fantasy football     JOIN THE HUDDLE    
HOME ARTICLES NEWS DRAFT GUIDE REGULAR SEASON STATISTICS NFL TEAMS MESSAGE BOARDS

FANTASY FOOTBALL WEEKLY FEATURES

Free Agent Forecast - Week 6
Paul Sandy
October 12, 2004

QUARTERBACKS

1. Tim Rattay, 49ers

Last Week’s Stats

38 comp.

57 att.

417 yds.

2 TDs

14 rush yds.

Breakout Performer

Rattay was the top recommendation here last week. If he’s still on your waiver wire, be sure to snap him up. The 49ers have made a habit of falling behind early and that has led to a spike in Rattay’s stats. He has two touchdowns in each of his three starts this season. Until he posts stats that indicate otherwise, Rattay can be trusted as a weekly starter in leagues with 12 or more teams.

Short-Term Injury Replacement

 

Long-Term Injury Replacement

 

Depth Chart Climber

 

Weekly Starter

Spot Starter

 

Keeper League Prospect

 

Available In Small Leagues Only

Upcoming Opponents

Favorable Match-Up Next Week

 

@NYJ

BYE

@SEA

CHI

CAR


2. Drew Brees, Chargers

Last Week’s Stats

17 comp.

26 att.

211 yds.

2 TDs

1 rush. yd.

Breakout Performer

Drew Brees has defied the critics this season and looks like he’ll be a viable fantasy quarterback for the near future. He’s developed a good rapport with his passing targets, mainly LaDainian Tomlinson, Antonio Gates and Reche Caldwell. If you’re a Peyton Manning owner and you’re looking to keep your head above water while he’s on bye this week, consider making a move for Brees. He faces a stout Atlanta defense, but should post another 200-yard game.

Short-Term Injury Replacement

 

Long-Term Injury Replacement

 

Depth Chart Climber

 

Weekly Starter

 

Spot Starter

Keeper League Prospect

 

Available In Small Leagues Only

 

Upcoming Opponents

Favorable Match-Up Next Week

 

@ATL

@CAR

OAK

NO

BYE


3. Brian Griese, Buccaneers

Last Week’s Stats

16 comp.

19 att.

194 yds.

1 TD

 

Breakout Performer

Tampa ’s offense isn’t one that inspires a great deal of confidence for fantasy owners. The team is averaging less than 14 points per game, worst in the NFC. Even so, I think you can get away with starting Brian Griese this week. Griese came in for the injured Chris Simms Sunday and promptly led his team on two scoring drives. On the day, he finished with some fine stats, 16 of 19 for nearly 200 yards. This week, Griese and the Bucs will face St. Louis on Monday night. The Rams have given up four passing touchdowns in their last two games, so Griese has a good chance to pass for 200 yards and a pair of touchdowns.

Short-Term Injury Replacement

Long-Term Injury Replacement

 

Depth Chart Climber

 

Weekly Starter

 

Spot Starter

Keeper League Prospect

 

Available In Small Leagues Only

 

Upcoming Opponents

Favorable Match-Up Next Week

@STL

CHI

BYE

KC

@ATL

One Week Wonders: Drew Bledsoe and Josh McCown

RUNNING BACKS

1. Reuben Droughns

Last Week’s Stats

30 car.

193 yds.

4 rec.

18 yds.

1 TD

Breakout Performer

With starter Quentin Griffin out with an ankle injury, Tatum Bell owners inched closer to the edges of their seats with anticipation. This was going to be the week he broke out and claimed the starting spot. Not so fast. Fullback Reuben Droughns got the start and injected new life into Denver’s rushing attack. Droughns will deservedly be the top acquisition this week. Trying to get a read on Broncos head coach Mike Shanahan is like trying to predict where a bolt of lightning will strike. So buyers beware. My feeling is after his 193-yard effort, Droughns at the very least has a stranglehold on the #2 RB spot.

Short-Term Injury Replacement

Long-Term Injury Replacement

 

Depth Chart Climber

Weekly Starter

 

Spot Starter

 

Keeper League Prospect

 

Available In Small Leagues Only

 

Upcoming Opponents

Favorable Match-Up Next Week

@OAK

@CIN

ATL

HOU

BYE


2. Artose Pinner, Lions

Last Week’s Stats

23 car.

68 yds.

1 rec.

11 yds.

