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FANTASY FOOTBALL WEEKLY FEATURES

Predictions & Projections
David M. Dorey
The Huddle
WEEK 9
November 3, 2004
Season Ticket
Sun 1 PM Sun 1 PM Sun 4 PM Sun 4 PM Mon 9 PM
NYJ at BUF* ARZ at MIA CHI at NYG NE at STL MIN at IND*
OAK at CAR* PHI at PIT* NO at SD* Sun 8:30 PM Bye Week:
DAL at CIN KC at TB SEA at SF* CLE at BAL ATL, JAX
WAS at DET* *updated HOU at DEN *updated GB, TEN

SEA (4-3) vs SF (1-6)

Game Prediction: SEA 20, SF 14

  Seattle Rush Catch Pass
QB Matt Hasselbeck 0 0 210, 1
RB Shaun Alexander 100,1 30 0
TE Jerramy Stevens 0 20 0
WR Darrell Jackson 0 40 0
WR Jerry Rice 0 30,1 0
WR Koren Robinson 0 70 0
PK Josh Brown 2 FG 2 XP -
  San Francisco Rush Catch Pass
QB Ken Dorsey 0 0 190,1
QB Tim Rattay 0 0 230,2
RB Kevan Barlow 50 10 0
TE Eric Johnson 0 50 0
WR Brandon Lloyd 0 70,1 0
WR Curtis Conway 0 20 0
WR Cedrick Wilson 0 40,1 0
PK Todd Peterson 0 FG 2 XP -

Here's a revenge game for the 49ers who lost 34-0 in Seattle back in week three against the Seahawks. It was their first shut out in decades and just because this game could provide a motivational background from that loss doesn't mean that the 49ers are good enough to do anything about it. Their only win of the season is at home in a comeback over the Cardinals.

Update: Darrell Jackson is still questionable to play and has not practiced due to a sprained ankle. I am lowering his numbers and he may not even play. Bobby Engram is out and Jerry Rice is playing though he too suffered from a sprained ankle.

Tim Rattay has practiced again and should play which will make this a far better game. I still like the Seahawks to do just enough to win, but Rattay should pump up some far better fantasy numbers and points. Brandon Lloyd has been bothered by a hip pointer along with being verbally smacked by his teammates for being all about the "bling" and not the playing field. I am leaving his numbers alone - he'll be more motivated but could have some limits from his hip.

Pre-Game Notes - SEA

The Seahawks hit an important two game stretch now with road games against divisional opponents. The only way that Seattle could lose this game is if they are looking past this week in the hopes of paying the Rams back in week 10 for their previous loss.

Quarterback: The success of the rushing game has caused Matt Hasselbeck to remain merely an average fantasy quarterback after showing potentially top 5 talent last season. With only eight passing touchdowns this season, Hasselbeck has been consistently around one score and about 200 yards a game with few exceptions. He has never thrown more than two scores in any game and he has thrown nine interceptions - one more than he has scores. These next two games will be prime chances for Hasselbeck to shine - if Alexander doesn't continue to take over.

Against the 49ers in week three, Hasselbeck had his best fantasy game of the season when he threw for 254 yards and two scores with no turnovers.

Running Backs: Shaun Alexander remains a scoring machine, turning in two touchdowns last week and standing at ten scores on the season in only seven games. He has twice scored three times in one game which includes the pervious matchup against the 49ers. Chances are the 49ers will see him coming and yet again not be able to do much about it.

Wide Receivers: Koren Robinson had no drops last week since he caught all three passes for a gain of 52 yards but he's still only scored once this season and remains up for a potential suspension. As of this writing, Robinson has not been suspended and the NFL is supposed to inform teams regarding suspensions by the Monday prior to the next game. I am assuming that Robinson hangs on for at least one more week. He only had one catch for 12 yards against the 49ers in their last meeting, so his presence may not matter greatly anyway.

Darrell Jackson is the more likely canidate for a good game this week, he had 97 yards on seven catches in the last meeting and is the only Seahawks receiver with any consistency.

Jerry Rice had one catch for six yards last week. He had one catch for ten yards the previous week. Has anyone told him this is not the Raiders? Then again, maybe someone should tell the Seahawks this isn't really Jerry Rice.

This week both Jackson and Rice have sprained ankles and their status won't be known until Wednesday at the earliest. Expect an update if either are unable to play - particularly Jackson. Bobby Engram will likely miss another week from his severely sprained right ankle.

Tight Ends: While Jeremy Stevens seemed to be getting more attention in weeks five and six, he's only had 16 and 17 yards in the past two weeks and doesn't rank as a fantasy back-up in most leagues.

Match Against the Defense: The matchup was a Seahawks' blowout back in week three and while it is in San Francisco this time, there's nothing to suggest that the 49ers will be any more competitive, especially if Tim Rattay remains injured. Expect a standard outing here which should be a solid game from Alexander with at least one score and an excellent shot at two scores.

Hasselbeck scored twice and had 254 passing yards in the last meeting but he'll likely not post that many numbers this week on the road. This game will be much closer than 34-0 like last time but should end up an unexciting win for the Seahawks who need this win and more importantly, a win next week in St. Louis.

