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FANTASY FOOTBALL WEEKLY FEATURES

Predictions & Projections
David M. Dorey
The Huddle
WEEK 13
December 1, 2004
Season Ticket
Sun 1 PM Sun 1 PM Sun 1 PM Sun 4 PM Sun 8:30 PM
CIN at BAL* BUF at MIA ATL at TB* DEN at SD PIT at JAX
MIN at CHI TEN at IND* SF at STL* KC at OAK* Mon 9 PM
ARZ at DET CAR at NO   GB at PHI* DAL at SEA
NE at CLE HOU at NYJ *updated NYG at WAS Times ET
  Carolina Rush Catch Pass
QB Jake Delhomme 0 0 270,2
RB Nick Goings 100,1 10 0
RB Brad Hoover 10 10 0
TE Kris Mangum 0 30 0
WR Muhsin Muhammad 0 100,1 0
WR Ricky Proehl 0 30 0
WR Keary Colbert 0 80,1 0
PK John Kasay 1 FG 3 XP -
  New Orleans Rush Catch Pass
QB Aaron Brooks 20 0 260,2
RB Deuce McAllister 110,1 50,1 0
TE Boo Williams 0 20 0
WR Joe Horn 0 90,1 0
WR Donte Stallworth 0 30 0
WR Jerome Pathon 0 60 0
PK John Carney 2 FG 3 XP -

CAR (4-7) vs NO (4-7)

Game Prediction: CAR 24, NO 27

This is a messy game between two inconsistent teams. The Saints are healthy and yet all the pieces do not always work. The Panthers are decimated by injuries and yet somehow is making nothing turn into something. The Panthers have won their last three games while the Saints have lost their last two.

On the plus side, this could end up as a shootout.

Pre-Game Notes - CAR

The Panthers are heating up thanks to a soft spot in their schedule. Their defeat of the Buccaneers goes down as their best victory of the year though in part it was thanks to a defensive score and the inability of now ex-Buc Gramatica to actually kick a field goal. Now against the Saints, they are on the road but still facing sub-.500 teams.

Quarterback: The improvement in the offense goes directly back to Jake Delhomme who has thrown for at least two scores in each of the last five games and only once dipped below 200 yards in that time. Delhomme had been wildly successful with Muhammad as the main receiver but finally looked left last week and found Colbert for two scores.

Running Backs: Nick Goings was actually sixth on the depth charts at one point this summer but now is "the man" with two straight 100+ yard games and four touchdowns on the year. Goings ran for 106 yards on 23 carries against the Buccaneers and now faces the #2 worst rushing defense in the league.

Wide Receivers: Muhsin Muhammad only had two catches for 52 yards and no score last week, a far cry from the four game stretch previous that saw no games under 94 yards and seven touchdowns in that time. The rookie Kerry Colbert enjoyed his first two touchdown game when he had three catches for 72 yards against the Buccaneers last week.

Ricky Proehl had two big games in weeks 9 and 10 but only has two catches for 22 yards in the last two outings.

Tight Ends: Kris Mangum comes off his season best game but that only means 44 yards on three catches.

Match Against the Defense: This is a nice defense to match against. Look for plenty of Goings who should score at least once and gain around 100 yards or better unless the Saints get a big lead in the game. Almost all teams succeed wildly with the run if they try hard enough and it's not like Goings is wearing down after only playing a handful of games this year.

Delhomme faces the #3 worst defense against quarterbacks that has failed to surrender at least two passing scores in all but one of the last six games. The only odd team there was the Chiefs that ran for 186 yards. Expect a solid afternoon from Delhomme with at least two passing scores. There is no really better matchup against the corners though Colbert's side has been marginally more effective. There is a great chance both he and Muhammad score this week.

Pre-Game Notes - NO

New Orleans has been on a slide lately and has lost three of their last four games but facing ATL, DEN and SD was no treat. They did beat the Chiefs to break up the stretch. They played the Falcons to the wire last week before losing. This team has good weapons on offense but is saddled with a terrible defense and some bad mojo that always shows up at the end of seasons.

