This cheat sheet is for a 12-team, $200 salary cap auction with a starting lineup of one QB, two RBs, three WRs, one TE, one K, one DEF, and seven reserves (16 total). Note that the top 192 players (12 teams x 16 players) add up to $2400 (12 teams x $200 cap). Scoring system is: 10 yards rush/rec = 20 yards passing = 1 point, rush/rec TDs = 6 points, passing TDs = 4 points, interceptions thrown = -2 points, and standard K and DEF scoring. QB stats are given in passing yards-TDs-INTs (e.g. 3476-25-13) and RB, WR, and TE stats are given in total yards-TDs (e.g. 1647-18).
| Rank |
Name |
Pos |
Value |
Comments |
| 1 |
Larry Johnson |
RB |
$73 |
Will likely go at the top of most drafts. O-Line returns (albeit a year older) and new HC Herman Edwards loves to run. Most people expect at least 1,800-20+; so he won't go under $70. |
| 2 |
Shaun Alexander |
RB |
$72 |
Can you believe that in the last five years, he hasn't missed a game and his worst fantasy season was a 1635-18 romp in '02? (Seriously, look it up.) With a big new contract in hand and Hutchinson in Minnesota, is this the year Alexander finally disappoints? At least four guys in your league don't think so, so don't expect a discount on this Clydesdale. |
| 3 |
LaDainian Tomlinson |
RB |
$71 |
Although clearly a top back with huge rushing and receiving (and passing) potential, LT's wildcard is young Philip Rivers taking over at QB. LT2 still did very well even before Brees came around, but he did wear down at the end of '04 and '05. Ah, who are we kidding? Anything less than 1800-15 would be disappointing. |
| 4 |
Clinton Portis |
RB |
$54 |
A bit of a boom or bust candidate. New OC Saunders may ignite Portis to huge numbers a la Priest and Larry; but a shaky QB situation and more offensive weapons may limit Portis. Note the $17 drop between the three and four spots. |
| 5 |
Tiki Barber |
RB |
$53 |
Do-it-all back who appears to get better with age. Should post very good rushing and receiving yardage. TDs may be a little tougher to come by with bruiser Jacobs in the mix. Tough 2006 schedule may spook some owners, but don't expect him to fall out of the top 6. |
| 6 |
Edgerrin James |
RB |
$51 |
Patient, strong runner who will benefit from stud WRs. Biggest question mark is how the o-line will block for him. He's been so good for so long, though, so you have to lean towards him making it happen. |
| 7 |
Steven Jackson |
RB |
$48 |
Strong runner who should benefit from the arrival of Linehan. If given 20+ carries a game (as promised), he will post very good numbers. 1,600 total yards and 12-14 TDs are reasonable expectations. |
| 8 |
Carnell Williams |
RB |
$47 |
Is he the back who was fast out of the gates in 2005 with three straight 100-yard games? Or the one who missed two games and was limited in others? Only one of his six 100-yard games came against a top 10 rush defense; but the kid's got upside. And boy, do people love upside. |
| 9 |
Ronnie Brown |
RB |
$46 |
Feature back in Miami with Ricky in the CFL, so he should post solid numbers. Strong runner and receiver who is also involved in the passing game. If Saban takes the Dolphins to the next level as many expect, we might see a season-long coming out party for the next great fantasy back. What did we just say about upside? |
| 10 |
Rudi Johnson |
RB |
$46 |
Strong second half may inflate his value. Auburn product should continue to develop and top 1,200 yards and 10 TDs. Health of Palmer's knee can impact his value positively or negatively. That risk and a tough schedule will keep his price in the 10-15 range. |
| 11 |
LaMont Jordan |
RB |
$46 |
A new HC, a new QB, and a potentially healthy Randy Moss all make the crystal ball a bit hazy, so it's tough to get a read on Jordan. Still, he's a versatile back who should be even more productive in 2006. More valuable in PPR leagues. |
| 12 |
Steve Smith |
WR |
$41 |
Biggest question is, can he adjust if teams scheme him like the Seahawks did in the playoffs? Smith fans say Keyshawn's arrival answers this question, but 2005 may still prove to have been a career year. Regardless, the short guys in your league will probably push his value into the $35-$40 range. |
| 13 |
Torry Holt |
WR |
$40 |
Might be this year's top WR after all is said and done. Consistent production over the last six years, big play WR, and in a great offense - all without off-the-field baggage. Topped 1300 yards and scored 9 TDs in nine different games (which is what you want), despite missing two with a knee injury. A #1 fantasy WR anyone can be proud of. |
| 14 |
Domanick Davis |
RB |
$40 |
His price will be kept in the mid-$30s because of health concerns and the big step back Houston's offense took from '04 to '05 (from 5128 yards and 37 TDs to 4053 yards and 26 TDs). Hope does spring eternal with the addition of new HC Gary Kubiak, the OC that churned out stud RBs in Denver from '95 to '05. Could be another 1800-14 season (remember '04?), but could just as easily be another injury marred 1300-6 (remember '05?). A knee injury is limiting him even in June, but we're still leaning towards a return to glory. Just factor the risk in when deciding on buying. |
| 15 |
Terrell Owens |
WR |
$39 |
Arguably the NFL's best player, as well as its biggest headcase. Could post 1,400+ yards and 16+ TDs or could meltdown and leave owners wondering why they wanted him in the first place. You always hear about NFL GMs drafting first round talent in the 2nd or 3rd round because of character issues? This is your fantasy equivalent. |
| 16 |
Brian Westbrook |
RB |
$38 |