1 TD

Breakout Performer

Pinner was another running back who made the most of his opportunity this weekend. He stepped in for the injured Kevin Jones (ankle) and rushed the ball well against a solid Atlanta defense. Although it’s unclear whether Jones will regain his starting spot, Pinner’s strong showing should lead to more action in the coming games. If he’s available on your waiver wire, consider acquiring him for this week’s match-up against Detroit’s nemesis, the Green Bay Packers. The Packers have been vulnerable against the run this season, giving up huge games to Tiki Barber, Chris Brown and Thomas Jones.

Short-Term Injury Replacement

Long-Term Injury Replacement

 

Depth Chart Climber

 

Weekly Starter

 

Spot Starter

Keeper League Prospect

 

Available In Small Leagues Only

Upcoming Opponents

Favorable Match-Up Next Week

GB

@NYG

@DAL

WAS

@JAC


3. Brock Forsey, Dolphins

Last Week’s Stats

13 car.

44 yds.

0 rec.

0 yds.

0 TDs

Breakout Performer

 

Another week, another starting running back for the Miami Dolphins? Head coach Dave Wannestedt hasn’t declared a starter for next week, but based on Sunday’s box score, we can surmise that the Dolphins will go with Brock Forsey as their starter. Leonard Henry got the nod this week, but only managed 10 yards on five carries. He was quickly yanked in favor of Forsey. The former Bears RB is no stranger to big games. He turned some heads last season when he rushed for 134 yards in Week 12. Acquire him as a project-type player.

Short-Term Injury Replacement

 

Long-Term Injury Replacement

 

Depth Chart Climber

 

Weekly Starter

 

Spot Starter

Keeper League Prospect

 

Available In Small Leagues Only

 

Upcoming Opponents

Favorable Match-Up Next Week

 

@BUF

STL

@NYJ

ARZ

BYE


4. Jamal Robertson, 49ers

Last Week’s Stats

2 car.

9 yds.

3 rec.

24 yds.

0 TDs

Breakout Performer

 

San Francisco starting running back Kevan Barlow suffered a sprained shoulder in Sunday’s overtime win against the Cardinals. He will be listed as questionable for this week’s game against the Jets. If he can’t go, the team will likely turn to a RBBC approach with Jamal Robertson and Terry Jackson splitting the carries. Of the two, Robertson seems to have the most potential because he’s gotten more work of late and averages more than four yards per carry. The 49ers will likely be playing from behind during this game because their defense has been ravaged by injuries. That decreases the value of Robertson significantly. However, if you’re desperate, you could certainly do worse.

Short-Term Injury Replacement

Long-Term Injury Replacement

 

Depth Chart Climber

 

Weekly Starter

 

Spot Starter

Keeper League Prospect

 

Available In Small Leagues Only

 

Upcoming Opponents

Favorable Match-Up Next Week

 

@NYJ

BYE

@SEA

CHI

CAR


5. Musa Smith, Ravens

Last Week’s Stats

0 car.

0 yds.

0 rec.

0 yds.

0 TDs

Breakout Performer

 

Got a little space on your roster for a dark horse? Think about acquiring Musa Smith. Chester Taylor is considered to be the frontrunner to replace Jamal Lewis while he’s out, and he was the must-have player last week. But Smith should see some action as well. While Taylor is a smaller, shifty back, Smith is built more in the mold of Lewis. Therefore the argument could be made that Smith is better suited to be Baltimore’s workhorse. Smith is relatively unproven and has seen most of his action on special teams. Roll the dice and acquire him on the off chance that the Ravens pull a switch-a-roo.

Short-Term Injury Replacement

 

Long-Term Injury Replacement

 

Depth Chart Climber

Weekly Starter

 

Spot Starter

 

Keeper League Prospect

 

Available In Small Leagues Only

 

Upcoming Opponents

Favorable Match-Up Next Week

 

BYE

BUF

@PHI

CLE

@NYJ

One Week Wonders: Jesse Chatman

WIDE RECEIVERS

1. Marcus Robinson, Vikings

Last Week’s Stats

9 rec.

150 yds.

2 TDs

 

 

Breakout Performer

Robinson was acquired during the offseason to give the Vikings a receiving threat opposite Randy Moss. He was demoted to #3 early in the preseason after getting nicked up with various injuries. It appears he may have worked his way out of Mike Tice’s doghouse. Robinson led all Minnesota receivers Sunday with nine receptions for 150 yards and two touchdowns. Although he does have a bit of a history of posting big games then disappearing, he’s definitely worth an acquisition this week and a start. The Vikings will visit New Orleans, a team that gives up more than 230 passing yards per game.

