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FANTASY FOOTBALL WEEKLY FEATURES

Predictions & Projections
David M. Dorey
The Huddle
WEEK 13
December 1, 2004
Season Ticket
Sun 1 PM Sun 1 PM Sun 1 PM Sun 4 PM Sun 8:30 PM
CIN at BAL* BUF at MIA ATL at TB* DEN at SD PIT at JAX
MIN at CHI TEN at IND* SF at STL* KC at OAK* Mon 9 PM
ARZ at DET CAR at NO   GB at PHI* DAL at SEA
NE at CLE HOU at NYJ *updated NYG at WAS Times ET
  Cincinnati Rush Catch Pass
QB Carson Palmer 0 0 250,1
RB Rudi Johnson 80 10 0
TE Kelly/Stewart/Schobel 0 40 0
WR Houshmandzadeh 0 70 0
WR Kelly Washington 0 40 0
WR Chad Johnson 0 70,1 0
PK Shayne Graham 3 FG 1 XP -
  Baltimore Rush Catch Pass
QB Kyle Boller 0 0 160,1
RB Chester Taylor 110,2 0 0
TE Todd Heap 0 20 0
WR Travis Taylor 0 80,1 0
WR Clarence Moore 0 30 0
WR Kevin Johnson 0 20 0
PK Matt Stover 2 FG 3 XP -

CIN (5-6) vs BAL (7-4)

Game Prediction: CIN 16, BAL 27

The Bengals versus the Ravens - always a fun time every year. The Ravens have won eight of the last ten meetings and the Bengals have not won in Baltimore since the 90's. The nice part is that the Ravens always score more than 23 points when they meet and since the Bengals just allowed the Browns to post 48 points, this could be quite entertaining.

This is a rematch of week three when the Ravens won 23-9.

Update: Todd Heap is expected to finally play this week but will be limited to only 15 to 20 snaps. I am including him in the projections but am not expecting much in his first week back after two months on the sideline. He still is not 100%.

Pre-Game Notes - CIN

The Bengals come off a 58-48 win over Cleveland that was the second highest scoring game in the history of the NFL. They are now on the road where they are only 1-4 this season.

Quarterback: Carson Palmer comes off his career best game when he had 251 yards and four scores against the Browns last week. He still threw three interceptions in that game and has 16 on the year against only 13 touchdowns. Against the Ravens in week three, Palmer had 316 yards but no scores with three interceptions.

Running Backs: Rudi Johnson had a career best 202 yards and two scores last week during the scoring frenzy against the Browns and that was his fourth 100 yard game of the year. Johnson ran for 98 yards on 23 carries against the Ravens in week three.

Wide Receivers: Chad Johnson comes off a ten catch, 117 yard effort against the Browns with one touchdown which still only gives him three on the season. He had 99 yards on eight catches in the last meeting with the Ravens with no score. T.J. Houshmandzadeh was the starter last week when he scored twice - his only touchdowns on the year. Houshmandzadeh had 116 yards on seven catches against the Ravens previously while Kelly Washington had five catches for 58 yards. The Bengals could throw against the Ravens, they just have not been able to actually score.

Tight Ends: Three of them and not one worth a fantasy flyer on a good week. This is not a good week anyway.

Match Against the Defense: This matchup did not go well back in week three in Cincy and now moves to Baltimore where the results should be less stellar. Rudi Johnson had some success last time and undoubtedly will be used for however long the Bengals can keep the score close. Expect at least a moderate afternoon from Rudi but the Ravens have only allowed three runners to score all year long.

Palmer had a big game last time in terms of yardage which were mostly garbage time but that could happen again. The Bengals were successful passing last year against the Ravens and even beat them in Cincinnati but expect that Palmer's interception problem to get in the way of reaching the endzone.

Pre-Game Notes - BAL

The Ravens dropped a game in New England last week but at 7-4 still have a good shot at a wild card.