Despite limited touches, he always seems to produce. Should be more involved with Owens out of the mix, especially if Reid follows through with his promise to run more. 1,500 total yards and 9-11 TDs seem possible, but injury risk is a concern. |
| 17 |
Willis McGahee |
RB |
$38 |
Did you know he ran for almost 1,300 yards last year? High expectations and a low TD count led to his bust label in 2005; but he would make a great #2 if other owners undervalue him. |
| 18 |
Marvin Harrison |
WR |
$37 |
Simply one of the best, most consistent WRs in the game. At least 1,200+ yards and 10+ TDs should be a lock. Edge going to Phoenix might mean more balls thrown his way, but it could also mean a hit to the offense as a whole. We wouldn't worry too much about it, so he's definitely worth top-5 WR money. |
| 19 |
Chad Johnson |
WR |
$35 |
Success will depend on Palmer's health but should be considered a top 5 WR in all formats. Size, speed, and hands make him a strong #1 WR. Plus you'll have a season full of quotes like this one (CJ's take on Big Ben): “If you're going to ride a bike, ride it the right way. Don't speed. Do it for enjoyment. I don't ride anything. I just talk trash. That's it.” |
| 20 |
Randy Moss |
WR |
$35 |
Has been hurt the last couple of years and detractors worry it's a trend. We think it's a little too early to call him injury prone, so we'll give him one more year. Oakland's suspect D could mean lots of passing, but Aaron Brooks is a bit of a question mark. |
| 21 |
Julius Jones |
RB |
$33 |
Our highest ranking member of a potential RBBC, Jones will produce like a #1 back if he can stay healthy and keep Marion Barber at bay. Barber, however, was electrifying in relief last year. He'll probably take some touches away, limiting JJ's upside. (We're ballparking a 70/30 split; but no one really knows.) T.O.'s effect on the rushing numbers is also a bit of a wildcard (could be good, could be bad). |
| 22 |
Hines Ward |
WR |
$32 |
I was predicting a big step forward for the Steelers' passing game, until The Accident. Still, Big Ben should be fine and the two best and most consistent players on offense are Roethlisberger and Ward. Cowher will lean on them heavily this year; so I'm going out on a limb and calling it a 1300-10 season for Ward. |
| 23 |
Larry Fitzgerald |
WR |
$32 |
Very consistent performer in 2005 (12 games of 70+ yards and scored in 10 different games). With Edge in town, however, don't expect another 1400-10 season. 1200 and 8 should be a lock; but Warner going down for an extended period of time would severely deflate Fitz's value. |
| 24 |
Peyton Manning |
QB |
$30 |
Will be the top ranked fantasy QB in virtually everyone's board. Improved D, however, will mean less shoot-outs, so a return to 2004 numbers is unlikely. Edge's departure has people paying 35+ TD money for Peyton, but he only threw 26 and 27 in the two years James was hurt and/or ineffective. I'll grant him the highest floor of all the QBs (by far); but people are still overpaying for him. It's a very deep QB field, so don't bid on Manning unless he's going well below his $38 AAV. |
| 25 |
Anquan Boldin |
WR |
$29 |
1,400 yards in 14 starts — not too shabby. As with Fitzgerald, don't expect another 1400 yard season with Edge in town. A better running game limits the Arizona WRs' upside, but lessens their risk considerably. 1100-8 also seems reasonable. |
| 26 |
Reggie Wayne |
WR |
$29 |
The last couple of years, he has been teasing people that he'll take over the #1 WR role in Indy, but he took a step back last year with Manning's TD total going down from 49 to 28. The second best #2 WR in the game, so 1100-8 seems more than reasonable. |
| 27 |
Jamal Lewis |
RB |
$29 |
Was 2005 an aberration or a sign of things to come? Rehabbing and training in the pen can't be that easy, so Jamal has some upside this year. You should, however, temper expectations because of the Ravens' questionable offense and not-as-great-as-it-used-to-be defense. Steve McNair signing with the Ravens gives him a bit of an upgrade. |
| 28 |
Chris Chambers |
WR |
$28 |
Strong second half in 2005 suggests continued production in 2006. Addition of Culpepper should also help overall numbers. Upside is gigantic, but half a season isn't enough to put him in the elite bracket quite yet. |
| 29 |
Willie Parker |
RB |
$28 |
Very inconsistent in 2005. In four big games last year, averaged 145 total yards and scored 4 TDs. In the other 12, however, averaged 70 total yards and scored only twice. The speedster's TD total will, however, likely improve with the Bus retiring. Staley is getting pretty long in the tooth, Verron Hayes seems more like a 3rd round back, and a RB wasn't drafted until the 7th round — so Fast Willie P definitely has some upside. |
| 30 |
Chester Taylor |
RB |
$28 |
New HC Childress brought Taylor in to be the Vikes' version of Brian Westbrook. Addition of Pro Bowlers FB Tony Richardson and OG Steve Hutchinson should make life easier for Taylor. Another guy who hasn't had the opportunity, but slides into a great situation in Minneapolis. Mewelde Moore might be a decent handcuff for him. |
| 31 |
Plaxico Burress |
WR |
$27 |
A little inconsistent in '05, but poised to breakout this year. Second year in NY offense and should benefit from Eli's continued development. |
| 32 |
Corey Dillon |
RB |
$26 |
Yardage was down last year but still found pay dirt 13 times. Addition of Maroney a concern but should still be a quality #2 back. Make sure you handcuff them if you can. |
| 33 |
Tatum Bell |
RB |
$26 |
