|
| |
SF
vs SEA |
Rush
|
Catch
|
Pass |
| QB |
Jeff Garcia |
20,1 |
0 |
250,2 |
| RB |
Garrison Hearst
|
Q |
Q |
Q |
| RB |
Kevan Barlow
|
110,1 |
30 |
0 |
| TE |
Jed Weaver |
0 |
30 |
0 |
| WR |
Brandon Lloyd |
0 |
50,1 |
0 |
| WR |
Tai Streets |
0 |
70,1 |
0 |
| WR |
Cedrick Wilson
|
0 |
60 |
0 |
|
Game Prediction:
SEA 21, SF 31
Update:
Matt Hasselbeck has been bothered by a injury to his
non-throwing shoulder but should play even though he is also
battling the flu. Darrell Jackson has not practiced
this week but is still considered probable to play this week
but I have slightly downgraded his numbers and realize he
will not be 100%. This game may be the difference between
the playoffs or sitting at home and all hands will be on deck
to the extent they can play.
This game should be a Seattle win with a look at the standings
but closer examination shows that the 49ers are 6-1 at home
and the Seahawks are only 1-6 on the road. The 49ers came
on strongly last week even without Owens around while Seattle
just folds in road games this season. It may be a high score
and it may be a low score but it is always a lesser score
than their opponents.
San Francisco has a chance to avoid a losing season and even
though Seattle needs this win to have a shot at a wildcard,
that only gives the 49ers more motivation.
Seattle Notes
The Seahawks rise to 9-6 on the season by winning all their
home games this year and losing every road game since the
first one in Arizona.
After two huge games against Baltimore and Cleveland, Matt
Hasselbeck has not thrown for over 246 yards or one touchdown
in the past three weeks. He still has 24 passing touchdowns
and two rushing ones this season and topped 300 yards three
times.
Shaun Alexander comes off his seventh 100 yard rushing
effort of the season and has 15 scores this season. He has
either scored or topped 100 yards in all but two games this
season and has scored in seven of the last eight games. In
his previous game against the 49ers this season, Alexander
had 77 yards rushing and 46 yards receiving but did not score.
Koren Robinson comes off his worst game of the season
- only 16 yards against the Cardinals (which is hard to do
and that took three catches to accomplish). He has redefined
"slump" after a red-hot end to the 2002 season.
Darrell Jackson suffered an ankle injury last week
and playing sparingly in the game and ended with no catches.
Jackson had only 55 yards the last time they faced the 49ers
while Robinson had only 32 yards receiving. Jackson may miss
some practice time this week but is expected to play.
Bobby Engram continues to provide the nice surprise
catches and has scored in five of the last ten games. He and
Itula Mili have been able to offer nice third and fourth
outlets to Hasselbeck this season and Mili comes off a five
catch game against the Rams.
Match against the Defense: This
will be an interesting game to say the least.
Hasselbeck was not very effective last time against the 49ers
and now is on the road where the Seahawks always lose. He
has had his best and worst games this year on the road but
should be good for at least a moderate game here.
Look for Alexander to come close to replicating his 123 yards
effort of his week six game against the 49ers though he will
need receptions to get there since the 49ers at home have
been tough against the run.
CB Ahmed Plummer missed last week but may return this week
to face Koren Robinson. The Eagles were successful throwing
to Pinkston last week with Plummer out.
This game could be a shoot-out or it could be lower scoring
matchup. There are plenty of subplots to this game that could
change the performance of the teams.
San Francisco Notes
The 49ers rise to 7-8 with their shocking win over the Eagles.
Though they had not won a road game the entire season, they
waited until they faced their toughest opponent and after
they lost Owens for the season due to a broken collarbone.
Go figure.
Jeff Garcia has certainly made the case for him returning
as the starter next season, scoring eleven times in the past
three games. Oddly enough, he has not had a game all season
where he threw only one scoring pass. There were five games
with no passing scores and seven games with at least two passing
scores. The equation is pretty simple. When he throws no touchdowns,
the 49ers lose. When he does - they usually win.
Kevan Barlow has made the case for taking the reins
next year as a primary back without the need to share carries.
He has gained 515 total yards in the three games since Hearst
has sat out and score five touchdowns. Barlow fumbled three
times in the first two of those three games but against the
Eagles almost single-handedly beat Philadelphia. Hearst has
been cleared to practice but Barlow is the named starter again
this week.
With Terrell Owens now out and probably gone for good,
this game will allow the 49ers to see what life after Terrell
will be like. Tai Streets has seven scores on the season
but has never had over 89 yards this season. Last week in
Philadelphia, he only had three catches for 46 yards and against
the Seahawks before he had 77 yards on five catches.
Brandon Lloyd is the receiver that generates the most
excitement among the coaches. The rookie has not caught more
than three balls in any game this season and only has two
scores but should see more this week as the coaches are given
a good opportunity to see what Lloyd might do for his sophomore
season. Cedric Wilson is the primary backup for Owens
but like Lloyd has not had many opportunities this season.
HC Dennis Erickson has not decided which of Wilson or Lloyd
will replace Owens but likely both will in a rotation.
The 49ers wind up the season using their tight end Jed
Weaver more than anticipated and he has a catch in every
game this season since week one though he never scored.
