fantasy football     JOIN THE HUDDLE    
HOME ARTICLES NEWS DRAFT GUIDE REGULAR SEASON STATISTICS NFL TEAMS MESSAGE BOARDS

FANTASY FOOTBALL WEEKLY FEATURES

Predictions & Projections
David M. Dorey
The Huddle
WEEK 16
December 22, 2004
Season Ticket
Friday Sun 1 PM Sun 1 PM Sun 4 PM Sun 8:30 PM
GB at MIN CHI at DET ATL at NO * NE at NYJ * CLE at MIA
Saturday NYG at CIN * BAL at PIT BUF at SF * Mon 9 PM
DEN at TEN 8:30 HOU at JAX * CAR at TB WAS at DAL PHI at STL
OAK at KC 5 * SD at IND * Good Luck!!! ARZ at SEA *updated
Oakland Rush Catch Pass
QB Kerry Collins 0 0 290,2
RB Zack Crockett 20,1 0 0
RB It Doesn't Matter 20 30 0
TE Teyo Johnson 0 40 0
WR Doug Gabriel 0 60,1 0
WR Jerry Porter 0 130,1 0
WR Alvis Whitted 0 30 0
PK Sebastian Janikowski 1 FG 3 XP -
  Kansas City Rush Catch Pass
QB Trent Green 0 0 280,3
RB Larry Johnson 150,2 20 0
TE Tony Gonzalez 0 40,1 0
WR Johnnie Morton 0 40 0
WR Dante Hall 0 30 0
WR Samie Parker 0 40 0
WR Eddie Kennison 0 130,2 0
PK Lawrence Tynes 2 FG 3 XP -

OAK (6-8) vs KC (6-8)

Game Prediction: OAK 24, KC 42

This is a rematch from only three weeks ago when the Chiefs won 34-27 in Oakland. When two teams meet and not one defense can be found, you know it will be a fantasy goldmine.

Update: Morton still has not practiced and is likely to miss this week. I am removing him from the projections.

Pre-Game Notes - OAK

The Raiders come off a big 40-35 win over the Titans which mainly illustrated how bad the defenses were for both teams.

Quarterback: Kerry Collins was on a hot streak for three weeks until Ronald Curry was lost for the year and he only had 166 yards and no scores in week 14 against the Falcons. Going against the Titans last week ended up with Collins turning in his best game of the year by throwing for 371 yards and five touchdowns.

Collins had 343 yards and three scores in the previous meeting against the Chiefs but much of that (141 yards and two scores) were with Ronald Curry.

Running Backs: There is officially no running game. Forget it. Last week the best runner was Zack Crockett with only eight carries for 27 yards. Justin Fargas was second with 17 yards on seven runs. This week against the high-scoring Chiefs those sort of rushing numbers would be considered a huge success. Just ignore any Raider runner this week.

Wide Receivers: Last week was the Jerry Porter show. He ended with a career best 148 yards and three scores and his production dwarfed all other wideouts. Doug Gabriel managed 52 yards on only two catches for one score. With Curry out and as long as the secondary is sub-standard - like this week - Porter is the clear go-to guy in the scheme.

In the previous meeting with the Chiefs, Porter had 113 yards and one score and that was when he had to share with Ronald Curry. There will be no sharing this week though Doug Gabriel is more interesting now.

Tight Ends: As a possible sign of things to come, Teyo Johnson had his first start of the season last week in place of Doug Jolley and ended with three catches for 49 yards and one touchdown. The Raiders did not use their tight ends in the last meeting with the Chiefs but will need to rely on them more since Curry is out.

Match Against the Defense: There will be no running in this game by the Raiders either by opportunity or talent. If there are any rushing scores it will likely be Crockett on a short plunge but given that this should prove to be a nifty shoot-out, Collins will be passing much more than handing off.

Expect that Collins turns in a good game here but not likely as big as last time in Oakland since his main man Curry is no longer around and there is a limit to what Porter alone can do. He should be well above average for the week though in a game he will have to throw upwards of 45 passes.

Porter is a lock for plenty of action this week and Gabriel could also surprise. Look for more action for Teyo Johnson as well since Norv Turner needs to see more from him to determine what the 2005 plans may be for the tight end position.

