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Ease of Fantasy Schedule - Quarterbacks
David Dorey
June 28, 2005
Quarterbacks | Running Backs | Wide Receivers / Tight Ends
2004 Fantasy Points Allowed to Opposing Quarterbacks
Best to Face Average Worst to Face
TM Allowed TM Allowed TM Allowed
KC 23.6 SD 18.3 TB 15.9
OAK 22.7 CAR 17.7 DEN 15.8
GB 20.9 JAX 17.6 MIA 14.7
MIN 20.5 STL 17.5 PHI 14.7
NO 19.4 SF 16.9 CLE 14.6
HOU 19.3 NE 16.7 ARZ 14.2
TEN 19.1 CIN 16.5 NYJ 14
DET 18.8 ATL 16.4 BUF 13.9
SEA 18.8 NYG 16.4 BAL 13.7
DAL 18.7 CHI 16.2 WAS 13.5
IND 18.6   PIT 13.3

The Ease of Fantasy Schedule (EOS) this year actually differs slightly between the Fantasy Football Handbook 2005 and this page. The reason - after examining it over and over I decided that using the weeks of three through sixteen would give a better indicator of how defenses fared (I used the final nine weeks in the Handbook excluding week 17). I also used the top and bottom 11 defenses as opposed to the ten I used in the Handbook.

The changes were almost non-existent in this position. The Colts squeaked in as an "Easy" defense which is appropriate while the Chargers remained as "average". There was only 0.3 points separating the Buccaneers and Bears, but I am comfortable with that delineation. These numbers are all purely what happened statistically from weeks three through sixteen in 2004 for quarterbacks.

One factor to remember - if the rushing game is going well and the team has the lead, then almost no quarterback will post big numbers since there is no need. Conversely, when a team is behind and the game is drawing to a close, the quarterback is guaranteed to be throwing. Only the extremes here really matter.

FULL SEASON: The Cardinals and Kurt Warner get the easiest schedule thanks primarily from having the least amount of bad match-ups. The Browns will be a big unknown this season and in their first season under HC Romeo Crennel, the offense will likely sputter anyway. Notable is that Marc Bulger and Donovan McNabb end up with the next best schedules - a definite fantasy consideration. The worst schedules belong to Kerry Collins and his new toy of Randy Moss and Tom Brady. This is not anything to be overly alarmed about for Brady - he has terrible schedules almost every year thanks to playing in the AFC East.

THE DOREY RULE / FIRST SIX WEEKS - The best schedules belong to Carson Palmer, Donovan McNabb and Marc Bulger. All three of those teams like to throw though McNabb would be affected if Owens continues his holdout. The slowest starts could well belong to A.J. Feeley (or Gus Frerotte) in Miami, then Trent Green and Chad Pennington. Combined with a tough rushing schedule, Green's bad start to the year could well end up depressing what has been great passing numbers every season in Kansas City.

FANTASY PLAYOFFS: Matt Hasselbeck gets two good match-ups and no tough defenses though the same is true for Shaun Alexander which may decrease the need for Hasselbeck to throw. Byron Leftwich goes against San Francisco, Indianapolis and Houston and if Taylor is still a problem for the running game, he may actually need to use that lighter schedule to notch the win. So long as Joey Harrington can hold off Jeff Garcia and make use of his triplets, he could surprise as well. The toughest schedules when you need them the most belongs to Kerry Collins, Tom Brady and Daunte Culpepper. In the case of Brady and Culpepper, the schedule has not bee a major factor anyway in the past.

