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Ease of Schedule - Running Backs
David Dorey
November 15, 2006
Defenses versus Running Backs
Good Allow Avg Allow Bad Allow
SF 29.1 TB 23.2 DAL 16.4
NYJ 28.6 PHI 22.7 CAR 16.3
CIN 27.1 SEA 22.2 NE 16.2
BUF 27.0 GB 21.6 DEN 15.8
DET 26.0 KC 21.6 MIA 15.8
STL 25.9 NO 21.1 ATL 15.5
IND 25.8 OAK 21.0 NYG 15.3
HOU 24.0 SD 20.8 CHI 15.1
ARI 23.8 CLE 20.3 BAL 12.4
TEN 23.6 WAS 18.2 MIN 12.0
    PIT 18.1    
    JAX 17.0    

Using the actual results from weeks three to ten of the 2006 season against what was allowed to opposing running backs, the remaining schedule was compared against the top 10 and worst 10 defenses for allowing fantasy points.

The table to the right shows the fantasy points allowed to opposing teams for all running backs in that game and are the actual results.

A "Good" game was when the team faced an opposing defense that was in the top 10 for allowing fantasy points. A "Bad" game was when that team faced an opposing defense that was in the ten defenses that allowed the least amount of fantasy points.

These rankings are highly skewed by even one very good or very bad game, so use some wisdom in addition to considering the results. As with all such reviews, the most important findings are the extremes as they will change less as the season progresses and it is generally more important to not face a tough ("bad") defense than it is to go against an easy defense ("good"). Most of your starters are going to be among the best at their postion, so the biggest question is if they will be limited by opposing defenses.

Three different views are given below - Weeks 11 to 13 show what players will go against during the "regular" season in most fantasy leagues to indicate which player may help (or hurt) your efforts to reach the playoffs. Weeks 14 through 16 are shown as that reflects the playoff period in most fantasy leagues. For leagues using total points without a playoff system, weeks 11 to 16 indicate what can be currently expected from team schedules for the rest of the season.

Weeks 11 to 13 (Regular Season) Weeks 14, 15 and 16 (Playoffs) Weeks 11 to 16 (Rest of Season)
  EOS Good Bad   EOS Good Bad   EOS Good Bad
HOU 2 2 0 CHI 2 2 0 OAK 3 3 0
BUF 1 1 0 DEN 2 2 0 HOU 3 4 1
CAR 1 1 0 IND 2 2 0 DEN 2 2 0
CLE 1 1 0 MIN 2 2 0 SF 2 2 0
OAK 1 1 0 OAK 2 2 0 BUF 2 3 1
SF 1 1 0 SEA 2 2 0 IND 2 3 1
ARZ 1 2 1 TEN 2 2 0 SEA 2 3 1
NO 1 2 1 SF 1 1 0 TEN 2 3 1
PHI 1 2 1 WAS 1 1 0 ARZ 1 3 2
STL 1 2 1 BUF 1 2 1 CHI 1 3 2
DEN 0 0 0 GB 1 2 1 GB 1 3 2
BAL 0 1 1 HOU 1 2 1 MIA 1 3 2
DAL 0 1 1 JAX 1 2 1 MIN 1 3 2
GB 0 1 1 MIA 1 2 1 BAL 0 1 1
IND 0 1 1 BAL 0 0 0 CLE 0 1 1
MIA 0 1 1 ARZ 0 1 1 NE 0 2 2
NE 0 1 1 CIN 0 1 1 STL 0 2 2
NYG 0 1 1 NE 0 1 1 JAX 0 3 3
NYJ 0 1 1 CLE -1 0 1 CAR -1 1 2
SD 0 1 1 DAL -1 0 1 CIN -1 1 2
SEA 0 1 1 KC -1 0 1 DAL -1 1 2
TEN 0 1 1 NYG -1 0 1 NYG -1 1 2
ATL -1 0 1 SD -1 0 1 SD -1 1 2
CIN -1 0 1 STL -1 0 1 WAS -1 1 2
KC -1 0 1 NYJ -1 1 2 NO -1 2 3
PIT -1 0 1 ATL -2 0 2 NYJ -1 2 3
TB -1 0 1 CAR -2 0 2 PHI -1 2 3
CHI -1 1 2 DET -2 0 2 KC -2 0 2
DET -1 1 2 NO -2 0 2 ATL -3 0 3
JAX -1 1 2 PHI -2 0 2 PIT -3 0 3
MIN -1 1 2 PIT -2 0 2 TB -3 0 3
WAS -2 0 2 TB -2 0 2 DET -3 1 4

Week - By - Week

  11 12 13 14 15 16  
ARI DET @MIN @STL SEA DEN @SF ARI
ATL @BAL NO @WAS @TB DAL CAR ATL
BAL ATL PIT @CIN @KC CLE @PIT BAL
BUF @HOU JAX SD @NYJ MIA TEN BUF
CAR STL @WAS @PHI NYG PIT @ATL CAR
CHI @NYJ @NE MIN @STL TB @DET CHI
CIN @NO @CLE BAL OAK @IND @DEN CIN
CLE PIT CIN KC @PIT @BAL TB CLE
DAL IND TB @NYG NO @ATL PHI DAL
DEN SD @KC SEA @SD @ARZ CIN DEN
DET @ARZ MIA @NE MIN @GB CHI DET
GB NE @SEA NYJ @SF DET MIN GB
HOU BUF @NYJ @OAK TEN @NE IND HOU
IND @DAL PHI @TEN @JAX CIN @HOU IND
JAX NYG @BUF @MIA IND @TEN NE JAX
KC OAK DEN @CLE BAL @SD @OAK KC
MIA MIN @DET JAX NE @BUF NYJ MIA
MIN @MIA ARZ @CHI @DET NYJ @GB MIN
NE @GB CHI DET @MIA HOU @JAX NE
NO CIN @ATL SF @DAL WAS @NYG NO
NYG @JAX @TEN DAL @CAR PHI NO NYG
NYJ CHI HOU @GB BUF @MIN @MIA NYJ
OAK @KC @SD HOU @CIN STL KC OAK
PHI TEN @IND CAR @WAS @NYG @DAL PHI
PIT @CLE @BAL TB CLE @CAR BAL PIT
SD @DEN OAK @BUF DEN KC @SEA SD
SEA @SF GB @DEN @ARZ SF SD SEA
SF SEA @STL @NO GB @SEA ARZ SF
STL @CAR SF ARZ CHI @OAK WAS STL
TB WAS @DAL @PIT ATL @CHI @CLE TB
TEN @PHI NYG IND @HOU JAX @BUF TEN
WAS @TB CAR ATL PHI @NO @STL WAS