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FANTASY FOOTBALL WEEKLY FEATURES

Game Scout - Week 6
October 13, 2006

Buffalo Bills (2-3) at Detroit Lions (0-5)

GAME SNAPSHOT
KICKOFF: Sunday, 1:00 ET
GAMEDATE: 10/15/06
SURFACE: FieldTurf
TV: CBS, Gus Johnson, Steve Tasker
SERIES: 8th meeting, series is tied 3-3-1. Teams last met in 2002, a 24-17 Bills victory in Buffalo. The teams have played some historic games. A 21-21 tie on Dec. 10, 1972 was the last professional football game played at War Memorial Stadium in Buffalo, the famed "Rock Pile." On Thanksgiving Day in 1976, Bills Hall of Fame running back O.J. Simpson ran for a then-NFL record 273 yards in Detroit, including TD runs of 48 and 12 yards. But the Lions won 27-14 on the strength of two Greg Landry TD passes to TE David Hill.
2006 RANKINGS: Bills: offense 30th (19th rush, 29th pass); defense 15th (19th rush, 12th pass). Lions: offense 17th (32nd rush, 6th pass); defense 28th (14th rush, 30th pass)

KEYS TO THE GAME: The Lions have home-field advantage and a strong run defense in their corner. Beyond that, they need some help. Detroit could be without three starting offensive linemen and No. 1 WR Roy Williams, which could make moving the ball with any consistency very difficult. The Bills have improved their run defense, but the Lions still need to stick with RB Kevin Jones longer than they have been and give him a chance to help control the clock and lend a hand to their beleaguered defense. Detroit has stopped the run well and could make life difficult for Buffalo RB Willis McGahee, but the secondary continues to be a major source of concern. For the Bills, the biggest key is playing tough and keeping the game close enough to allow the Lions to be their own worst enemy -- Detroit has been outscored 47-13 in the fourth quarter this season.

FAST FACTS: Bills: Coach Dick Jauron played 58 games for Detroit from 1973-78 and was the team's interim coach for the final five games last season. Lions: Are an NFL-worst 21-64 the past five years. ... QB Jon Kitna is on pace for the second 4,000-yard passing season in franchise history (Scott Mitchell, 4,338 in 1995.)

Carolina Panthers (3-2) at Baltimore Ravens (4-1)

GAME SNAPSHOT
KICKOFF: Sunday, 1:00 ET
GAMEDATE: 10/15/06
SURFACE: Sportexe Momentum
TV: FOX, Sam Rosen, Tim Ryan
SERIES: 3rd meeting. Panthers lead series 2-0. The Panthers have defeated the Ravens twice before, both of those wins coming in Charlotte. This is the first time the two teams will meet in Baltimore for a regular season game.
2006 RANKINGS: Panthers: offense 23rd (12th rush, 25th pass); defense 18th (21st rush, 16th pass). Ravens: offense 29th (24th rush, 28th pass); defense 2nd (3rd rush, 3rd pass)

KEYS TO THE GAME: If the Panthers' offense doesn't find a way to be more efficient, it will have an extremely difficult time scoring points against the league's No. 2 defense. Carolina has converted a league-low 18.6 percent of its third-down conversions, and will be without injured backup RB DeAngelo Williams. With the Ravens being hard to run against with any consistency, expect plenty of short passes from Carolina with the hope someone can make a big play after the catch. Ravens QB Steve McNair still doesn't look comfortable in his new offense and has thrown five interceptions in his past two games. However, the onus will be on his shoulders against one of the league's better defensive lines. Baltimore has struggled to establish the running game with RB Jamal Lewis, and coach Brian Billick hinted Musa Smith and/or Mike Anderson could receive significant carries should one get hot during a game.

FAST FACTS: Panthers: Are 7-2 in past nine games decided by eight points or less. ... Are 6-0 all-time when RB DeShaun Foster rushes for at least 100 yards. Ravens: Are 8-2 in their past 10 home games. ... McNair is 22-9 (.710) against the NFC.

