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FANTASY FOOTBALL WEEKLY FEATURES

Predictions & Projections
David Dorey
Player Projections by Team
Game Predictions Summary
The Huddle
WEEK 4
September 27, 2006
Season Ticket
Sunday
Sunday
Sunday Late
Sunday night
On Bye
ARZ at ATL MIN at BUF DET at STL SEA at CHI DEN, NYG
DAL at TEN NO at CAR CLE at OAK
Monday
PIT, TB
IND at NYJ SD at BAL JAX at WAS GB at PHI  
MIA at HOU SF at KC NE at CIN   updated

Prediction: GB 20, PHI 30

The Packers cannot win at home this year but on the road took the victory in Detroit as if the offense had been clicking all year. Favre had a big game even if he hasn't shared one of those with the Lambeau-ites. The Eagles made up for their collapse to the Giants by drumming the 49ers but not until the scoreboard looked like it was a far closer game than it was. Two games, two late game slides. Not something you want to have happen with Brett Favre coming to town.

The Packers lost in Philadelphia 14-19 in week 12 of last season.

Update: Donte Stallworth continues to be questionable to play with his hamstring strain and was held out of practice this week. I am lowering his projections but he has not been ruled out. As we saw last Sunday, he could once again have pregame spasms in his hamstring and be a game time inactive. Since this game is on Monday night, his condition is a bigger risk as a fantasy start. The Packers have an exceptionally weak secondary that Stallworth would exploit were he healthy, but he is not and his availabilty for the game has yet to be determined.

Green Bay Packers (1-2)
1 0-26 CHI 10 --- @MIN
2 27-34 NO 11 --- NE
3 31-24 @DET 12 --- @SEA
4 --- @PHI 13 --- NYJ
5 --- STL 14 --- @SF
6 Open Bye 15 --- DET
7 --- @MIA 16 --- MIN
8 --- ARZ 17 --- @CHI
9 --- @BUF - MON THU
GBP at PHI Rush Catch Pass
QB Brett Favre 0 0 280,2
RB Vernand Morency 10 10 0
RB Ahman Green 50 50 0
TE Bubba Franks 0 10 0
WR Donald Driver 0 90,1 0
WR Robert Ferguson 0 40 0
WR Greg Jennings 0 70,1 0
PK Dave Rayner 2 FG 2 XP -
Pregame Notes: After opening with a shutout, the Packers have scored 58 points in the last two weeks and finally notched a win. The defense continues to be a major liability but Favre and company are back to posting points.

Quarterback: After stumbling out of the gate, Brett Favre has produced bookend 340 yard, three touchdown games with only one interception and no fumbles. While perhaps it helped to face the Saints and the Lions, there's no debate that Favre not only still has it, he is using it each week.

Favre threw for 171 yards and one touchdown with two interceptions last year in Philadelphia.

Running Backs: Ahman Green was questionable to play last week with a sore hamstring but that didn't prevent him from suiting up and gaining 63 yards on 22 carries and adding eight catches for 68 yards and a touchdown. Forget about Gado or Herron, Green is shouldering the entire load this year even when he is not 100%. Green's touchdown last week proved to be the winning score.

Vernand Morency got his first work last week but only gained three yards on three carries.

Wide Receivers: Donald Driver had 153 yards in week two but only came up with three catches for 20 yards against the Lions - one for his first touchdown on the season. Greg Jennings turned a simple out pattern into a 75-yard score to start the game and ended with 101 yards as the first big game of his career. Koren Robinson had a catch in the game and could be expanded into more time though he primary works in the return game.

Donald Driver was held to just 50 yards on three catches against the Eagles in 2005.

Tight Ends: So far the tight ends have yet to score this year and none have done more than 30 or 40 yards in a game. Most of their action is now going to Ahman Green as a receiver.

The tight ends had much work in the last meeting against the Eagles thanks to an injury decimated receiver corps. David Martin had four catches for 41 yards in that game.

Match Against the Defense: The Eagles rush defense has been stellar this year other than allowing Michael Robinson to score on two short runs last week. Otherwise, no runner has gained more than 52 yards against them if only because Philly has jumped out to such large leads that the other team rarely runs. Expect that to happen again.

Favre faces a secondary that can be beaten on the outside and that has given up five passing scores and one 100 yard receiver in each game. There should be plentiful trash time here and Favre knows how to fill it.

Philadelphia Eagles (2-1)
1 24-10 @HOU 10 --- WAS
2 24-30 NYG 11 --- TEN
3 38-24 @SF 12 --- @IND
4 --- GB 13 --- CAR
5 --- DAL 14 --- @WAS
6 --- @NO 15 --- @NYG
7 --- @TB 16 --- @DAL
8 --- JAX 17 --- ATL
9 Open Bye - - MON
PHI vs GB Rush Catch Pass
QB Donovan McNabb 0 0 310,2
RB Brian Westbrook 70,1 60 0
TE L.J. Smith 0 40,1 0
WR Donte Stallworth 0 50 0
WR Reggie Brown 0 90,1 0
WR Greg Lewis 0 30 0
PK David Akers 3 FG 3 XP -

Pregame Notes: The Eagles have jumped out to sizable leads in every game but they've been getting so far ahead that the prevent defense during the entire second half is not only making games look like they were more competitive than they were, it allowed the Giants to sneak in and take an overtime win. Nothing wrong with this offense but the defense cannot continue to relax when the game is decided.

Quarterback: Donovan McNabb is the #1 quarterback in most fantasy scoring and with 960 passing yards, he leads the NFL again this week. At that rate, he would end with 5120 yards on the season - not likely. The schedule has been kind this first month but then gets tougher for the next month before becoming brutal during the fantasy playoff weeks. But this week against the Packers?

Oh yeah, let's consider week #4 on top already in the bag.

Running Backs: Like McNabb, Brian Westbrook currently resides as the #1 fantasy running back despite spending the last two weeks with a sore knee that has him missing practice and being listed as questionable. Westbrook will be injured at some point and miss time, but no one will believe it until it happens. He'll likely be held out of practice again this week.

Wide Receivers: Donte Stallworth was listed as probable all week with a hamstring injury, but he had spasms in the hamstring during pregame and was a sudden inactive. That led to Hank Baskett (1-8) getting a chance to start and doing almost nothing with it. Reggie Brown enjoyed his best game of the year when he reeled in five passes for 106 yards and Greg Lewis coughed up his standard 30 yards as well as the football once.

I am assuming that Stallworth will make it through the week and the pregame warm-up to play this week but once again he is not playing in an early game on Sunday. His final status won't be certain until kick-off on Monday night. His hamstring has been an issue for over a week now and only the spasms prevented his playing last Sunday. Unfortunately, he also has a history of hamstring issues.

Tight Ends: L.J. Smith scored his first touchdown of the year last Sunday but only had three catches for 19 yards thanks to a shoulder sprain that he re-aggravated. I will assume that he will play this week but be limited but will update as further information warrants.

Match Against the Defense: The hidden fact about the Packers is that they have a very good rushing defense that has not allowed more than 81 yards to any runner. With Westbrook it should be the same - about the same rushing and receiving for very nice fantasy value again this week. I like Westbrook to score once here.

McNabb goes against one of the worst secondaries in the NFL and no doubt will once again post some very big numbers. Expect him to top 300 yards yet again and to throw for two scores that should go at least once to Reggie Brown with a nice match-up. Smith could also make some noise this week if he can get past his shoulder sprain.