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FANTASY FOOTBALL WEEKLY FEATURES

Predictions & Projections
David M. Dorey
The Huddle
WEEK 17
January 2, 2005
Season Ticket
Sun 1 PM Sun 1 PM Sun 1 PM Sun 4 PM Sun 8:30 PM
MIA at BAL * CLE at HOU * DET at TEN TB at ARZ DAL at NYG *
PIT at BUF SF at NE * MIN at WAS IND at DEN Happy
GB at CHI CIN at PHI * Sun 4 PM JAX at OAK * New Year!
NO at CAR NYJ at STL ATL at SEA * KC at SD * *updated
  Jacksonville Rush Catch Pass
QB Byron Leftwich 0 0 220,2
RB Fred Taylor 80,1 0 0
RB Greg Jones 50,1 0 0
TE Kyle Brady 0 10 0
WR Jimmy Smith 0 110,1 0
WR Troy Edwards 0 50,1 0
WR Reggie Williams 0 20 0
PK Josh Scobee 2 FG 3 XP -
Oakland Rush Catch Pass
QB Kerry Collins 0 0 260,2
RB A. Zereoue 20 20 0
RB Zack Crockett 20 0 0
TE Teyo Johnson 0 60,1 0
WR Doug Gabriel 0 40 0
WR Jerry Porter 0 50,1 0
WR John Stone 0 40 0
PK Sebastian Janikowski 0 FG 2 XP -

JAX (8-7) vs OAK (6-9)

Game Prediction: JAX 27, OAK 14

While both these teams come off sour losses, the Jags getting shutout by the visiting Texans should fire up the troops for a game they have to win to reach the playoffs.

Update: Fred Taylor still has not practiced this week due to his sprained knee and is very questionable to play. I am removing him from the projections and inserting Greg Jones as the more likely runner. He will be aided by Labrandon Toefield as well.

Pre-Game Notes - JAX

The Jaguars will get into the playoffs only with a win here, plus a loss by Denver and Baltimore.

Quarterback: Byron Leftwich passed medical tests on Monday which should allow him to play this weekend in a critical game. He was only slightly concussed reportedly and I am assuming that he will be playing.

Running Backs: Fred Taylor sat out last week with a sprained knee ligament but he may be able to play depending on practice Wednesday and Thursday. Greg Jones was ineffective last week since he only had nine carries for 38 yards and the Jags need Taylor to keep the sticks moving.

Wide Receivers: Jimmy Smith had been on a good roll for the last few weeks until the implosion last Sunday. He's been good for at least 80 yards a game or more when Leftwich is healthy. Troy Edwards remains only a bit player in most games.

Tight Ends: Not one score since week three.

Match Against the Defense: The Raiders have allowed at least 31 points in each of the last four games and two scores with good yardage is a lock for Leftwich if he is healthy. Taylor could also run well if he is healthy. The opportunity is all there, the only question is how healthy the important starters are for Jacksonville. They have to win this game - they will play if at all possible.

Pre-Game Notes - OAK

The Raiders come off a one point loss to the Chiefs and now realize there is no running game at all this season. This final week will be auditions for the wideouts for next season.

Quarterback: Kerry Collins has had some monster games this year but has also tumbled almost every time he faced a good secondary like this week. His last two tough defenses were Atlanta and Carolina and he was scoreless in both. Against bad secondaries he goes nuts.

Running Backs: The Raiders are using a mixture of four different runners and never allowing any to have enough carries to carry any fantasy value. Zack Crockett has scored in two of the last three games but has never rushed for more than 32 yards in any game this year.

Wide Receivers: Jerry Porter is likely playing out his final days as a Raider but he is making it count. He has eight scores in the last five games with two 100 yard efforts. Alvis Whitted scored last week on his only catch and the #3 Doug Gabriel only had one catch as well for 11 yards.

Tight Ends: Teyo Johnson had 52 yards last week and 49 yards and a score the previous game. He's making some noise, finally, late in the season to secure a role in 2005.

Match Against the Defense: The Jaguars rush defense is plenty good enough to stop what little the Raiders may try to do and it will be up to Collins. He'll be facing a secondary that has shut down most opponents to only one score and never more than two in the last seven games. Really all the Raiders have is Porter to cover and the Jaguars have enough to accomplish that. This game turns if the Jags are not healthy, otherwise the Raiders will be challenged to mount much offense.

JAX OAK 2004 Averages OAK JAX
Gains Allows QB's Gains Allows
211
262
Pass yards
258
228
1.1
2.0
Pass TDs
1.6
1.2
0.7
0.5
Interceptions
1.3
0.8
12
12
Rush yards
4
11
0.2
0.1
Rush TDs
0.0
0.1
---
---
RB's
---
---
105
115
Rush yards
72
96
0.3
1.2
Rush TDs
0.7
0.4
36
36
Receive yards
50
44
0.1
0.3
Receive TD's
0.0
0.1
---
---
WR's
---
---
149
179
Receive yards
170
151
0.8
0.9
Receive TD's
1.3
0.7
---
---
TE's
---
---
27
47
Receive yards
39
36
0.2
0.8
Receive TD's
0.3
0.3
---
---
PK's
---
---
1.5
1.0
Field Goals
1.5
1.2
1.3
3.5
Extra Points
2.1
1.9
---
---
DEF/ST
---
---
0.7
0.8
Fumbles
0.6
0.7
0.9
1.3
Interceptions
0.5
0.7
0.0
0.3
Touchdowns
0.1
0.4
2.3
1.8
Sacks
1.7
2.2
0.1
0.0
Safeties
0.1
0.0
Jaguars (8-7)
Score Opp.
13-10 @BUF
7-6 DEN
15-12 @TEN
17-24 IND
21-34 @SD
22-16 KC
27-24 @IND
6-20 @HOU
Week 9 bye
23-17 DET
15-18 TEN
16-27 @MIN
16-17 PIT
22-3 CHI
28-25 @GB
0-21 HOU
Week 17 @OAK
Raiders (6-9)
Score Opp.
21-24 @PIT
13-10 BUF
30-20 TB
17-30 @HOU
14-35 @IND
3-31 DEN
26-31 NO
14-42 @SD
27-24 @CAR
Week 10 bye
17-23 SD
25-24 @DEN
27-34 KC
10-35 @ATL
40-35 TEN
30-31 @KC
Week 17 JAX