Cincinnati Bengals (3-1) at Tampa Bay Buccaneers (0-4)

GAME SNAPSHOT
KICKOFF: Sunday, 1:00 ET
GAMEDATE: 10/15/06
SURFACE: Grass
TV: CBS, Kevin Harlan, Rich Gannon
SERIES: 9th meeting -- Tampa Bay leads the Cincinnati Bengals 5-3. The most recent was 2002, when Tampa Bay defeated the Bengals 35-7 at Paul Brown Stadium in what would be quarterback Akili Smith's final NFL start. Smith was the No. 3 overall pick of the 1999 draft by the Bengals. The game will be just the third between the team's in Tampa, where the team's have split the previous two games. The Buccaneers have won four games in a row after falling behind 3-1 in the series' first four games.
2006 RANKINGS: Bengals: offense 16th (16th rush, 13th pass); defense 25th (27th rush, 15th pass). Bucs: offense 26th (28th rush, 19th pass); defense 20th (30th rush, 7th pass)

KEYS TO THE GAME: The Bengals spent part of their bye week trying to figure out where their vertical passing game has gone. WR Chad Johnson is facing constant double teams and has a long reception of just 18 yards this season. But for Johnson and WR T.J. Houshmandzadeh to work deep, QB Carson Palmer needs more time in the pocket. He has been sacked 15 times in four games after being dropped just 21 times all of last season. While the Bengals are expected to slide LG Eric Steinbach to center and start rookie LG Andre Whitworth, the Bucs will start rookies at right tackle (Jeremy Trueblood), right guard (Davin Joseph) and quarterback (Bruce Gradkowski). Gradkowski displayed impressive poise in his first career start last Sunday, but he must have help. RB Carnell Williams is coming off a 111-yard game while the Bengals have allowed an average of 203 rushing yards in their past two games.

FAST FACTS: Bengals: Have won eight straight games against NFC teams. QB Carson Palmer is 6-0 as a starter against the NFC. Bucs: Are 6-1 when Williams rushes for at least 100 yards. ... Are 7-0 when Williams has at least 20 touches. DE Simeon Rice needs 2.0 sacks to pass Clyde Simmons (121.5) for 12th place all-time.

Houston Texans (1-3) at Dallas Cowboys (2-2)

GAME SNAPSHOT
KICKOFF: Sunday, 1:00 ET
GAMEDATE: 10/15/06
SURFACE: Sportfield Realgrass
TV: CBS, Dick Enberg, Randy Cross
SERIES: 2nd meeting. Texans lead the series 1-0. The Texans used a 65-yard touchdown throw to wide receiver Corey Bradford and a safety by defensive tackle Seth Payne to secure the 19-10 victory.
2006 RANKINGS: Texans: offense 28th (29th rush, 21st pass); defense 32nd (25th rush, 32nd pass). Cowboys: offense 5th (3rd rush, 12th pass); defense 9th (5th rush, 20th pass)

KEYS TO THE GAME: Texans QB David Carr has been effective working downfield to WRs Andre Johnson and Eric Moulds this season. But the Cowboys have an extremely fast front seven and Carr won't have enough time to look downfield unless the Texans are able to establish an effective running game behind RB Ron Dayne. If Carr does have time, expect several deep shots with Dallas Ss Roy Williams and Pat Watkins, whose job is on shaky ground, allowing too many big plays in coverage. This could be the breakout game Cowboys WR Terrell Owens so badly wants. He'll likely draw double teams, but the Texans' secondary has been porous all season. Houston's only true defense against the pass is to generate consistent pressure. The Cowboys struggled to protect QB Drew Bledsoe last weekend and the Texans will no doubt spend countless hours trying to devise blitz packages to get after him.

FAST FACTS: Texans: Won the only previous meeting, 19-10, in the franchise's first game in 2002. ... Johnson has at least 100 receiving yards in three of four games this season. Cowboys: With win, Bill Parcells will join Tony Dungy and Mike Shanahan as only the third coach to defeat all 32 current franchises. ... For his career, RB Julius Jones averages 103.8 rushing yards when he receives at least 20 carries.

