fantasy football     JOIN THE HUDDLE    
HOME ARTICLES NEWS DRAFT GUIDE REGULAR SEASON STATISTICS NFL TEAMS MESSAGE BOARDS

FANTASY FOOTBALL WEEKLY FEATURES

Predictions & Projections
David M. Dorey
The Huddle
WEEK 11
November 17, 2004
Season Ticket
Sun 1 PM Sun 1 PM Sun 1 PM Sun 4 PM Sun 8:30 PM
DAL at BAL NYJ at CLE* DEN at NO* SD at OAK* GB at HOU
STL at BUF PIT at CIN SF at TB* ATL at NYG Mon 9 PM
ARZ at CAR* DET at MIN* Sun 4 PM WAS at PHI NE at KC
IND at CHI* TEN at JAX* MIA at SEA* *updated Times ET
  NY Jets Rush Catch Pass
QB Quincy Carter 20 0 180
RB Curtis Martin 100,2 20 0
RB Lamont Jordan 20 0 0
TE Anthony Becht 0 10 0
WR Wayne Chrebet 0 30 0
WR Justin McCareins 0 40 0
WR Santana Moss 0 70 0
PK Doug Brien 1 FG 2 XP -
  Cleveland Rush Catch Pass
QB Jeff Garcia 20 0 210,1
RB William Green 60 10 0
RB Lee Suggs 40 20 0
TE Heiden/ Shea 0 30 0
WR Andre Davis 0 50 0
WR Dennis Northcutt 0 40,1 0
WR Antonio Bryant 0 40 0
PK Phil Dawson 2 FG 1 XP -

NYJ (6-3) vs CLE (3-6)

Game Prediction: NYJ 17, CLE 13

Here's a game that will really effect the loser. The Jets have lost their last two games and will likely lose hope for the AFC East crown with a loss here. The Browns have lost their last three games and are now getting players ejected before the game even starts.

Update: Andre Davis has returned to practice and now is expected to play after missing time due to a toe injury.

Pre-Game Notes - NYJ

The Jets have three very "winnable" games coming up - CLE, ARZ and HOU before a brutal last four games which decides their fate.

Quarterback: With Pennington out, Quincy Carter took the start against the Ravens and while he did not provide enough to win the game, he was very controlled and was not responsible for the loss. Carter threw 13 of 22 for 175 with no scores but no turnovers. In Cleveland, no mistakes should be enough to win.

Running Backs: Curtis Martin scored twice against the Ravens and carried the ball 28 times for 119 yards. That's a good recipe with Pennington out and likely to be replicated again this week. In spite of Martin's heavy load, Lamont Jordan only had three carries last week.

Wide Receivers: This group has been disappointing almost all season and with Carter at the helm the results were not any better than before. Santana Moss only had three catches but gained 75 yards. Neither Justin McCareins or Wayne Chrebet were a factor. With Moss, the only saving grace is if he catches a long pass or not. He did last week and Carter has the gun to get it downfield.

Tight Ends: Carter never knew what they were in Dallas and has not learned anything new since leaving.

Match Against the Defense: The Browns defense has been good against the pass this season and has only allowed three passing scores in the eight games that did not have a guy named McNabb playing. It's most likely that Carter will not score again and focus on not losing the ball while handing off to Martin.

Curtis Martin has a shot at another very nice game here against a team that has allowed eight different runners to score this year. It will take a lot of carries to top 100 yards but that is precisely what Martin is likely to be getting.

Pre-Game Notes - CLE

The Browns are quickly starting to unravel. Losing their last three games and taking to publicly threatening opposing quarterbacks and then spitting their way to ejections casts some doubt on how much control Butch Davis still has over the team. It was a tough three game stretch - PHI, BAL and PIT. But the residual effect of those will likely not help in their fourth straight challenging game.

