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FANTASY FOOTBALL WEEKLY FEATURES

Predictions & Projections
David M. Dorey
The Huddle
WEEK 6
October 13, 2004
Season Ticket
Sun 1 PM Sun 1 PM Sun 1 PM Sun 4 PM Mon 9 PM
MIA at BUF* GB at DET* CAR at PHI* DEN at OAK TB at STL
SD at ATL KC at JAX HOU at TEN* PIT at DAL Bye Week:
CIN at CLE* SF at NYJ*   Sun 8:30 PM ARZ, BAL
WAS at CHI* SEA at NE* Times ET MIN at NO IND, NYG
  Minnesota Rush Catch Pass
QB Daunte Culpepper 0 0 300,3
RB Moe Williams 10 10 0
RB Mewelde Moore 80,1 40 0
TE Richard Owens 0 10 0
WR Randy Moss 0 100,2 0
WR Nate Burleson 0 70,1 0
WR Marcus Robinson 0 50 0
PK Morten Andersen 1 FG 4 XP -
  New Orleans Rush Catch Pass
QB Aaron Brooks 0 0 260,2
RB Deuce McAllister 90,1 30 0
TE Boo Williams 0 20 0
WR Joe Horn 0 80,1 0
WR Donte Stallworth 0 70,1 0
WR Jerome Pathon 0 30 0
PK John Carney 2 FG 3 XP -

MIN (3-1) vs NO (2-3)

Game Prediction: MIN 31, NO 27

Other than one road trip to Philly, these Vikings are playing almost unstoppable offense against weaker defenses and that's what the Saints will be bringing to the game. With the Saints, they might pull a big upset or just get blown out since there's little middle ground with them and no particular pattern to when they flip the switches on and off.

Pre-Game Notes - MIN

The Saints have not allowed any opponent to score less than 20 points and these Vikings already have three games over 27 points. Start 'em if you got 'em.

Quarterback: The worst that Daunte Culpepper has done this year is only 343 yards and one touchdown and that was against the Eagles on the road. He now has two games with five scores and has exceeded 300 yards in three of his four games. The odd gamet? Only 242 yards and five touchdowns.

Running Backs: Michael Bennett is still out this week and Onterrio Smith is still suspended. Moe Williams will suit up again this week and this time he will actually play but only on passing downs mainly as a blocker. Mewelde Moore takes his second start on the heels of his 182 total yards against the Texans. Not too shabby for a #4 running back.

Wide Receivers: Randy Moss has only played four games this year and already has seven touchdowns. That's a pace for around 28 touchdowns and as long as he plays teams like the Saints this Sunday, it is not out of the question. Marcus Robinson was the man last week, catching two scores and nine passes for 150 yards after a quiet two week stretch. Even Nate Burleson scored last week because when the quarterback throws five touchdowns, there's plenty to share.

Tight Ends: Richard Owens - nice waiver wire pick-up...not. Jermaine Wiggins still is likely a week away from playing, so this position means nothing.

Match Against the Defense: Like Christmas in October. The Saints have been allowing at least 20 points to every opponent and that includes teams like SF and TB which were not known to actually have an offense.

Look for a big game from Culpepper yet again and Mewelde Moore is still a great start against a defense that has allowed eight rushing touchdowns in only five games. The only hard part about forecasting this is deciding where the scores are coming from because they could happen for almost any player. Take the safest routes with the standard Culpepper and Moss.

CB Mike McKenzie may be active this week for the first time as a Saint, but he's also been bothered by a hamstring problem so I am not considering him as a factor.

Pre-Game Notes - NO

After beating the 49ers and then upsetting the Rams, the Saints fell back into old ways and were creamed by the Cardinals and even beaten by the previously winless Buccaneers. While the offensive pieces are there and sometimes work, the defense has yet to lay claim to be even average.

