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FANTASY FOOTBALL WEEKLY FEATURES

Predictions & Projections
David M. Dorey
The Huddle
WEEK 7
October 20, 2004
Season Ticket
Sun 1 PM Sun 1 PM Sun 1 PM Sun 4 PM Mon 9 PM
BUF at BAL ATL at KC CHI at TB* SEA at ARZ* DEN at CIN
SD at CAR* STL at MIA* Sun 4 PM NO at OAK* Bye Week:
JAX at IND* DET at NYG* NYJ at NE Times ET HOU, PIT
PHI at CLE* TEN at MIN* DAL at GB *updated SF, WAS
  Seattle Rush Catch Pass
QB Matt Hasselbeck 0 0 220,2
RB Shaun Alexander 80,1 20 0
TE Jerramy Stevens 0 40,1 0
WR Darrell Jackson 0 80,1 0
WR Bobby Engram 0 20 0
WR Jerry Rice 0 20 0
WR Koren Robinson 0 50 0
PK Josh Brown 1 FG 3 XP -
  Arizona Rush Catch Pass
QB Josh McCown 10 0 190,1
RB Emmitt Smith 50 10 0
RB Troy Hambrick 10 10 0
TE Freddie Jones 0 20 0
WR Bryant Johnson 0 30 0
WR Larry Fitzgerald 0 70,1 0
WR Karl Williams 0 40 0
PK Neil Rackers 1 FG 1 XP -

SEA (3-2) vs ARZ (1-4)

Game Prediction: SEA 24, ARZ 10

After coasting to a 3-0 record and now smacked back to 3-2, about the last thing Seattle needs to happen is to be yet another victim of the desert ambush.

Update: Bobby Engram is still questionable to play due to his sprained ankle and may not play. Jerry Rice is already practicing with the team and is expected to play though his role will likely be rather limited at this early date. I am removing Engram from the projections since he has not practiced and adding in Rice with some token catches.

Pre-Game Notes - SEA

The Seahawks lost their margin for error when they allowed the Rams to comeback and steal a game already won. Knowing the matchup in New England would be tough, Seattle played a solid game but came up short in what has proven to be the worst place for a road game in the past two seasons.

Quarterback: Matt Hasselbeck finally got back to posting big yardage with his 349 yards against the Patriots last week but he never scored and threw two interceptions that proved their undoing. It was 100 yards better than his previous best this season but also the first time he failed to throw a touchdown. This should be a bounce back week for the touchdown column.

Running Backs: Shaun Alexander continues his strong pace with his eighth touchdown of the season last week against the Patriots. Other than his one game back from a knee sprain in Tampa Bay, he's been fantasy gold this season and typically only gives up five respite carries to the duo of Mack Strong and Maurice Morris.

Wide Receivers: Koren Robinson comes off his best game of the year when he left New England with nine receptions and 150 yards though he did not score. Robinson is now rumored to be in violation of the substance abuse policy and is supposedly appealing it. If he was found to have transgressed, it means a four week vacation right when your fantasy team does not need it. I am assuming he plays this week since there is nothing official regarding the situation.

Darrell Jackson pulled the all the focus last week and only turned in 40 yards on two catches in spite of being thrown ten passes. The biggest news lately has been the acquisition of Jerry Rice by the Seahawks. It may be a precursor to losing Robinson but Rice of 2004 is hardly the Rice of the mid-nineties. Since he just swapped teams, I assume for now he misses this week though he is already familiar with the general scheme ran by ex-49er offensive coordinator Mike Holmgren.

Bobby Engram is questionable with a bad ankle this week but I am assuming he plays. Rice can likely step into any offense and contribute but until I know he will suit up, I will assume he does not play. Updates as warranted.

Tight Ends: Jeremy Stevens continues to produce more, scoring in week five and having four catches for 50 yards last week.

Match Against the Defense: The biggest question about teams playing the 1-5 Cardinals is if they will completely prepare and play hard against them or just try to squeak past with a small effort to win.

Since Seattle now is behind the Rams in the standings, the assumption is they will need to win big anytime they can.

Shaun Alexander should turn in some decent yardage since the Cardinals have already allowed three 100+ performances but the interesting facet to this is that no runner has scored a rushing touchdown against Arizona yet this year. That's Alexander's specialty and he should log one score since his trend is better to rely on than Arizona's.

