fantasy football     JOIN THE HUDDLE    
HOME ARTICLES NEWS DRAFT GUIDE REGULAR SEASON STATISTICS NFL TEAMS MESSAGE BOARDS

FANTASY FOOTBALL WEEKLY FEATURES

Predictions & Projections
David M. Dorey
The Huddle
WEEK 9
November 3, 2004
Season Ticket
Sun 1 PM Sun 1 PM Sun 4 PM Sun 4 PM Mon 9 PM
NYJ at BUF* ARZ at MIA CHI at NYG NE at STL MIN at IND*
OAK at CAR* PHI at PIT* NO at SD* Sun 8:30 PM Bye Week:
DAL at CIN KC at TB SEA at SF* CLE at BAL ATL, JAX
WAS at DET* *updated HOU at DEN *updated GB, TEN
  Dallas Rush Catch Pass
QB V. Testaverde 0 0 250,1
RB Eddie George 80,1 10 0
RB Richie Anderson 20 20 0
TE Jason Witten 0 70,1 0
WR Keyshawn Johnson 0 80 0
WR Quincy Morgan 0 40 0
PK Bill Cundiff 2 FG 2 XP -
  Cincinnati Rush Catch Pass
QB Carson Palmer 0 0 260,2
RB Rudi Johnson 90,1 20 0
TE Kelly/Stewart/Schobel 0 30 0
WR Kelley Washington 0 60,1 0
WR Houshmandzadeh 0 40 0
WR Chad Johnson 0 100,1 0
PK Shayne Graham 1 FG 3 XP -

DAL (3-4) vs CIN (2-5)

Game Prediction: DAL 20, CIN 24

The Cowboys finally come off a much needed win while the Bengals legendary Monday night win over the Broncos did not carry over into Tennessee last week. This is like the old guys versus the green youngsters and each has a defensive weakness that matches up to the offensive weakness of the opponent.

So far the only place that Cincinnati can win is at home. And the road has offered the Cowboys two losses and only one win in Washington.

Pre-Game Notes - DAL

The Cowboys finally stopped the three game losing skid by handing the Lions their first road loss of the season. Eddie George is breaking long runs and Keyshawn Johnson is catching multiple touchdowns in one game. Oh yeah, this will surely last all season.

Quarterback: Vinny Testaverde has thrown at least one score in every game this season and last week he had three scores when the Cowboys needed it most. Of course he also threw three interceptions as he did in the win over Cleveland . He may be the only quarterback that evidently helps his team win by throwing interceptions which doesn't make a lot of sense but then again, the Cowboys building for tomorrow by acquiring the oldest players of today didn't make a lot of sense either.

Running Backs: The Cowboys lauded Eddie George for turning in his best game of the season and helping the win but George still only gained 99 yards on 30 carries. While he might be able to sustain the 3.3 YPC, that 30 carries workload is not going to last. It's not so much that he might get tired at the end of the season but at the age of 31 he might get sleepy late in games.

Richie Anderson had been good for about half a dozen carries a week and a few passes, and he was gaining about a 5 YPC but last week he only had five yards on seven carries.

Wide Receivers: With Terry Glenn and Quincy Morgan out last week, the Cowboys were down to only Keyshawn Johnson, Randall Williams and previous practice squad player Patrick Crayton. Although Testaverde did throw for 19 completions and 235 yards, Williams did not even have a single throw while Crayton only had one 30-yard pass tossed to him. Keyshawn Johnson was almost the only wideout with an reception and he only had three for 80 yards and two scores. His final catch was a surprise 38-yard touchdown toss on third and short that iced the game.

I am assuming that Morgan returns this week but will update if his hamstring is still a problem.

Tight Ends: This is the year of the tight end in the NFL and perhaps no other tight end has stepped as much as Jason Witten (okay - Gates too, no emails please). Witten had nine catches for 84 yards and one score last week and nine receptions for 112 yards and a score the previous week. Over the last three games, he is the #1 target for Testaverde.

Match Against the Defense: Which Bengals show up this week? The one that looked great against the Denver or the one that has been terrible against six other opponents? 6:1? There's a gamble worth taking.

Figure that even Eddie George can approach 100 yards here since only in week two did Miami fail to hit the mark. He may not score but should be a lock for a decent game if only because of his volume of carries.

