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FANTASY FOOTBALL WEEKLY FEATURES

Predictions & Projections
David M. Dorey
The Huddle
WEEK 5
October 6, 2004
Season Ticket
Sun 1 PM Sun 1 PM Sun 4 PM Sun 4 PM Mon 9 PM
DET at ATL MIA at NE* BUF at NYJ STL at SEA TEN at GB
NYG at DAL TB at NO* CAR at DEN* Sun 8:30 PM Bye Week:
MIN at HOU* CLE at PIT* JAX at SD* BAL at WAS CHI, CIN
OAK at IND* Times ET ARZ at SF* *updated KC, PHI
Oakland Rush Catch Pass
QB Kerry Collins 0 0 300,2
RB Amos Zereoue 40 20 0
TE Doug Jolley 0 20 0
WR Doug Gabriel 0 30 0
WR Ronald Curry 0 70,1 0
WR Jerry Porter 0 90,1 0
WR Jerry Rice 0 60 0
PK Sebastian Janikowski 1 FG 2 XP -
  Indianapolis Rush Catch Pass
QB Peyton Manning 0 0 260,3
RB Edgerrin James 100,1 10 0
TE Marcus Pollard 0 20 0
TE Dallas Clark 0 30 0
WR Marvin Harrison 0 90,1 0
WR Brandon Stokley 0 60,1 0
WR Reggie Wayne 0 70,1 0
PK Mike Vanderjagt (Q) 1 FG 4 XP -

OAK (2-2) vs IND (3-1)

Game Prediction: OAK 17, IND 31

Oakland hits the road where they are winless to face the Colts who haven't lost at home. Kerry Collins - time to get your act together and start throwing. A lot.

Pre-Game Notes - OAK

The Raiders come off a big loss to the Texans and continue to play poorly when on the road. Not only did they lose the game, they also lost RG Ron Stone to a knee injury and Tyrone Wheatley left at halftime with a shoulder sprain.

Quarterback: Kerry Collins first game as a starter turned in a nightmare against an opponent that should have proven less tough given that they had never won back-to-back games in their franchise history. Collins threw for 237 yards but never scored. He did manage to lose two fumbles and three interceptions. This week against the soft secondary of the Colts, he'll need to start getting the ball in their endzone if the Raiders will have a chance in this game.

Running Backs: Tyrone Wheatley had 27 yards on three carries before injuring his shoulder and leaving the game. Pending further reports, I am assuming that he is out this week and will update accordingly. The consensus early is that he separated it but will be undergoing an MRI. In his place Amos Zereoue looked great, running for 117 yards and scoring twice including a 55-yard touchdown run. Zereoue is actually better suited to be the halfback this week anyway on the faster carpet in Indianapolis.

The situation is not yet clear, but for now I assume Zereoue will start with Justin Fargas offering spot relief.

Wide Receivers: Getting the better quarterback should have paid higher dividends for this group last week. Ronald Curry led all receivers with 69 yards on five catches and he's become the receiver of the week. Jerry Porter (2-40) and Jerry Rice (1-18) where relative non-factors in the game and the Oakland scheme is involving five different wideouts now. That makes any one turning in a big game you can see coming pretty tough.

Tight Ends: With nine different receivers in the game, it's predictable that the tight ends have not figured much into the equation and that they have never scored this year. Courtney Anderson (3-37) was the best last week but neither he nor Doug Jolley have much fantasy value.

Match Against the Defense: The tougher part here is determining which Raider offense shows up.

Thanks to the way the Colts gain monster leads, opponents have not been very successful running against them this season because they don't have the luxury of taking that much time. Should hold true here though all teams try to run initially.

Look for Gannon to throw a lot whether by plan or desperation. Indianapolis has yet to hold an opposing quarterback to under 273 yards and have allowed eight passing scores this year. With five different receivers being used, it's not simple enough to match to cornerbacks or even determine the formations that will be used as the game progresses. Expect a good yardage game from Collins if only during trash time and for likely a couple of passing scores that will go to the wideouts.

