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Predictions & Projections
David Dorey
The Huddle
December 7, 2005
Season Ticket
Sun 1 PM Sun 1 PM Sun 4 PM Sun 4 PM Sun 8:30 PM
CLE at CIN* OAK at NYJ SF at SEA MIA at SD* Mon 9 PM
IND at JAC TB at CAR BAL at DEN Updated* Times ET

Prediction: NY Giants 24, Philadelphia 6

The Giants won 27-17 when these teams met in week 11 in New York this season. But that was many players ago for the Eagles and the Giants are now cruising towards a division title. Think of what Seattle did last week against the Eagles. Now remember that the Giants and Seahawks played to a near tie.

Update: Mike McMahon has been named the starter so I have changed the projections to reflect the correct losing quarterback.

New York Giants (8-4)
1 42-19 ARI 10 21-24 MIN
2 27-10 @NOR 11 27-17 PHI
3 23-45 @SDC 12 21-24 @SEA
4 44-24 STL 13 17-10 DAL
5 Open Bye 14 Dec 11 @PHI
6 13-16 @DAL 15 Dec 17 KCC
7 24-23 DEN 16 Dec 24 @WAS
8 36-0 WAS 17 Dec 31 @OAK
9 24-6 @SFO . . SAT
NYG at PHI Rush Catch Pass
QB Eli Manning 0 0 200,2
RB Tiki Barber 70 10 0
RB Brandon Jacobs 20,1 0 0
TE Jeremy Shockey 0 50,1 0
WR Amani Toomer 0 50 0
WR Plaxico Burress 0 70,1 0
WR Tim Carter 0 10 0
PK Jay Feeley 1 FG 3 XP -
Pregame Notes: The win was not pretty but taking down the visiting Cowboys last week means that the Giants are in the lead for the division title and masters of their own fate. This week should be a cakewalk but one that can bring complete pleasure since the Eagles have been rather unkind to the Giants in years past. What comes around, goes around.

Quarterback: Eli Manning had 218 yards and three scores against the Eagles in week 11 but he comes off his first game without a score last week against Dallas. Manning has been rising up or dropping down in relation to the talent they face but this week should be one of the easier match-ups left on the schedule.

Running Backs: Tiki Barber ran for 112 yards on 21 carries in the previous meeting with the Eagles. He predictably had 115 yards last week against Dallas because Barber always plays well at home. Always. But on the road he has been far less effective other than the one meeting in Seattle two weeks ago that took 26 runs to gain 151 yards with no scores. Otherwise, he has been staying at 70 yards or less on the road all season long.

Wide Receivers: Plaxico Burress gained 113 yards and one touchdown against the Eagles this year while Amani Toomer had 56 yards and also scored. With Barber usually less successful running in a road game, the wideouts will need to remain as productive in this repeat game.

Tight Ends: Jeremy Shockey only had 20 yards last week but unlike Barber, he always does better on the road than at home. Shockey only had one catch for one yard in the previous meeting with the Eagles but it was a touchdown and he was pretty banged up that week. He'll be a much bigger factor this week.

Match Against the Defense: The Eagles at home have been great against the run and Barber has generally faltered away from New York. This game could end up like last week with Seattle and Philly, so the run may continue to exist but use Derrick Ward or Brandon Jacobs, particularly in the second half. Expect just a moderate game from Barber.

Look for at least one score by Manning and possibly two or more if the game remains remotely close. That favors Shockey and Burress here in this replay.

Philadelphia Eagles (5-7)
1 10-14 @ATL 10 20-21 DAL
2 42-3 SFO 11 17-27 @NYG
3 23-20 OAK 12 19-14 GBP
4 37-31 @KCC 13 0-42 SEA
5 10-33 @DAL 14 Dec 11 NYG
6 Open Bye 15 Dec 18 @STL
7 20-17 SDC 16 Dec 24 @ARI
8 21-49 @DEN 17 Jan 1 WAS
9 10-17 @WAS . MON SAT
PHI vs NYG Rush Catch Pass
QB Mike McMahon 0 0 130
RB Ryan Moats 50 10 0
RB Lamar Gordon 20 10 0
TE L.J. Smith 0 40 0
WR Greg Lewis 0 10 0
WR Reggie Brown 0 40 0
WR Billy McMullen 0 10 0
PK David Akers 2 FG 0 XP -

Pregame Notes: Now the Eagles have lost Brian Westbrook and when you remove the quarterback (McNabb), running back (Westbrook) and wideout (Owens) from a team that is predicated on complicated timing patterns and plays, the results will likely resemble a Chinese fire drill at the Braille Institute. At least now the Eagles do not have to pretend they have a competitive team anymore. You can rah-rah all you want about the importance of fielding a team regardless, but if the Eagles were a car they no longer have the right tires, engine or steering wheel.

Quarterback: Mike McMahon threw for 298 yards and one score while running for 31 yards and another touchdown in week 11 against the Giants. It was his first start of the season and his only effort over 100 passing yards. The Eagles are likely to opt for Koy Detmer this week since McMahon has looked so bad. No guarantee both are not used this week either.

Running Backs: With Westbrook gone, the rookie Ryan Moats likely moves into the starting role but Lamar Gordon and even Reno Mahe remain available. Moats ran for only 26 yards on ten carries last week. This will be a trial by fire for the rookie Moats and it is truly a shame that his playing time could not come with the real Philadelphia Eagles.

Wide Receivers: Quarterback change or not, just little happening here and likely even less this week. Both Greg Lewis and Reggie Brown seem like possible fantasy starts since the Eagles will need to throw on virtually every play but Lewis ended with only one catch last week and Brown had just three receptions for 27 yards.

Reggie Brown caught three passes for 88 yards and a score in the previous game against the Giants. Lewis had 64 yards on three catches as well in that game.

Tight Ends: If anyone benefits from this change, and probably no one will, L.J. Smith was the most used target last week and could become a badly needed outlet for Detmer or McMahon but even Smith was dropping passes last week.

L.J. Smith had 84 yards on seven receptions against the Giants in week 11.

Match Against the Defense: Now that the dismantling is complete, what happens for the rest of the season is very hard to calculate other than it will not be good and it will not likely have any reliable, significant fantasy points.