fantasy football     JOIN THE HUDDLE    
HOME ARTICLES NEWS DRAFT GUIDE REGULAR SEASON STATISTICS NFL TEAMS MESSAGE BOARDS

FANTASY FOOTBALL WEEKLY FEATURES

Predictions & Projections
David M. Dorey
The Huddle
WEEK 6
October 13, 2004
Season Ticket
Sun 1 PM Sun 1 PM Sun 1 PM Sun 4 PM Mon 9 PM
MIA at BUF* GB at DET* CAR at PHI* DEN at OAK TB at STL
SD at ATL KC at JAX HOU at TEN* PIT at DAL Bye Week:
CIN at CLE* SF at NYJ*   Sun 8:30 PM ARZ, BAL
WAS at CHI* SEA at NE* Times ET MIN at NO IND, NYG
  Cincinnati Rush Catch Pass
QB Carson Palmer 0 0 220,1
RB Rudi Johnson 80,1 20 0
TE Kelly/Stewart/Schobel 0 20 0
WR Peter Warrick 0 50 0
WR Kelly Washington 0 30 0
WR Houshmandzadeh 0 60 0
WR Chad Johnson 0 70,1 0
PK Shayne Graham 2 FG 2 XP -
  Cleveland Rush Catch Pass
QB Jeff Garcia 20 0 170,1
RB William Green 40 0 0
RB Lee Suggs 120,1 10 0
TE Steve Heiden 0 10 0
WR Andre Davis 0 60,1 0
WR Dennis Northcutt 0 30 0
WR Quincy Morgan 0 40 0
PK Phil Dawson 3 FG 2 XP -

CIN (1-3) vs CLE (2-3)

Game Prediction: CIN 17, CLE 23

The Bengals come off their bye week fresh and healthy but the Browns are at home where they have not lost a game yet this year.

Update: Warrick is already counted out for this weekend with his shin injury.

Pre-Game Notes - CIN

The brutal schedule for the Bengals this year has led to an understandable 1-3 record but the defense has not shown any improvement from 2003.

Quarterback: The Bengals offense has continued to struggle in the passing game, enough so that there are some calls for Jon Kitna to get back to work. But Carson Palmer remains the starter and the coaching staff is being patient with his development. Palmer has had a very tough opening schedule - NYJ, MIA, BAL and PIT. He was expected to struggle against those secondaries.

Running Backs: Rudi Johnson comes off a much needed 123 yard effort against the Steelers with one touchdown. He only has two scores on the year and yet has been carrying the ball at least 22 times in every games. The Bengals are pleased enough with his performance so far to be working on a new contract for him to prevent him from becoming a free agent in the offseason.

Wide Receivers: Chad Johnson has only scored once this year and has two 99 yard games as his season best but that's actually about where he was last year at this time and he faced some top secondaries unlike this week. Peter Warrick missed the last two games with a shin injury but I am assuming he will return this week as a much needed third down and endzone target for Palmer. In his place, T.J. Houshmandzadeh has turned in two nice games of 116 and 53 yards.

Tight Ends: Three-headed monster and not one fantasy relevant.

Match Against the Defense: Rudi Johnson has never had a good game against the Browns, gaining only about 50 yards in both efforts last year when the two teams both won on the road. The Bengals 21-14 win in week four last year was all about a big game by Kitna throwing, not running the ball.

There's no reason why Rudi should not score once on the ground since six different running backs have already this year against the Browns and his yardage will depend on how well the Bengals can keep the game close on the scoreboard.

Palmer faces a secondary that has only allowed two passing touchdowns this year but primarily because opponents always run in their scores. He should have a shot at a decent game here against a team that has allowed six receivers to go over 80 yards. Assuming that Warrick returns, he gets the more favorable matchup though you can never count out Chad Johnson and if the Browns get a lead, the passing numbers here should increase.

Pre-Game Notes - CLE

The Browns have won both homestands against the Ravens and Redskins this year. After this week they host the Eagles and then travel to the Ravens so a win here is important before hitting a tougher stretch.