New York Giants (2-3) at Atlanta Falcons (3-1)

GAME SNAPSHOT
KICKOFF: Sunday, 1:00 ET
GAMEDATE: 10/15/06
SURFACE: FieldTurf
TV: FOX, Kenny Albert, Daryl Johnston, Tony Siragusa
SERIES: 18th meeting. Atlanta won the last three games, all at Giants Stadium, from 2002-04. The visiting team has a 10-game winning streak, which includes New York's 5-0 mark since losing 23-20 in 1978 at Atlanta-Fulton County Stadium. The Giants took a 13-6 victory in 2000 that was much more lopsided than the score indicates.
2006 RANKINGS: Giants: offense 2nd (7th rush, 2nd pass); defense 17th (9th rush, 27th pass). Falcons: offense 8th (1st rush, 31st pass); defense 6th (2nd rush, 14th pass)

KEYS TO THE GAME: The Giants enter with the league's No. 2 offense, but they need to get to the Falcons early because Atlanta hasn't allowed a second-half touchdown all season. QB Eli Manning has a 97.1 passer rating, but he continues to overthrow far too many receivers -- a dangerous habit against a defense that has six interceptions while not allowing a passing touchdown through four games. The Falcons will attempt to control the game on the ground, with RBs Warrick Dunn and Jerious Norwood leading a rushing attack averaging 234.3 yards per game -- 58.3 more than the next best team in the NFL. The Giants are solid against the run, with their weakness being in the secondary. Falcons QB Michael Vick can hurt defenses with the deep ball, but the Giants' corners played better last weekend and New York will take its chances if it can force the game onto Vick's arm.

FAST FACTS: Giants: DE Michael Strahan needs two sacks to tie Lawrence Taylor's franchise record for 132.5. ... Have a five-game winning streak in Atlanta. Falcons: Opposing quarterbacks have a 57.8 passer rating. ... Are 13-5 (.722) at home under coach Jim Mora. ... Are 7-0 all-time when Vick rushes for at least 100 yards.

Philadelphia Eagles (4-1) at New Orleans Saints (4-1)

GAME SNAPSHOT
KICKOFF: Sunday, 1:00 ET
GAMEDATE: 10/15/06
SURFACE: Sportexe Momentum
TV: FOX, Dick Stockton, Troy Aikman, Pam Oliver
SERIES: 24th meeting. Eagles lead the series 15-8-0. They've won the last six meetings, including a 33-20 win in Philadelphia in November of '03.
2006 RANKINGS: Eagles: offense 1st (11th rush, 1st pass); defense 23rd (16th rush, 26th pass). Saints: offense 7th (14th rush, 7th pass); defense 13th (23rd rush, 9th pass)

KEYS TO THE GAME: The Saints must get big games out of DEs Charles Grant and Will Smith generating pressure against Eagles QB Donovan McNabb, who is leading the league in passing yards (1,602), touchdown passes (11) and yards per attempt (9.10). He has thrown just one interception in 176 attempts, and will attempt to attack the Saints' secondary, where SS Omar Stoutmire replaces injured rookie Roman Harper. Eagles RB Brian Westbrook didn't experience much swelling in his knee this week and should be ready to go against a New Orleans run defense allowing 4.9 yards per carry. One of the keys to the Saints' fast start has been discipline -- they have just 26 penalties compared to 51 at the same point last year. With their offense heavily reliant upon the running game, Eagles defensive coordinator Jim Johnson will likely dial back on the blitzes that were so effective against Dallas last Sunday.

FAST FACTS: Eagles: Have won the past six meetings. ... WR Hank Baskett became the first undrafted rookie in league history to catch a pass of 87 yards or longer last Sunday. Saints: Four of next six games are against teams that are currently 3-1 or 4-1. ... Are 4-1 for the first time since 2002 and just the fifth time in franchise history.

Seattle Seahawks (3-1) at St. Louis Rams (4-1)

GAME SNAPSHOT
KICKOFF: Sunday, 1:00 ET
GAMEDATE: 10/15/06
SURFACE: FieldTurf
TV: FOX, Ron Pitts, Brian Baldinger, Jay Glazer
SERIES: 16th meeting. The Rams lead the regular-season series, 9-6. They hold a 1-0 lead in the postseason. Seattle won both games last season, including a 37-31 decision in the Edward Jones Dome. That victory started a 10-game winning streak for Seattle.
2006 RANKINGS: Seahawks: offense 21st (20th rush, 22nd pass); defense 11th (7th rush, 23rd pass). Rams: offense 10th (17th rush, 8th pass); defense 22nd (20th rush, 19th pass)

