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FANTASY FOOTBALL WEEKLY FEATURES

Predictions & Projections
David M. Dorey
The Huddle
WEEK 9
November 3, 2004
Season Ticket
Sun 1 PM Sun 1 PM Sun 4 PM Sun 4 PM Mon 9 PM
NYJ at BUF* ARZ at MIA CHI at NYG NE at STL MIN at IND*
OAK at CAR* PHI at PIT* NO at SD* Sun 8:30 PM Bye Week:
DAL at CIN KC at TB SEA at SF* CLE at BAL ATL, JAX
WAS at DET* *updated HOU at DEN *updated GB, TEN
  Cleveland Rush Catch Pass
QB Jeff Garcia 20 0 200,1
RB William Green 40 10 0
RB Lee Suggs 30 30 0
TE Steve Heiden 0 20 0
WR Andre Davis 0 40 0
WR Dennis Northcutt 0 50,1 0
WR Antonio Bryant 0 40 0
PK Phil Dawson 2 FG 1 XP -
  Baltimore Rush Catch Pass
QB Kyle Boller 0 0 180,1
RB Jamal Lewis 110,1 10 0
TE Wilcox/Jones 0 20,1 0
WR Travis Taylor 0 60 0
WR Clarence Moore 0 40 0
WR Kevin Johnson 0 40 0
PK Matt Stover 3 FG 2 XP -

CLE (3-4) vs BAL (4-3)

Game Prediction: CLE 13, BAL 23

This should be a very fun game to watch. This is a rematch of week one when the visiting Ravens were surprisingly overwhelmed by the Browns who had spent the previous nine months hiding out at the stadium with a baseball bat waiting for the Ravens to show up. This time around it's back in Baltimore with Jamal Lewis back in uniform once again. It's payback time, baby.

Pre-Game Notes - CLE

The Browns have been playing pretty well lately, taking the Eagles into overtime before losing but they've reversed an old trend. They had played worse at home than on the road (which never made much sense) in previous seasons and this year they have all their wins at home and have lost every road game. They have not even been very competitive on the road.

The Browns come off their bye week for this game.

Quarterback: Jeff Garcia has scored in his last five games and against the Eagles even ran in one score. But he's only once had more than one touchdown in a game and only managed 180 yards and one score against the Ravens earlier this year.

Running Backs: William Green and Lee Suggs have been a potent one-two punch the last two games and it is not even clear which is the "one" and which is the "two". Green has been slightly more effective in the rushing game while Suggs is better at receiving. What it means is that you can be sure starting one of them on your team means you are going to get about half what you could have if the Browns would stop this even split.

Green only had 65 yards on 22 carries in the first game with the Ravens this year.

Wide Receivers: Andre Davis did not play in week 7 due to a turf toe injury. I am assuming he can play this week since he has had two weeks to heal but will update as news becomes available.

Against the Eagles, Antonio Bryant has his first play as a Cleveland Brown but only managed two catches for 26 yards. Andre King also sprained his knee in the game and may miss this week since he has not practiced yet. I am assuming he is out. That will ensure that Dennis Northcutt will again play a more prominent role and he had 70 yards on four catches to lead the team in the last game.

The only receiving score against the Ravens the last game was by the departed Quincy Morgan.

Tight Ends: Steve Heiden scored his first touchdown of the season against the Eagles but neither he nor Shea has done enough to warrant fantasy consideration.

Match Against the Defense: The Ravens will be playing much tougher this time than back in week one and that should make both Green and Suggs turn in mediocre showings since they have to split everything anyway.

Expect that Garcia will likely manage one scoring pass and he did rush in a score in week one against the Ravens. But the passing yardage is unlikely to get much above the 200 yard mark. The greatest likelihood of a passing score would come on a long pass play and that would favor Northcutt the most.

Pre-Game Notes - BAL

Without Jamal Lewis, the Ravens went 1-1 with a close loss in Philadelphia. Now that he is back, look for the Ravens offense to go back up a notch though a continued absence of both Heap and Ogden is likely to limit the offense.

