fantasy football     JOIN THE HUDDLE    
HOME ARTICLES NEWS DRAFT GUIDE REGULAR SEASON STATISTICS NFL TEAMS MESSAGE BOARDS

FANTASY FOOTBALL WEEKLY FEATURES

Predictions & Projections
David M. Dorey
The Huddle
WEEK 10
November 10, 2004
Season Ticket
Sun 1 PM Sun 1 PM Sun 4 PM Sun 8:30 PM Mon 9 PM
PIT at CLE* BAL at NYJ CIN at WAS BUF at NE* PHI at DAL*
TB at ATL* KC at NO* NYG at ARZ Bye Week: Bye Week:
DET at JAX* CHI at TEN* CAR at SF DEN MIA
HOU at IND SEA at STL MIN at GB* OAK SD
  Seattle Rush Catch Pass
QB Matt Hasselbeck 0 0 240,2
RB Shaun Alexander 130,1 10 0
TE Jerramy Stevens 0 20 0
WR Darrell Jackson 0 100,1 0
WR Bobby Engram 0 20 0
WR Jerry Rice 0 20 0
WR Koren Robinson 0 60,1 0
PK Josh Brown 2 FG 3 XP -
  St. Louis Rush Catch Pass
QB Marc Bulger 0 0 290,2
RB Marshall Faulk 50 30 0
RB Steven Jackson 30 10 0
TE B. Manumaleuna 0 30 0
WR Isaac Bruce 0 80 0
WR Torry Holt 0 90,1 0
WR Shaun McDonald 0 30,1 0
PK Jeff Wilkins 3 FG 2 XP -

SEA (5-3) vs STL (4-4)

Game Prediction: SEA 27, STL 23

In spite of both teams having combined for seven losses this season, this is the game for the lead in the NFC West. The Rams already defeated the Seahawks once this season in Seattle in perhaps their biggest game in years. Another Rams win would give them the tie breaker over the Seahawks but then again - St. Louis doesn't even have a winning record right now.

Pre-Game Notes - SEA

After stumbling earlier this season, Seattle has won their last two games including their second road win. This one is likely for all the marbles in the NFC West. Win here and Seattle takes a two game lead while sending the Rams to 4-5 on the season. A loss here throws the road monkey back on their back and ruins the improvements they've been making lately.

Quarterback: Matt Hasselbeck comes off his biggest game of the year when he passed for 285 yards and three scores against the 49ers last week. It was his first multiple touchdown game in a month and his second best yardage of the season. The Seahawks have been a team that gets hotter as the season progresses and Hasselbeck is not disproving that so far since he had a fairly pedestrian start to his season.

In two matchups with the Rams last year, Hasselbeck had around 250 yards and one or two scores in each.

Running Backs: Maintaining his great pace, Shaun Alexander comes off a 160 yard, two touchdown game last week and has scored 12 touchdowns in only eight games this year and that includes twice when he had none. Four times he has scored at least twice in a game and has exceeded 100 total yards five times.

In St. Louis last season, Alexander had 126 yards and one score. Seems like an average day for him.

Wide Receivers: Last week was one of those Black Sundays in fantasy football. A day where most every owner of a player benched him based on all information and indicators and yet the player not only was able to go, he actually led all receivers in the NFL for the week. Darrell Jackson was on crutches and questionable last week, then was downgraded to doubtful on Friday. He never practiced. But that didn't stop him from gaining 114 yards on five catches with two touchdowns. Koren Robinson only had two receptions for 39 yards and one score in spite of being the only guaranteed healthy receiver in the game.

Last year, Jackson scored in both meetings against the Rams and Robinson did it once.

Tight Ends: Minimal impact and only around 20 yards in most games.

Match Against the Defense: Look for plenty of Alexander this week and an excellent shot at him cresting 100 yards with at least one score if not two. The Rams would be preparing for him anyway but with Hasselbeck on fire last week, ignoring the passing game just got even harder to do. Alexander already had 150 yards and one score in the game earlier this year.

If Hasselbeck can continue to shine like last week, he'll have a big game but there's still enough respect for what Bulger can do to prevent a shootout from happening if possible by running the ball and controlling the clock. Hasselbeck had two scores and 217 yards in the previous meeting this season.

Expect Jackson to score this week unless he is deemed out and there is confirmation he has left the country. Both wideouts have an excellent shot at scoring here but the passing game won't rack up big yards unless a shootout happens and that is not what the Seahawks want to allow.