As long as he is healthy, Rice will be playing back in San Francisco and if he is going to score a touchdown anywhere this year, here is where it will happen. It may be the only time the San Francisco fans cheer all game long.

Pre-Game Notes - SF

The 49ers continue their free fall this season and get to face the one team that shut them out 34-0 already this season. Their fortunes are tied directly to Tim Rattay. When he is out - they lose badly. When he is in - they lose by much closer margins but they still lose.

Quarterback: Ken Dorsey had to sub for the injured Tim Rattay last week and true to his previous form he was just plain bad. In four games this season he still has not thrown a touchdown pass and never had more than 205 passing yards. He has lost the ball six times though.

Tim Rattay is a definite upgrade and scores in every game he has played. His forearm remained sore through his bye week and into last Sunday when he was inactive for the game. Pending a better report on Wednesday or Thursday, I am assuming that Dorsey again starts but will update as needed. The 49ers have a major need for Rattay this week.

Running Backs: There's been little to suggest that Kevan Barlow is going to even remotely meet expectations of this season. Last week he only gained 56 yards on 18 carries and back in week three against these Seahawks he only managed 42 yards on 15 runs. Even the return of blocking fullback Fred Beasley has not been a boost.

Wide Receivers: Brandon Lloyd is the lone 49er wideout with fantasy potential and he's gained 212 yards and two scores over the last three games. Maybe that's only worth being a #3 fantasy receiver but he's been consistent since returning from a hamstring strain and when he plays with Rattay at the helm, he's scored a touchdown in both games .

Cedrick Wilson continues to hover around 50 yards a game regardless of the quarterback and hasn't scored since week one. In the last meeting against Seattle, Lloyd did not play and Wilson only had 29 yards in spite of the huge deficit on the scoreboard. Curtis Conway did score in that game but he's only had one catch in each of the last two games and is no longer a factor since Arnaz Battle is starting to play a more prominent role.

Tight Ends: It's enough to make you cry (if you actually own Eric Johnson). After leading the league in receptions and turning in some astounding performances, defenses now are double covering Johnson every play and the results have been a disaster. In the last two games, Johnson only has five catches for 33 yards. In the two games prior to that, he had 23 catches for 275 yards and one score. Unless Rattay returns and makes some problems for the secondary with the wideouts, figure on Johnson continuing to wear a blanket every pass play. He only had three passes in last week's game against the Bears and two were on the final drive.

Match Against the Defense: While the meeting in week three was a skunk of historic proportions, the 49ers should score this week and prevent the Seahawks from rolling up an obscene score again. Much of this effort depends on Rattay returning since Dorsey has not produced any confidence that he can make this team competitive or even cash in on trash time yards and scores.

This game will likely be updated pending word on Rattay. Without him, expect that Barlow has another 50 yard game at best and that the wideouts beside Lloyd will not do not. The game, and fantasy points, will be much better if Rattay returns.

SEA SF 2004 Averages SF SEA
Gains Allows QB's Gains Allows
231
216
Pass yards
253
229
1.1
1.6
Pass TDs
1.0
1.1
1.3
0.4
Interceptions
1.0
1.6
6
8
Rush yards
4
10
0.0
0.0
Rush TDs
0.0
0.1
---
---
RB's
---
---
128
103
Rush yards
81
89
1.0
1.4
Rush TDs
0.6
0.4
27
31
Receive yards
36
31
0.4
0.3
Receive TD's
0.0
0.0
---
---
WR's
---
---
171
154
Receive yards
136
157
0.4
0.9
Receive TD's
0.7
0.9
---
---
TE's
---
---
33
31
Receive yards
81
40
0.3
0.4
Receive TD's
0.3
0.3
---
---
PK's
---
---
1.9
1.4
Field Goals
1.3
1.6
2.1
2.9
Extra Points
1.0
1.6
---
---
DEF/ST
---
---
1.0
1.4
Fumbles
0.4
0.3
1.6
1.0
Interceptions
0.4
1.3
0.1
0.1
Touchdowns
0.3
0.0
2.3
3.1
Sacks
2.1
1.6
0.0
0.0
Safeties
0.0
0.1
Seahawks (4-3)
Score Opp.
21-7 @NO
10-6 @TB
34-0 SF
Week 4 bye
27-33 STL
20-30 @NE
17-25 @ARI
23-17 CAR
Week 9 @SF
Week 10 @STL
Week 11 MIA
Week 12 BUF
Week 13 DAL
Week 14 @MIN
Week 15 @NYJ
Week 16 ARI
Week 17 ATL
49ers (1-6)
Score Opp.
19-21 ATL
27-30 @NO
0-34 @SEA
14-24 STL
31-28 ARI
14-22 @NYJ
Week 7 bye
13-23 @CHI
Week 9 SEA
Week 10 CAR
Week 11 @TB
Week 12 MIA
Week 13 @STL
Week 14 @ARI
Week 15 WAS
Week 16 BUF
Week 17 @NE