fantasy football     JOIN THE HUDDLE    
HOME ARTICLES NEWS DRAFT GUIDE REGULAR SEASON STATISTICS NFL TEAMS MESSAGE BOARDS

FANTASY FOOTBALL WEEKLY FEATURES

Predictions & Projections
David M. Dorey
The Huddle
WEEK 15
December 15, 2004
Season Ticket
Saturday Sun 1 PM Sun 1 PM Sun 4 PM Sun 8:30 PM
PIT at NYG 1 * BUF at CIN * SD at CLE* STL at ARZ BAL at IND *
WAS at SF 5 * HOU at CHI SEA at NYJ DEN at KC * Mon 9 PM
CAR at ATL 8:30 JAX at GB * DAL at PHI * NO at TB NE at MIA*
Times ET MIN at DET TEN at OAK * *updated Times ET
  New Orleans Rush Catch Pass
QB Aaron Brooks 0 0 170,1
RB Deuce McAllister 60 20 0
TE Boo Williams 0 10 0
WR Joe Horn 0 60,1 0
WR Donte Stallworth 0 50 0
WR Jerome Pathon 0 20 0
PK John Carney 1 FG 1 XP -
  Tampa Bay Rush Catch Pass
QB Brian Griese 0 0 250,2
RB Michael Pittman 100,1 30 0
TE Ken Dilger 0 10 0
WR Michael Clayton 0 100,1 0
WR Joe Jurevicius 0 20 0
WR Joey Galloway 0 80,1 0
PK Jay Taylor 2 FG 3 XP -

NO (5-8) vs TB (5-8)

Game Prediction: NO 10, TB 27

This is a rematch of week five when the Buccaneers won 20-17.

Pre-Game Notes - NO

The Saints finally stopped a three game slide by beating the Cowboys last week with a sound defense. Miracles happen. But not often twice in a row.

Quarterback: Aaron Brooks has been a solid fantasy quarterback this season - as long as you do not get negative points for interceptions. The same guy that couldn't stop fumbling last season now doesn't even make the defense come and get the ball - he throws it to them. He's had at least two interceptions in each of the last four games. He only had one interception in the first four games and now has nine in the last four weeks. But he has scored in all but one game this season

Brooks only threw for 106 yards but had two scores in the last meeting against the Buccaneers. It was his lowest yardage of the year.

Running Backs: Oddly enough, McAllister had been turning in good games every other week. He scored in weeks six through ten but since then had down games in weeks 11 and 13 with scores in weeks 12 and 14. On the road to Tampa Bay, he'll more likely keep that trend that suggests a down game this week. Late last year against the Bucs he only gained 69 yards yards and no score. McAllister gained 102 yards on 21 carries back in week five against Tampa Bay. He had no scores.

Wide Receivers: Joe Horn has been on a mission the last five games with five touchdowns and three 100 yard efforts and no game less than 81 yards. He had only 40 yards but scored once in the last meeting with Tampa Bay while Donte Stallworth only had one catch for 27 yards. And Stallworth has stepped up lately as well, gaining 113 yards last week and 122 yards in week 11 - both road games. the biggest surprise is that he has not missed a game in five weeks.

Tight Ends: Boo Williams had a touchdown in the last meeting with Tampa Bay but only has two on the season and rarely catches more than one pass per game lately.

Match Against the Defense: The Saints offense has not changed much though the defense seems to get worse almost every week. Expect that McAllister struggles this week in Tampa Bay where the best opposing runner all season was Quentin Griffin's 66 yards back in week four. He won't likely score since only two runners have.

Don't bother with Brooks either. He has a chance to throw one score - have to be to Horn if anyone - but only one quarterback has exceeded 147 passing yards in Tampa Bay this season. He'll likely do more than his 106 yards of the last meeting but scoring more than once would be a surprise.

Pre-Game Notes - TB

The Buccaneers lost last week in San Diego and that ends any fantasies that they are playoff bound. At least there is still New Orleans to offer an outlet for their frustrations.