Short-Term Injury Replacement

 

Long-Term Injury Replacement

 

Depth Chart Climber

Weekly Starter

 

Spot Starter

Keeper League Prospect

 

Available In Small Leagues Only

 

Upcoming Opponents

Favorable Match-Up Next Week

@NO

TEN

NYG

@IND

@GB


2. Andre Davis, Browns

Last Week’s Stats

5 rec.

101 yds.

1 TD

 

 

Breakout Performer

I called him a one-week wonder last week and now I’m eating my words. While I still don’t think Andre Davis can be trusted as a weekly starter, he deserves a roster spot at this point. Davis caught five passes for 101 yards Sunday and scored a touchdown for the second straight week. Davis is one of the several third-year receivers who are making an impact this season. He has a favorable match-up this week against the Bengals. Use him if you don’t have a better option. He’s quickly becoming QB Jeff Garcia’s favorite target.

Short-Term Injury Replacement

 

Long-Term Injury Replacement

 

Depth Chart Climber

Weekly Starter

 

Spot Starter

Keeper League Prospect

 

Available In Small Leagues Only

 

Upcoming Opponents

Favorable Match-Up Next Week

CIN

PHI

BYE

@BAL

PIT


3. Justin McCareins, Jets

Last Week’s Stats

2 rec.

32 yds.

0 TDs

 

 

Breakout Performer

 

McCareins has been a huge disappointment so far in 2004 and has found his way on many waiver wires. Acquire him this week if you’re facing bye week issues or just need a spark. He’ll face a 49ers defense that seems to lose at least one of its top defenders every week to injury. Last week, San Francisco surrendered three passing touchdowns to Josh McCown, who hadn’t thrown a single TD up to that point. Expect McCareins to finish in the 70-80 yard range with a possible touchdown.

Short-Term Injury Replacement

 

Long-Term Injury Replacement

 

Depth Chart Climber

 

Weekly Starter

 

Spot Starter

Keeper League Prospect

 

Available In Small Leagues Only

 

Upcoming Opponents

Favorable Match-Up Next Week

SF

@NE

MIA

@BUF

BAL


4. Az-Zahir Hakim, Lions

Last Week’s Stats

3 rec.

64 yds.

1 TD

 

 

Breakout Performer

Hakim is a nice pick-up this week. The Lions welcome Green Bay to Ford Field. It has become evident in recent games that the Packers have real trouble stopping opponents’ second and third receivers. The top wideout draws coverage from cornerback Al Harris, who is respectable. But the loss of Mike McKenzie on the opposite side means the other receivers get covered by a mishmash of inexperienced defensive backs. Assuming Roy Williams plays next week and is covered by Harris, Hakim should see have little trouble getting open against Green Bay’s horrible defenders. Acquire him this week and don’t be afraid to plug him into your lineup.

Short-Term Injury Replacement

 

Long-Term Injury Replacement

 

Depth Chart Climber

 

Weekly Starter

 

Spot Starter

Keeper League Prospect

 

Available In Small Leagues Only

 

Upcoming Opponents

Favorable Match-Up Next Week

GB

@NYG

@DAL

WAS

@JAC


5. Charles Lee, Buccaneers

Last Week’s Stats

4 rec.

76 yds.

0 TDs

 

 

Breakout Performer

Charles Lee finished the 2003 season in fine form, posting three games over 80 yards and three touchdowns in his final six games. Unfortunately, he suffered a hamstring injury early in the preseason and missed extensive time. Now that he’s back in the swing of things, perhaps he can re-emerge as a decent fantasy wideout. Keep an eye on how the change at quarterback affects Lee. He and Michael Clayton could become a decent tandem before the season is over.

Short-Term Injury Replacement

 

Long-Term Injury Replacement

 

Depth Chart Climber

 

Weekly Starter

 

Spot Starter

Keeper League Prospect

 

Available In Small Leagues Only

 

Upcoming Opponents

Favorable Match-Up Next Week

@STL

CHI

BYE

KC

@ATL


6. Eddie Berlin, Titans

Last Week’s Stats

3 rec.