RBBC? Probably. Or Shanahan might suit up the groundskeeper and turn him into The Next Great Denver Back. Either way, Bell's worth taking a chance on if the price is right. He's still considered by many to be the best back in Denver, after all. Explosive, but his ypc takes a nose dive after his 10th carry, going from 6.2 in his first 10 to 2.9 in 11+. For what it's worth, Bell claims he just needs more touches for that to even out. This is definitely a make or break season for him. |
| 34 |
Antonio Gates |
TE |
$26 |
Only question mark is the QB position. Can Rivers get him the ball? That's the bottom line for this guy. His numbers will undoubtedly take a hit, but he's still considered the top TE in FF. |
| 35 |
Warrick Dunn |
RB |
$25 |
Usually underappreciated, but averaged over 1500 total yards and hasn't missed a start in the last two years. Lack of TDs hurts his upside, but he'll probably be undervalued in your auction because people are suckers for upside. |
| 36 |
Reggie Bush |
RB |
$24 |
Bush's value is a tug of war between his 'Michael Jordan' draft label and his RBBC situation with Deuce McAllister and the big contract Deuce signed in '05. The Saints' offensive line is also a concern. I'm pretty sure someone will be willing to pay more for him than I am in every league I'm in, which is fine by me. |
| 37 |
Kevin Jones |
RB |
$24 |
Weak 2005 drops his value. Hurt most of the year, he should improve in 2006 and could get a boost from new OC Martz. The next Faulk? Probably not, but he may surprise. We doubt it, so don't overspend. |
| 38 |
Darrell Jackson |
WR |
$23 |
Very consistent when he played last year. If he can put his knee injury behind him, he should be good for the usual 1,100 yards and 7-9 scores. |
| 39 |
Joey Galloway |
WR |
$23 |
Many people think his resurgence in '05 is a one-year-wonder type of thing, but I give credit to Jon Gruden. Galloway actually started doing very well towards the end of '04, when he scored five TDs in the last five games. That would be 15 TDs in his last 21 games, so he should be a lock for 1,100 yards and 7-9 scores. |
| 40 |
Tom Brady |
QB |
$22 |
With a defense that no longer dominates, the Patriots will have to throw more (which is great news for Brady). He might not reach his 4110-26 numbers in 2005, but 3,600+ yards and 25 TDs should be his floor. You could definitely do a lot worse. |
| 41 |
Carson Palmer |
QB |
$22 |
Was the top candidate to take best FF QB honors from Peyton, until his knee injury against the Steelers in the playoffs. He should be back to 100% early in the season, at which point you can expect similar game-to-game numbers to 2005. |
| 42 |
Eli Manning |
QB |
$21 |
Continues to develop and should have even better grasp of the offense in 2006. Multiple receiving options (Burress, Shockey, Barber) will help. His current AAV puts him as the #2 QB, which is surprising. It shows that there's a good chance two people in your league will really like him and get into a bidding war over him. Eli should do well, but I don't know if I would pay for it. You can probably find a better ROI elsewhere. |
| 43 |
Reuben Droughns |
RB |
$20 |
As long as off the field issues don't linger he should have another 1,000+ yard season, especially with the addition of former Saints All-Pro center LeCharles Bentley, whom some consider to be the best center in the NFL. Reuben has to get more than 2 TDs this year, right? |
| 44 |
DeShaun Foster |
RB |
$20 |
Likely starter in 2006 is somewhat brittle, so draft with caution. Fox likes to run, so Foster could be in for a big year if he starts 16 games. That said, drafting DeAngelo Williams in the first round makes it look like a committee. Another one of those RBBC hand-cuff teams. |
| 45 |
Roy Williams |
WR |
$19 |
Perfect example of a lower-tier guy with #1 upside. Talented WR should benefit from new OC Martz. 8 TDs in 11 starts in '04, then another 8 TDs in 12 starts in '05 hints at his potential. Martz makes him a trendy sleeper pick, though, so you probably won't get him for cheap. |
| 46 |
Deuce McAllister |
RB |
$19 |
Value dips due to severe knee injury in 2005 and addition of Bush. He should, however, still get the goal-line carries and some of the work between the 20s, giving him a ceiling of serviceable #2 RB numbers. If the the knee is an issue, however, you'll see how ugly his floor can be. |
| 47 |
Santana Moss |
WR |
$18 |
Talented WR had great overall numbers in 2005, but was fairly inconsistent, going 492-7 in 3 games and 991-2 in the other 13. He likely won't surprise defenses this year and will have to share the ball more with the addition of Brandon Lloyd and Antwaan Randle El (as well as the emergence of Chris Cooley). |
| 48 |
Matt Hasselbeck |
QB |
$18 |
Playing a hunch teams will focus on Alexander and force Hasselbeck to beat them in 2006 which will mean big yardage and TD production. Shaun can't score another 28, can he? |
| 49 |
Tony Gonzalez |
TE |
$17 |
Former Cal Great has dominated the fantasy TE market since '99, but suffered a precipitous drop in production last year. Despite only 2 TDs, he still did go for over 900 yards. He's still a consensus top 3 TE, though, so getting him in the mid-teens would be a bargain. |
| 50 |
Donovan McNabb |
QB |
$17 |
Decent #1 QB option. Stats will suffer with TO gone, but they should still be respectable. He didn't run at all last year because of the hernia; but he will still probably run a lot less than he used to. He'll definitely want to prove some things on the field, but his supporting cast is a bit shaky. |
| 51 |
Joe Horn |
WR |
$17 |
The good? Averaged 1258-9 from '00 to '04 and now has Reggie Bush opening things up for him. The bad? Had an abysmal 654-1 in '05, has a new QB to adjust to (although some would say this is a good thing), and he's now 34 years old. |