Quarterback: The notion that Kyle Boller was suddenly coming into his own and playing to the level of an average NFL quarterback was squashed when the game in New England proceeded to standard Boller form - 15 of 35 for 93 yards with one interception. This against a defense using wideouts as make-shift cornerbacks.

Boller had 126 yards and one score in the previous meeting with the Bengals.

Running Backs: Jamal Lewis could be back this week but likely will miss one more week. I am assuming that Chester Taylor takes the start but will update if needed. Taylor had 85 total yards against the Patriots last week and the previous meeting against the Bengals allowed Jamal Lewis his best game of the season when he gained 186 yards on only 18 carries with one touchdown and 46 yards on one reception. This could be a nice week for Taylor indeed.

Wide Receivers: With the passing yardage non-existent again, it's hard to rely on any of these wideouts. Last week the best posted was only 20 yards by Kevin Johnson. In week three against the Bengals, it was Randy Hymes gaining 68 yards and scoring once in what proved to be his last productive game of the season.

The good news is that while Travis Taylor has very few good games in his career, most of them came against the Bengals. He had four catches for 138 yards in Cincy last year followed by two catches for 77 yards in Baltimore later in 2003.

Tight Ends: Todd Heap may be back this week. Just like last week. And the week before that. And the... I am assuming that Heap is still out until there is certain word that he will return. And if he does play after missing nine games, it'll be hard to rely on him being healthy and back to form after such a long layoff.

Match Against the Defense: The Ravens will play the game with great defense and a running game as they always prefer. Expect a nice game from Chester Taylor here who should crack 100 yards for the first time in his career with a great shot at scoring a touchdown.

Kyle Boller will not throw a lot, but he should manage one score and this is the week to dust off Travis Taylor - he's been unnaturally effective against the Bengals who are shell-shocked after giving up five passing scores to the Browns last week.

CIN BAL 2004 Averages BAL CIN
Gains Allows QB's Gains Allows
210
192
Pass yards
149
223
1.2
0.6
Pass TDs
0.6
1.7
1.5
1.2
Interceptions
0.6
1.4
2
11
Rush yards
10
7
0.1
0.1
Rush TDs
0.4
0.1
---
---
RB's
---
---
104
96
Rush yards
108
127
0.6
0.5
Rush TDs
0.6
0.5
21
21
Receive yards
21
41
0.2
0.0
Receive TD's
0.0
0.5
---
---
WR's
---
---
169
137
Receive yards
93
141
0.7
0.4
Receive TD's
0.4
0.7
---
---
TE's
---
---
21
34
Receive yards
35
42
0.2
0.3
Receive TD's
0.2
0.5
---
---
PK's
---
---
2.0
1.8
Field Goals
1.6
1.3
2.3
1.1
Extra Points
1.7
2.5
---
---
DEF/ST
---
---
1.2
0.9
Fumbles
0.6
0.5
1.3
0.6
Interceptions
1.3
1.5
0.4
0.2
Touchdowns
0.6
0.3
2.5
2.5
Sacks
2.8
2.0
0.0
0.0
Safeties
0.0
0.1
Bengals (5-6)
Score Opp.
24-31 @NYJ
16-13 MIA
9-23 BAL
17-28 @PIT
Week 5 bye
17-34 @CLE
23-10 DEN
20-27 @TEN
26-3 DAL
17-10 @WAS
14-19 PIT
58-48 CLE
Week 13 @BAL
Week 14 @NE
Week 15 BUF
Week 16 NYG
Week 17 @PHI
Ravens (7-4)
Score Opp.
3-20 @CLE
30-13 PIT
23-9 @CIN
24-27 KC
17-10 @WAS
Week 6 bye
20-6 BUF
10-15 @PHI
27-13 CLE
20-17 @NYJ
30-10 DAL
3-24 @NE
Week 13 CIN
Week 14 NYG
Week 15 @IND
Week 16 @PIT
Week 17 MIA