Weeks 1 through 16 First Six Weeks - The Dorey Rule Weeks 14, 15 and 16
NFL
Team
EOS
Rank
Good
Games
Tough
Games
NFL
Team
EOS
Rank
Good
Games
Tough
Games
NFL
Team
EOS
Rank
Good
Games
Tough
Games
ARZ 3 6 3 CIN 2 3 1 DET 2 2 0
CLE 2 7 5 PHI 2 3 1 JAX 2 2 0
PHI 2 6 4 STL 2 3 1 SEA 2 2 0
STL 2 7 5 ATL 1 3 2 BAL 1 2 1
DET 1 6 5 CAR 1 3 2 CAR 1 2 1
IND 1 5 4 NO 1 2 1 IND 1 1 0
BAL 0 6 6 PIT 1 2 1 KC 1 1 0
CHI 0 6 6 WAS 1 3 2 NO 1 1 0
HOU 0 6 6 ARZ 0 1 1 SD 1 2 1
MIN 0 5 5 BAL 0 3 3 SF 1 1 0
PIT 0 5 5 CLE 0 2 2 TEN 1 2 1
TEN 0 6 6 NYG 0 2 2 ATL 0 1 1
WAS 0 5 5 OAK 0 2 2 CHI 0 1 1
ATL -1 6 7 SD 0 2 2 CLE 0 1 1
CAR -1 6 7 TB 0 3 3 DAL 0 1 1
GB -1 5 6 TEN 0 2 2 GB 0 1 1
JAX -1 6 7 BUF -1 2 3 HOU 0 1 1
NYG -1 6 7 CHI -1 2 3 MIA 0 1 1
SEA -1 4 5 DAL -1 1 2 NYJ 0 1 1
SF -1 5 6 DEN -1 1 2 PIT 0 1 1
TB -1 4 5 GB -1 2 3 STL 0 1 1
BUF -2 4 6 HOU -1 2 3 TB 0 0 0
CIN -2 6 8 IND -1 1 2 WAS 0 1 1
DEN -2 5 7 JAX -1 2 3 ARZ -1 1 2
NO -2 3 5 MIN -1 1 2 BUF -1 0 1
SD -2 6 8 NE -1 1 2 CIN -1 1 2
DAL -3 4 7 SEA -1 1 2 DEN -1 1 2
KC -4 4 8 SF -1 2 3 NYG -1 1 2
MIA -4 4 8 DET -2 1 3 PHI -1 0 1
NYJ -4 3 7 NYJ -3 1 4 MIN -2 0 2
NE -5 4 9 KC -4 1 5 NE -3 0 3
OAK -5 4 9 MIA -5 0 5 OAK -3 0 3

Best QB Schedules - Full Season

TEAM 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
ARI @NYG STL @SEA SF CAR BYE TEN @DAL SEA @DET @STL JAX @SF WAS @HOU PHI
CLE CIN @GB @IND BYE CHI @BAL DET @HOU TEN @PIT MIA @MIN JAX @CIN @OAK PIT
PHI @ATL SF OAK @KC @DAL BYE SD @DEN @WAS DAL @NYG GB SEA NYG @STL @ARZ
STL @SF @ARZ TEN @NYG SEA @IND NO JAX BYE @SEA ARZ @HOU WAS @MIN PHI SF

Worst QB Schedules - Full Season

TEAM 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
KC NYJ @OAK @DEN PHI BYE WAS @MIA @SD OAK @BUF @HOU NE DEN @DAL @NYG SD
MIA DEN @NYJ CAR BYE @BUF @TB KC @NO ATL NE @CLE @OAK BUF @SD NYJ TEN
NE OAK @CAR @PIT SD @ATL @DEN BYE BUF IND @MIA NO @KC NYJ @BUF TB @NYJ
NYJ @KC MIA JAX @BAL TB @BUF @ATL BYE SD @CAR @DEN NO @NE OAK @MIA NE
OAK @NE KC @PHI DAL BYE SD BUF @TEN @KC DEN @WAS MIA @SD @NYJ CLE @DEN

Best QB Schedules - First Six Weeks   Worst QB Schedules - First Six Weeks
     
TEAM 1 2 3 4 5 6
CIN @CLE MIN @CHI HOU @JAX @TEN
PHI @ATL SF OAK @KC @DAL BYE
STL @SF @ARZ TEN @NYG SEA @IND
 
TEAM 1 2 3 4 5 6
KC NYJ @OAK @DEN PHI BYE WAS
MIA DEN @NYJ CAR BYE @BUF @TB
NE OAK @CAR @PIT SD @ATL @DEN
NYJ @KC MIA JAX @BAL TB @BUF
OAK @NE KC @PHI DAL BYE SD

Best QB Schedules - Fantasy Playoffs   Worst QB Schedules - Fantasy Playoffs  
       
TEAM 14 15 16
DET @GB CIN @NO
JAX IND SF @HOU
SEA SF @TEN IND
 
TEAM 14 15 16
MIN STL PIT @BAL
NE @BUF TB @NYJ
OAK @NYJ CLE @DEN