KEYS TO THE GAME: The Seahawks spent a good part of their bye week trying to solve issues along the offensive line. But the real key is the decision-making of QB Matt Hasselbeck, who already has seven interceptions, several of which have been due to poor pre-snap coverage reads. He should receive a boost with the return of TE Jeremy Stevens, a big and safe target over the middle. But RB Shaun Alexander will miss at least one more game, and the Rams know they can expect to see a heavy dose of four-receiver sets. By comparison, St. Louis QB Marc Bulger has yet to throw an interception this season. He has thrown for an average of 307 yards with seven total touchdown passes in the past four meetings, and WR Torry Holt has traditionally been a very tough matchup for Seahawks CB Marcus Trufant. Another interesting battle will be big, physical RB Steven Jackson against the Seahawks' front seven, which doesn't boast a lot of bulk but is very fast and will get after Bulger if Jackson is ineffective.

FAST FACTS: Seahawks: Have outscored their opponents 38-10 in the first quarter. ... Hasselbeck has a 95.8 passer rating in his past seven games against NFC West teams. Rams: Bulger's has not thrown an interception in his past 214 pass attempts. ... WR Isaac Bruce needs 101 receiving yards to pass Art Monk (12,721) for 10th most in NFL history.

Tennessee Titans (0-5) at Washington Redskins (2-3)

GAME SNAPSHOT
KICKOFF: Sunday, 1:00 ET
GAMEDATE: 10/15/06
SURFACE: Grass
TV: CBS, Don Criqui, Steve Beuerlein
SERIES: 10th meeting. Titans lead series 5-4. The Redskins won the last matchup, 31-14 in Washington in 2002.
2006 RANKINGS: Titans: offense 27th (23rd rush, 27th pass); defense 30th (32nd rush, 18th pass). Redskins: offense 12th (6th rush, 17th pass); defense 21st (13th rush, 28th pass)

KEYS TO THE GAME: The Titans' run defense is allowing an NFL-high 172.4 yards per game and can expect a heavy dose of RBs Clinton Portis and Ladell Betts. The Redskins' offense works most efficiently when the running game is setting up the pass, with QB Mark Brunell connecting with eight different receivers in both of the team's victories this season. To protect their young defense, the Titans know they must run the ball and control the clock. RB Travis Henry got the start last week, with rookie RB LenDale White continuing to progress and earn significant snaps. Both could have success with the Redskins digging deep into the depth chart with several linemen ailing. But Washington will also likely stack the box against the run and dare rookie QB Vince Young to hurt them through the air. The Redskins' secondary has had issues all season, but Young hasn't proven he can hurt teams against man coverage and he's playing behind a beat-up offensive line.

FAST FACTS: Titans: Young is 0-2 as a starter after never losing consecutive games while compiling a 30-2 record at Texas. Redskins: Defensive coordinator spent seven seasons as an assistant for Titans coach Jeff Fisher. ... Portis has 758 yards from scrimmage in his past six games against AFC teams.

Kansas City Chiefs (2-2) at Pittsburgh Steelers (1-4)

GAME SNAPSHOT
KICKOFF: Sunday, 4:15 ET
GAMEDATE: 10/15/06
SURFACE: Grass
TV: CBS, Greg Gumbel, Dan Dierdorf
SERIES: 26th meeting. Pittsburgh leads the series 16-9, though Kansas City won the last meeting in 2003. Te last eight meetings have come in Kansas City, but the teams have split the eight-game series nonetheless.
2006 RANKINGS: Chiefs: offense 18th (18th rush, 20th pass); defense 4th (18th rush, 4th pass). Steelers: offense 25th (22nd rush, 24th pass); defense 14th (10th rush, 22nd pass)

KEYS TO THE GAME: Steelers QB Ben Roethlisberger has thrown seven interceptions without a touchdown pass in three games this season, and will be going against veteran CBs Ty Law and Patrick Surtain. Pittsburgh needs to protect the ball better and will lean heavily on RBs Willie Parker and Najeh Davenport, who should continue to earn more short-yardage snaps. Chiefs QB Damon Huard has done an excellent job the past two games, but he hasn't faced a defense with the speed of the Steelers. Pittsburgh doesn't fear Kansas City's receivers and will stack the box against RB Larry Johnson. Expect SS Troy Polamalu to play close to the line of scrimmage and try to get to Johnson before he can reach the line of scrimmage with a head of steam. Kansas City isn't likely to win by relying solely on its running game, so Huard will have to make some plays downfield off play-action passes.