| 52 |
Javon Walker |
WR |
$16 |
Another guy coming back from injury and learning a new offense. Don't reach for him because he probably won't be back to form until '07. |
| 53 |
Jeremy Shockey |
TE |
$16 |
Top 3 or 4 TE. Balanced offense will give him plenty of opportunities. Many people love the Giants offense this year, with Eli's development, so Shockey won't come cheap. |
| 54 |
Thomas Jones |
RB |
$16 |
Skipping 'voluntary' workouts now has Jones #2 on the depth chart. With Benson's #1 money, he was going to be given every chance to win and keep the top job anyway. Fwiw, reports out of camp is that Benson looks very good. We're guessing a 60-40 split, but it's still a little too early to really know how much and to whom. The Bears D is top shelf, though, so there will be a lot of carries to go around. |
| 55 |
Dominic Rhodes |
RB |
$16 |
Likely to start the season as the #1 RB for the Colts, but will definitely share carries with 1st round draft pick Joseph Addai. His only chance for greatness is if Addai turns into a J.J. Arrington-esque bust. |
| 56 |
Joseph Addai |
RB |
$16 |
Some people are banking on Addai taking the top job in Indy, making him a pretty sexy pick in some circles (the old “they didn't draft him in the first round to be a backup” argument). I'm guessing a 50/50 split, but it's too early to really know. |
| 57 |
Ron Dayne |
RB |
$15 |
Most people not in NY are convinced that Dayne will be the Mike Anderson (12 TDs in '05) of 2006. Giants fans will tell you Dayne is a bum who will definitely give way to Bell. You make the call. |
| 58 |
Marc Bulger |
QB |
$15 |
Huge upside if the Rams can keep him healthy. Great weapons (Holt, Bruce, Curtis, and Jackson) and new Coach should help. |
| 59 |
Andre Johnson |
WR |
$14 |
A consensus preseason top 12 WR last year, he killed his owners with a 688-2 effort. The addition of Moulds and Kubiak, however, should improve his stats across the board. |
| 60 |
Donald Driver |
WR |
$14 |
Quietly put up 1,221 yards (8th in the NFL) in 2005. Now how many of those 29 drive-killing interceptions would have led to Driver TDs? They were probably the reason Driver only scored 5 last year. Expect a bounce-back year from Ye Olde Gunslinger (otherwise, why return?), which makes Driver one of those guys flying under the radar with good upside. |
| 61 |
Michael Vick |
QB |
$14 |
Is this the year the West Coast Offense finally clicks for him? Maybe, maybe not, but his rushing numbers always seem to put him ranked around 7-10 when the season is done. His reputation for inconsistency knocks him down a few slots, though. |
| 62 |
Alge Crumpler |
TE |
$13 |
Vick's favorite target and good second tier TE. Finds open space and produces yardage and TDs. Could take a major step up if Vick improves his passing, but most people don't expect that to happen any time soon. |
| 63 |
Koren Robinson |
WR |
$13 |
Rebounded from his alcohol issues and showed flashes of his potential in 2005. Made it to the Pro Bowl as a kick returner last year — how close does that make him to qualifying as a WR? Now the #1 WR for the Vikings, he should be a good #2 WR option with decent upside. Stay sober, Koren! The drink isn't worth it! |
| 64 |
Frank Gore |
RB |
$12 |
More upside than Barlow, he should benefit from the addition of guard Larry Allen and OC Norv Turner. Norv's RB-Guru reputation will have the historians in your league wanting this guy. Remember, though, we are still talking about the 49ers, so don't go crazy. |
| 65 |
T.J. Houshmandzadeh |
WR |
$12 |
Some might remember T.J. hitting a hot streak in weeks 12-15, when he averaged 87 yards and scored 5 TDs. In the other 12 games, however, he averaged only 51 yards and scored twice. Still, 956-7 in the end isn't bad, and there's always a possibility of him getting better. Palmer's health adds some risk and Chad Johnson's shadow lessens his upside. |
| 66 |
Eddie Kennison |
WR |
$11 |
After not breaking the 1K-yard mark for nine years, the veteran quietly put up 1086-8 in '04 and then 1102-5 in '05. Consider him a #3 WR who will neither disappoint nor excite you. |
| 67 |
DeAngelo Williams |
RB |
$10 |
Despite getting drafted 3 spots ahead of Joseph Addai, Addai is the rookie people like the most after Bush. Carolina did give Foster a good contract and maybe he has accomplished more things more recently than Rhodes, but it makes you wonder. Regardless, this will probably be an RBBC, so DeAngelo's upside will be tied to Foster's health, which has been far from reliable.c |
| 68 |
Ahman Green |
RB |
$10 |
Ahman Green's 20-TD career year in 2003 seems so long ago, doesn't it? Green Bay looked horrible last year, but Samkon Gado still put up decent numbers down the stretch. If Ahman is healthy and keeps the #1 job (both big Ifs), then there's reason for hope. |
| 69 |
Deion Branch |
WR |
$10 |
Not overly consistent but a shaky #2 / great #3 fantasy WR option. 1,000 yards and 5-7 TDs are realistic. Recent 'unexcused' absence from camp is a bit of a worry. |
| 70 |
Drew Bledsoe |
QB |
$10 |
If he can go 3600-23 without TO, what can he do with him? It's worth noting that he was pretty inconsistent last year — mixing three 3-TD games with five games where he didn't throw for a TD or threw one TD and 2+ picks. Also worth noting that TO made Jeff Garcia a top 3 fantasy QB and gave McNabb a career year. |
| 71 |
Cedric Benson |
RB |
$9 |
If Jones continues to pout Benson will be the starter in 2006. Based on past Bears RB production he would be a quality #3 and possibly a #2 RB. |
| 72 |
Laurence Maroney |
RB |
$9 |