Quarterback: Brian Griese comes off his best game of the year, throwing for 392 yards and three scores against the Chargers. He's scored in every game that he's started and two of the last three games have been over 340 passing yards. Griese threw for 194 yards and one score in the last meeting against the Saints. This was the game when Griese stepped in for the injured Chris Simms and together they had 262 passing yards.

Running Backs: Michael Pittman comes off his worst game since week seven but he still had 88 total yards and only had 12 carries in the game for 46 yards. He was gaining the yards, he just did not get the opportunities. The Bucs were unable to mount a rushing game during the last meeting with New Orleans. Pittman only gained 51 yards on 15 carries but added 29 yards on five catches. He's scored in six of the eight games since that week.

Sidenote of sorts - Gruden recently said that he will start looking at some players over the last three games and one is the running back Earnest Graham. He only had one carry last week so likely it won't impact Pittman.

Wide Receivers: Joey Galloway and Michael Clayton have teamed up for a nice duo lately. Galloway has scores in both his last games and at least 63 yards in each. Clayton comes off the best game of his young career when he logged nine catches for 145 yards and one score against the Chargers. He only has four touchdowns on the season but has been rock solid staying over 60 receiving yards in almost every week. Joe Jurevicius has disappeared lately, only catching two passes for 33 yards last week and none the week before that.

Back in the previous meeting with New Orleans, the Bucs were still using Charles Lee who had 76 yards on four catches while Michael Clayton totaled 61 yards on four receptions with neither wideout scoring.

Tight Ends: Griese has really ignored these group with no scores in the last month. Dilger did have a touchdown in the last meeting against the Saints.

Match Against the Defense: This is a defense that has allowed one rushing score in each of the last six weeks so expect that Pittman gets back into the touchdown column unless Alstott takes it himself. Pittman could have a monster yardage game if the Bucs elect to go that route.

Look for Griese to continue his scoring ways and likely manage at least two passing scores here with at least 230 yards. Virtually all opponents have done at least that much and four times the Saints have given up 300+ yards. It depends on the game situation as to if Griese will have any need to throw that much.

NO TB 2004 Averages TB NO
Gains Allows QB's Gains Allows
246
180
Pass yards
239
266
1.3
1.2
Pass TDs
1.5
1.5
1.1
1.2
Interceptions
1.0
0.7
12
16
Rush yards
4
9
0.2
0.0
Rush TDs
0.0
0.2
---
---
RB's
---
---
77
105
Rush yards
87
133
0.7
0.6
Rush TDs
0.7
1.0
30
28
Receive yards
48
45
0.0
0.1
Receive TD's
0.3
0.3
---
---
WR's
---
---
186
115
Receive yards
155
167
1.0
0.8
Receive TD's
0.8
0.7
---
---
TE's
---
---
30
38
Receive yards
36
56
0.3
0.2
Receive TD's
0.2
0.6
---
---
PK's
---
---
1.6
1.2
Field Goals
1.1
2.1
2.2
2.1
Extra Points
2.1
2.9
---
---
DEF/ST
---
---
1.0
0.8
Fumbles
0.8
0.8
0.8
1.0
Interceptions
1.1
1.0
0.2
0.3
Touchdowns
0.2
0.2
2.1
2.8
Sacks
2.8
2.2
0.0
0.0
Safeties
0.0
0.1
Saints (5-8)
Score Opp.
7-21 SEA
30-27 SF
28-25 @STL
10-34 @ARI
17-20 TB
31-38 MIN
31-26 @OAK
Week 8 bye
17-43 @SD
27-20 KC
13-34 DEN
21-24 @ATL
21-32 CAR
27-13 @DAL
Week 15 @TB
Week 16 ATL
Week 17 @CAR
Buccaneers (5-8)
Score Opp.
10-16 @WAS
6-10 SEA
20-30 @OAK
13-16 DEN
20-17 @NO
21-28 @STL
19-7 CHI
Week 8 bye
34-31 KC
14-24 @ATL
35-3 SF
14-21 @CAR
27-0 ATL
24-31 @SD
Week 15 NO
Week 16 CAR
Week 17 @ARI