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Predictions & Projections
By David M. Dorey
 
The Huddle
DIVISIONAL
January 7, 2004
Playoff Ticket
Saturday
Sunday
4:30 PM, FOX at Edward Jones Dome
1:00 PM, CBS at Arrowhead Stadium
8:15 PM, CBS at Gillette Stadium
4:45 PM, FOX at Lincoln Financial Field
   
Green Bay at Philadelphia  
  Green Bay Rush Catch Pass
QB Brett Favre 0 0 250,2
RB Ahman Green 110,1 20 0
TE Bubba Franks 0 20,1 0
WR Javon Walker 0 60,1 0
WR Donald Driver 0 50 0
WR Robert Ferguson 0 0 0
  Philadelphia Rush Catch Pass
QB Donovan McNabb 20 0 220,1
RB Duce Staley 70 20 0
RB Correll Buckhalter 30,1 0 0
TE Chad Lewis 0 20 0
TE L.J. Smith 0 20 0
WR James Thrash 0 40 0
WR Freddie Mitchell 0 30,1 0
WR Todd Pinkston 0 50 0

Game Prediction: GB 21, PHI 17

Line: Eagles by 5

The Packers come off a big emotional win for the second time over the visiting Seahawks and continue to look like they are hitting their stride at a very opportune time. Brett Favre ended the season as the NFL leader in passing touchdowns and threw for 319 yards while completing almost 70% of his passes last week. He had no interceptions and while Ahman Green was held to only 66 yards on 33 carries, he scored two touchdowns.

Green Bay is present an above average defense with a potent rushing game and a passing game that lead the entire league in scoring. In his last three road games, Favre has thrown ten touchdowns and never less than 278 yards passing.

The Eagles come into the game rested but without some significant players. Brian Westbrook is now out of the picture and with him the better part of the running game. The defense has lost Emmons and has been bad against the rush for most of the second half of the season. Their defense has been playing in the bottom ten against most fantasy positions in the second half of the season.

McNabb, as always, is the central key to this game because the loss of Westbrook removes a major concern for the linebacking corps that can now give a little more attention to McNabb. Buckhalter and Staley will still provide enough running to give the rushing game some success.

This game pits a team that must continue to play with even more starters out and which features a defense that is no where as good as it has been in years past. The Packers come in with a better defense and a more rounded offense. The game will hinge on the emotion the Eagles can gain from the homefield and how well McNabb can direct the attack but the Packers have been as good on the road as at home this season and come into the game with better health. Packers take this one in a close match.

Team Comparisons - Current team rankings (1-32) for FF points scored or allowed by position
Rank (1-32)
QB
RB
WR
TE
PK
DEF
GB Scores
8
8
5
7
7
5
PHI Allows
23
26
12
29
26
5
GB AP
15
18
7
22
19
0
Rank (1-32)
QB
RB
WR
TE
PK
DEF
PHI Scores
6
1
21
15
2
14
GB Allows
14
10
11
15
4
7
PHI AP
8
9
-10
0
2
-7
Offensive ranks = #1 gains most points, Defensive ranks = #1 allows least points
AP = Advantage Points, the net difference between a positional rank gained or allowed by the teams.
GB
PHI
2003 Game Averages
PHI
GB
Gains
Allows
QB's
Gains
Allows
236
222
Pass yards
250
218
2.3
1.2
Pass TDs
1.5
0.8
1.5
0.8
Interceptions
0.7
1.7
1
34
Rush yards
17
13
0.0
0.2
Rush TDs
0.2
0.0
---
---
RB's
---
---
139
150
Rush yards
114
80
0.7
0.8
Rush TDs
1.7
0.3
27
29
Receive yards
75
42
0.3
0.3
Receive TD's
1.0
0.3
---
---
WR's
---
---
177
144
Receive yards
145
134
1.5
0.5
Receive TD's
0.3
0.5
---
---
TE's
---
---
32
49
Receive yards
30
42
0.5
0.3
Receive TD's
0.2
0.0
---
---
PK's
---
---
1.5
2.0
Field Goals
2.0
1.0
3.3
1.8
Extra Points
3.5
2.2
---
---
DEF/ST
---
---
1.2
0.5
Fumbles
0.8
0.3
1.7
0.7
Interceptions
0.8
1.3
0.3
0.0
Touchdowns
0.2
0.2
3.3
2.3
Sacks
2.5
1.0
0.0
0.0
Safeties
0.2
0.0
Packers (10-6)
Score Opp.
25-30 MIN
31-6 DET
13-20 @ARZ
38-23 @CHI
35-13 SEA
34-40 KC
24-34 @STL
Week 8 BYE
30-27 @MIN
14-17 PHI
20-13 @TB
20-10 SF
14-22 @DET
34-21 CHI
38-21 @SD
41-7 @OAK
31-3 DEN
Eagles (11-4)
Score Opp.
0-17 TB
10-31 NE
Week 3 BYE
23-13 @BUF
27-25 WAS
21-23 @DAL
14-10 @NYG
24-17 NYJ
23-16 @ATL
17-14 @GB
28-10 NYG
33-20 NO
25-16 @CAR
36-10 DAL
34-27 @MIA
28-31 SF
31-7 @WAS

* Fantasy point rankings calculated using standard Huddle fantasy points