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FANTASY FOOTBALL WEEKLY FEATURES

Predictions & Projections
David M. Dorey
The Huddle
WEEK 14
December 8, 2004
Season Ticket
Sun 1 PM Sun 1 PM Sun 1 PM Sun 4 PM Sun 8:30 PM
NYG at BAL* DET at GB CIN at NE* SF at ARZ* PHI at WAS
OAK at ATL IND at HOU* Sun 4 PM STL at CAR* Mon 9 PM
CLE at BUF* CHI at JAX* MIA at DEN TB at SD* KC at TEN*
NO at DAL SEA at MIN NYJ at PIT *updated Times ET
  NY Giants Rush Catch Pass
QB Eli Manning 0 0 150
RB Tiki Barber 70 40 0
TE Jeremy Shockey 0 40 0
WR Amani Toomer 0 30 0
WR Jamaar Taylor 0 20 0
WR Ike Hilliard 0 20 0
PK Steve Christie 2 FG 0 XP -
  Baltimore Rush Catch Pass
QB Kyle Boller 10 0 140
RB Chester Taylor 100,2 10 0
TE Todd Heap 0 30 0
WR Travis Taylor 0 40 0
WR Clarence Moore 0 20 0
WR Kevin Johnson 0 30 0
PK Matt Stover 2 FG 3 XP -

NYG (5-8) vs BAL (7-5)

Game Prediction: NYG 6, BAL 27

The Giants now slide to a five game losing streak and have to face the Ravens who just allowed the Bengals to win there. Eli Manning should watch Rocky III for a clue to this week as quoted by Clubber Lang - "My prediction? Pain."

Update: Jamal Lewis has returned to practice but he is only half speed. He is not ruled out this week yet but it appears that he will not likely play. Even if he does, it will be in a limited role and Chester Taylor would still take the majority of snaps. All this really means is that Lewis could water down Taylor's numbers but the probability is that Taylor gets one more week alone. I am not changing numbers but it is something to consider.

Pre-Game Notes - NYG

While it was a needed step to get some seasoning for Eli Manning, the process not only is painful, it is getting worse by the week. The Giants offense has produced only 13 total points in the last two weeks.

Quarterback: As a wonderful study in contrasts, Eli Manning (1 TD) has thus far been the exact opposite of big brother Peyton (44 TD's). There's a difference that is left undiscussed this Christmas at the Manning homestead. Manning has not only stopped throwing touchdowns (make that "touchdown" singular), he's now throwing two interceptions a week with a high of 162 passing yards so far this season.

Running Backs: Unfortunately, it had to happen eventually. With the passing game going, going, gone - now they're taking Tiki Barber with them. Barber had nine straight games over 100 yards and ten scores on the year. But last week in Washington, Tiki "the entire offense" Barber only had 38 yards on 15 carries and failed to catch a pass for the first week this season. NOT TIKI! TAKE THE STADIUM! TAKE ELI BACK! JUST LEAVE TIKI!

Wide Receivers: The only thing you can hope for is one long pass. If that doesn't connect, and it usually does not, then none of these wideouts have any fantasy value. After twelve games, there still has been only one score to a wideout this season and that was to Tim Carter in week two. The wideouts have more lost fumbles (2) than they have touchdowns.

Tight Ends: Jeremy Shockey remains consistent, but that only means 20 to 40 yards a week. He has not scored in the last two games with Manning there after having touchdowns in three consecutive games before that.

Match Against the Defense: The Ravens have allowed some decent rushing yards this season, but those teams had a hint of a passing game. Expect a moderate game from Barber but anything more will be a pleasant surprise. The Redskins have about as good a defense as Baltimore and shut him down last week. Kyle Boller may actually play in a game where he throws for more yardage than the opponent this week.

Pre-Game Notes - BAL

The Ravens were well ahead last week until the Bengals pulled a fourth quarter 24 point surprise to take the win. Now Baltimore sinks back to 7-5 and has to shoot for the second wildcard in the AFC. The pass defense has been hot all week after their collapse against the Bengals. This is no time for Manning to show up trying to improve.

Quarterback: Kyle Boller had a brief two week fling with respectability but that's gone now. In the last two weeks when the Ravens needed him the most, he only produced games with 93 and 172 passing yards with no scores and an interception in both. Todd Heap is back and should help, but there's no reason to expect big things any time soon. If ever.

Running Backs: Chester Taylor filled in well last week for Jamal Lewis. Taylor ended with 139 yards on 23 carries with one score. Jamal Lewis may be back to practice this week but is not expected to play on Sunday. He'll more likely be up for the game against the Colts next week.

Wide Receivers: Travis Taylor led all receivers last week but that only meant 40 yards on two catches. Taylor still has not scored this season and has topped out at 80 yards six weeks ago. Clarence Moore gave some hope when he had two scores in week 10, but he's never had more than two receptions in any game since, nor gained more than 24 yards.

Kevin Johnson scored in week 11 but followed it up with two games of less than 27 yards receiving.

Tight Ends: After ten weeks on the sideline, Todd Heap finally returned to play last week and only managed 22 yards on three catches. he's back but he is still not 100%.

Match Against the Defense: Fortunately for the Ravens, the Giants have become much softer against the run in the last several weeks thanks to defensive line injuries and there's no reason that Taylor cannot rack up some nice yardage this week as well. Expect at least 80 yards and one score with a shot at big yardage and a second score very likely.

Boller won't throw much because there will not be a big reason to in the game. The defense should handle the Giants passing game with ease and while they may not corral Barber entirely, they'll be good enough to ensure nice field position for most of the game.

This should be a standard Ravens win with a good chance for a defensive score.

NYG BAL 2004 Averages BAL NYG
Gains Allows QB's Gains Allows
201
208
Pass yards
151
193
0.6
0.8
Pass TDs
0.6
1.6
0.7
1.2
Interceptions
0.7
0.8
4
11
Rush yards
10
21
0.1
0.1
Rush TDs
0.3
0.1
---
---
RB's
---
---
118
94
Rush yards
114
114
1.1
0.4
Rush TDs
0.7
0.8
50
20
Receive yards
22
38
0.1
0.0
Receive TD's
0.0
0.3
---
---
WR's
---
---
107
153
Receive yards
92
121
0.1
0.6
Receive TD's
0.3
0.8
---
---
TE's
---
---
44
35
Receive yards
38
35
0.3
0.3
Receive TD's
0.2
0.5
---
---
PK's
---
---
1.3
1.8
Field Goals
1.8
0.8
1.9
1.3
Extra Points
1.8
2.3
---
---
DEF/ST
---
---
0.9
0.9
Fumbles
0.7
0.6
0.8
0.7
Interceptions
1.3
0.7
0.2
0.2
Touchdowns
0.7
0.0
2.3
2.4
Sacks
2.8
3.9
0.0
0.0
Safeties
0.0
0.0
Giants (5-8)
Score Opp.
17-31 @PHI
20-14 WAS
27-10 CLE
14-7 @GB
26-10 @DAL
Week 6 bye
13-28 DET
34-13 @MIN
21-28 CHI
14-17 @ARI
10-14 ATL
6-27 PHI
7-31 @WAS
Week 14 @BAL
Week 15 PIT
Week 16 @CIN
Week 17 DAL
Ravens (7-5)
Score Opp.
3-20 @CLE
30-13 PIT
23-9 @CIN
24-27 KC
17-10 @WAS
Week 6 bye
20-6 BUF
10-15 @PHI
27-13 CLE
20-17 @NYJ
30-10 DAL
3-24 @NE
26-27 CIN
Week 14 NYG
Week 15 @IND
Week 16 @PIT
Week 17 MIA