Great keeper option, as he should start by '07. Incumbent starter Corey Dillon supposedly looks good in camp, but he's getting old and has had a lot of punishing touches in his career. If Dillon goes down for any length of time or is ineffective, Maroney's value skyrockets. There's some concern, however, over Maroney's ability to pass protect, which could limit his playing time. |
| 73 |
Jake Delhomme |
QB |
$9 |
Usually underrated and a bit of a gunslinger (16 INT's in 2005), but produces. He's throwing to the best WR in the NFL, recently picked up a decent #2 option in Keyshawn Johnson, and will get help from 1st round RB DeAngelo Williams. It's worth noting that Delhomme threw for 323 yards, 3 TDs, and no picks in Super Bowl XXXVIII, against the New England Dynasty no less. Panthers lost, of course, but you still want that kind of thing to be on your QB's resume. Perfect example of that lower-tier guy who's got upside that I like to target. I'll be shocked if he doesn't break into the top 12 this year. |
| 74 |
Ben Roethlisberger |
QB |
$15 |
Recent motorcycle accident clouds his immediate future, but reports have been very positive. Should be 100% by week 1, but difficult to say how missing so much time will affect his play. Regardless, the Steelers should pass more this year because their best two players on offense are at QB and WR and old warhorse Jerome Bettis is out to pasture. I think he will surprise and finish ranked around 8-12 in fantasy production. |
| 75 |
Jake Plummer |
QB |
$9 |
Had pretty modest 3366-18-7 season last year and didn't add as much on the ground as you'd expect (151 yards, 2 TDs) from the Snake. Still, mistake-free ball on a rushing team (Troy Aikman?) will get you solid if not spectacular numbers. That's probably why I think he's a little underrated these days. People see his floor to be pretty low, but they forget the 4089-27-20 season he had in '04. Can he put together '04 yards and TDs with '05 picks? You won't have to pay much to find out. |
| 76 |
Kurt Warner |
QB |
$9 |
Has two of the best WRs in the game to throw to, and one of the best all-around RBs in the league backing him up. If you were HC Denny Green, would you lean heavily on Edge to protect your geriatric and fragile QB? I would, too, which probably also means less opportunities for Warner. The Cards were the #1 passing team (by far) as well as the #32 rushing team (by far) in the NFL. Improvement in the running game will mean a decline in the passing game, so temper your ceiling a bit. |
| 77 |
Marion Barber |
RB |
$9 |
A must-have if you have Jones. Showed flashes of brilliance in relief last year, which started the RBBC speculation. Jones is still supposed to be the superior back, however, and will no doubt get the bulk of the touches. Jones has certainly been hurt often, so Barber definitely has some upside. |
| 78 |
Todd Heap |
TE |
$9 |
With McNair now in Purple, Heap's value goes up a bit. McNair will be the best QB to ever work with Heap (by far), but does he have any gas left in the tank? If he's hurt or ineffective, Boller showed enough promise towards the end of the season last year not to get Joey Harringtoned out of Baltimore. Maybe this is Heap's year. |
| 79 |
Trent Green |
QB |
$8 |
Did you know that last year was the third year in a row this guy threw for over 4000 yards? His 17 TDs is probably why I found that surprising. When you have a monster like LJ scoring TDs, why bother passing? That's probably his floor on the TD department and the yards are nice, so he's a low-cost option that could definitely pay dividends. |
| 80 |
Daunte Culpepper |
QB |
$8 |
The good: Miami's offense is similar to Minnesota's because of the Scott Linehan connection and Chambers, Brown, and McMichael also make for an intriguing supporting cast. The bad: His 2005 season fell off the ugly tree and hit every branch on the way down — both in terms of numbers (1564-6-12) and the way his nasty knee injury ended it. He's got upside worth chasing, but don't break the bank. The risk his knee represents should keep his value down. |
| 81 |
Rod Smith |
WR |
$8 |
Quietly put up 1100-6 last year, good for 16th in the league. People love upside, so his age and low ceiling will keep him underrated (again). Only five WRs who went over 1000 yards had a better fantasy points per AAV dollar ratio in '05: Joey Galloway, Terry Glenn, Antonio Bryant, Santana Moss, and Eddie Kennison. Expect more of the same value this year, especially with Javon Walker in the mix. People expect Walker to take over the #1 spot, but his knee will probably say different. |
| 82 |
Derrick Mason |
WR |
$8 |
Same story as heap — McNair back in the mix increases Mason's ceiling, as long as McNair still has something left in the tank. Regardless, you won't have to pay much to find out. |
| 83 |
Aaron Brooks |
QB |
$8 |
Brooks-to-Moss is not getting nearly as much hype as Collins-to-Moss was this time last year. Why? Collins ended '04 on a hot streak, Moss got hurt for the second year in a row in '05, and Brooks had an ugly '05. Can one year really make that big a difference, though? Erratic as Brooks has been, something tells me he could surprise this year. |
| 84 |
Fred Taylor |
RB |
$8 |
Injury concerns make him a risk. He's getting old, but supposedly looks good in camp — but how much stock can you really put in preseason talk? The former 17-TD back is at the twilight of his career and will likely be a committee member, so he's a low #3 / high #4 at best. |
| 85 |
Michael Clayton |
WR |
$8 |
Entering his third year, people are looking for him to bounce back to his 1193-7 rookie year. He battled injuries last year, so there's reason to think he can do it. |