Quarterback: Last week against the Buccaneers, Aaron Brooks threw two touchdowns but only managed 11 completions of 23 passes for 106 yards with one interception. Mirroring the chaotic nature of the team, he's varied from 106 yards up to 316 yards passing in only two weeks time. He was outstanding against the 49ers (279 yards, 3 TD's) but his consistency is consistently inconsistent.

Running Backs: Aaron Stecker was supposed to play last week but had only a few carries thanks to food poisoning that required five bags of IV fluid to keep him going. Deuce McAllister came back a bit earlier than expected thanks to the sudden need and ran for 102 yards on 21 carries. Deuce is back.

Wide Receivers: For the second week in a row, this crew all stayed safely under 50 yards receiving though Joe Horn did have one touchdown catch. All the wideouts should get some action this week since the team is going to need to move the ball quickly and score a lot more than they have in the past two weeks.

Donte' Stallworth only had one catch last week but also suffered from flu-like symptoms. He is expected to be fine for Sunday.

Tight Ends: After a very slow start to the season, Boo Williams is getting more attention lately. He had about 40 yards in weeks three and four and scored once on his two catches for 24 yards against the Buccaneers.

Match Against the Defense: The Vikings on the road have not allowed less than 27 points by the opponent and this game should prove to be a shootout. Look for good yardage and at least two scores by Brooks even if it comes in trash time when the game is already decided. David Carr had 372 yards and three scores just last week against the visiting Vikings.

Deuce McAllister should turn in some nice numbers as well since they Saints will want to control the ball and clock as long as they can before it gets horribly away from them. He may not get over 20 carries since almost no runners have, but he'll do some damage with it particularly in the first half.

Both Horn and Stallworth have excellent chances at scoring this week and turning in some nice yardage along the way. Even Jerome Pathon could surprise though he's been bothered by a hamstring and hasn't done anything since week three.

MIN NO 2004 Averages NO MIN
Gains Allows QB's Gains Allows
335
246
Pass yards
233
305
3.3
0.6
Pass TDs
1.4
1.5
0.3
0.4
Interceptions
0.4
0.0
27
3
Rush yards
15
16
0.3
0.2
Rush TDs
0.0
0.5
---
---
RB's
---
---
81
136
Rush yards
75
71
0.0
1.6
Rush TDs
0.2
0.8
86
43
Receive yards
32
59
0.3
0.4
Receive TD's
0.0
0.0
---
---
WR's
---
---
215
168
Receive yards
171
216
3.0
0.2
Receive TD's
1.0
1.3
---
---
TE's
---
---
35
39
Receive yards
30
32
0.0
0.2
Receive TD's
0.4
0.3
---
---
PK's
---
---
1.0
1.4
Field Goals
2.0
1.2
2.6
2.8
Extra Points
1.6
2.0
---
---
DEF/ST
---
---
1.0
1.2
Fumbles
1.2
0.8
0.0
0.4
Interceptions
0.4
0.3
0.0
0.4
Touchdowns
0.2
0.0
2.3
1.6
Sacks
2.6
3.0
0.0
0.0
Safeties
0.0
0.0
Vikings (3-1)
Score Opp.
35-17 DAL
16-27 @PHI
27-22 CHI
Week 4 bye
34-28 @HOU
Week 6 @NO
Week 7 TEN
Week 8 NYG
Week 9 @IND
Week 10 @GB
Week 11 DET
Week 12 JAX
Week 13 @CHI
Week 14 SEA
Week 15 @DET
Week 16 GB
Week 17 @WAS
Saints (2-3)
Score Opp.
7-21 SEA
30-27 SF
28-25 @STL
10-34 @ARI
17-20 TB
Week 6 MIN
Week 7 @OAK
Week 8 bye
Week 9 @SD
Week 10 KC
Week 11 DEN
Week 12 @ATL
Week 13 CAR
Week 14 @DAL
Week 15 @TB
Week 16 ATL
Week 17 @CAR