53 yds

1 TD

 

 

Breakout Performer

With Tyrone Calico (knees) likely lost for the season, Eddie Berlin has climbed up a slot on the depth chart. He had a nice game last night against the Packers and has a great chance for a repeat performance this week against the Texans. Houston has given up a league-worst 13 passing touchdowns. If you need a deep sleeper at WR this week, Berlin should be a factor come Sunday.

Short-Term Injury Replacement

 

Long-Term Injury Replacement

Depth Chart Climber

 

Weekly Starter

 

Spot Starter

Keeper League Prospect

 

Available In Small Leagues Only

 

Upcoming Opponents

Favorable Match-Up Next Week

HOU

@MIN

CIN

BYE

CHI

One Week Wonders: Marty Booker and Kevin Curtis

TIGHT ENDS

1. Boo Williams, Saints

Last Week’s Stats

2 rec.

24 yds.

1 TD

 

 

Breakout Performer

Williams fell out of favor with many fantasy owners earlier this season when he opened with 13 total yards in his first two games. If he was dropped in your league, now is a good time to give him another chance. Williams caught his first touchdown pass of the season last week against the Buccaneers and has nine receptions in the last three weeks. Those stats are average at best, but it’s a good sign that Williams is once again becoming a significant part of the offense. Look for more opportunities in the coming weeks, especially considering Boo’s favorable schedule.

Short-Term Injury Replacement

 

Long-Term Injury Replacement

 

Depth Chart Climber

 

Weekly Starter

 

Spot Starter

Keeper League Prospect

 

Available In Small Leagues Only

Upcoming Opponents

Favorable Match-Up Next Week

MIN

@OAK

BYE

@KC

SD


2. Jerramy Stevens, Seahawks

Last Week’s Stats

3 rec.

35 yds.

1 TD

 

 

Breakout Performer

Stevens got his life in order during the offseason and had an excellent preseason. That’s why it was so surprising that the Seahawks tight end started out the regular season so poorly – only one catch in his first two games. But Stevens finally appears to be getting into a rhythm with QB Matt Hasselbeck. He has three catches in each of his last two games and made a spectacular TD reception Sunday against the Rams. It’s tough to recommend starting Stevens at this point unless you really don’t have other options or play in a league with 14+ teams. Acquire him because he has the potential to emerge as a top tier TE by midseason, much like Boo Williams did in 2003.

Short-Term Injury Replacement

 

Long-Term Injury Replacement

 

Depth Chart Climber

 

Weekly Starter

 

Spot Starter

Keeper League Prospect

 

Available In Small Leagues Only

 

Upcoming Opponents

Favorable Match-Up Next Week

 

@NE

@ARZ

CAR

@SF

@STL


3. Chris Baker, Jets

Last Week’s Stats

3 rec.

33 yds.

1 TD

 

 

Breakout Performer

The Jets don’t use their tight ends a lot, but this Baker hauled in three receptions in Week 5 for 33 yards and a touchdown. This week’s match-up against the 49ers could be another dandy for Baker. If you play in a league with 12+ teams, Baker is worth a look. The 49ers have given up a touchdown to a TE in two of their last three games. Pencil in Baker for four or five receptions and a possible touchdown.

Short-Term Injury Replacement

 

Long-Term Injury Replacement

 

Depth Chart Climber

 

Weekly Starter

 

Spot Starter

Keeper League Prospect

 

Available In Small Leagues Only

 

Upcoming Opponents

Favorable Match-Up Next Week

SF

@NE

MIA

@BUF

BAL

One Week Wonders: Bubba Franks and Brandon Manumaleuna

Defense / Special Teams

1. Buffalo Bills

Last Week’s Stats

16 pts. alw.

1 sack

1 INT

1 FR

0 TDs

Breakout Performer

 

The Bills are sure to be the hot defensive acquisition this week. They not only get to face the Miami Dolphins on their home turf, but, in all likelihood, they also get to tee off on their third-string QB Sage Rosenfels. But don’t think my recommendation of the Buffalo defense is only a product of their favorable match-up. They only give up 18.3 points per game and hold their opponents to just 85 yards rushing. Look for them to rough up Rosenfels and Miami’s makeshift offense.

Short-Term Injury Replacement

 

Long-Term Injury Replacement

 

Depth Chart Climber

 

Weekly Starter

 

Spot Starter

Keeper League Prospect

 

Available In Small Leagues Only

 

Upcoming Opponents

Favorable Match-Up Next Week

MIA

@BAL

ARZ

NYJ

@NE

One Week Wonders: Tennessee Titans