| 86 |
Samkon Gado |
RB |
$8 |
Had an impressive 6-game stretch where he racked up 605 total yards and 6 TDs. Green and Davenport will be back, though, and Gado had a season ending injury himself. Expect an RBBC situation at best, with Gado's upside tied to Green's and Davenport's health and/or effectiveness. |
| 87 |
Jerry Porter |
WR |
$7 |
Another candidate for unfulfilled potential. Streaky, inconsistent WR who could develop into a #2 with good QB play. Don't pay more than #4 WR money for him, though. |
| 88 |
Drew Brees |
QB |
$7 |
On one hand, he supposedly looks great post-injury and his supporting cast is solid to fantastic (if Bush can live up to the hype). On the other, he's got a new offense to learn, the NFC South is a much tougher defensive division than the AFC West, and the Saints' offensive line is questionable at best. He could certainly crack the top 8 again, like he did last year, just don't pay too much to find out. |
| 89 |
Brett Favre |
QB |
$7 |
The Original Gunslinger himself. Brett should keep his interception total in the mid-to-high teens this year. I think the reason he came back was that he couldn't allow himself to go out like he did in '05. I expect better numbers; but somebody needs to step up since Walker is long gone. |
| 90 |
LenDale White |
RB |
$7 |
Big time sleeper candidate, particularly in keeper leagues. There have been Chris Brown trade rumors, so White could be starting before people know it. An RBBC is more likely, though, and with the Titans offense being what it currently is, don't pay for his ceiling without considering his floor. |
| 91 |
Chris Brown |
RB |
$7 |
Crowded Tennessee backfield (Henry, White, Payton) and injury history make Brown a dicey proposition. That said, when healthy he can produce monster games. How many times did he rack up 90+ yards in the first half, only to sit out the second? Too many, previous Chris 'never again' Brown owners will tell you. |
| 92 |
Lee Evans |
WR |
$7 |
He's the #1 WR, a role which inherently gives him value; but the QB situation and the Bills in general are shaky at best. |
| 93 |
Ernest Wilford |
WR |
$7 |
Will probably take over the #1 spot with Jimmy Smith retiring. A 3rd year WR, Wilford put up a respectable 681-7 season considering he only started eight games. The prospect of Byron Leftwich taking the next step up in '06 gives Wilford some nice upside. Leftwich will probably be a trendy sleeper pick before the season kicks off. |
| 94 |
Kevin Curtis |
WR |
$6 |
Like Wilford, another trendy sleeper pick. I'm willing to bet he takes over the #2 WR duties from Isaac Bruce (if |
| 95 |
Jason Witten |
TE |
$6 |
Solid #1 TE option. Continues to develop year to year and TO's presence should help. Also worth noting is that Dallas added 2 TE's in the off-season perhaps to free Witten up from some of his blocking responsibilities. |
| 96 |
Chris Cooley |
TE |
$6 |
Cooley's shaky QB situation is keeping his value low; but his nice 774-7 season last year gives this third year player some decent upside. |
| 97 |
Heath Miller |
TE |
$6 |
Another decent option once the upper echelon of TEs are gone. Scored 6 TDs in the first seven weeks, then went on a drought that lasted until his play-offs game in Indianapolis. With the Bus gone, though, he could see a significant up-tick in TDs, as long as Big Ben gets back to 100%. |
| 98 |
Chicago Bears |
DEF |
$6 |
The first and only defense to crack our top 100, this is a talented group that scores, which is what you want from a fantasy defense. The addition of Hester may help return game. |
| 99 |
Randy McMichael |
TE |
$6 |
If Culpepper can give Jermain Wiggins 71 catches in '04 and 69 catches in '05, how many can he give a guy like Randy McMichael? Look for significant improvement from the 582-5 season he had last year. |
| 100 |
Drew Bennett |
WR |
$5 |
Not a bad lottery ticket type player to target, considering the rapport he had with new starter Billy Volek in '04 (783-9 over a six game span). He crashed down to Earth last season, going 738-4. He's the Titans' #1 WR, though, so he could surprise. |
| 101 |
Muhsin Muhammad |
WR |
$5 |
Likely to improve after suspect QB play for most of last season, when he finished with 750-4. Can he break 1000 yards and/or score 8 TDs? Possibly, but there's reason to believe that's his best case scenario. |
| 102 |
Donte' Stallworth |
WR |
$5 |
Talented but a FF tease. Always seems poised to break out but never quite delivers to expectations. New QB doesn't help either. |
| 103 |
Terry Glenn |
WR |
$5 |
Re-emerged as a threat in 2005 but will take a back seat to TO in 2006. |
| 104 |
Chris Simms |
QB |
$5 |
Showed promise thus far. Possible #2. |
| 105 |
Carolina Panthers |
DEF |
$4 |
Solid defensive unit. |
| 106 |
Laveranues Coles |
WR |
$4 |
Unsettled QB situation in NY makes him risky, but not un-draftable. |
| 107 |
L.J. Smith |
TE |
$4 |
Nice semi-sleeper TE. May get more looks with TO gone. Pick-up of Matt Schobel from the Bengals hurts his value a bit, though. |
| 108 |
New York Giants |
DEF |
$4 |
Solidified problems areas through free agency and the draft. Should make more big plays this year. D-line is a question mark though. |
| 109 |
Pittsburgh Steelers |
DEF |
$4 |
Despite a few defections (Hope and von Oelhoffen), the Steelers should again be a quality start each week. Spending 25% of the season battling offensive juggernauts Baltimore and Cleveland doesn't hurt either. |
| 110 |
Indianapolis Colts |
DEF |
$4 |
Aggressive defense that surprised last year. Will miss Thorton and Tripplett. |
| 111 |