Pre-Game Notes - IND

Since losing a close game in New England, the Colts have been fairly unstoppable on offense and rather porous on defense. No matter - the way they score points the Colts are safe for now.

Quarterback: Peyton Manning has thrown 11 touchdowns this season and is on a pace that would net over 40 touchdowns on the season. Bet you wish you would have passed on some Tier 3 running back and taken Manning now.

Running Backs: Against the tough Jaguars defense - on the road no less - Edgerrin James still managed to gain 83 yards on 19 carries with one touchdown. The only game he has not scored in this season was when he had 171 total yards in New England. Dominic Rhodes only comes in when James needs a rest which could easily happen this week by the fourth quarter.

Wide Receivers: Last week in Jacksonville was a tough matchup and meant the group would only post average numbers with Marvin Harrison scoring once and Brandon Stokley leading receivers with 97 yards on eight catches. After the previous week saw Harrison and Reggie Wayne go nuts on the Packers, the Jaguars proved you still have to remember the #3 guy Stokley or he'll be the one to burn you.

Tight Ends: Marcus Pollard is scoring in every other game but since he just scored, he's not due this week. Dallas Clark played last week but had no catches on his two passes.

Update: Pollard has a sore knee and did not practice on Thursday. Since he is quesitonable to play, I am removing him from the projections at this point and awarding more yardage to Dallas Clark but the tight ends are less likely to figure in this week anyway.

Match Against the Defense: The Raiders have not faced a top quarterback until now and yet have allowed good games for both David Carr and Brad Johnson (his only by the way). Literally all the scoring passes have gone to the #1 wideouts of their opponents regardless of which side they have been one so both Wayne and Harrison have an excellent chance at scoring this week.

The Raiders also come off a week where they allowed Jonathan Wells to rush for 105 yards and score a touchdown. Oakland has only faced PIT, BUF, TB and HOU - hardly the offensive powerhouses that Indianapolis has. If you got 'em, start 'em.

OAK IND 2003 Averages IND OAK
Gains Allows QB's Gains Allows
247
330
Pass yards
281
219
1.0
2.0
Pass TDs
2.8
1.0
1.5
0.8
Interceptions
0.5
0.5
7
0
Rush yards
5
15
0.0
0.3
Rush TDs
0.0
0.0
---
---
RB's
---
---
107
103
Rush yards
123
91
0.8
0.3
Rush TDs
1.3
1.0
43
37
Receive yards
19
32
0.0
0.0
Receive TD's
0.3
0.0
---
---
WR's
---
---
173
240
Receive yards
232
166
1.0
1.8
Receive TD's
2.0
1.0
---
---
TE's
---
---
31
54
Receive yards
30
20
0.0
0.3
Receive TD's
0.5
0.0
---
---
PK's
---
---
2.0
1.8
Field Goals
1.0
1.8
1.8
2.3
Extra Points
4.0
1.8
---
---
DEF/ST
---
---
0.5
0.8
Fumbles
1.0
1.3
0.5
0.5
Interceptions
0.8
1.5
0.3
0.0
Touchdowns
0.0
0.3
3.0
0.5
Sacks
1.8
1.8
0.0
0.0
Safeties
0.0
0.0
Raiders (2-2)
Score Opp.
21-24 @PIT
13-10 BUF
30-20 TB
17-30 @HOU
Week 5 @IND
Week 6 DEN
Week 7 NO
Week 8 @SD
Week 9 @CAR
Week 10 bye
Week 11 SD
Week 12 @DEN
Week 13 KC
Week 14 @ATL
Week 15 TEN
Week 16 @KC
Week 17 JAX
Colts (3-1)
Score Opp.
24-27 @NE
31-17 @TEN
45-31 GB
24-17 @JAX
Week 5 OAK
Week 6 bye
Week 7 JAX
Week 8 @KC
Week 9 MIN
Week 10 HOU
Week 11 @CHI
Week 12 @DET
Week 13 TEN
Week 14 @HOU
Week 15 BAL
Week 16 SD
Week 17 @DEN