Testaverde goes against a secondary that has always yielded at least one passing score and typically about 220 passing yards though that is the low side of what Vinny typically posts. It is a softer secondary and that level should only be the least he will do in Cincinnati.

You still have to love Witten this week since the Bengals have allowed two passing scores to tight ends in the last three games and the only true receiving tight end they have faced was McMichael who had 93 yards on six catches. There has not been any wideout this season that has exceeded 100 yards yet which mostly reflects the success of the running game.

Pre-Game Notes - CIN

The Bengals continue to sputter on offense with an inconsistent and turnover prone quarterback and the defense has not been good enough to hold offenses to lesser points in most games this season. The Bengals are improving but the process is slow and so far more painful than expected.

Quarterback: Carson Palmer is still learning the ropes and throwing at least one interception each week. He's only had three touchdowns passing in the last six games and never more than one a week. Other than the one big yardage affair against the Ravens, he's rarely been good for more than 200 passing yards though the porous Dallas secondary may cure that.

Running Backs: Rudi Johnson has five touchdowns on the season and one each in the last two games. He's been fairly consistent around the standard four yards per carry and his production normally relies on the game situation and how many carries he is afforded.

Wide Receivers: After finally exceeding 100 yards for the first time this year when he faced the Broncos, Chad Johnson fell back to only 67 yards on six catches last week in Tennessee. He's easily the only reliable receiver on the Bengals squad and though his numbers are lagging against last season, he a safe bet for at least 60 yards and half a dozen catches a week.

Peter Warrick is now known to have a slight fracture of his left fibula and is questionable this week. I am not including him in the projections without solid info that he can contribute this week.

Tight Ends: The three-headed monster was perfect last week. Each one had exactly one catch for between 8, 9 or 10 yards. Whoopee.

Match Against the Defense: This week is a definite opportunity for Carson Palmer to have a good game against a secondary that has allowed multiple passing touchdowns to every road opponent this season. No road opponent has had less than 242 passing yards and the cornerbacks for Dallas will not appreciate Chad Johnson.

Consider Palmer a decent start this week with a good chance at multiple scores and decent yardage. That favors Chad Johnson in a big way as the primary receiver but could also benefit Kelley Washington on a long route as well.

The Cowboys also give up the run particularly away from the safer confines of Texas Stadium. Rudi should be a lock for at least moderate yardage with some upside for a score and very good yardage.

DAL CIN 2004 Averages CIN DAL
Gains Allows QB's Gains Allows
263
212
Pass yards
210
223
1.4
1.7
Pass TDs
0.7
2.0
1.0
1.0
Interceptions
1.4
0.6
1
5
Rush yards
2
10
0.1
0.1
Rush TDs
0.0
0.0
---
---
RB's
---
---
90
144
Rush yards
94
111
0.7
0.7
Rush TDs
0.6
0.6
34
51
Receive yards
23
42
0.0
0.6
Receive TD's
0.3
0.3
---
---
WR's
---
---
171
136
Receive yards
168
156
0.9
0.9
Receive TD's
0.3
1.4
---
---
TE's
---
---
59
25
Receive yards
19
32
0.6
0.3
Receive TD's
0.1
0.4
---
---
PK's
---
---
1.1
1.3
Field Goals
2.0
1.7
2.3
2.7
Extra Points
1.7
2.9
---
---
DEF/ST
---
---
0.1
0.6
Fumbles
1.4
0.7
0.6
1.4
Interceptions
0.9
1.0
0.0
0.3
Touchdowns
0.4
0.1
2.3
2.7
Sacks
1.7
1.9
0.1
0.0
Safeties
0.0
0.0
Cowboys (3-4)
Score Opp.
17-35 @MIN
19-12 CLE
21-18 @WAS
Week 4 bye
10-26 NYG
20-24 PIT
20-41 @GB
31-21 DET
Week 9 @CIN
Week 10 PHI
Week 11 @BAL
Week 12 CHI
Week 13 @SEA
Week 14 NO
Week 15 @PHI
Week 16 WAS
Week 17 @NYG
Bengals (2-5)
Score Opp.
24-31 @NYJ
16-13 MIA
9-23 BAL
17-28 @PIT
Week 5 bye
17-34 @CLE
23-10 DEN
20-27 @TEN
Week 9 DAL
Week 10 @WAS
Week 11 PIT
Week 12 CLE
Week 13 @BAL
Week 14 @NE
Week 15 BUF
Week 16 NYG
Week 17 @PHI