Quarterback: Jeff Garcia comes off his best game of the year against the Steelers but that only meant 210 yards passing with one touchdown against one interception. He only has three passing scores on the year and never more than once a game. This week should see more success rushing so the passing numbers are likely to remain sub-200.

Running Backs: While Lee Suggs looked good in week four with 82 yards on 22 carries with one score against the Redskins, he only managed 30 yards on 11 carries against the Steelers while William Green produced 27 yards on only three carries. Look for the duo to continue the sharing scenario with Suggs, at least so far, taking the lead and early carries.

Wide Receivers: Last week, Andre' Davis finally posted both a touchdown and the first 100 yard effort by a Browns wideout. That comes one week after he had 93 yards on three catches against the Redskins. Davis is finally getting used by Garcia while Quincy Morgan has fallen off dramatically the past two weeks and only totaled three catches for 33 yards. Dennis Northcutt only matters in the rare game he catches a long pass which so far is about a 5:1 shot against happening.

Tight Ends: Steve Heiden returned to play last week but Aaron Shea had the lone passing touchdown. It was the first score by a tight end this year.

Match Against the Defense: In only four games, the Bengals have allowed four rushing scores and three 120+ rushing yard efforts to opposing running backs. They have been fairly tough against he pass by appearance only because opponents spend their time running all over them.

Expect that Garcia has a great chance for one score that would go to a wideout and Andre Davis has the best matchup and has been hot the past two weeks anyway. The Bengals have not allowed more than 69 yards to any wideout this year thanks to the ease of running the defense has donated.

This is definitely the game for Suggs to get on track. The only team that did not rip up the Bengals for big rushing yards were the Dolphins. Consider Suggs as your definite starter this week and there could even be enough left over for William Green to have some fantasy value this week as well.

CIN CLE 2004 Averages CLE CIN
Gains Allows QB's Gains Allows
219
244
Pass yards
167
186
0.8
0.4
Pass TDs
0.8
1.3
1.8
1.2
Interceptions
0.8
0.5
3
7
Rush yards
18
6
0.0
0.4
Rush TDs
0.2
0.3
---
---
RB's
---
---
101
101
Rush yards
90
154
0.5
1.2
Rush TDs
0.2
1.0
24
19
Receive yards
21
37
0.5
0.0
Receive TD's
0.0
0.5
---
---
WR's
---
---
179
173
Receive yards
118
121
0.3
0.2
Receive TD's
0.6
0.8
---
---
TE's
---
---
16
53
Receive yards
28
28
0.0
0.2
Receive TD's
0.2
0.0
---
---
PK's
---
---
2.0
1.6
Field Goals
2.2
1.0
1.5
2.0
Extra Points
1.4
2.8
---
---
DEF/ST
---
---
1.5
0.8
Fumbles
0.8
0.8
0.5
0.8
Interceptions
1.2
1.8
0.3
0.0
Touchdowns
0.2
0.5
1.5
2.6
Sacks
1.2
2.8
0.0
0.2
Safeties
0.0
0.0
Bengals (1-3)
Score Opp.
24-31 @NYJ
16-13 MIA
9-23 BAL
17-28 @PIT
Week 5 bye
Week 6 @CLE
Week 7 DEN
Week 8 @TEN
Week 9 DAL
Week 10 @WAS
Week 11 PIT
Week 12 CLE
Week 13 @BAL
Week 14 @NE
Week 15 BUF
Week 16 NYG
Week 17 @PHI
Browns(2-3)
Score Opp.
20-3 BAL
12-19 @DAL
10-27 @NYG
17-13 WAS
23-34 @PIT
Week 6 CIN
Week 7 PHI
Week 8 bye
Week 9 @BAL
Week 10 PIT
Week 11 NYJ
Week 12 @CIN
Week 13 NE
Week 14 @BUF
Week 15 SD
Week 16 @MIA
Week 17 @HOU