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Predictions & Projections
David Dorey
Player Projections by Team
Game Predictions Summary
The Huddle
WEEK 6
October 11, 2006
Season Ticket
Sunday
Sunday
Sunday Late
Sunday night
On Bye
BUF at DET NYG at ATL KC at PIT OAK at DEN CLE, GB
CAR at BAL PHI at NO MIA at NYJ
Monday
IND, JAX
CIN at TB SEA at STL SD at SF CHI at ARZ MIN, NE
HOU at DAL TEN at WAS     updated

Prediction: TEN 10, WAS 27

The Titans come off their most recent loss and looked formidable if you could look past the game the Colts wanted to mail-in and yet still got away with it. The Redskins sputtered again in New York last Sunday but back at home finally get another game that they should easily win. And the Skins do not have the luxury of looking at any game as a "mail-in".

Update: LenDale White is questionable to play because of a stomach virus that has forced him to miss practice on Wednesday and Thursday. HC Jeff Fisher said that White needs to get back to practice quickly to have a chance to play this week. I am removing him from the projections though he could still play. Once he gets over his virus he should be fine, but missing practice time for a rookie could be enough itself to keep him out.

Drew Bennett has been held out of practice due to an ankle sprain but Fisher said he expects Bennett to play this week. Unlike White, Bennett is not a rookie and he is the best answer at his position this week. David Givens remains out with a hand injury.

Tennessee Titans (0-5)
1 16-23 NYJ 10 --- BAL
2 7-40 @SD 11 --- @PHI
3 10-13 @MIA 12 --- NYG
4 14-45 DAL 13 --- IND
5 13-14 @IND 14 --- @HOU
6 --- @WAS 15 --- JAX
7 Open Bye 16 --- @BUF
8 --- HOU 17 --- NE
9 --- @JAX - - -
TEN at WAS Rush Catch Pass
QB Vince Young 30 0 140,1
RB Travis Henry 60 0 0
RB LenDale White 30 0 0
TE Ben Troupe 0 30 0
TE Bo Scaife 0 40 0
WR Drew Bennett 0 20 0
WR Bobby Wade 0 10,1 0
WR Brandon Jones 0 30 0
PK Rob Bironas 1 FG 1 XP -
Pregame Notes: It was no doubt exciting last week when the Titans brought a lead into half-time against the Colts but, of course, they could not hold on to it. The reality here is that the Titans offense has yet to score more than 16 points in any game this year and only once has turned in more than one touchdown in a game. The learning curve continues for Vince Young and company but the Titans are still in amazingly good spirits for an 0-5 team and have yet to show any signs of giving up. The Haynesworth affair is now smaller in the rear view mirror but the team doesn't get an opponent this week that knows it can win and won't prepare completely.

Quarterback: The Vince Young era continues to progress slowly and he comes off a career worse 63 passing yards last week but that mainly stemmed from the success of the rushing game and the fact they led in the game for the first 55 minutes - why risk a throw? The encouraging aspect of last week was Young starting to run better and he turned four carries into 43 yards and one 19-yard touchdown. On an offense that is weak in the passing game anyway, it is a weapon that must be used more.

Running Backs: The never-ending carousel had a healthy Chris Brown inactive with Travis Henry as the starter and LenDale White as the relief guy. Henry ran for 123 yards on 19 carries against the soft middle of the Colts defense though he never scored. White had eight carries for 48 yards as well and ran strongly. With the Titans opting to sit a healthy tailback every week and yet never settle on just one, it makes a fantasy nightmare to figure out each week. In the long-term, White should get more playing time to see if he is worthy of becoming a future starter but Brown and Henry are playing tag team with no apparent rhyme or reason. I will project for Henry and White again this week since the success against the Colts should turn into the same rotation used but with the Titans, you can never be sure.