Keenan McCardell |
WR |
$4 |
Not likely to repeat 9 TDs from 2005 with Rivers at QB. Look to him only as a #3 WR at best. |
| 112 |
Antonio Bryant |
WR |
$4 |
Some value as the #1 WR in San Francisco, but don't spend more than a buck or two on him. |
| 113 |
Neil Rackers |
PK |
$4 |
Likely #1 kicker in most drafts. A team-carrying, 50+ yard booting monster last year, he may lose some FG opportunities with James in town. |
| 114 |
Priest Holmes |
RB |
$4 |
Some say it's a 50/50 proposition he'll be back, while others say he's definitely done. What does your gut tell you? If he somehow makes it back, he might actually surprise and be a solid #3 RB. Avoid until his status is better known. |
| 115 |
Curtis Martin |
RB |
$4 |
Draft with care. Nearing the end of an amazing career. Shouldn't be expected to be more than a #3 RB. |
| 116 |
Duce Staley |
RB |
$4 |
Looks to take the role of the Bus this year. If so, expect decent TD numbers and probably 500+ yards. |
| 117 |
Reggie Brown |
WR |
$4 |
Early favorite to be the #1 in Philadelphia. Despite flashes of talent, should not be more than a #3 for you. |
| 118 |
Nate Burleson |
WR |
$3 |
One of the sexiest picks in last year's auction as Culpepper's new #1 guy, the Vikes disappointed horribly and now Nate has a new home in Seattle. He has the tools to be productive, but don't reach for him. He's still the #2 WR on an offense that is built around Shaun Alexander. |
| 119 |
Byron Leftwich |
QB |
$3 |
Had a very promising 2105-15-5 season going (with 2 rushing TDs) through 10 games when he broke his ankle early in the 11th game. He wouldn't see the field again until the first round play-off loss to the Patriots. Jimmy Smith's retirement will hurt, so he needs his young WRs to step up big time to stay near the trajectory he was on. |
| 120 |
Keyshawn Johnson |
WR |
$3 |
Should fit in well in Carolina. Never a burner, his size makes him valuable as a possession receiver. The attention that Smith gets gives him a little upside, but don't expect much. |
| 121 |
Mewelde Moore |
RB |
$3 |
Most people would tell you Moore is the guy to handcuff to Chester Taylor, which probably isn't a bad idea. If Taylor is hurt or ineffective, Moore has shown enough in the past to make me think he can do well. |
| 122 |
Matt Jones |
WR |
$3 |
Showed some skills in 2005. Still learning. Worth a #4 or #5 WR spot. More interesting in keeper leagues. |
| 123 |
Jon Kitna |
QB |
$3 |
Seems to have won the starting job in Detroit before the competition ever really started. He had an impressive 3591-26-15 year in '03 before giving way to Palmer in Cincy. This is his chance to shine and Roy Williams and Mike Martz can certainly make this guy look good. A legitimate sleeper candidate. |
| 124 |
Brad Johnson |
QB |
$3 |
Textbook example of the low risk, low upside veteran. |
| 125 |
Adam Vinatieri |
PK |
$2 |
Can't see why he won't flourish with the Colts. Great offense, indoors at home. Maybe he needs nasty weather to excel. That's a joke. I have no intention of looking that up. |
| 126 |
Kellen Winslow |
TE |
$2 |
The brash young man is back. Intriguing because of all the hype he got as a rookie two years ago. He might do well, so he's worth a buck or two. |
| 127 |
Vernon Davis |
TE |
$2 |
Worth considering late. Is he the next Gates? Drop a buck or two to find out. |
| 128 |
Brandon Lloyd |
WR |
$2 |
Bit of a question mark. Made some unreal catches in San Francisco, but also dropped some easy ones. Immense potential but shouldn't be looked to be more than a #4 WR right now. |
| 129 |
T.J. Duckett |
RB |
$2 |
His numbers have declined in each of the last three years, from 873-11 to 524-8 to 443-8 last year. His only upside is tied to Dunn's health. Dunn hasn't missed any time in two years, but he is 31 and still only a buck-eighty. Probably worth picking up Duckett if you have Dunn, but otherwise don't bother. |
| 130 |
Troy Williamson |
WR |
$2 |
Speedster in his second year. Still learning. Keeper leagues or as #4 WR makes sense. |
| 131 |
Brandon Jacobs |
RB |
$2 |
Goal line value only at this point, maybe worth handcuffing to Tiki. |
| 132 |
Isaac Bruce |
WR |
$2 |
Aging vet who still makes plays when healthy. Being pushed by Curtis for playing time. |
| 133 |
Joe Jurevicius |
WR |
$2 |
Has potential but moving to new system and QB, also doesn't have studs to keep defenses honest as he did in Seattle. |
| 134 |
Mike Vanderjagt |
PK |
$2 |
New team should do him some good. Most accurate kicker of all time. Will Dallas O give him enough chances? |
| 135 |
Jay Feely |
PK |
$2 |
Solid kicker with an improving offense. May not repeat 2005 numbers but should be solid option at K. |
| 136 |
Roddy White |
WR |
$2 |
Has some upside as a potential #1 guy in Atlanta. Perfect example of the deep, deep, DEEP sleeper. |
| 137 |
Amani Toomer |
WR |
$2 |
Another aging vet. Will produce decent stats from time to time but should be considered a #4 WR at best. |
| 138 |
Eric Moulds |
WR |
$2 |
Should be a decent #3 WR option. |
| 139 |
Dallas Clark |
TE |
$2 |
Possible sleeper. Health a concern. |
| 140 |
Greg Jones |
RB |
$2 |
Take for goal line touches or insurance for Taylor. |
| 141 |
Kevan Barlow |
RB |
$2 |
Maybe the #1 maybe not. Only as #3 RB. |
| 142 |
Cedric Houston |
RB |
$2 |
Showed he can play when filling in last year but Martin and Blaylock are both back. Possibly worth a dollar late in an auction. |
| 143 |
Shayne Graham |
PK |
$2 |
Kickers in high powered offenses are always a plus. |
| 144 |
Mike Anderson |
RB |
$2 |
Pick up if you have Lewis or need some RB depth - unless he earns the starting spot, then value goes up. |
