fantasy football     JOIN THE HUDDLE    
HOME ARTICLES NEWS DRAFT GUIDE REGULAR SEASON STATISTICS NFL TEAMS MESSAGE BOARDS

FANTASY FOOTBALL WEEKLY FEATURES

Predictions & Projections
David M. Dorey
The Huddle
WEEK 12
November 24, 2004
Season Ticket
Thu 12:30 Sun 1 PM Sun 1 PM Sun 4 PM Sun 8:30 PM
IND at DET CLE at CIN* BAL at NE NYJ at ARZ* OAK at DEN*
Thu 4:05 TB at CAR JAX at MIN* NO at ATL Mon 9 PM
CHI at DAL SD at KC PHI at NYG BUF at SEA* STL at GB*
*updated TEN at HOU* WAS at PIT* MIA at SF Times ET
  NY Jets Rush Catch Pass
QB Quincy Carter 20 0 170,1
RB Curtis Martin 90,1 10 0
RB Lamont Jordan 30 0 0
TE Anthony Becht 0 10 0
WR Wayne Chrebet 0 20 0
WR Justin McCareins 0 70,1 0
WR Santana Moss 0 50 0
PK Doug Brien 0 FG 2 XP -
  Arizona Rush Catch Pass
QB Shaun King 0 0 220,1
RB Emmitt Smith 60,1 10 0
RB Josh Scobey 0 30 0
TE Freddie Jones 0 40 0
WR Bryant Johnson 0 20 0
WR Larry Fitzgerald 0 60,1 0
WR Anquan Boldin 0 50 0
PK Neil Rackers 1 FG 2 XP -

NYJ (7-3) vs ARZ (4-5)

Game Prediction: NYJ 14, ARZ 17

This game should be better than the records indicate. The Jets are only 3-2 in the road and the Cardinals are 3-1 at home. Both teams are starting new quarterbacks for various reasons and Curtis Martin comes in dinged up. This is a toss up game.

Update: Emmitt Smith has been held out of practice with a sore knee but is expected to play, especially since Troy Hambrick is now on injured reserve. But be aware there is some risk there, even with the Cardinals wanting to use Emmitt relatively heavily.

Curtis Martin is probable and has been getting treatment for his bruised knee. He is expected to play without any limitations.

Pre-Game Notes - NYJ

The Jets come off a three point win in Cleveland in spite of only scoring 10 points. With the Patriots unwilling to fall apart this season, every game is a must win regardless if it has to come with Quincy Carter or not.

Quarterback: Quincy Carter threw his first Jet touchdown last week but only ended with 116 passing yards and one interception. He is following the tradition laid down by Pennington by completely ignoring Santa Moss.

Running Backs: Curtis Martin tweaked his knee last week but should be probable to play. I am assuming that Martin is good to go but will share a little extra with Lamont Jordan to prevent overusing him.

Wide Receivers: Justin McCareins had his third score in the last four games and a season high 71 yards against the Browns last week. Santana Moss - two catches for 24 yards though combined the two wideouts accounted for all but 20 of the very meager passing yards in the game. Moss had 75 yards the previous week with Carter, so he's not without any production. It's just too infrequent to ever count on.

Tight Ends: "whiff"

Match Against the Defense: The Cardinals are usually attacked most successfully with the run where they are only average. Expect a good game from Martin that will not turn into a big game since Jordan is likely to get involved. With Carter throwing, the Cardinals will maintain their five game streak of holding opposing quarterbacks to less than 200 yards though he could throw one score.

That one passing score actually favors the tight end position which the Jets almost never use. If it happens, McCareins has been the only consistent threat to score on a pass. It's just as likely not to happen given Carter as the starter.

Pre-Game Notes - ARZ

The Cardinals opted for a change after beating the Giants, so they installed Shaun King as the quarterback and received the worst loss of the season in Carolina. Nice move, Denny.

Quarterback: While Shaun King did throw for a season high 343 yards by an Arizona quarterback (and easily since the previous was only 231 yards), he also turned in a season high with three interceptions and one lost fumble. This may be good for fantasy leagues but questionable for the health of the Cardinals record. While no word has been formally given, the assumption is that King again starts.

Running Backs: Emmitt Smith played last week with a foot that was still sprained and only gained 26 yards on 11 carries. Troy Hambrick also injured his foot and will likely be out this week. Josh Scobey should replace him though Scobey is used exclusively as a third down pass catcher and has only two carries on the year - both in week one.

Wide Receivers: Larry Fitzgerald was the main recipient of all those passing yards last week, catching seven balls for 92 yards and one score. Anquan Boldin had six receptions for 75 yards for his season best but the odd fact is that since Boldin has been back for four weeks, he has not scored and yet Fitzgerald has two touchdowns and two games with 92 yards - both on the road. At home in week 10, Fitzgerald did not have any catches.

Tight Ends: Shaun King did notice Freddie Jones who had a season high five catches for 73 yards last week. Jones only totaled three catches for 17 yards in the three previous games.

Match Against the Defense: The Jets secondary has been very solid this season and allowed a high of only 230 yards on the road this year (Brady). No team hosting the Jets has thrown for more than one touchdown as well. Expect Shaun King to settle in more around the 200 yard range this week in a game where they should not trail by such a large and early margin that forces constant throwing.

Emmitt Smith should manage a moderate game here with an outside chance at a score since the Jets have allowed only five runners to score this season and never more than once a game. This should be a much more defensive matchup and the Jets have held every opponent since week three to less than 22 points. Six games have kept opponents to 14 points or less.

This looks like a definite "under" game since the Cardinals have not allowed the last three visitors to score more than 17 points.

NYJ ARZ 2004 Averages ARZ NYJ
Gains Allows QB's Gains Allows
201
215
Pass yards
188
213
1.1
1.2
Pass TDs
0.7
1.3
0.4
1.0
Interceptions
0.7
0.9
9
12
Rush yards
9
10
0.1
0.0
Rush TDs
0.0
0.1
---
---
RB's
---
---
137
113
Rush yards
100
94
1.1
0.7
Rush TDs
1.0
0.4
39
34
Receive yards
28
35
0.2
0.1
Receive TD's
0.2
0.1
---
---
WR's
---
---
139
143
Receive yards
132
144
0.6
0.6
Receive TD's
0.5
0.9
---
---
TE's
---
---
23
38
Receive yards
31
33
0.3
0.4
Receive TD's
0.1
0.3
---
---
PK's
---
---
1.3
1.7
Field Goals
1.2
1.0
2.3
1.7
Extra Points
1.9
1.9
---
---
DEF/ST
---
---
0.9
0.8
Fumbles
1.1
0.5
0.7
0.7
Interceptions
1.0
0.7
0.2
0.4
Touchdowns
0.2
0.1
2.1
3.0
Sacks
2.3
2.2
0.0
0.0
Safeties
0.1
0.1
Cardinals (4-5)
Score Opp.
10-17 @STL
12-23 NE
3-6 @ATL
34-10 NO
28-31 @SF
Week 6 bye
25-17 SEA
14-38 @BUF
24-23 @MIA
17-14 NYG
10-35 @CAR
Week 12 NYJ
Week 13 @DET
Week 14 SF
Week 15 STL
Week 16 @SEA
Week 17 TB
Jets (7-3)
Score Opp.
31-24 CIN
34-28 @SD
Week 3 bye
17-9 @MIA
16-14 BUF
22-14 SF
7-13 @NE
41-14 MIA
17-22 @BUF
17-20 BAL
10-7 @CLE
Week 12 @ARI
Week 13 HOU
Week 14 @PIT
Week 15 SEA
Week 16 NE
Week 17 @STL