Wide Receivers: David Givens was a scratch last week but he had not been doing anything this year anyway and his replacement Brandon Jones had just three catches for 40 yards. Drew Bennett was held without a catch in the game as was Bobby Wade. Assumedly Givens returns to play but the passing numbers here are just too low to warrant any fantasy consideration from a Titan's wideout so far. Young hasn't progressed enough to use them to any significant extent.

Givens will likely miss this week as well. Jones will again replace him.

Tight Ends: With the running game working last week, the tight ends remained primarily blockers and only Ben Troupe managed to catch a pass. The previously hot Bo Scaife was held to no catches and only had one pass in the game. This week in a match-up that should force the Titans to the air more should mean a return to prominence for the tight ends in the game plan.

Match Against the Defense: The Redskins rushing defense has only allowed two scores this year and none in the last three weeks. While Tiki Barber finally had a big game against them this year, back in Washington against the motivated Redskins, look for a much lower effort from the Titans backs this week with likely no scores and only marginal yardage no matter which of the runners ends up playing.

Young goes against a secondary that has allowed at least one passing score every week and never less than 208 passing yards but obviously he'll be the worst quarterback yet to face them. Expect one passing score late in the game but only marginal yardage at best that will likely go mostly to the tight ends.

Washington Redskins (2-3)
1 16-19 MIN 10 --- @PHI
2 10-27 @DAL 11 --- @TB
3 31-15 @HOU 12 --- CAR
4 36-30 JAX 13 --- ATL
5 3-19 @NYG 14 --- PHI
6 --- TEN 15 --- @NO
7 --- @IND 16 --- @STL
8 Open Bye 17 --- NYG
9 --- DAL - MON SAT
WAS vs TEN Rush Catch Pass
QB Mark Brunell 0 0 170,1
RB Clinton Portis 120,2 10 0
RB Ladell Betts 30 10 0
TE Chris Cooley 0 30 0
WR Santana Moss 0 70,1 0
WR Brandon Lloyd 0 20 0
WR Antwaan Randle El 0 20 0
PK Nick Novak 2 FG 3 XP -

Pregame Notes: After racking up 67 points against the Texans and Jaguars, the questions about the Redskins offense were finally quiet. And then last week they only managed to score three points as the passing game suffered their worst effort. Back at home against a soft Titan's defense? It will look all good again, at least until the next week in Indianapolis.

Quarterback: Mark Brunell never looked better than when he had 329 yards and three scores against a tough Jaguars defense in week four. And then he never looked worse than he did completing 12 of 22 for just 109 yards against the Giants soft secondary last week. The bottom line to this offense is whether Santana Moss can catch a long touchdown pass. When he does, they win and it all looks better. When he doesn't, they lose because this offense has not yet turned the Al Saunders scheme into anything resembling the Chiefs.

Running Backs: The Redskins had 76 yards on 19 carries from Clinton Portis last week but he had no catches for the first game this year and was never a big factor in the game. Portis had scored in each of the last three games and appeared to have turned the corner when he had 112 yards and a score against the Jaguars. He should be a lock to have enough carries this week for a big game.

Wide Receivers: Santana Moss exploded for 138 yards and three scores against the Jaguars but last week in New York he was back to mediocrity again, catching only three passes for 39 yards. The amazing fact is not that teams are holding him down but that they ever let him get loose. The Redskins passing game has struggled this year and only Moss has managed any notable play and that was in just one game. Brandon Lloyd was the pricey free agent acquisition but he only has seven catches for 98 yards on the season and none last week. The weaker secondary this week should make it look like the passing game is improving, but even if it does there can be not relying on any player here other than Moss.

Tight Ends: Chris Cooley opened the year with very little production but has settled into catching four passes in each of the last three games. He has yet to score but then again hardly anyone else has on this offense either other than Moss.

Match Against the Defense: A home game for Portis against the Titans should result in his best game of the season and at least one touchdown. He's a must start this week.

Brunell goes against a secondary that has not given up much passing yardage mainly because opponents run well enough to win and with Haynesworth out still, that won't change here. Look for a score to Moss mainly because they can but the passing yardage to remain fairly moderate because that is all that will be needed.