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FANTASY FOOTBALL WEEKLY FEATURES

Predictions & Projections
David M. Dorey
The Huddle
WEEK 3
September 22, 2004
Season Ticket
Sun 1 PM Sun 1 PM Sun 1 PM Sun 4 PM Mon 9 PM
ARZ at ATL* CHI at MIN JAX at TEN SF at SEA* DAL at WAS*
BAL at CIN PIT at MIA Sun 4 PM Sun 8:30 PM Bye Week:
HOU at KC* CLE at NYG* SD at DEN* TB at OAK BUF, CAR
PHI at DET NO at STL* GB at IND* *updated NE, NYJ
  San Francisco Rush Catch Pass
QB Ken Dorsey 0 0 220,1
RB Kevan Barlow 70 20 0
TE Eric Johnson 0 50,1 0
WR Brandon Lloyd 0 30 0
WR Curtis Conway 0 30 0
WR Cedrick Wilson 0 70 0
PK Todd Peterson 1 FG 1 XP -
  Seattle Rush Catch Pass
QB Matt Hasselbeck 0 0 270,2
RB Shaun Alexander 90,1 20 0
TE Jerramy Stevens 0 30 0
WR Darrell Jackson 0 100,1 0
WR Bobby Engram 0 40 0
WR Koren Robinson 0 70,1 0
PK Josh Brown 1 FG 3 XP -

SF (0-2) vs SEA (2-0)

Game Prediction: SF 10, SEA 24

Here's a matchup of two teams heading in different directions. The 49ers are fighting to make their stripped down model run this year while the Seahawks still have the same race car with all the accessories.

Pre-Game Notes - SF

0-2 was not unexpected but the 49ers are putting up a valiant fight each week. On the road in Seattle, they can stop struggling so much and accept what is going to happen.

Quarterback: Ken Dorsey looked pretty good last week throwing for 205 yards with Cedrick Wilson out of the lineup and with Barlow later leaving the game. He only threw one interception though no touchdowns and was impressive enough for the coaching staff to wonder aloud if he remains the starter if he continues to play as well. Dorsey should start this week as well as Tim Rattay is still recuperating from his grade 2 shoulder separation from week one.

Running Backs: Kevan Barlow ran for 114 yards and two scores against the Saints last week but took himself out of the game in the fourth quarter complaining of sore ribs. He's expected to practice and then play this weekend.

The biggest bounce the 49er rushing game had was from the return of FB Fred Beasley. On Sunday, the running game accounted for 180 yards on 34 carries and much of that is attributed to Beasley being back and clearing a path for the runners.

While Terry Jackson is the backup to Barlow, the coaches opted to go with Jamal Robertson at the end of the game because he is a faster player than Jackson. If Barlow does miss time, chances are both Robertson and Jackson would share time since both have respective strengths and weaknesses.

Update: Kevan Barlow suffered a slight sprain of his MCL last week and missed practice on Wednesday. He was back on Thursday and is expected to play but I am slightly lowering his projections. He should be fine to play but the 49er rushing should be lower than usual due to game situations anyway.

Wide Receivers: With Cedrick Wilson out last week, Curtis Conway took the starting split end position and turned in a very nice 112 yards on eight catches. Once again Brandon Lloyd had no impact though he did manage to still catch one pass. Wilson is expected to practice and play this week and the offense obviously prefers throwing to his side. Lloyd needs to step up his play, particularly in a game like this week where they will likely trail on the scoreboard early and often.

Tight Ends: While Eric Johnson had a slight step down last week to only five catches for 60 yards, he continued to be the most common target after the split end. He did not score though was thrown one incompletion in the endzone as well.

Match Against the Defense: Seattle is back at home where last season they were undefeated and much better. Problem is that after two road games this season, they are still undefeated.

There's only been one passing touchdown against them in two games but that went to Ernie Conwell so that should spell some positive signs for Johnson since he is such a big part of the passing scheme anyway. Considering the likely need to throw, both Lloyd and Wilson will have plenty of opportunities though Lloyd has not shown he can do anything with them so far this season.