FAST FACTS: Chiefs: Huard's 107.4 passer rating ranks second in the NFL. ... Johnson leads the AFC with 599 yards from scrimmage. Steelers: Are the only NFL team without two wideouts with at least 10 receptions apiece. ... Have been penalized a league-low 10 times this season. ... Since 1990, 19 teams have started 1-3 and gone on to reach the playoffs.

Miami Dolphins (1-4) at New York Jets (2-3)

GAME SNAPSHOT
KICKOFF: Sunday, 4:15 ET
GAMEDATE: 10/15/06
SURFACE: FieldTurf
TV: CBS, Jim Nantz, Phil Simms
SERIES: 82nd meeting. The Jets hold a 41-39-1 all-time lead and have won seven of their past eight home match-ups against the Dolphins, including a 17-7 victory last September. Miami won the most recent meeting at home last December, with three Jason Taylor sacks and a 50-yard touchdown pass from Sage Rosenfels to Marty Booker highlighting the Dolphins' 24-20 victory.
2006 RANKINGS: Dolphins: offense 24th (27th rush, 15th pass); defense 5th (11th rush, 8th pass). Jets: offense 20th (25th rush, 14th pass); defense 29th (28th rush, 21st pass)

KEYS TO THE GAME: At home against a team struggling even more than they are, the Jets need to find a way to get off to a quick start. They haven't scored a first-quarter offensive touchdown in 19 games and are coming of a 41-0 loss in Jacksonville -- so early confidence might be hard to come by. The team that has had the most rushing yards has won 18 of the past 21 meetings, but running the ball has hardly been either team's forte this season. Dolphins RB Ronnie Brown has struggled behind poor offensive line play, but he could find bigger holes to exploit against a Jets defense allowing 148.6 rushing yards per game while struggling to make the transition to coach Eric Mangini's 3-4 scheme. QB Joey Harrington will also make his second consecutive start for the Dolphins. He showed more mobility last Sunday than Daunte Culpepper, who is working to regain the elusiveness he had before his major knee injury last year.

FAST FACTS: Dolphins: Have lost 19 consecutive games when having a negative turnover margin. ... DE Jason Taylor has 12.5 sacks in 18 career games against the Jets. Jets: Team's quarterbacks have thrown 101 consecutive passes against Miami without an interception. ... RB Kevan Barlow has 24 points this season, second-most in the league by a non-kicker.

San Diego Chargers (3-1) at San Francisco 49ers (2-3)

GAME SNAPSHOT
KICKOFF: Sunday, 4:15 ET
GAMEDATE: 10/15/06
SURFACE: Grass
TV: CBS, Ian Eagle, Solomon Wilcots
SERIES: 12th meeting. The San Francisco 49ers lead the series, 7-4. And they lead it in a convincing fashion, having outscored the Chargers, 335-200. The Chargers haven't won in San Francisco since 1982. Of course the biggest game these teams every played was in Super Bowl XXIX. It was the Chargers first and only visit to a Super Bowl, and they were blasted 49-26, as the 49ers won their fifth Super Bowl.
2006 RANKINGS: Chargers: offense 6th (2nd rush, 26th pass); defense 1st (1st rush, 1st pass). 49ers: offense 13th (8th rush, 11th pass); defense 26th (24th rush, 25th pass)

KEYS TO THE GAME: The 49ers' offense is averaging 103.8 more yards per game than last season, but faces a tough task. San Francisco must have success on the ground and RB Frank Gore is second in the NFL with 632 yards from scrimmage, but the Chargers are allowing a league-low 66.5 rushing yards per game. The 49ers hope to get LG Larry Allen back in the lineup to help control the line of scrimmage. But the line isn't as strong in pass protection and San Francisco can't afford to stick QB Alex Smith in long passing situations where he will be exposed to the Chargers' strong pass rush. San Diego knows it can likely win this game on the strength of its defense, and coach Marty Schottenheimer won't take more chances than he absolutely has to. Expect a heavy dose of RBs LaDainian Tomlinson and Michael Turner until the 49ers prove they can stop the run. While the 49ers have had some breakdowns in coverage and don't rush the passer well, they are also allowing 126.2 rushing yards per game.