Hasselbeck goes against a secondary he could torch. The Cardinals do play tougher at home but teams that can run well can also pass against this defense. Look for Hasselbeck to turn in a solid game with the chance for some higher than normal numbers but he'll likely be spreading the ball around rather than focusing on a single receiver, Fortunately Jackson has the best matchup and should lead receivers and score once.

Pre-Game Notes - ARZ

So far the Cardinals have met expectations at 1-4, what's been surprising is that their improvement in the running game and on defense. If the passing game gets into gear, Denny Green can start earning a paycheck.

Quarterback: After waiting for three weeks, Josh McCown not only finally threw a touchdown pass, he ended with three scores against the 49ers including the first NFL touchdown for Larry Fitzgerald. McCown ended with 231 yards in his last game, the first 200+ he has managed this season. If the Cards are going to keep pace with the Seahawks, McCown will need continue to improve.

Running Backs: Through his first five games, Emmitt Smith has scored in all but one and even managed a 127 yard effort against the Saints (who doesn't?). Smith has been a nice surprise both in scoring and actually playing a full-time role without injury. Troy Hambrick is getting into gear now with 26 carries over the past two games and scoring once in each. While the Cardinals do not have a top level rushing game, with Smith and Hambrick they are making the most of what they do have.

Wide Receivers: This crew is finally showing some life, though realistically only against the 49ers so far. Larry Fitzgerald turned in his career best so far in week five when he had 94 yards and one touchdown on five receptions. He had 61 yards the previous week against the Saints and the rumors that his foot continues to bother him are no longer considered. Bryant Johnson has been needed to step up in the absence of Anquan Boldin but so far has done little to replace him. Even Karl Williams occasional play has been more productive than Bryant in the past few weeks.

Tight Ends: After five games, Freddie Jones finally scored a touchdown this season but still has never had more than 43 yards in any game and only about four catches in any given week. He was highly touted prior to the season but has not shown the promised impact, much like the rest of his career.

Match Against the Defense: Tough times for a Cardinals offense.

The Seahawks have been solid against the run and the Cardinals duo from Dallas should be rendered ineffective once the score starts to get away.

Look for McCown to eventually find a trash time score to most likely Fitzgerald mainly because Bryant and Williams have not stepped up to what the Cardinals need. The bye week should help get Fitzgerald a breather and he now will be facing four tough defenses in a row. If he scores, this is the one game most likely to see it.

SEA ARZ 2004 Averages ARZ SEA
Gains Allows QB's Gains Allows
244
253
Pass yards
193
228
1.2
1.0
Pass TDs
0.6
1.0
0.8
0.8
Interceptions
0.6
2.0
2
20
Rush yards
9
10
0.0
0.0
Rush TDs
0.0
0.3
---
---
RB's
---
---
124
107
Rush yards
96
74
1.2
0.0
Rush TDs
1.0
0.0
27
43
Receive yards
30
25
0.4
0.0
Receive TD's
0.4
0.0
---
---
WR's
---
---
182
150
Receive yards
134
159
0.4
0.4
Receive TD's
0.2
0.5
---
---
TE's
---
---
35
60
Receive yards
34
44
0.4
0.6
Receive TD's
0.2
0.5
---
---
PK's
---
---
1.8
2.4
Field Goals
1.2
0.8
2.2
0.6
Extra Points
1.8
0.8
---
---
DEF/ST
---
---
1.2
1.0
Fumbles
2.0
0.3
1.8
0.6
Interceptions
0.8
0.5
0.0
0.4
Touchdowns
0.2
0.0
2.6
3.4
Sacks
2.6
1.5
0.0
0.0
Safeties
0.0
0.0
Seahawks (3-2)
Score Opp.
21-7 @NO
10-6 @TB
34-0 SF
Week 4 bye
27-33 STL
20-30 @NE
Week 7 @ARI
Week 8 CAR
Week 9 @SF
Week 10 @STL
Week 11 MIA
Week 12 BUF
Week 13 DAL
Week 14 @MIN
Week 15 @NYJ
Week 16 ARI
Week 17 ATL
Cardinals (1-4)
Score Opp.
10-17 @STL
12-23 NE
3-6 @ATL
34-10 NO
28-31 @SF
Week 6 bye
Week 7 SEA
Week 8 @BUF
Week 9 @MIA
Week 10 NYG
Week 11 @CAR
Week 12 NYJ
Week 13 @DET
Week 14 SF
Week 15 STL
Week 16 @SEA
Week 17 TB