Kevan Barlow will face a defense that held McAllister to only 57 yards rushing and Garner to 75 yards, both on the road. Barlow is a lock for 20+ carries though and should turn in at least a moderate afternoon.

Pre-Game Notes - SEA

The Seahawks have climbed the hill of two road games to start the season and are now ready to run downhill with SF and STL next on the menu in Seattle.

Quarterback: Matt Hasselbeck has not been nearly as productive as expected, throwing only 147 yards last week against the Buccaneers and standing at two touchdowns and two interceptions after two weeks of play. He should have an easier time this week though he only threw for 207 yards and one score in Seattle against the 49ers last year. The powerful passing attack of 2003 has not yet shown up.

Hasselbeck was constantly harassed in Tampa Bay but should have more time this week.

Running Backs: Shaun Alexander played the waiting game last week, missing practice with a bruised knee but finally playing in the game and ruining the fantasy hopes of both himself and Maurice Morris who only had three carries in the game. Alexander ended with only 45 yards on 17 carries.

He's expected to practice this week and play on Sunday.

Wide Receivers: Last week, Koren Robinson finally out-produced Darrell Jackson in a game with only 147 passing yards to share. Robinson ended with 66 yards on four carries and one touchdown while Jackson was held to only 50 yards on five catches.

Tight Ends: Faced with the pass rush of the Buccaneers last week, more often than not the tight ends stayed at home to block and Jeremy Stevens only had one catch for 16 yards. He only had the one pass and Itula Mili had no throws. This week should post some more notable numbers from the tight ends against the defense that yielded 82 yards and one score to Alge Crumpler.

Match Against the Defense: Shaun Alexander only had 77 and 84 yards rushing against the 49ers last year and his knee is still not likely completely 100%. He should turn in at least a good game from volume alone though.

As noted, Hasselbeck only had 207 yards in Seattle against the 49ers but he did scorch them for 315 yards in week 17 when most of San Francisco was cleaning out their lockers. Look for much better passing numbers this week from a defense that gave up scores to all three wideouts last week who combined for 19 catches and 260 yards. This should be the week of Hasselbeck.

SF SEA 2003 Averages SEA SF
Gains Allows QB's Gains Allows
246
216
Pass yards
197
221
1.0
0.5
Pass TDs
1.0
2.0
1.0
1.5
Interceptions
1.0
0.5
0
16
Rush yards
-2
7
0.0
0.0
Rush TDs
0.0
0.0
---
---
RB's
---
---
138
67
Rush yards
114
56
1.5
0.0
Rush TDs
1.0
1.0
37
32
Receive yards
23
11
0.0
0.0
Receive TD's
0.5
0.0
---
---
WR's
---
---
136
148
Receive yards
159
169
0.5
0.0
Receive TD's
0.5
1.5
---
---
TE's
---
---
73
37
Receive yards
16
41
0.5
0.5
Receive TD's
0.0
0.5
---
---
PK's
---
---
2.0
1.0
Field Goals
0.5
1.5
2.0
0.5
Extra Points
2.0
3.0
---
---
DEF/ST
---
---
0.5
0.5
Fumbles
1.5
1.5
0.5
1.0
Interceptions
1.5
1.0
0.0
0.0
Touchdowns
0.0
0.0
3.5
2.0
Sacks
3.5
2.5
0.0
0.0
Safeties
0.0
0.0
49ers (0-2)
Score Opp.
19-21 ATL
27-30 @NO
Week 3 @SEA
Week 4 STL
Week 5 ARI
Week 6 @NYJ
Week 7 bye
Week 8 @CHI
Week 9 SEA
Week 10 CAR
Week 11 @TB
Week 12 MIA
Week 13 @STL
Week 14 @ARI
Week 15 WAS
Week 16 BUF
Week 17 @NE
Seahawks (2-0)
Score Opp.
21-7 @NO
10-6 @TB
Week 3 SF
Week 4 bye
Week 5 STL
Week 6 @NE
Week 7 @ARI
Week 8 CAR
Week 9 @SF
Week 10 @STL
Week 11 MIA
Week 12 BUF
Week 13 DAL
Week 14 @MIN
Week 15 @NYJ
Week 16 ARI
Week 17 ATL