Quarterback: Kyle Boller comes off his best game of the season (easily) when he threw for 223 yards and one touchdown but his one late interception killed the potential rally. Boller had 191 yards passing in week one against these Browns but without the safety blanket of Heap, the passing offense is worse than merely being bad like usually.

Running Backs: Welcome back Jamal, now no more using cell phones for any reason. Jamal Lewis will want to make amends this week for his two week suspension and what better team to face than the Browns who he absolutely owned in 2003 and that held him to only 57 yards on 20 carries in week one. Oh yeah, Jamal is going to want this one. With Jonathan Ogden still likely out, it will be a bigger challenge but one that Lewis will gladly accept.

Wide Receivers: Last week Travis Taylor led all receivers with six catches for 80 yards but the most exciting development has been the improved play and increased playing time for the rookie Clarence Moore who had three catches for 82 yards. Kevin Johnson only had two passes last week and caught neither of them. This group will rarely have fantasy significance as long at the Ravens' passing game remains the "worst you can get" but Moore's small spark last week is worth noting.

Tight Ends: Todd Heap will be questionable this week and likely a game time decision yet again. He has not played in six weeks and while he is back to practice, he still cannot make the cuts he needs in order to be a viable starter. I am assuming he will be out but will update if he seems improved later in the week.

Match Against the Defense: I see this game as an emotional one for the Ravens.They return Jamal Lewis to the lineup, they are the late game on ESPN and they are facing the team that trounced them in week one in a game that historically was an easy win for the Ravens. That started the year out badly for Baltimore and this is a week to make amends for it with at least most of the pieces back in place.

Expect Jamal Lewis to run extra hard this week and even without Ogden he should manage a solid game here. The passing game will be meager as always but the defense should rise up a little extra for the week. Ray Lewis enjoys the national exposure.

CLE BAL 2004 Averages BAL CLE
Gains Allows QB's Gains Allows
197
210
Pass yards
137
249
1.3
0.9
Pass TDs
0.4
1.0
1.0
1.4
Interceptions
0.9
1.1
16
10
Rush yards
12
9
0.3
0.1
Rush TDs
0.6
0.3
---
---
RB's
---
---
104
90
Rush yards
127
93
0.4
0.3
Rush TDs
0.7
0.9
31
23
Receive yards
13
29
0.1
0.0
Receive TD's
0.0
0.0
---
---
WR's
---
---
131
150
Receive yards
87
172
0.7
0.6
Receive TD's
0.1
0.4
---
---
TE's
---
---
36
36
Receive yards
37
48
0.4
0.3
Receive TD's
0.1
0.6
---
---
PK's
---
---
2.0
1.9
Field Goals
1.4
1.6
2.1
1.0
Extra Points
1.9
2.3
---
---
DEF/ST
---
---
0.6
0.7
Fumbles
0.7
1.1
1.1
0.9
Interceptions
1.4
1.0
0.1
0.0
Touchdowns
0.7
0.1
1.6
2.7
Sacks
2.9
2.4
0.0
0.0
Safeties
0.0
0.1
Browns(3-4)
Score Opp.
20-3 BAL
12-19 @DAL
10-27 @NYG
17-13 WAS
23-34 @PIT
34-17 CIN
31-34 PHI
Week 8 bye
Week 9 @BAL
Week 10 PIT
Week 11 NYJ
Week 12 @CIN
Week 13 NE
Week 14 @BUF
Week 15 SD
Week 16 @MIA
Week 17 @HOU
Ravens (4-3)
Score Opp.
3-20 @CLE
30-13 PIT
23-9 @CIN
24-27 KC
17-10 @WAS
Week 6 bye
20-6 BUF
10-15 @PHI
Week 9 CLE
Week 10 @NYJ
Week 11 DAL
Week 12 @NE
Week 13 CIN
Week 14 NYG
Week 15 @IND
Week 16 @PIT
Week 17 MIA