fantasy football     JOIN THE HUDDLE    


Predictions & Projections
David Dorey
The Huddle
October 16, 2005
Season Ticket
Sun 1 PM Sun 1 PM Sun 1 PM Sun 4 PM Sun 8:30 PM
CAR at DET* MIA at TBB* Sun 4 PM On Bye: Mon 9 PM
CLE at BAL NYG at DAL* NYJ at BUF PHI, SF *Updated

Prediction: Washington 20, Kansas City 24

The Redskins finally fall from the ranks of the undefeated but not before making the Broncos sweat out a two point conversion. The Chiefs come in after a bye after having the Eagles teach them a lesson in putting away an opponent back in week four. This should be a great game that not only could go either way, but also the result will strongly point the winner in the direction they are heading this year.

Washington Redskins (3-1)
1 9-7 CHI 10 Nov 13 @TBB
2 14-13 @DAL 11 Nov 20 OAK
3 Open Bye 12 Nov 27 SDC
4 20-17 SEA 13 Dec 4 @STL
5 19-21 @DEN 14 Dec 11 @ARI
6 Oct 16 @KCC 15 Dec 18 DAL
7 Oct 23 SFO 16 Dec 24 NYG
8 Oct 30 @NYG 17 Jan 1 @PHI
9 Nov 6 PHI . MON SAT
WAS at KC Rush Catch Pass
QB Mark Brunell 0 0 250,2
RB Clinton Portis 80 20 0
TE Chris Cooley 0 50,1 0
WR Santana Moss 0 90,1 0
WR David Patten 0 50 0
WR James Thrash 0 30 0
PK NIck Novak 2 FG 2 XP -
Pregame Notes: The Skins come off their first loss of the year but losing by two points in Denver is hardly anything to be embarrassed about. Particularly when the Skins mounted yet another fourth quarter comeback that almost saw them tie the game. On the road for a second week, the Skins will need more of that "never quit" in Arrowhead. Worked wonders for the Eagles two weeks ago.

Quarterback: After stepping in for Patrick Ramsey in week one, Mark Brunell has breathed life into the Skins passing game and has thrown for two scores in all three games. His 322 yards against the Broncos was a season high for both teams and he's been perhaps the biggest surprise for the Redskins this season. He is doing what most thought could not be done - making a star out of Santana Moss.

Running Backs: Clinton Portis ran for 103 yards last week, the first time he has hit the century mark in Denver wearing another team's jersey and that makes his second 100 yard effort of this year. It was a homecoming for Portis last week that came complete with boos from the stands and even watching his old number 26 scoring two times for the Broncos. Less fun when someone else was wearing it though.

Portis has yet to score this year and when the team gets close to the goal line, they are more likely to throw a score to FB Mike Sellers or a tight end (four of the six team touchdowns this year).

Wide Receivers: Santana Moss had eight catches for 116 yards last week and his 458 yards ranks eighth best in the NFL - remarkable for a team that doesn't like to throw and that has only played four games this year. Moss has never had less than eight passes thrown at him and he was targeted 13 times in the last two games. David Patten had been a mere afterthought until last week and finally ended up with his best game by gaining 63 yards on seven catches - his previous high had only been 19 yards. Moss is still the key here and he must be covered to slow the Redskins passing game - something that hasn't really happened yet this year.

Tight Ends: Chris Cooley stepped up big time last week and had eight catches for 82 yards with one touchdown - his first of the season. Cooley had 61 yards in the previous game and is becoming a more reliable target for Brunell now, something that was needed given the one dimensional aspect of throwing to Santana Moss until last week.

Match Against the Defense: Portis goes against a defense that has not allowed a 100 yard rusher this season and only two rushing scores. Look for him to step down to a more moderate 80 yard range and of course, no scoring.

Where this game will hinge is how well Brunell continues to pass. The Chiefs were solid on defense until McNabb showed up and tore them apart and the secondary has allowed the primary receiver of opponents to have nice games - Owens, Randy Moss and Rod Smith. Look for a good game here from Moss who could turn in another big one if he ever gets behind the safety. Cooley also has a chance to do well against a team that has been hurt by the tight end in a couple of games that went against teams which used them. Baker (124 yards, 1 TD) and L.J. Smith (67 yards, 1 TD) showed there is a weakness there to exploit.

Kansas City Chiefs (2-2)
1 27-7 NYJ 10 Nov 13 @BUF
2 23-17 @OAK 11 Nov 20 @HOU
3 10-30 @DEN 12 Nov 27 NE
4 31-37 PHI 13 Dec 4 DEN
5 Open Bye 14 Dec 11 @DAL
6 Oct 16 WAS 15 Dec 17 @NYG
7 Oct 23 @MIA 16 Dec 24 SDC
8 Oct 30 @SDC 17 Jan 1 CIN
9 Nov 6 OAK . MON SAT
KCC vs WAS Rush Catch Pass
QB Trent Green 0 0 230,1
RB Priest Holmes 90,2 20 0
RB Larry Johnson 30 0 0
TE Tony Gonzalez 0 60,1 0
WR Eddie Kennison 0 80 0
WR Samie Parker 0 20 0
WR Dante Hall 0 40 0
PK Lawrence Tynes 1 FG 3 XP -

Pregame Notes: The Chiefs come off their bye week after losing their last two games. They had a big lead in the game against Philly before standing back and watching McNabb tear them apart and the blocking has been sub-standard lately without Willie Roaf in the line-up. The schedule is not kind to the Chiefs for the next month and a half - they have four road games out of six weeks. This week is non-conference and at home, but it is a must win with a game against the Chargers looming on the horizon.

Quarterback: It evidently takes losses for Trent Green to produce any fantasy numbers this season and in the last two games he had exactly 221 yards in each with a total of three scores. Green also threw two interceptions against the Eagles. Green has been hampered by the loss of Roaf and the general poor play of the offensive line with pass blocking. With Roaf back this week, it should not only help Green to resist the rush, but to find more targets.

Running Backs: The initial plan this season was to split duty between Priest Holmes and Larry Johnson but that notion has been shelved in the most recent weeks. Holmes had 32 carries in the last two games combined while Larry Johnson only had 15. Since his big week one, Johnson has never had more than nine carries in a game and no passes. Holmes is getting up to 18 carries and three or four passes per week. Johnson is still a prudent backup for Holmes, but the Chiefs seem to be moving more to using Johnson only for occasional relief work.

Wide Receivers: Eddie Kennison has been golden when the Chiefs are losing - he has two straight 100+ yard games now and scored once against the Eagles. He is getting very little help from the other wideouts. Dante Hall surprised in week four when he had four catches for 45 yards and one score but Samie Parker never recorded a single catch. Marc Boerigter had one catch for 38 yards against Philadelphia but there are no fantasy players for the Chiefs wideouts outside of Kennison. This will not be lost on opposing secondaries.

Tight Ends: Tony Gonzalez has been a major disappointment this season, catching only 16 passes for 129 yards over the course of four games and ever exceeding 51 yards which was back in week one. There is reason for optimism here though. The loss of Roaf had been involving Gonzalez more in the blocking scheme and should see him more common of a target for Green now that Roaf is expected to return.

Match Against the Defense: The recent success of Denver rushing against the Redskins gives hope that Holmes will turn in at least a decent game here if not a big one. Expect at least one rushing score with a chance for two and 80 yards should be the least he will do.

Green goes against a very good secondary and that should keep him with lower passing numbers. Expect an uptick in Gonzalez this week with the return of Roaf and for Kennison to have at least moderate yardage from the volume of passes he has been getting. Outside of that duo, no Chiefs receiver has shown enough to rely on in 2005.