Pre-Game Notes - KC

The season may be lost but at least the Chiefs were able to roll all over Denver last week as some consolation. Kansas City has scored 94 points in the last two weeks and now face the Raiders who have not allowed less than 34 points to each of their last three opponents.

Quarterback: Trent Green has thrown for three scores in each of his last three games though twice he has remained under 250 yards. Green had 340 yards and three scores in the last meeting against the Raiders and the only way he will do less is for the running game to gobble up all the glory which will likely happen to some extent.

Running Backs: Okay, okay. Finally we know. IT IS THE SYSTEM. Larry Johnson ran for 151 yards and two scores last week against the Broncos and that makes the third running back from one team that has exceeded 150 rushing yards in a game during one season. Johnson showed some nice burst and moves last week, but then again he was running through lanes that were about twelve feet wide on many plays.

Derrick Blaylock will be questionable this week again. I am projecting for Larry Johnson only unless better word comes out of practice that Blaylock may factor in. Back in week 13 when these two teams first met, Johnson had his first big game with 118 yards and one touchdown. Since Blaylock is questionable this week again, it's possible Johnson could reach 100 yards by halftime.

Wide Receivers: Johnnie Morton was out last week but Eddie Kennison turned his matchup against Champ Bailey into a laugher with 101 yards and two scores. Even Samie Parker scored and had 84 yards and he had not played in any game this year. It's still early, but the assumption is that Morton will be back this week from his knee sprain but I will update as needed. I would expect him to be limited if he does play.

Dante Hall only had two catches for 17 yards last week since the Chiefs unwrapped Samie Parker instead.

Back in week 13, Kennison had 149 yards and one score for his best yardage game of the year.

Tight Ends: Tony Gonzalez has not been a major factor in the passing game compared to earlier in the year. He only had 44 yards last week and has not scored since week nine. He had only 32 yards on three catches in the last Oakland game.

Match Against the Defense: Score, baby. This should be a wonderful fantasy game that has the Chiefs with nothing left to do this season than to pour on the points to make themselves feel better about a year that all too quickly got away from them. Larry Johnson has every reason to want to log some major mileage and secure a spot next season. Expect a monster game from LJ.

Green will have a down game only if the running game is successful to historic proportions. Green is a lock for at least an upper-end performance with a chance, as always, for a monster game as well. This is the final home game for Kansas City and it's better to end the show with the biggest fireworks.

OAK KC 2004 Averages KC OAK
Gains Allows QB's Gains Allows
261
283
Pass yards
278
255
1.6
1.9
Pass TDs
1.7
2.0
1.3
0.8
Interceptions
0.9
0.5
4
12
Rush yards
5
12
0.0
0.3
Rush TDs
0.0
0.1
---
---
RB's
---
---
70
94
Rush yards
138
117
0.6
1.1
Rush TDs
2.0
1.1
49
52
Receive yards
47
35
0.0
0.1
Receive TD's
0.2
0.4
---
---
WR's
---
---
175
179
Receive yards
153
179
1.2
1.1
Receive TD's
0.9
0.9
---
---
TE's
---
---
38
52
Receive yards
78
41
0.4
0.5
Receive TD's
0.6
0.7
---
---
PK's
---
---
1.4
1.2
Field Goals
1.1
1.0
2.0
3.0
Extra Points
3.7
3.4
---
---
DEF/ST
---
---
0.6
0.8
Fumbles
0.5
0.9
0.4
0.8
Interceptions
0.8
1.3
0.1
0.2
Touchdowns
0.3
0.4
1.5
1.9
Sacks
2.7
1.8
0.1
0.0
Safeties
0.0
0.0
Raiders (6-8)
Score Opp.
21-24 @PIT
13-10 BUF
30-20 TB
17-30 @HOU
14-35 @IND
3-31 DEN
26-31 NO
14-42 @SD
27-24 @CAR
Week 10 bye
17-23 SD
25-24 @DEN
27-34 KC
10-35 @ATL
40-35 TEN
Week 16 @KC
Week 17 JAX
Chiefs (6-8)
Score Opp.
24-34 @DEN
17-28 CAR
21-24 HOU
27-24 @BAL
Week 5 bye
16-22 @JAX
56-10 ATL
45-35 IND
31-34 @TB
20-27 @NO
19-27 NE
31-34 SD
34-27 @OAK
49-38 @TEN
45-17 DEN
Week 16 OAK
Week 17 @SD