The most amazing part of a forgettable season for the 49ers
is that HC Dennis Erickson was brought in expressly to recharge
the offense and develop a long passing game. It never happened
and it was the attempt to make it work that caused the 49ers
to falter during the season. Allowing Garcia to do what he
does best lately has had expected good results.
Match against the Defense:
The home 49ers against the road Seahawks should be a good
matchup between one team that looks like it is getting back
on track too late against another that seems to be intent
ruining their chances every time they hit the road.
Garcia has been hot and faces a defense that has allowed
at least two passing scores in each of the last six road games.
He should be a lock to have a nice game though the loss of
Owens will have an unknown effect.
Look for Barlow to turn in a nice game here as well - the
Seahawks have allowed most opponents on the road to have a
rusher top 100 yards. He will miss RG Ron Stone who is likely
out with a hyperextended knee.
| Team Comparisons - Current team
rankings (1-32) for FF points scored or allowed
by position |
| Rank (1-32) |
QB
|
RB
|
WR
|
TE
|
PK
|
DEF
|
| SEA Scores |
4
|
11
|
1
|
11
|
15
|
8
|
| SF Allows |
18
|
20
|
26
|
6
|
21
|
19
|
| SEA AP |
14
|
9
|
25
|
-5
|
6
|
11
|
|
| Rank (1-32) |
QB
|
RB
|
WR
|
TE
|
PK
|
DEF
|
| SF Scores |
2
|
5
|
8
|
16
|
5
|
22
|
| SEA Allows |
30
|
5
|
32
|
1
|
18
|
30
|
| SF AP |
28
|
0
|
24
|
-15
|
13
|
8
|
|
Offensive ranks = #1 gains most points, Defensive
ranks = #1 allows least points
AP = Advantage Points, the net difference between a positional
rank gained or allowed by the teams.
|
SEA
|
SF
|
2003 Game Averages
|
SF
|
SEA
|
|
Gains
|
Allows
|
QB's
|
Gains
|
Allows
|
|
254
|
208
|
Pass yards
|
232
|
263
|
|
2.0
|
1.7
|
Pass TDs
|
1.8
|
2.0
|
|
1.0
|
1.3
|
Interceptions
|
0.8
|
0.7
|
|
6
|
9
|
Rush yards
|
17
|
12
|
|
0.2
|
0.0
|
Rush TDs
|
0.5
|
0.0
|
|
---
|
---
|
RB's
|
---
|
---
|
|
127
|
120
|
Rush yards
|
143
|
90
|
|
1.0
|
1.2
|
Rush TDs
|
0.8
|
0.2
|
|
27
|
27
|
Receive yards
|
41
|
40
|
|
0.2
|
0.0
|
Receive TD's
|
0.3
|
0.0
|
|
---
|
---
|
WR's
|
---
|
---
|
|
189
|
163
|
Receive yards
|
151
|
203
|
|
1.7
|
1.2
|
Receive TD's
|
1.5
|
2.0
|
|
---
|
---
|
TE's
|
---
|
---
|
|
38
|
18
|
Receive yards
|
40
|
20
|
|
0.2
|
0.2
|
Receive TD's
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
|
---
|
---
|
PK's
|
---
|
---
|
|
1.0
|
1.2
|
Field Goals
|
1.7
|
1.3
|
|
3.8
|
3.3
|
Extra Points
|
3.2
|
2.7
|
|
---
|
---
|
DEF/ST
|
---
|
---
|
|
0.8
|
0.8
|
Fumbles
|
0.7
|
1.0
|
|
0.7
|
0.8
|
Interceptions
|
1.3
|
1.0
|
|
0.2
|
0.5
|
Touchdowns
|
0.0
|
0.5
|
|
3.7
|
1.5
|
Sacks
|
2.3
|
2.7
|
|
0.2
|
0.0
|
Safeties
|
0.2
|
0.0
|
|
|
Seahawks (9-6) |
|
Score |
Opp. |
| 27-10 |
NO |
| 38-0 |
@ARZ |
| 24-23 |
STL |
| Week 4 |
BYE |
| 13-35 |
@GB |
| 20-19 |
SF |
| 24-17 |
CHI |
| 24-27 |
@CIN |
| 23-16 |
PIT |
| 20-27 |
@WAS |
| 35-14 |
DET |
| 41-44 |
@BAL |
| 34-7 |
CLE |
| 7-34 |
@MIN |
| 22-27 |
@STL |
| 28-10 |
ARZ |
| Week 17 |
@SF |
|
|
49ers (7-8) |
|
Score |
Opp. |
| 49-7 |
CHI |
| 24-27 |
@STL |
| 12-13 |
CLE |
| 7-35 |
@MIN |
| 24-17 |
DET |
| 19-20 |
@SEA |
| 24-7 |
TB |
| 13-16 |
@ARZ |
| 30-10 |
STL |
| Week 10 |
BYE |
| 30-14 |
PIT |
| 10-20 |
@GB |
| 6-44 |
@BAL |
| 50-14 |
ARZ |
| 38-41 |
@CIN |
| 31-28 |
@PHI |
| Week 17 |
SEA |
|
* Fantasy point rankings calculated using standard Huddle
fantasy points |