| 145 |
Jason Elam |
PK |
$2 |
Reliable kicker kicking in the mile high air. Definitely worth starting. |
| 146 |
Ben Watson |
TE |
$2 |
Made some impressive plays last year, but is sharing looks with Daniel Graham. A timeshare TE can't be worth more than a dollar or two. |
| 147 |
Philip Rivers |
QB |
$2 |
Playing against the 49ers when Peyton Manning is on bye. Otherwise, probably only worth picking up in keeper leagues. |
| 148 |
Philadelphia Eagles |
DEF |
$2 |
Sleeper D. Injuries and offensive implosion hurt 2005 performance. Addition of Howard (free agency) and Bunkley (draft) help. Bloom may also help the return game. |
| 149 |
David Carr |
QB |
$2 |
Worth considering late. Lots of weapons at his disposal. Now if they could just protect him. |
| 150 |
Josh Brown |
PK |
$2 |
Strong leg but accuracy an issue. |
| 151 |
Chris Perry |
RB |
$2 |
Late flyer or insurance for Johnson. |
| 152 |
Atlanta Falcons |
DEF |
$2 |
Sleeper D. Return of Hartwell and additions of Williams (draft) and Abraham (trade) should help. |
| 153 |
Mark Clayton |
WR |
$2 |
Possibly as a #4 or #5 WR. |
| 154 |
Brandon Stokley |
WR |
$2 |
Possibly as a #4 or #5 WR. |
| 155 |
Bobby Engram |
WR |
$2 |
Moving to the slot this year with arrival of Burleson. As the #3 in Seattle, not really worth picking up. |
| 156 |
Jerramy Stevens |
TE |
$2 |
Good size and gets some red zone looks but not a ton yardage. Low end of the starter worthy TEs. |
| 157 |
Seattle Seahawks |
DEF |
$2 |
Young and aggressive. Led NFC in sacks last year. Addition of Peterson (from San Francisco) and Tapp (draft) should help. |
| 158 |
Denver Broncos |
DEF |
$2 |
Solid defense but doesn't seem to put up a lot of FF points. |
| 159 |
Billy Volek |
QB |
$2 |
Will finally be the starter — at least until he is hurt, ineffective, or the Titans start off really slow (as expected) and everyone starts clamoring for Vince Young. Still, he might surprise considering how he finished 2004 (16 TDs in his last 7 games), but I doubt it. |
| 160 |
John Kasay |
PK |
$2 |
Accuracy a little suspect last year (26 of 34) but a lot chances in the Carolina offense makes him attractive. |
| 161 |
Jeff Wilkins |
PK |
$2 |
Solid kicker in a good offense. |
| 162 |
Tampa Bay Buccaneers |
DEF |
$2 |
Always solid. Maybe worth slightly over minimum. |
| 163 |
Ben Troupe |
TE |
$2 |
#2 TE. |
| 164 |
Braylon Edwards |
WR |
$1 |
Still hurt and might not be back until October. Worth taking a chance on late/cheap or in keeper leagues. |
| 165 |
Dallas Cowboys |
DEF |
$1 |
Maybe in deeper leagues. |
| 166 |
Michael Jenkins |
WR |
$1 |
Possibly as a #4 or #5 WR and in deeper leagues. |
| 167 |
Baltimore Ravens |
DEF |
$1 |
Good, not great defense. Lewis is more bark than bite at this point. |
| 168 |
Steve McNair |
QB |
$1 |
Has some weapons in Baltimore, but that 33 year old body of his has seen much better days. |
| 169 |
Mike Williams |
WR |
$1 |
Big talent, Big disappointment. Maybe as a #5 WR, probably not though. |
| 170 |
Jeff Reed |
PK |
$1 |
Decent kicker but Heinz field can be cruel to PKs. |
| 171 |
Miami Dolphins |
DEF |
$1 |
Solid D. |
| 172 |
St. Louis Rams |
DEF |
$1 |
Average D. Pay the minimum. |
| 173 |
Washington Redskins |
DEF |
$1 |
Ok D. Don't overspend. |
| 174 |
Ryan Moats |
RB |
$1 |
Explosive playmaker in limited work last year. Not a bad handcuff for Westbrook. |
| 175 |
Zach Hilton |
TE |
$1 |
Some feel he will be a decent option. Do you? |
| 176 |
Matt Leinart |
QB |
$1 |
Consider as insurance for Warner and in keeper leagues. |
| 177 |
Charlie Frye |
QB |
$1 |
Maybe in deeper leagues. |
| 178 |
David Givens |
WR |
$1 |
Possibly as a #4 or #5 WR. |
| 179 |
Antwaan Randle El |
WR |
$1 |
Possibly as a #4 WR or #5 WR. |
| 180 |
Mark Brunell |
QB |
$1 |
Not unless you're filling your #3 QB spot. |
| 181 |
Jacksonville Jaguars |
DEF |
$1 |
Average D. Pay the minimum. |
| 182 |
Sebastian Janikowski |
PK |
$1 |
Accuracy a concern but does have strong leg. |
| 183 |
New England Patriots |
DEF |
$1 |
Pats D has seen better days, but Belichick is still coaching the team, so definitely worth considering for the minimum. |
| 184 |
Sinorice Moss |
WR |
$1 |
Consider in keeper leagues. Maybe as a #4 or #5 WR. |
| 185 |
Jermaine Wiggins |
TE |
$1 |
Probably hits waivers in most leagues. |
| 186 |
Corey Bradford |
WR |
$1 |
Pass. Not bad but might only be the #4 WR for the Lions. |
| 187 |
Samie Parker |
WR |
$1 |
Pass. |
| 188 |
Lawrence Tynes |
PK |
$1 |
Similar to Graham. In a potent offense and has decent range. |
| 189 |
David Akers |
PK |
$1 |
Decent option. May be under the radar due to 2005 injury. |
| 190 |
Minnesota Vikings |
DEF |
$1 |
Everyone's favorite sleeper defense of '05. Maybe they were a year early? |
| 191 |
Nate Kaeding |
PK |
$1 |
Good option once others are off the board. |
| 192 |
Matt Stover |
PK |
$1 |
Good option once others are off the board. |
| 193 |
Marcus Pollard |
TE |
$0 |
#2 TE. |
| 194 |
Todd Peterson |
PK |
$0 |
Likely available on waivers if you really want him. |
| 195 |
Cincinnati Bengals |
DEF |
$0 |
Maybe late or in deeper leagues. Led the league in picks last year with 31, seven more than the second place Bears. |
| 196 |
Kansas City Chiefs |
DEF |
$0 |
Possible in deeper leagues due to return game. |
| 197 |
San Diego Chargers |
DEF |
$0 |
Maybe in deeper leagues. |
| 198 |
Santonio Holmes |
WR |
$0 |
Worth considering as a #4 or #5 WR and also in keeper leagues. |
| 199 |
Robert Ferguson |
WR |
$0 |
Possibly as a #4 or #5 WR. |
| 200 |
Chad Jackson |
WR |
$0 |
Consider in keeper leagues. Maybe as a #4 or #5 WR. The Pats' 2nd round pick, many feel he has 1st round talent. |
