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FANTASY FOOTBALL WEEKLY FEATURES

Predictions & Projections
David M. Dorey
The Huddle
WEEK 16
December 22, 2004
Season Ticket
Friday Sun 1 PM Sun 1 PM Sun 4 PM Sun 8:30 PM
GB at MIN CHI at DET ATL at NO * NE at NYJ * CLE at MIA
Saturday NYG at CIN * BAL at PIT BUF at SF * Mon 9 PM
DEN at TEN 8:30 HOU at JAX * CAR at TB WAS at DAL PHI at STL
OAK at KC 5 * SD at IND * Good Luck!!! ARZ at SEA *updated
  Washington Rush Catch Pass
QB Patrick Ramsey 0 0 170,1
RB Clinton Portis 80,1 10 0
TE Chris Cooley 0 30 0
WR Lavernues Coles 0 40 0
WR Rod Gardner 0 70,1 0
PK Jeff Chandler 0 FG 2 XP -
  Dallas Rush Catch Pass
QB V. Testaverde 0 0 180,1
RB Julius Jones 90,1 10 0
RB Richie Anderson 20 20 0
TE Jason Witten 0 60,1 0
WR Keyshawn Johnson 0 40 0
WR Terrance Copper 0 20 0
WR Quincy Morgan 0 30 0
PK Bill Cundiff 1 FG 2 XP -

WAS (5-9) vs DAL (5-9)

Game Prediction: WAS 14, DAL 17

This is a rematch of week three when the Cowboys won 21-18 in Washington.

Pre-Game Notes - WAS

The Redskins come off a win in San Francisco that featured the first defensive touchdown in the last 30 games and the fifth 100 yard game by Clinton Portis this season.

Quarterback: Patrick Ramsey threw for 214 yards and one score last week but that was against one of the worst secondaries in the NFL. So far over half of his games have remained less than 200 yards per game and he's only thrown for more than one score in one of his six starts this season.

Brunell was still the quarterback when the Redskins last faced the Cowboys back in week three and he had, easily, his best game of the year with 325 yards and two scores.

Running Backs: Clinton Portis ran for 110 yards last week but that required 35 carries and he never scored nor had a run longer than 18 yards against one of the very worst rushing defenses in the league. Portis had 94 yards on 23 carries in the last meeting with the Cowboys.

Wide Receivers: Laveranues Coles only managed 39 yards on four catches last week while Rod Gardner turned in 111 yards on six receptions - his second best game of the year. The only other game that Gardner topped 100 yards this season was against the Cowboys in week three when he had 10 catches for 167 yards and two scores. He had not exceeded 41 yards in any game since that meeting until last week. Coles only had 42 yards in week three.

Tight Ends: Robert Royal scored last week for the second time in three weeks but those come on his only catches in the game. Chris Cooley had three catches for 21 yards last week and has scored in three of the last five games. He's as big a target in the passing game as any wideout for most weeks and even more so near the goal line.

Cooley had a mild calf strain which made him sit out the final quarter against the 49ers last week but is expected to be fine for the Dallas game.

Match Against the Defense: There is no doubt that Portis will get some heavy use here and while he gained 110 yards back in week three, the Cowboys have only allowed one running back to do that well this year in Dallas. The Cowboys have allowed six rushing scores to visiting running backs but don't look for more than one score and anything much over 100 yards from Portis.

The Cowboys' terrible secondary problems have been somewhat resolved and Ramsey has hardly been a passing stud this season anyway. Look for a standard effort - about 190 yards and one score with a shot at two touchdowns only if the Cowboys were to get a sizable lead and let up.

Pre-Game Notes - DAL

The Cowboys kept the Eagles close for the entire game and the question is how much motivation the Eagles really had in the game they knew they could win. That makes two losses in a row and this final home game is Parcells' last chance for redemption for a season that went south all too quickly.