Pre-Game Notes - STL

The Rams have lost their last two games and are now struggling for any chance at the playoffs with a 4-4 record. But their record belies how bad they actually have been this year other than the big surprise comeback win in Seattle. They lost to the Saints, Falcons, Seahawks and Dolphins (which really hurts). Their only wins have been the one big game in Seattle and the 49ers, Cardinals and Buccaneers. Hardly their biggest challenges.

Quarterback: Marc Bulger has been a solid fantasy quarterback this season with only one game under 264 passing yards but he's only managed to throw for more than one score three times this season though all three have been in the last four weeks. He's a lock for good yardage and had 325 yards and three scores in Seattle in week five.

Running Backs: The mix-n-match of Marshall Faulk and Stephen Jackson has done little in the last month and neither has exceeded 66 yards rushing with only one score by Faulk. In only three games has Faulk totaled more than 100 combined yards and only has three scores on the year. Jackson has been getting less play the last three weeks and only had three carries for one yard last week. The duo combined for 127 rushing yards in the previous meeting against the Seahawks and had only three passes for a total of 15 yards.

Wide Receivers: Tory Holt comes off his third 100 yard game of the season with one score but almost all of that came late in the game. Holt has scored in only four games this year while Isaac Bruce scored last week for the first time since week one. After opening with four straight 100 yard games, Bruce has yet to turn in another this year.

Against the Seahawks earlier this year, Holt had only 53 yards and no scores while Bruce had 78 yards with no scores and that was in a game with 325 passing yards and three scores. The Seahawks know enough to cover these two - they just let the others hurt them.

Tight Ends: After being Mr. Invisible the first six weeks, Brandon Manumaleuna scored two weeks ago and had 53 yards last week. Still too early to consider the last two weeks as more than an exception than the start of any trend.

Match Against the Defense: The Rams rolled up big yards and scores in their previous meeting, but Bulger only had 58 yards passing at the half before exploding against the sleeping Seahawks in the final two quarters. Seattle already led 24-7 and figured it was already over (it wasn't).

In two matchups last year, Bulger remained around 220 to 230 yards and only one or two scores. That's much more indicative of what to expect than his 325 yards earlier this season. This is a big game for both teams, but that likely means the Seahawks will prevent him from scoring more than twice.

The Rams are not running very well or very often lately and in this game likely it will go away from the run sooner than later. Expect that Faulk turns in a moderate game if only because of receiving yardage though he's not been much of a factor in the passing game lately.

The Seahawks will likely be without CB Ken Lucas this week since he has a chest contusion from the 49er game. That will benefit Tory Holt from gaining a better matchup.

SEA STL 2004 Averages STL SEA
Gains Allows QB's Gains Allows
238
239
Pass yards
284
233
1.4
1.5
Pass TDs
1.5
1.3
1.1
0.3
Interceptions
1
1.5
5
19
Rush yards
8
9
0
0
Rush TDs
0.4
0.1
---
---
RB's
---
---
135
106
Rush yards
99
86
1.1
1.1
Rush TDs
0.6
0.5
24
40
Receive yards
42
30
0.4
0.3
Receive TD's
0
0
---
---
WR's
---
---
176
153
Receive yards
229
159
0.8
0.9
Receive TD's
1.4
1
---
---
TE's
---
---
38
53
Receive yards
13
42
0.3
0.4
Receive TD's
0.1
0.3
---
---
PK's
---
---
1.6
1.9
Field Goals
1
1.6
2.6
2.5
Extra Points
2.3
1.8
---
---
DEF/ST
---
---
0.9
0.9
Fumbles
0.4
0.3
1.5
1
Interceptions
0.4
1.1
0.3
0.1
Touchdowns
0.3
0
2.4
3
Sacks
2.4
1.8
0
0
Safeties
0
0.1
Seahawks (5-3)
Score Opp.
21-7 @NO
10-6 @TB
34-0 SF
Week 4 bye
27-33 STL
20-30 @NE
17-25 @ARI
23-17 CAR
42-27 @SF
Week 10 @STL
Week 11 MIA
Week 12 BUF
Week 13 DAL
Week 14 @MIN
Week 15 @NYJ
Week 16 ARI
Week 17 ATL
Rams (4-4)
Score Opp.
17-10 ARI
17-34 @ATL
25-28 NO
24-14 @SF
33-27 @SEA
28-21 TB
14-31 @MIA
Week 8 bye
22-40 NE
Week 10 SEA
Week 11 @BUF
Week 12 @GB
Week 13 SF
Week 14 @CAR
Week 15 @ARI
Week 16 PHI
Week 17 NYJ