fantasy football     JOIN THE HUDDLE    
HOME ARTICLES NEWS DRAFT GUIDE REGULAR SEASON STATISTICS NFL TEAMS MESSAGE BOARDS

FANTASY FOOTBALL WEEKLY FEATURES

Predictions & Projections
David M. Dorey
The Huddle
WEEK 9
November 3, 2004
Season Ticket
Sun 1 PM Sun 1 PM Sun 4 PM Sun 4 PM Mon 9 PM
NYJ at BUF* ARZ at MIA CHI at NYG NE at STL MIN at IND*
OAK at CAR* PHI at PIT* NO at SD* Sun 8:30 PM Bye Week:
DAL at CIN KC at TB SEA at SF* CLE at BAL ATL, JAX
WAS at DET* *updated HOU at DEN *updated GB, TEN
  Arizona Rush Catch Pass
QB Josh McCown 0 0 150,1
RB Emmitt Smith 50 10 0
RB Troy Hambrick 10 10 0
TE Freddie Jones 0 20 0
WR Bryant Johnson 0 20 0
WR Larry Fitzgerald 0 30 0
WR Anquan Boldin 0 50,1 0
PK Neil Rackers 1 FG 1 XP -
Miami Rush Catch Pass
QB Jay Fiedler 0 0 220,2
RB Sammy Morris 90,1 0 0
RB Travis Minor 10 10 0
TE Randy McMichael 0 40 0
WR Chris Chambers 0 90,1 0
WR Derrius Thompson 0 20 0
WR Marty Booker 0 50,1 0
PK Matt Bryant 2 FG 3 XP -

ARZ (2-5) vs MIA (1-7)

Game Prediction: ARZ 10, MIA 27

An interesting match-up between two bad teams but with different directions for both. The Cardinals are slowly struggling upwards while the Dolphins are slowly settling to the bottom.

Update: Olindo Mare is still not practicing fully and Matt Bryant has a good chance of being the MIA kicker again this week. I would not recommend either kicker because the situation is not yet clear and may not be until game time.

Pre-Game Notes - ARZ

The Cardinals are 0-4 on the road and the only break they catch here is playing against one of the few teams with a worse record. Unfortunately, the opponent has one of the best defenses they have faced this season regardless of the meltdown last Monday night.

Quarterback: Josh McCown turned in his third straight game with a passing score last week against the Bills, but he only produced 101 yards and completed only nine of 24 passes. The expected boost from getting Anquan Boldin back didn't really materialize, it just gave him a different player to share in the mediocre passing numbers. McCown faces another tough defense on the road this week.

Running Backs: The big talk in Arizona last week was how well Emmitt Smith was running and that his participation in games would be bumped up from the 15 carries a game up to 20 or 25 carries. He was, after all, about the only facet of the offense working well. In Buffalo last week, Smith had 22 carries but only gained 64 yards for a YPC of 2.9. That's not good enough to be featured on any team, even on the Cardinals. In a return to 2002, Troy Hambrick relieved Smith and gained 53 yards on only 13 carries.

No Troy, it still doesn't mean anything.

Wide Receivers: Anquan Boldin returned last week and had four catches for 50 yards - about half of all the passing success in the game. Larry Fitzgerald was blanked last week for the first time this season and this duo will get their passes this week and likely not end up much better in Miami.

Tight Ends: Thanks for the eight yards last week, Freddie. That was actually his worst game of the year but only 35 yards less than his best game.

Match Against the Defense: Of course the Dolphins were throttled by the Jets on Monday night and appeared to have zero rushing defense. While they allowed the Jets to gain 230+ yards on the ground, they held them to half that in Miami earlier this year and let's be serious - the Cardinals on the road are nothing like the Jets at home. Expect a lower effort from Smith who will continue to share with Hambrick.

With McCown throwing touchdowns lately, there is a chance that the Cardinals can score via a pass but it would be a shock if there was more than one score. Look for a feeble passing attempt and for Madison and Surtain to make amends for the New York fiasco last week.

Pre-Game Notes - MIA

The good tidings from their lone win were savaged by the 41-14 pounding that the Dolphins underwent last Monday night. Here is a reality - the Dolphins are beyond desperate and at home not only have to win this game, they need to win it convincingly. If they lose this game, Wannstedt may spend the week 10 bye packing boxes and offering bitter farewells. This is the one game that Miami has a great chance to win for the rest of the season. The loss last week was emotional and took a toll - no doubt. This game says if they still have any character left.