Quarterback: Vinny Testaverde was never expected to be a savior for the Cowboys but his current role as a liability was not exactly in the plans either. Testaverde has become an interception machine lately, throwing only six scores against 12 interceptions over the last seven games. He threw for 214 yards and one score in the previous meeting against the Redskins.

Running Backs: Julius Jones has calmed down after his two monster games this season but still has has at least 80 yards in each of the last two games. His matchup in Philadelphia last week was his first non-scoring game in the last four weeks. Jones brings an entirely new look to the game that the Redskins have not yet faced.

In the last meeting against the Redskins, Eddie George was held to only 19 yards on 11 carries but scored once.

Wide Receivers: Keyshawn Johnson has been the only wideout of note during the last month while Testaverde regresses. He has scored in two of the last three weeks and remains over 50 yards in almost every game. He had only one catch for 23 yards in the last meeting against the Redskins. Terry Glenn was the main man back then and scored once. Since then he has been replaced by Quincy Morgan who has yet to exceed 40 yards in any game.

Terrance Copper had one score in week 13 but was held to no catches in the last two weeks. Back in week three, Antonio Bryant made the #3 spot worth 63 yards against the Redskins.

Tight Ends: Jason Witten scored his first touchdown of the year against the Redskins and he's settled down to around 60 yards in most games as the primary target for Testaverde.

Match Against the Defense: Not unlike the Redskins, there is no doubt that the Cowboys will be using plenty of Julius Jones in this game and he faces a defense that is above average. There have only been three tailbacks to exceed 100 yards against the Redskins and even they topped out at 116 yards. Expect Jones to challenge the century mark and to do it mainly through volume of carries.

The Redskins are highly unlikely to score much here and neither are the Cowboys. This will be largely a defensive game and lots of running for 3 yards a carry.

Testaverde has a chance at a touchdown here but only two teams all season have exceeded more than the one score. Look for lower yardage, the one score and that definitely favors Witten as the favored target.

WAS DAL 2004 Averages DAL WAS
Gains Allows QB's Gains Allows
178
241
Pass yards
225
190
1.0
1.9
Pass TDs
1.2
1.0
1.0
0.7
Interceptions
1.4
1.2
6
11
Rush yards
3
5
0.0
0.1
Rush TDs
0.1
0.0
---
---
RB's
---
---
107
99
Rush yards
101
78
0.4
0.9
Rush TDs
0.9
0.5
25
46
Receive yards
27
38
0.1
0.1
Receive TD's
0.1
0.2
---
---
WR's
---
---
125
158
Receive yards
136
126
0.4
1.4
Receive TD's
0.6
0.4
---
---
TE's
---
---
29
40
Receive yards
63
28
0.4
0.4
Receive TD's
0.5
0.3
---
---
PK's
---
---
1.3
1.4
Field Goals
1.1
1.0
1.6
2.9
Extra Points
2.1
1.9
---
---
DEF/ST
---
---
0.5
0.8
Fumbles
0.6
0.6
1.2
1.6
Interceptions
0.7
1.0
0.1
0.3
Touchdowns
0.0
0.4
2.1
2.0
Sacks
2.1
2.4
0.0
0.0
Safeties
0.1
0.1
Redskins (5-9)
Score Opp.
16-10 TB
14-20 @NYG
18-21 DAL
13-17 @CLE
10-17 BAL
13-10 @CHI
Week 7 bye
14-28 GB
17-10 @DET
10-17 CIN
6-28 @PHI
7-16 @PIT
31-7 NYG
14-17 PHI
26-16 @SF
Week 16 @DAL
Week 17 MIN
Cowboys (5-9)
Score Opp.
17-35 @MIN
19-12 CLE
21-18 @WAS
Week 4 bye
10-26 NYG
20-24 PIT
20-41 @GB
31-21 DET
3-26 @CIN
21-49 PHI
10-30 @BAL
21-7 CHI
42-39 @SEA
13-27 NO
7-12 @PHI
Week 16 WAS
Week 17 @NYG