Quarterback: Aaron Brooks has thrown for scores in all but one game this season and has been running in scores more lately with three touchdowns in the last six games. Unfortunately he has five interceptions in the last two Sundays but also has two 300+ yard games this year. He never had more than 190 passing yards in any game last year against the Panthers.

Running Backs: Deuce McAllister gained 100 yards against the Falcons last week which gives him four 100+ games on the year which is only half what he did in 2003 at this point in the season. McAllister has always been successful against the Panthers in the past and had 100+ yards in both the meetings last year.

Wide Receivers: Joe Horn had 101 yards and his sixth touchdown for the year when he played against the Falcons last week. While Jerome Pathon and Donte Stallworth occasionally contribute, Horn is the lone consistent factor in the passing game and he had three touchdowns during the two meetings with Carolina last year.

Donte Stallworth had a monster week 11 when he gained 113 yards and one score but returned to normalcy last week when he only gained 20 yards on two catches. In two games against the Panthers in 2003, he only totaled one catch for 15 yards.

Tight Ends: Boo Williams has only one decent game all season. It was back in week nine and apparently will never be repeated. He only had one catch for 14 yards last week.

Match Against the Defense: The Panthers have been tough against the run the last three weeks but that was against SF, ARZ and TB and even then Pittman had 134 yards receiving. Expect that McAllister continues his 100+ yard streak against the Panthers.

Brooks faces a defense that held him in check in 2003 but this season has seen a much less formidable secondary thanks to injuries in Carolina. The last three passers against the Panthers have all thrown for at least 284 yards. Expect that Brooks lights it up in a game that should prove surprisingly high scoring.

That will benefit Horn directly and while Stallworth has been occasionally decent, he is more often bad and has never been successful against the Panthers. Expect that Pathon has most of what is left over from what Horn does not take.

CAR NO 2004 Averages NO CAR
Gains Allows QB's Gains Allows
230
273
Pass yards
245
229
1.7
1.7
Pass TDs
1.2
0.7
1.2
0.7
Interceptions
0.9
1.3
5
11
Rush yards
12
11
0.1
0.2
Rush TDs
0.3
0.0
---
---
RB's
---
---
92
137
Rush yards
81
115
0.5
1.0
Rush TDs
0.6
1.4
41
46
Receive yards
31
47
0.3
0.4
Receive TD's
0.0
0.5
---
---
WR's
---
---
155
171
Receive yards
182
131
0.9
0.7
Receive TD's
0.8
0.3
---
---
TE's
---
---
22
59
Receive yards
32
51
0.3
0.7
Receive TD's
0.4
0.0
---
---
PK's
---
---
0.7
1.7
Field Goals
1.7
1.6
2.0
3.2
Extra Points
2.1
2.4
---
---
DEF/ST
---
---
0.6
0.7
Fumbles
1.0
0.4
1.3
0.9
Interceptions
0.7
1.2
0.1
0.3
Touchdowns
0.2
0.3
1.9
2.3
Sacks
1.8
1.5
0.0
0.1
Safeties
0.0
0.0
Panthers (4-7)
Score Opp.
14-24 GB
28-17 @KC
Week 3 bye
10-27 ATL
17-20 @DEN
8-30 @PHI
6-17 SD
17-23 @SEA
24-27 OAK
37-27 @SF
35-10 ARI
21-14 TB
Week 13 @NO
Week 14 STL
Week 15 @ATL
Week 16 @TB
Week 17 NO
Saints (4-7)
Score Opp.
7-21 SEA
30-27 SF
28-25 @STL
10-34 @ARI
17-20 TB
31-38 MIN
31-26 @OAK
Week 8 bye
17-43 @SD
27-20 KC
13-34 DEN
21-24 @ATL
Week 13 CAR
Week 14 @DAL
Week 15 @TB
Week 16 ATL
Week 17 @CAR