Quarterback: Jeff Garcia has tailed off dramatically since his nice game over the soft Bengals defense. He only had 146 yards and no scores against the Ravens and then only managed to complete 7 of 16 passes for 110 yards and no scores last week against the Steelers. In both games he had one interception and lost a fumble.

Kelly Holcomb relieved him last week but HC Butch Davis has reiterated that Garcia is still the starter.

Running Backs: William "p-tooey" Green was a very late scratch last week and Lee Suggs was almost worthless alone. He only gained 38 yards on 18 carries and never caught a pass. After nine games, there has been only one 100 yard effort (Green vs CIN) and only three rushing scores all season.

There is a possible suspension looming for Green and I will update once that is known.

Wide Receivers: Andre Davis did not play last week with a bad turf toe and I am assuming he'll miss another game until he practices and is cleared to play. Randy Northcutt filled in last week and had 69 yards on only two catches but he's not scored yet this season. Antonio Bryant is slowly getting more involved but that's topped out at 43 yards on four catches so far in these meager passing times of Cleveland. The Browns have coincidentally not been throwing well since Davis went out of the lineup and are now playing with new-signee Bryant and #3 Northcutt as the starters.

Tight Ends: Aaron Shea has yet to produce much yardage this season but he caught his third touchdown last week on his only catch in the game.

Match Against the Defense: How well the running attack does will directly correlate to the chances of the Browns to stay in the game. Assuming that both Suggs and Green can play, they should have moderate success running since the play of Garcia lately will dictate to minimize the passing if possible, particularly with Davis still out.

Expect only a moderate effort from Garcia this week but a good chance to score once since all the opponents have so far this season. There have been no 300 yard games against the Jets and most efforts against them end up around 210 yards which is likely the high side for a struggling Brown's passing attack.

Randy Northcutt has the matchup that has produced the most scores, easily, by the Jets secondary but since he has yet to get a touchdown, it is not a lock to happen.

NYJ CLE 2004 Averages CLE NYJ
Gains Allows QB's Gains Allows
210
225
Pass yards
189
223
1.1
0.8
Pass TDs
1.1
1.3
0.3
1.0
Interceptions
1.1
1.0
10
11
Rush yards
19
11
0.1
0.2
Rush TDs
0.2
0.1
---
---
RB's
---
---
134
101
Rush yards
93
94
1.2
1.0
Rush TDs
0.3
0.4
41
26
Receive yards
27
37
0.2
0.0
Receive TD's
0.1
0.1
---
---
WR's
---
---
144
160
Receive yards
128
151
0.6
0.3
Receive TD's
0.6
1.0
---
---
TE's
---
---
26
38
Receive yards
35
34
0.3
0.4
Receive TD's
0.3
0.2
---
---
PK's
---
---
1.3
1.8
Field Goals
1.9
1.1
2.4
2.2
Extra Points
1.9
2.0
---
---
DEF/ST
---
---
0.9
1.2
Fumbles
0.6
0.6
0.8
1.1
Interceptions
1.0
0.7
0.2
0.3
Touchdowns
0.2
0.1
2.2
2.7
Sacks
1.6
1.8
0.0
0.1
Safeties
0.0
0.1
Jets (6-3)
Score Opp.
31-24 CIN
34-28 @SD
Week 3 bye
17-9 @MIA
16-14 BUF
22-14 SF
7-13 @NE
41-14 MIA
17-22 @BUF
17-20 BAL
Week 11 @CLE
Week 12 @ARI
Week 13 HOU
Week 14 @PIT
Week 15 SEA
Week 16 NE
Week 17 @STL
Browns(3-6)
Score Opp.
20-3 BAL
12-19 @DAL
10-27 @NYG
17-13 WAS
23-34 @PIT
34-17 CIN
31-34 PHI
Week 8 bye
13-27 @BAL
10-24 PIT
Week 11 NYJ
Week 12 @CIN
Week 13 NE
Week 14 @BUF
Week 15 SD
Week 16 @MIA
Week 17 @HOU