FAST FACTS: Chargers: Schottenheimer needs win to tie Dan Reeves (190) for sixth place all-time in regular-season victories. ... LS David Binn will play in his 196th game, passing Doug Wilkerson for third most in franchise history. Junior Seau and Russ Washington played in 200 games for the Chargers. 49ers: Smith has a 100.3 passer rating in three home starts this season. ... Gore is tied for the NFL rushing lead with 465 yards.

Oakland Raiders (0-4) at Denver Broncos (3-1)

GAME SNAPSHOT
KICKOFF: Sunday, 8:15 ET
GAMEDATE: 10/15/06
SURFACE: Grass
TV: NBC, Al Michaels, John Madden, Andrea Kremer
SERIES: 92nd meeting. Raiders lead series 53-36-2 but are 5-17 since Mike Shanahan became Denver's head coach in 1995. Last win 28-25 in Denver was Nov. 28, 2004 as Kerry Collins completed 26 of 49 passes for 339 yards and four touchdowns and Jerry Porter caught 6 passes for 135 yards and three scores.
2006 RANKINGS: Raiders: offense 32nd (9th rush, 32nd pass); defense 10th (29th rush, 2nd pass). Broncos: offense 18th (4th rush, 30th pass); defense 12th (17th rush, 13th pass)

KEYS TO THE GAME: The Raiders' running game has shown signs of life in recent games, and Oakland will need RBs LaMont Jordan and Justin Fargas to move the chains and create manageable third-down situations. The Raiders can't afford to fall behind against the Broncos' stout defense, especially with QB Andrew Walter sporting a 5.8 fourth-quarter passer rating. Walter will have a difficult time working against Broncos CBs Champ Bailey and Darrent Williams without committing devastating turnovers, so Oakland's best chance is to run the ball effectively and rely on the short passing game. The Broncos' offense has been anything but dominating, so the Raiders have a chance to drag them into a low-scoring affair. But Oakland's run defense, which is third-worst in the league allowing 150.3 yards per game, must find a way to contain RB Tatum Bell and help control field position.

FAST FACTS: Raiders: Have a seven-game losing streak against AFC West teams. ... Have lost by 10 or more points 20 times in their past 52 games. ... Are the last team to win in Denver (Nov. 11, 2004). Broncos: K Jason Elam has 25 points -- the rest of the team has a combined 24. ... Have a 12-game home winning streak.

Chicago Bears (5-0) at Arizona Cardinals (1-4)

GAME SNAPSHOT
KICKOFF: Monday, 8:30 ET
GAMEDATE: 10/16/06
SURFACE: Grass
TV: ESPN, Mike Tirico, Joe Theismann, Tony Kornheiser, Suzy Kolber, Michele Tafoya
SERIES: 89th meeting. Bears lead series, 56-26-6 but they've played just four times ion the past 15 years. The Series dates to 1920, when the Chicago Cardinals defeated the Decatur Staleys 7-6. The following season, the Staleys became the Chicago Staleys and the next year the Chicago Bears. The Cardinals played in Chicago, on the South Side, from 1920-1959.
2006 RANKINGS: Bears: offense 4th (15th rush, 4th pass); defense 3rd (6th rush, 5th pass). Cardinals: offense 22nd (31st rush, 10th pass); defense 27th (22nd rush, 29th pass)

KEYS TO THE GAME: How balanced is the Bears' offense? Chicago has a 52-48 run to pass ratio, which is not only preventing defenses from overplaying the run like they did last season, but QB Rex Grossman is posting MVP-worthy numbers. Arizona hasn't stopped either method consistently this season and could have serious trouble getting off the field on defense. The Cardinals will need to win the turnover margin to keep the game competitive deep into the second half. That means getting an efficient game from rookie QB Matt Leinart in just his second career start. He was solid in his debut last weekend, but now he must face the league's most imposing front seven on national television and without injured WR Larry Fitzgerald. RB Edgerrin James has been vying for more carries on a weekly basis, but to keep him involved in the game plan Arizona has to stay within striking distance and get decent line play.

FAST FACTS: Bears: Seek first 6-0 start since 1996. ... RB Thomas Jones was the seventh overall pick by Arizona in the 2000 draft and rushed for 1,264 yards in three seasons with the team. Cardinals: Are 12-25 under coach Dennis Green. ... Are 0-3 on Monday nights since moving to Arizona in 1988.

   
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