Quarterback: Jay Fiedler actually had a decent outing on Monday, he had two passing scores and 218 yards but the reality was that the final score and most of the yardage were completely trash time and meaningless. What held more meaning were his two interceptions. Still, Fiedler has thrown for six scores in the last four games and this week gets his best chance to finally face a soft secondary.

Running Backs: Last week, Sammy Morris only had 11 carries in the blowout loss but gained 48 yards. He may not be a great running back but there is no question that he's the best they have or will have this year. Travis Minor had four carries for only four yards last week but this offense now has reverted to old form, using Morris for Ricky Williams and noticing the dramatic drop-off that causes.

Wide Receivers: Chris Chamber went almost the entire game without a catch last week but finally ended with three catches for 29 yards. Marty Booker was little better with three receptions for 37 yards but this duo should see greatly improved numbers this week. In the last home game against a soft secondary, Chambers racked up 128 yards and a score against the Rams.

Tight Ends: When the team faces a tough secondary with good cornerbacks, there is no question that Randy McMichael becomes the focal point of the passing offense. He had seven catches for 87 yards and a score last week and continues to be an upper tier tight end due to his need in the Miami offense.

Match Against the Defense: There will be one of two conclusions in this game. Either the Dolphins will be so deflated after Monday night that they will fall flat and lose, or they will somehow suck it up and slap the only other team on their schedule that will let them do it and not complain. Since these are desperate times and the Cardinals on the road are usually horrible, I opt for the later.

Look for Sammy Morris to turn in a very solid game here with his best chance to notch 100 yards all season. He should score once.

Fiedler will go against a secondary that has allowed some monster games and yet some very low games - depending upon if the running game is enough to beat the Cardinals. Fielder should turn in a solid effort this week and likely throw two scores with at least 200 yards passing and more if he can connect on a long pass or two.

I also like the chance for a defensive score in this game as the Cardinals fall behind and McCown forces passes to Boldin thinking this is like the 2003 game against the Vikings (which it is not).

ARZ MIA 2004 Averages MIA ARZ
Gains Allows QB's Gains Allows
183
163 Pass yards 198
220
0.7
1.1 Pass TDs 1.0
1.1
0.6
0.6 Interceptions 1.6
1.1
7
7 Rush yards 7
15
0.0
0.1 Rush TDs 0.0
0.0
---
  RB's  
---
103
139 Rush yards 66
104
1.0
0.5 Rush TDs 0.3
0.3
28
32 Receive yards 23
35
0.3
0.0 Receive TD's 0.0
0.0
---
  WR's  
---
128
120 Receive yards 108
137
0.4
0.6 Receive TD's 0.6
0.6
---
  TE's  
---
30
12 Receive yards 73
48
0.1
0.5 Receive TD's 0.4
0.6
---
  PK's  
---
1.3
1.5 Field Goals 1.3
2.0
1.9
2.3 Extra Points 1.3
1.4
---
  DEF/ST  
---
1.4
0.8 Fumbles 0.3
0.9
1.1
1.4 Interceptions 0.9
0.6
0.1
0.5 Touchdowns 0.0
0.6
2.0
3.4 Sacks 2.5
3.3
0.1
0.0 Safeties 0.0
0.0
Cardinals (2-5)
Score Opp.
10-17 @STL
12-23 NE
3-6 @ATL
34-10 NO
28-31 @SF
Week 6 bye
25-17 SEA
14-38 @BUF
Week 9 @MIA
Week 10 NYG
Week 11 @CAR
Week 12 NYJ
Week 13 @DET
Week 14 SF
Week 15 STL
Week 16 @SEA
Week 17 TB
Dolphins (1-7)
Score Opp.
7-17 TEN
13-16 @CIN
3-13 PIT
9-17 NYJ
10-24 @NE
13-20 @BUF
31-14 STL
14-41 @NYJ
Week 9 ARI
Week 10 bye
Week 11 @SEA
Week 12 @SF
Week 13 BUF
Week 14 @DEN
Week 15 NE
Week 16 CLE
Week 17 @BAL